TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x7a60…3170

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
202
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Lol, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Lol at 52 out of 100; worst Dota2 at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2026, EDT12646%58 W · 68 L-5.7wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-14.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 126 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Nuggets vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$480.43
Bucks vs. Bullsbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$116
Grizzlies vs. Pacersbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+96.1%+$98
Lakers vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$91Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+222.6%+$202.63
Nuggets vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+354.5%+$120.9
Cavaliers vs. Thunderbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$114.07
Pistons vs. Bullsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+25%+$100
Clippers vs. Lakersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$280Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$280
Jazz vs. Grizzliesbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$460Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$460
Pacers vs. Wizardsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+100%+$250
Magic vs. Kingsbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$1,439Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+29.9%+$429.87
Mavericks vs. Lakersbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$783Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$782.83
Heat vs. Pelicansbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$619Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+112.8%+$698.09
Bucks vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$1,437Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$1,437.23
Pistons vs. Raptorsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$784Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+100%+$783.74
Pacers vs. Netsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,570Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$1,569.65
Hawks vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$1,682Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+63.9%+$1,075.62
Spurs vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$908Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$907.9
Clippers vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$1,663Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+37%+$614.9
Grizzlies vs. Warriorsbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$257Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$257.42
Cavaliers vs. Nuggetsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,972Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+104.1%+$2,052.21
Kings vs. Pelicansbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$283Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$283.3
Pistons vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$969Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$968.97
Pacers vs. Raptorsbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$787Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$786.59
Knicks vs. Celticsbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$1,280Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+158.9%+$2,035.12
Showing 25 of 126 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 10, 2026, EDT6046.7%28 W · 32 L-6.4wins-0.11per pick57cpaid-20.1%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 60 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Yellow Submarine (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked Yellow Submarine · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$193Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$192.59
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$128Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$72
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$124Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$123.99
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$44
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Aurora - Game 4 Winnerbacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+81.8%+$90
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Aurora - Game 1 Winnerbacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+25%+$40
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Tundra Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$112
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Team Falcons (BO3) - DreamLeague Stage 2backed Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$376Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$376.33
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs MOUZ - Game 1 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$205Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$205
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs MOUZ - Game 2 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Team Falcons - Game 2 Winnerbacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$168Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+138.1%+$232
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Team Liquid (BO3) - DreamLeague Stage 2backed Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$124.88
Dota 2: Aurora vs BetBoom Team - Game 2 Winnerbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$219.99
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Tundra Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$134Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+49.3%+$66
Dota 2: Aurora vs MOUZ (BO3) - DreamLeague Stage 2backed Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$555Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$554.99
Dota 2: Aurora vs MOUZ - Game 2 Winnerbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$160
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Tundra Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+33.3%+$33.33
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winnerbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$167Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$167.05
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs PARIVISION - Game 1 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+33.3%+$32.17
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs PARIVISION (BO3) - DreamLeague Stage 2backed PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$49.87
Dota 2: Aurora vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - DreamLeague Stage 2backed Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$111Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+188.2%+$208.97
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - DreamLeague Stage 2backed PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$115.2
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Team Liquid (BO3) - DreamLeague Stage 2backed Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$209Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+43.8%+$91.4
Dota 2: Team Lynx vs Winter Bear (BO5) - European Pro League Playoffsbacked Team Lynx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$95.5
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs GamerLegion - Game 2 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+85.2%+$85.19
Showing 25 of 60 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Nov 22, 2025, EST50%0 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bruins vs. Canucksbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$419Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$419.43
Blues vs. Lightningbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$1,146Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$1,145.8
Canucks vs. Bruinsbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$1,938Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+140.4%+$2,721.5
Utah vs. Bruinsbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$5,001Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST+96.1%+$4,804.6
All 4 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jan 31, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.33per pick67cpaid-48.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
UFC — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Team Secret Whales vs GAM Esports (BO3) - LCP Regular Seasonbacked Team Secret Whales · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+122.2%+$32.14
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 10, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$3,104Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$3,500.64
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Dec 6, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Barcelona win on 2025-12-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+78.6%+$10.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$136Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$64
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.