NBA · resolved market
Grizzlies vs. Pacers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1feb9dfc82cba526c2c79fcc2e5fde7e7c03f78e09603e07f1bcd22ce864a1fc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Grizzliesof Grizzlies, Pacers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,518,638
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,611,030
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,518,638 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,045 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8e43…a3cdbacked Grizzlies | 51c | 301,462$152,594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148,868.48 | 435 | 42.8%186 W · 249 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Pacers | 50c | 182,878$92,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92,349.66 | 326 | 53.1%173 W · 153 L | +19.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Grizzlies | 50c | 76,025$38,273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37,751.51 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Pacers | 50c | 63,735$31,664 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31,663.73 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd92…6b2abacked Pacers | 49c | 50,000$24,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,500 | 126 | 39.7%50 W · 76 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae5…ead2backed Grizzlies | 66c | 42,162$27,971 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,191.55 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Pacers | 50c | 32,446$16,067 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,066.72 | 1,212 | 48.3%586 W · 626 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67bb…b6efbacked Grizzlies | 65c | 31,094$20,189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,904.84 | 344 | 56.7%195 W · 149 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Pacers | 49c | 28,177$13,939 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,938.86 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2db…0cf3backed Grizzlies | 49c | 27,089$13,230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,859.28 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +64.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Grizzlies | 49c | 25,827$12,624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,203.67 | 513 | 54.2%278 W · 235 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Pacers | 49c | 25,000$12,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,249.99 | 1,046 | 51.1%534 W · 512 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11db…841fbacked Pacers | 0c | 25,000$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 227 | 0%0 W · 227 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Pacers | 36c | 24,589$8,973 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,973.39 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Pacers | 24c | 21,576$5,189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,189.41 | 1,190 | 32%381 W · 809 L | -58.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Pacers | 32c | 20,386$6,514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,513.91 | 1,003 | 34.7%348 W · 655 L | -44.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Pacers | 49c | 20,000$9,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,800 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Grizzlies | 51c | 19,990$10,195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,795.33 | 1,197 | 46.7%559 W · 638 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Pacers | 43c | 17,500$7,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,600 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e16…0127backed Grizzlies | 48c | 17,487$8,394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,093.24 | 221 | 43%95 W · 126 L | -12.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…dcd3backed Pacers | 34c | 15,907$5,418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,417.58 | 463 | 42.5%197 W · 266 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…d49fbacked Grizzlies | 51c | 15,543$7,927 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,616.07 | 483 | 52%251 W · 232 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88fc…099dbacked Grizzlies | 65c | 15,410$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,410.07 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68ca…9f73backed Grizzlies | 49c | 15,356$7,588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,767.76 | 325 | 40.3%131 W · 194 L | -10.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Pacers | 38c | 14,863$5,714 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,714.4 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Grizzlies | 51c | 14,338$7,277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,061.4 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30d1…cd88backed Pacers | 50c | 14,000$7,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,000 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Grizzlies | 50c | 13,719$6,860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,859.54 | 596 | 53.4%318 W · 278 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked Pacers | 50c | 12,141$6,057 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,056.71 | 773 | 48.5%375 W · 398 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7af9…b408backed Pacers | 49c | 12,124$5,941 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,941 | 66 | 57.6%38 W · 28 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Pacers | 31c | 12,063$3,794 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,794.12 | 1,096 | 40.9%448 W · 648 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe56d…2b65backed Pacers | 49c | 11,982$5,871 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,871 | 75 | 52%39 W · 36 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Pacers | 23c | 11,582$2,637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,636.93 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa8…56dbbacked Pacers | 30c | 10,196$3,079 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,079.24 | 489 | 56.4%276 W · 213 L | +31.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd568…a35abacked Grizzlies | 50c | 10,003$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,003.06 | 77 | 58.4%45 W · 32 L | +4.5wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea22…747abacked Pacers | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 679 | 21.4%145 W · 534 L | +32.4wins | +0.05per pick | 17cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe64f…7d71backed Pacers | 49c | 10,000$4,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,899.88 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc736…e547backed Grizzlies | 74c | 8,654$6,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,214.09 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcecb…2c02backed Grizzlies | 48c | 8,600$4,128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,472 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbab7…bc7cbacked Pacers | 52c | 8,500$4,420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,420 | 90 | 54.4%49 W · 41 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4c9…cd97backed Grizzlies | 48c | 8,500$4,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,419.97 | 86 | 40.7%35 W · 51 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Pacers | 26c | 8,494$2,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,199.99 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Pacers | 31c | 8,458$2,654 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,654.44 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Grizzlies | 50c | 7,015$3,476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,539.27 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed Pacers | 50c | 6,776$3,388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,388.18 | 155 | 49.7%77 W · 78 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Pacers | 49c | 6,101$2,989 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,989.45 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Pacers | 51c | 6,000$3,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,059.99 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcaf…e271backed Grizzlies | 48c | 5,897$2,831 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,066.4 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Pacers | 51c | 5,633$2,873 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,872.83 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34fc…050cbacked Pacers | 52c | 5,500$2,860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,860 | 80 | 52.5%42 W · 38 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c1d…3846backed Grizzlies | 48c | 5,500$2,640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,859.98 | 69 | 43.5%30 W · 39 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Pacers | 36c | 5,473$1,970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,970.33 | 1,045 | 49%512 W · 533 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Grizzlies | 48c | 5,408$2,596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,812.24 | 871 | 44.7%389 W · 482 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39c6…0ac1backed Grizzlies | 49c | 5,162$2,516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,646.67 | 542 | 46.7%253 W · 289 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8000…3a21backed Pacers | 52c | 5,000$2,578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,578.06 | 259 | 47.5%123 W · 136 L | +14.5wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Pacers | 49c | 5,000$2,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,450 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x201c…58bfbacked Grizzlies | 51c | 5,000$2,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,450 | 185 | 47%87 W · 98 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d5c…4f26backed Pacers | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 209 | 45.5%95 W · 114 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa25d…2227backed Grizzlies | 53c | 5,000$2,656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,343.81 | 106 | 41.5%44 W · 62 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37de…f512backed Pacers | 35c | 4,123$1,443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,443.08 | 1,390 | 26%361 W · 1,029 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x021c…232fbacked Pacers | 51c | 4,000$2,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,040 | 120 | 56.7%68 W · 52 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Grizzlies | 49c | 4,000$1,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,039.99 | 386 | 49.7%192 W · 194 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7517…0353backed Grizzlies | 64c | 3,896$2,483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,412.9 | 278 | 65.8%183 W · 95 L | +25.4wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8716…bd57backed Grizzlies | 49c | 3,891$1,907 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,984.4 | 418 | 32.8%137 W · 281 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed Pacers | 50c | 3,872$1,927 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,926.7 | 866 | 41.5%359 W · 507 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9569…27fdbacked Grizzlies | 55c | 3,809$2,082 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,726.27 | 139 | 59.7%83 W · 56 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Pacers | 49c | 3,684$1,810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,810.48 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a4…cf8abacked Grizzlies | 49c | 3,566$1,747 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,818.66 | 247 | 44.1%109 W · 138 L | -10.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xccff…e845backed Grizzlies | 48c | 3,500$1,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,820 | 481 | 37.2%179 W · 302 L | -15.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5b…e747backed Pacers | 50c | 3,500$1,742 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,741.9 | 659 | 39.5%260 W · 399 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb748…5b21backed Pacers | 31c | 3,462$1,071 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,070.66 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | -3.8wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x809c…eca3backed Grizzlies | 52c | 3,312$1,732 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,579.62 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbce9…03e9backed Pacers | 1c | 3,265$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.41 | 882 | 0%0 W · 882 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e8f…5c77backed Pacers | 50c | 3,070$1,535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,535 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe30f…f98abacked Pacers | 20c | 3,044$607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$606.64 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Pacers | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 564 | 53.9%304 W · 260 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1cc…b6d1backed Pacers | 52c | 3,000$1,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,560 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Pacers | 49c | 3,000$1,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,469.88 | 691 | 49.1%339 W · 352 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Grizzlies | 50c | 2,997$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,496.64 | 489 | 38.7%189 W · 300 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Pacers | 45c | 2,968$1,347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,346.86 | 649 | 44.7%290 W · 359 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Pacers | 51c | 2,941$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…de82backed Pacers | 51c | 2,935$1,502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,502.28 | 587 | 40%235 W · 352 L | +24.3wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05bf…cc7bbacked Grizzlies | 50c | 2,900$1,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,450 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +82.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77d3…f4d6backed Grizzlies | 51c | 2,800$1,418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,382 | 292 | 50%146 W · 146 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa392…1415backed Grizzlies | 50c | 2,702$1,349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,353.09 | 142 | 45.1%64 W · 78 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x62fb…4d60backed Pacers | 47c | 2,683$1,261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,260.83 | 355 | 47.3%168 W · 187 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69e7…d3b0backed Grizzlies | 51c | 2,500$1,275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,225 | 122 | 45.1%55 W · 67 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Grizzlies | 50c | 2,500$1,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,250 | 1,667 | 52.7%878 W · 789 L | +45.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x223f…2050backed Pacers | 34c | 2,434$823 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$823.17 | 194 | 35.1%68 W · 126 L | -13.2wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x39fd…5a3fbacked Pacers | 49c | 2,360$1,156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,156.38 | 199 | 58.3%116 W · 83 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdae3…b43ebacked Grizzlies | 50c | 2,350$1,175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,175 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbb…acb2backed Pacers | 53c | 2,300$1,211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,211.33 | 890 | 50.4%449 W · 441 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Grizzlies | 57c | 2,252$1,279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$972.35 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a0a…24a9backed Pacers | 18c | 2,222$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | +43.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefdf…bf0abacked Pacers | 50c | 2,180$1,090 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,090 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -45%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0949…e8efbacked Pacers | 50c | 2,134$1,067 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,067 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94ed…b548backed Pacers | 50c | 2,120$1,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,060 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6480…fb82backed Grizzlies | 54c | 2,093$1,131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$961.46 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…3180backed Pacers | 49c | 2,081$1,027 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,026.53 | 399 | 58.4%233 W · 166 L | +19.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5a45…f628backed Grizzlies | 49c | 2,050$1,004 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,046 | 348 | 55.2%192 W · 156 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 29 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Grizzlies vs. Pacersthis page
- Andrew Nembhard: Assists O/U 7.5No won
- Andrew Nembhard: Points O/U 18.5No won
- Andrew Nembhard: Rebounds O/U 2.5No won
- Ben Sheppard: Points O/U 8.5Yes won
- GG Jackson II: Assists O/U 1.5Yes won
- GG Jackson II: Rebounds O/U 5.5Yes won
- Grizzlies vs. Pacers: 1H MoneylineGrizzlies won
- Grizzlies vs. Pacers: 1H O/U 121.5Over won
- Grizzlies vs. Pacers: O/U 231.5Under won
- Grizzlies vs. Pacers: O/U 236.5Under won
- Grizzlies vs. Pacers: O/U 237.5Under won
- Grizzlies vs. Pacers: O/U 238.5Under won
- Grizzlies vs. Pacers: O/U 240.5Under won
- Grizzlies vs. Pacers: O/U 242.5Under won
- Grizzlies vs. Pacers: O/U 248.5Under won
- Grizzlies vs. Pacers: O/U 251.5Under won
- Jay Huff: Points O/U 11.5Yes won
- Scotty Pippen Jr.: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Scotty Pippen Jr.: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Spread: Grizzlies (-1.5)Grizzlies won
- Spread: Grizzlies (-3.5)Grizzlies won
- Spread: Grizzlies (-4.5)Grizzlies won
- Spread: Grizzlies (-6.5)Grizzlies won
- Spread: Grizzlies (-7.5)Grizzlies won
- Spread: Pacers (-1.5)Grizzlies won
- T.J. McConnell: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
- Walter Clayton Jr.: Points O/U 10.5No won
- Walter Clayton Jr.: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.