TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xa710…23c4

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
1,214
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: La Liga, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category La Liga at 58 out of 100; worst Other European Leagues at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLBlast resolved Aug 25, 2026, EDT55053.1%292 W · 258 L+20.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
MLB — the 550 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pete Crow-Armstrong: Home Runs O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$67.61
Rafael Devers: Home Runs O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.27
Yordan Alvarez: Home Runs O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$147Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$146.52
Byron Buxton: Home Runs O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$800Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+25%+$200
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$51,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$50,999.96
Junior Caminero: Home Runs O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$1,605Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$506.75
Washington Nationals vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$101.33
New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 9.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$54,000Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$46,000
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,863Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,863.19
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$10,836Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$12,720.89
Seiya Suzuki: Home Runs O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Washington Nationals vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$14,464Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$14,463.78
Athletics vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 9.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$1,468Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,468.37
Detroit Tigers vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15,000Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+100%+$15,000
Chicago White Sox vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$3,419Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$3,854.94
Miami Marlins vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$9,200Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$10,800
Texas Rangers vs. Athleticsbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$16,557Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$20,236.46
Esmerlyn Valdez: Home Runs O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$156Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$155.54
Kansas City Royals vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$48.56
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Chicago Cubsbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$5,648Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,647.91
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$10,800Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$9,200
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$197Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$196.87
Elly De La Cruz: Home Runs O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$197Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$196.9
Miami Marlins vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 9.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.32
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$22,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$22,500
Showing 25 of 550 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT32653.1%173 W · 153 L+19.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+11.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 326 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
De'Aaron Fox: Points O/U 15.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$2,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,500
OG Anunoby: Points O/U 17.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$937Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$1,015.28
Jalen Brunson: Points O/U 25.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$2,750Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$2,249.99
Stephon Castle: Points O/U 15.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$2,750Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$2,250
De'Aaron Fox: Points O/U 15.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$2,400Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,399.99
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 216.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$49,024Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$55,282.06
De'Aaron Fox: Points O/U 14.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$15.66
Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 26.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$2,200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,199.94
Stephon Castle: Points O/U 16.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$271Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$270.56
Jalen Brunson: Points O/U 25.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$2,550Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,549.96
Spread: Spurs (-4.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$13,385Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$14,500.11
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$47,591Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$84,605.41
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 217.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$29,981Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+100%+$29,981.27
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 218.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$13,604Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+100%+$13,603.8
Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 219.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$44,411Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$44,410.52
Spread: Knicks (-2.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$31,767Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$31,767.1
Knicks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 217.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$2,432Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+100%+$2,432.22
Spread: Knicks (-6.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$68,960Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$68,959.69
Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 216.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$6,544Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+100%+$6,543.63
Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 217.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$100,000
Spread: Thunder (-6.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$28,089Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$28,089.37
Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 206.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$12,004Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$12,004.18
Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 205.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$62,677Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$62,677.36
Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 212.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$11,693Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$11,692.77
Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 218.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$2,077Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,077.13
Showing 25 of 326 picks, newest first.
UFClast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT16244.4%72 W · 90 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 162 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
O/U 1.5 Roundsbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$256Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$255.77
O/U 2.5 Roundsbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$771Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$1,313.11
O/U 4.5 Roundsbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$967Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$966.89
O/U 1.5 Roundsbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$6,300Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$6,299.6
O/U 1.5 Roundsbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$17,775Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$17,774.78
UFC 330: Charles Johnson vs. Eduardo Chapolin (Catchweight, Prelims)backed Eduardo Chapolin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$23,346Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$23,346.36
UFC 330: Vicente Luque vs. Tresean Gore (Middleweight, Early Prelims)backed Vicente Luque · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$34,750Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$34,749.53
O/U 1.5 Roundsbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$447Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$200.8
UFC Fight Night: Juliana Miller vs. Ravena Oliveira (Women's Flyweight, Prelims)backed Juliana Miller · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$20,531Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$6,483.4
O/U 2.5 Roundsbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$4,759Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,759.1
O/U 2.5 Roundsbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$36,000Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$64,000
UFC Fight Night: Gigi Canuto vs. Carol Foro (Women's Strawweight, Prelims)backed Gigi Canuto · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$68,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$67,999.99
O/U 2.5 Roundsbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$3,631Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,631.2
O/U 1.5 Roundsbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$833Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$800
O/U 1.5 Roundsbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$4,606Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,606.06
O/U 1.5 Roundsbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$46,210Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$46,210.02
O/U 2.5 Roundsbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+123%+$18.57
O/U 1.5 Roundsbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$3,148Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,148.41
O/U 2.5 Roundsbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$23,340Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$23,339.65
UFC Fight Night: Jan Blachowicz vs. Navajo Stirling (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Navajo Stirling · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$54,140Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+33.6%+$18,171.45
UFC Fight Night: Marcin Tybura vs. Aleksandar Rakic (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Marcin Tybura · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$46,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$45,999.97
UFC Fight Night: Gilbert Urbina vs. Vlasto Cepo (Middleweight, Prelims)backed Gilbert Urbina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$82,420Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+270.6%+$223,041.86
UFC Fight Night: Duško Todorovic vs. Robert Valentin (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Duško Todorovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$2,568Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,567.72
UFC Fight Night: Milos Janicic vs. Noah Gugnon (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Milos Janicic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$79,370Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$79,370.36
UFC Fight Night: Ludovit Klein vs. Tofiq Musayev (Lightweight, Prelims)backed Tofiq Musayev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$51,000Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$118,999.98
Showing 25 of 162 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT15054.7%82 W · 68 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-0.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
NHL — the 150 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Avalanche vs. Golden Knightsbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$36,542Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$36,541.95
Hurricanes vs. Canadiensbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$870Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$630.15
Avalanche vs. Golden Knightsbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$15,065Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$15,064.88
Canadiens vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$19,294Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+56.2%+$10,853.08
Canadiens vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10,336Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$10,335.75
Golden Knights vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$54,900Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$54,900
Canadiens vs. Sabres: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$51,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$48,999.83
Canadiens vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$51,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$51,000
Sabres vs. Canadiensbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$8,686Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$8,686.37
Hurricanes vs. Flyersbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$106,633Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$59,981.15
Hurricanes vs. Flyersbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$75,733Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$48,419.36
Wild vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$45,582Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+56.2%+$25,639.86
Canadiens vs. Lightning: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$4,165Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$2,776.56
Canadiens vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$141,293Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$141,292.57
Flyers vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$62,282Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+45.4%+$28,287.91
Flyers vs. Hurricanes: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,084Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$1,128.6
Lightning vs. Canadiensbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$38,827Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$37,304.47
Penguins vs. Flyersbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$151,193Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$151,192.86
Canadiens vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$59,282Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$59,281.84
Lightning vs. Canadiensbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20,438Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$19,636.25
Sabres vs. Bruinsbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$8,014Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$8,682.13
Ducks vs. Predatorsbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$58,300Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$51,699.96
Blues vs. Utahbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$54,051Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$54,050.82
Red Wings vs. Panthersbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$113,165Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$113,165.2
Maple Leafs vs. Senatorsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$2,935Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$1,723.56
Showing 25 of 150 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.24per pick52cpaid-49.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-1.9wins-0.39per pick59cpaid-67.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT4100%4 W · 0 L+2.1wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+142.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
La Liga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+39.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Toulouse FC win on 2026-03-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$72,863Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+104.8%+$76,395.08
RC Strasbourg Alsace vs. Paris FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$64,872Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$64,871.69
All 2 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AC Milan win on 2026-05-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$43,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$42,999.99
Will AS Roma win on 2026-04-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$5,928Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,928.37
All 2 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 17, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Sporting CP (-1.5)backed Sporting CP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$50,835Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$62,131.92
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Roland Garros ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Matteo Arnaldibacked Matteo Arnaldi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$51,897Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+96.5%+$50,087.25
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.