Bundesliga · resolved market
Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-05-16?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc02462a7a0772dbbde7ab4c34069c779582384543cad919e2d41d12f77f95d0c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $237,728
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $255,489
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $237,728 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 203 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa710…23c4backed No | 63c | 39,963$25,177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,176.87 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 52cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed No | 8c | 31,260$2,501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500.79 | 160 | 45%72 W · 88 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 37c | 25,062$9,271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,791.46 | 75 | 38.7%29 W · 46 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08ff…32ebbacked No | 43c | 11,000$4,784 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,783.55 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 37c | 9,885$3,684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,201.56 | 264 | 45.5%120 W · 144 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x538a…0823backed No | 63c | 9,723$6,125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,125.49 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 57c | 9,158$5,198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,959.95 | 481 | 41.8%201 W · 280 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 37c | 8,897$3,312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,584.9 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 37c | 8,077$3,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,066.72 | 283 | 45.2%128 W · 155 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Yes | 61c | 6,983$4,239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,744.17 | 42 | 64.3%27 W · 15 L | +4.4wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Yes | 38c | 6,399$2,435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,963.84 | 208 | 45.7%95 W · 113 L | -16.2wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x005c…a987backed No | 62c | 4,153$2,578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,577.92 | 113 | 54.9%62 W · 51 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed Yes | 37c | 4,054$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,554.03 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb619…5068backed No | 65c | 4,000$2,580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,580 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | +5.5wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 37c | 3,856$1,415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,440.96 | 698 | 51.9%362 W · 336 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52d8…99aebacked No | 63c | 3,800$2,394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,393.99 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked No | 63c | 3,758$2,367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,367.28 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 56cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 73c | 3,349$2,455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$893.51 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 38c | 3,067$1,179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,888.02 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed Yes | 37c | 3,000$1,110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,889.94 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x208c…6b98backed No | 63c | 2,650$1,670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,669.5 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d0c…bcebbacked No | 61c | 2,587$1,578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,578 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e59…2a66backed Yes | 37c | 2,571$951 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,619.73 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 62c | 2,430$1,507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,506.7 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed No | 63c | 2,383$1,501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,501.31 | 186 | 44.1%82 W · 104 L | -10.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe85d…ad4bbacked Yes | 41c | 2,377$975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,402.39 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 21cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40d0…4415backed No | 62c | 2,368$1,468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,468.16 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 17c | 2,117$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369 | 1,013 | 44.5%451 W · 562 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 21c | 2,116$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437.93 | 407 | 44.5%181 W · 226 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Yes | 37c | 2,004$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,263.98 | 144 | 47.9%69 W · 75 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 78c | 1,973$1,532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441.32 | 226 | 69%156 W · 70 L | +13.1wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed No | 62c | 1,924$1,193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,192.98 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefd4…51b1backed No | 63c | 1,746$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.21per pick | 61cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked No | 63c | 1,580$993 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$992.81 | 287 | 55.1%158 W · 129 L | +12.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd410…3a1bbacked No | 63c | 1,553$973 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$972.98 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed No | 63c | 1,500$945 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$945 | 60 | 58.3%35 W · 25 L | +3.9wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x14c2…7d55backed No | 31c | 1,500$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465 | 47 | 34%16 W · 31 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +25%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Yes | 37c | 1,351$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$851.35 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x791e…9bdabacked Yes | 38c | 1,237$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$766.84 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf021…e900backed No | 44c | 1,123$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.22per pick | 44cpaid | -59.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed No | 13c | 1,079$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.01 | 62 | 32.3%20 W · 42 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 37c | 1,068$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$672.66 | 386 | 46.9%181 W · 205 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed No | 64c | 1,000$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe11…18cfbacked No | 62c | 1,000$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620 | 89 | 50.6%45 W · 44 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ae5…6079backed Yes | 37c | 1,000$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.17per pick | 53cpaid | +42.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7858…a5eabacked Yes | 37c | 1,000$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 18c | 980.35$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.17 | 435 | 32.2%140 W · 295 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed No | 62c | 932$578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$577.84 | 74 | 43.2%32 W · 42 L | -9.2wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6e05…2ebcbacked No | 62c | 900$558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$558 | 88 | 51.1%45 W · 43 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47fb…0c7bbacked No | 62c | 900$558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$558 | 89 | 49.4%44 W · 45 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ac…8de4backed No | 63c | 876.19$552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$552 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.3wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1d50…d283backed No | 4c | 868.81$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.26 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 37c | 852.94$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$537.35 | 569 | 51.8%295 W · 274 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Yes | 69c | 838.68$583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.89 | 104 | 63.5%66 W · 38 L | +9.8wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked No | 63c | 741.79$467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$467.33 | 110 | 49.1%54 W · 56 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x033a…fc42backed Yes | 37c | 734.49$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462.73 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc66a…ed6abacked No | 17c | 720.06$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.46 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +3.6wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +37%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa374…9709backed Yes | 37c | 700$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee19…555ebacked Yes | 38c | 651.61$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405.53 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed No | 50c | 570.01$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.5 | 113 | 56.6%64 W · 49 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d91…a5fdbacked No | 63c | 566$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.58 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed No | 45c | 563.09$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.98 | 70 | 32.9%23 W · 47 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 62c | 545.08$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.24 | 298 | 55.4%165 W · 133 L | +11.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeddf…a953backed Yes | 38c | 526.32$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.32 | 85 | 32.9%28 W · 57 L | -6.1wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Yes | 38c | 526$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.12 | 243 | 22.2%54 W · 189 L | -13.3wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3089…92f6backed No | 38c | 507.94$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.9 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | +257.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52e3…3337backed No | 64c | 499.99$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.99 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9e3…93f2backed Yes | 64c | 498.52$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.47 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1c4…bbfbbacked No | 65c | 485$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.25 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb25…f7f3backed Yes | 42c | 444.44$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.68 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 37c | 424.25$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.82 | 420 | 46.4%195 W · 225 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 53c | 417.66$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.3 | 491 | 43.2%212 W · 279 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Yes | 37c | 408.11$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.11 | 69 | 40.6%28 W · 41 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26dd…0249backed No | 63c | 404.46$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.81 | 68 | 44.1%30 W · 38 L | -4.7wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d9…d7f5backed Yes | 39c | 400$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244 | 30 | 16.7%5 W · 25 L | -3.6wins | -0.12per pick | 29cpaid | -56.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3582…c82dbacked No | 63c | 398.37$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Yes | 37c | 397.36$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.34 | 168 | 46.4%78 W · 90 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 20c | 372.99$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.99 | 398 | 57.5%229 W · 169 L | +20.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5140…9951backed Yes | 63c | 317.46$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.46 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7a7…55bebacked No | 63c | 315.17$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked No | 40c | 300$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 143 | 15.4%22 W · 121 L | -8.0wins | -0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c4…df5fbacked Yes | 36c | 300$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192 | 87 | 56.3%49 W · 38 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3b…6598backed Yes | 37c | 300$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10fd…633bbacked Yes | 37c | 300$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked No | 16c | 291$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.56 | 105 | 49.5%52 W · 53 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x923c…6d03backed Yes | 38c | 285.3$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.89 | 51 | 31.4%16 W · 35 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35c8…ce5cbacked Yes | 37c | 273.79$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.49 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +48.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8508…c22fbacked Yes | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.27 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed Yes | 38c | 264$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.68 | 31 | 67.7%21 W · 10 L | +5.2wins | +0.17per pick | 51cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x867b…9fbabacked Yes | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.16 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8716…57c8backed No | 63c | 253.36$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.62 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed No | 62c | 247.79$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.63 | 157 | 47.1%74 W · 83 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 32c | 239$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.45 | 550 | 58.7%323 W · 227 L | +23.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42ab…3e26backed No | 68c | 224$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.1 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1a…e943backed Yes | 35c | 200$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 36cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked No | 66c | 200$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 38c | 197.19$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.26 | 114 | 47.4%54 W · 60 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0520…3efdbacked Yes | 60c | 191$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.4 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe36…5ceabacked No | 63c | 176.87$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 64c | 162.23$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.21 | 624 | 52.6%328 W · 296 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-05-16?this page
- Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-05-16?No won
- Will SC Freiburg vs. RB Leipzig end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.