TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xc1c4…bbfb

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
835
Categories scored
39
Categories below 50
21

Best Category: CS2, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category CS2 at 58 out of 100; worst Commodities at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT19845.5%90 W · 108 L+5.0wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+13.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 198 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+183.3%+$43.8
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$21.66
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$352Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+70.4%+$248.19
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.6
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$22.08
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$7.25
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.49
Timberwolves vs. Spursbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+525%+$86.52
Nuggets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+204.2%+$40.75
Knicks vs. Hawksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.91
Hawks vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$30.42
Trail Blazers vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$77.58
Rockets vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$20.81
Spurs vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$11.07
Pistons vs. Hornetsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+72.4%+$108.4
Lakers vs. Clippersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$49.44
Hawks vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$35.86
Spurs vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+66.7%+$51.4
Celtics vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+69.5%+$61.37
Timberwolves vs. Rocketsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$47.19
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+42.9%+$20.13
76ers vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$40.17
Raptors vs. Celticsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$59.74
Lakers vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST+55%+$47.39
Knicks vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+117.3%+$82.17
Showing 25 of 198 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT10650%53 W · 53 L+6.3wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+10.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 106 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+109.8%+$29.05
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+25.5%+$9.8
Lionel Messi: 1+ goalsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$59.07
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.5
Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.72
Norway vs. England: Team to Advancebacked Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.75
Erling Haaland: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.11
Lamine Yamal: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.2
France vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked Morocco · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.55
France vs. Morocco: Morocco O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.33
Lionel Messi: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+423%+$47.72
Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+113.3%+$109.52
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.56
Will United States win on 2026-07-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$9.88
Cristiano Ronaldo: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.68
Lamine Yamal: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.48
Harry Kane: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$21.2
Mexico vs. England: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+100%+$12
Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$11.76
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Cabo Verde O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.84
Switzerland vs. Algeria: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.4
Will Cristiano Ronaldo score 3+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$14.02
Spread: Spain (-1.5)backed Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+90.5%+$16.44
Will England win on 2026-07-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+253.8%+$43.11
Will England vs. DR Congo end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.96
Showing 25 of 106 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT8943.8%39 W · 50 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 89 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$90.62
Will Chelsea FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.89
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$182Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$205.11
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-05-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$283Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+37%+$104.76
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-05-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$611Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$611.25
Arsenal FC vs. Burnley FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.34
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$189Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$50.18
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-05-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$61.02
Will Burnley FC win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$359Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$359.24
Will West Bromwich Albion FC vs. Ipswich Town FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$28.4
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-04-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$199Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$370.16
Will Burnley FC win on 2026-04-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.42
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$116Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+130.7%+$152.14
Will Blackburn Rovers FC vs. Coventry City FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.56
Will Hull City AFC vs. Sheffield Wednesday FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.81
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.79
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-03-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$249Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$249.04
Will Watford FC vs. Wrexham AFC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.66
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-03-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$20.04
Will West Bromwich Albion FC win on 2026-03-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.86
Will Hull City AFC win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.28
Will Sheffield Wednesday FC vs. Ipswich Town FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.46
Will Coventry City FC vs. Preston North End FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.76
Will Wrexham AFC vs. Chelsea FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+455.6%+$81.1
Showing 25 of 89 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Aug 8, 2026, EDT5448.1%26 W · 28 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-2.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
Lol — the 54 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Movistar KOI vs GIANTX (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.48
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Groupbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$73
LoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 (BO1) - KeSPA Cup Group Stagebacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$142Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$58
LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 (BO3) - LCS Regular Seasonbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$14.62
LoL: DN SOOPers vs KT Rolster (BO1) - KeSPA Cup Group Stagebacked DN SOOPers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$92
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs KT Rolster (BO1) - KeSPA Cup Group Stagebacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.36
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs BIG (BO1) - Prime League 1st Division Regular Seasonbacked BIG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.7
LoL: G2 NORD vs BIG (BO1) - Prime League 1st Division Regular Seasonbacked BIG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.89
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.14
LoL: Eintracht Frankfurt vs Eintracht Spandau (BO1) - Prime League 1st Division Regular Seasonbacked Eintracht Spandau · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+49.1%+$22.06
LoL: G2 NORD vs Team Orange Gaming (BO1) - Prime League 1st Division Regular Seasonbacked G2 NORD · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$11.55
LoL: Kaufland Hangry Knights vs ROSSMANN Centaurs (BO1) - Prime League 1st Division Regular Seasonbacked Kaufland Hangry Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.11
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs JD Gaming (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group Dbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+37%+$14.42
LoL: Team Secret vs Sentinels (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group Bbacked Team Secret · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.46
LoL: ROSSMANN Centaurs vs Team Orange Gaming (BO1) - Prime League 1st Division Regular Seasonbacked Team Orange Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$8.94
LoL: EDward Gaming Youth Team vs CTBC Flying Oyster Academy (BO3) - Asia Masters Group Abacked CTBC Flying Oyster Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$118Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$302.39
LoL: Winthrop University vs CCG Esports (BO5) - North American Challengers League Playoffsbacked CCG Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$15.34
LoL: The Bandits vs mCon esports (BO5) - Road Of Legends Playoffsbacked mCon esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$136.7
LoL: FlyQuest vs Sentinels (BO5) - LCS Playoffsbacked Sentinels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$110.22
LoL: Barcząca Esports vs BOMBA Team (BO5) - Rift Legends Playoffsbacked Barcząca Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$63.02
LoL: Once Upon A Team vs mCon esports (BO5) - Road Of Legends Playoffsbacked Once Upon A Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.02
LoL: Galions vs TLN Pirates (BO5) - LFL Playoffsbacked TLN Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$92.9
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.3
LoL: Dplus KIA vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.45
LoL: JD Gaming vs Weibo Gaming (BO5) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Phase 2backed JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$1,200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+150%+$1,800
Showing 25 of 54 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT4957.1%28 W · 21 L+5.2wins+0.11per pick47cpaid+26.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
CS2 — the 49 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Infinite vs SPARTA (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #5 Playoffsbacked SPARTA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$151Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$100.4
Counter-Strike: NIP vs K27 (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 3 Playoffsbacked NIP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$10.56
Counter-Strike: Luminosity vs Lynn Vision (BO1) - XSE Pro League Group Stagebacked Lynn Vision · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+150%+$21
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$58.58
Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Playoffsbacked Virtus.pro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$126Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$103.12
Counter-Strike: ECHO vs KOLESIE (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 3: Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked ECHO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$18.7
Counter-Strike: FlyQuest vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed paiN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$9.45
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs GamerLegion (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.33
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs FlyQuest (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$124Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$124
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Heroic (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.09
Counter-Strike: Betclic Apogee Esports vs KOLESIE (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 3 Playoffsbacked Betclic Apogee Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$109Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$79.09
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs THUNDER dOWNUNDER (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed MIBR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$358Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$357.85
Counter-Strike: 9z vs Sharks (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2 Playoffsbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$350Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$650
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs NIP (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2 Playoffsbacked Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$310Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$310
Counter-Strike: Rebels Gaming vs ASTRAL (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 3 Group Stagebacked ASTRAL · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$163.55
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Legacy (BO5) - CS Asia Championships Playoffsbacked Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+300%+$67.5
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Liquid (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group Bbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$434Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$452.14
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs GenOne (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 2 Group Stagebacked GenOne · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$161Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$90.36
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group Bbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$320Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$320
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs PARIVISION (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group Bbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.95
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Liquid (BO1) - CS Asia Championships Group Bbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$473Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$266.04
Counter-Strike: Ursa vs Lazer Cats (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 2 Group Stagebacked Ursa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$380Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$380.29
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Spirit (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffsbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$960Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$959.99
Counter-Strike: HOTU vs Walczaki (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 1 Playoffsbacked Walczaki · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$242Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+316.7%+$765.97
Counter-Strike: Betclic Apogee Esports vs TNC (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 1 Playoffsbacked Betclic Apogee Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$122.99
Showing 25 of 49 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jul 22, 2026, EDT4944.9%22 W · 27 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 49 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Universitatea Craiova CS win on 2026-07-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.19
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$2,100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$592.31
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$3,170Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$1,358.57
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$124Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$123.8
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$129.72
Will FC Bayern München vs. Atalanta BC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$81.94
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-03-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$43.65
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-03-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$1,385Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,384.84
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-03-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$943Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+37%+$349.14
Will Sporting CP win on 2026-03-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$865Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$407.04
Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$39.01
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-03-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$1,770Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,769.59
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-02-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+76.9%+$59.73
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+127.3%+$96.15
Galatasaray SK vs. Juventus FC: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+525%+$63
Will SK Slavia Praha win on 2026-01-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$196Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+61.3%+$120.08
Will Páfos FC vs. SK Slavia Praha end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$61.61
Will Páfos FC win on 2026-01-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$595Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+157.4%+$936.28
Will Eintracht Frankfurt vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$75.57
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-01-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$48.5
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$291Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$291.2
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$134Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$133.9
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$232Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$231.82
Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-12-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$41.9
Will Sporting CP win on 2025-11-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$330Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+51.5%+$170
Showing 25 of 49 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 18, 2026, EDT4158.5%24 W · 17 L+2.4wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 41 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs PARIVISION (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.77
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$16.48
Dota 2: Rune Eaters vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - Esports World Cup Survivalbacked Virtus.pro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.32
Team Yandex to win 2-0?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+113.6%+$58.28
1win to win 2-0?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.84
PARIVISION to win 2-0?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+72%+$51.17
Vici Gaming to win 2-0?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+100%+$33.7
Aurora to win 2-0?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+121.4%+$78.4
Rune Eaters to win 2-0?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.21
GamerLegion to win 2-0?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.91
BetBoom Team to win 2-0?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$88.51
LGD Gaming to win 2-0?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.2
Team Yandex to win 2-0?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+58.9%+$15.65
MOUZ to win 2-0?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.52
Team Liquid to win 2-0?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.95
Nigma Galaxy vs Team Liquid: Draw (1-1)?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$7.56
PlayTime to win 2-0?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$13.87
Aurora to win 2-0?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$19.6
Team Falcons to win 2-0?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+68.8%+$24.29
Xtreme Gaming to win 2-0?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.24
1win to win 2-0?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$94.96
Virtus.pro to win 2-0?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.25
LGD Gaming to win 2-0?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+100%+$104.5
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs LGD Gaming (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$121Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+75.8%+$91.37
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Liquid (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$64.93
Showing 25 of 41 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 19, 2026, EST3943.6%17 W · 22 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 39 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rams vs. Bearsbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$23
49ers vs. Seahawksbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$35.03
Texans vs. Steelersbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+69.5%+$31.16
Bills vs. Jaguarsbacked Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$35.64
Packers vs. Bearsbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+105%+$80.94
Ravens vs. Steelersbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+182.6%+$80.71
Seahawks vs. 49ersbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$105.13
Panthers vs. Buccaneersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$53.44
Lions vs. Vikingsbacked Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+300%+$30
Jaguars vs. Broncosbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$133Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$133
Buccaneers vs. Panthersbacked Buccaneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$73.84
Packers vs. Bearsbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$83
Rams vs. Seahawksbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$108.24
Dolphins vs. Steelersbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST+61.3%+$20.14
Lions vs. Ramsbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$65.28
Packers vs. Broncosbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+117.4%+$126.9
Chargers vs. Chiefsbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+233.3%+$100.45
Bears vs. Packersbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$56.11
Texans vs. Coltsbacked Colts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$64.38
Chiefs vs. Cowboysbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$174Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$174.08
Falcons vs. Saintsbacked Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$107Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+127.3%+$136.08
Colts vs. Chiefsbacked Colts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$25.97
Colts vs. Steelersbacked Colts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$35.52
49ers vs. Texansbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$199Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$198.62
Vikings vs. Chargersbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$174Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$106.78
Showing 25 of 39 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Jul 23, 2026, EDT3240.6%13 W · 19 L-2.5wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-28.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 32 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will HŠK Zrinjski Mostar win on 2026-07-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$73.57
Will FC Koper win on 2026-07-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$115.64
Will AFC Ajax win on 2026-07-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$78.39
Will FK Dynamo Kyiv win on 2026-07-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.49
Will MH Maccabi Tel Aviv win on 2026-07-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.4
Will SK Brann win on 2026-07-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$55.76
Will AEK Lárnakas win on 2026-07-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$29.14
Will SK Dila Gori win on 2026-07-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.99
Will FC CFR 1907 Cluj win on 2026-07-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.16
Will Hibernian FC win on 2026-07-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.98
Will ETO FC win on 2026-07-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$6.19
Will Linfield FC win on 2026-07-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.6
Spread: Aston Villa FC (-1.5)backed Aston Villa FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+203%+$34.83
Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-05-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$90.71
Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2026-04-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$4.04
Will FK Shakhtar Donetsk win on 2026-04-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$2,560Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+27.6%+$705.82
Will Nottingham Forest FC vs. FC Porto end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$32.25
Will Real Betis Balompié vs. Panathinaikós AO end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.8
Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 win on 2026-03-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$110.25
Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-03-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$249.6
Will KRC Genk win on 2026-03-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$1,340Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,340
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-03-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$739Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+31.8%+$234.49
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-03-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$545Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$590.2
Will AC Sparta Praha win on 2026-03-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$395Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$105
Will AS Omónoia Leukosías win on 2026-02-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$339Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+42.9%+$145.5
Showing 25 of 32 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jul 30, 2026, EDT1963.2%12 W · 7 L+2.2wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+11.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Valorant — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: KRÜ Esports vs G2 Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Omegabacked KRÜ Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.68
Valorant: Sentinels vs LOUD (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Omegabacked Sentinels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$14.28
Valorant: NRG vs MIBR (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Alphabacked NRG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$22.02
Valorant: Paper Rex vs T1 (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group Omegabacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+150%+$28.32
Valorant: TEC Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Group Omegabacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$12.04
Valorant: Rex Regum Qeon vs Global Esports (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group Alphabacked Global Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$20.24
Valorant: TYLOO vs FunPlus Phoenix (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Group Alphabacked TYLOO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$11.02
Valorant: Nova Esports vs JD Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Group Alphabacked Nova Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$9.61
Valorant: NRG Academy vs Shopify Rebellion Black (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 3 Playoffsbacked NRG Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.61
Valorant: M80 vs SaD Esports (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 3 Playoffsbacked SaD Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.44
Valorant: 100 Thieves vs MIBR LOS (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked 100 Thieves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$14.66
Valorant: KRÜ Esports vs NRG (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Playoffsbacked NRG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$656Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$353.14
Valorant: Team Vitality vs Team Heretics (BO5) - VCT EMEA Playoffsbacked Team Heretics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$235Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$265.54
Valorant: FUT Esports vs Team Heretics (BO5) - VCT EMEA Playoffsbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$67.37
Valorant: FUT Esports vs Team Vitality (BO3) - VCT EMEA Playoffsbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.4
Valorant: T1 vs Paper Rex (BO3) - VCT Pacific Playoffsbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$216Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$216.01
Valorant: Eternal Fire vs Gentle Mates (BO3) - VCT EMEA Playoffsbacked Eternal Fire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$185Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$61.62
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs XLG Gaming (BO5) - VCT China Playoffsbacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$7
Valorant: Paper Rex vs G2 Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters Santiago Playoffsbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.9
All 19 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT1855.6%10 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will ACF Fiorentina vs. FC Internazionale Milano end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$150.41
Will Parma Calcio 1913 vs. US Cremonese end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$20.73
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$455Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+47.1%+$214.18
Will US Sassuolo Calcio win on 2026-02-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$152Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$152.24
Will AC Milan win on 2026-02-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$722Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+61.3%+$442.31
Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-02-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+127.3%+$98.28
Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-02-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$151Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+42.9%+$64.59
Will AC Milan win on 2026-02-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$87Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+150%+$129.84
Will Udinese Calcio win on 2026-02-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$1,000
Will Torino FC vs. US Lecce end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$209Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+49.3%+$103.06
Will AC Milan win on 2026-01-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$33
Will AS Roma win on 2026-01-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$35
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-01-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$119Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$119
Will Como 1907 win on 2026-01-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$95.06
Will AS Roma win on 2025-11-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$370Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+35.1%+$129.99
Will Juventus win on 2025-10-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT+51.5%+$49.98
Will Atalanta win on 2025-09-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$706Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$302.4
Will Inter win on 2025-08-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$200
All 18 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved May 21, 2026, EDT1631.3%5 W · 11 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick28cpaid-20.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Cricket — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Chennai Super Kingsbacked Chennai Super Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.25
Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Lucknow Super Giantsbacked Lucknow Super Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.39
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bangalore vs Kolkata Knight Ridersbacked Kolkata Knight Riders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.6
Indian Premier League: Punjab Kings vs Delhi Capitalsbacked Punjab Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.33
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bangalore vs Mumbai Indiansbacked Royal Challengers Bangalore · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+168.1%+$166.4
Indian Premier League: Lucknow Super Giants vs Royal Challengers Bangalorebacked Lucknow Super Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$32.33
Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Royal Challengers Bengalurubacked Gujarat Titans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+57.1%+$21.62
T20 World Cup: England vs Indiabacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$16.38
T20 World Cup: South Africa vs New Zealandbacked South Africa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$14.82
T20 World Cup: India vs West Indiesbacked West Indies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$15.99
T20 World Cup: Zimbabwe vs South Africabacked Zimbabwe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$21.04
T20 World Cup: Sri Lanka vs Pakistanbacked Sri Lanka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$36.04
T20 World Cup: Australia vs Sri Lanka (Game 1)backed Sri Lanka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$210Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+294.5%+$619.13
T20 World Cup: New Zealand vs South Africa (Game 1)backed South Africa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+100%+$50.5
T20 World Cup: Canada vs South Africa (Game 1)backed Canada · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$30.14
T20 World Cup: England vs Nepal (Game 1)backed Nepal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$30.18
All 16 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT1258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.3wins+0.11per pick48cpaid-1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Getafe CF win on 2026-05-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$1,600Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,600
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.19
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$37.17
Will CA Osasuna vs. Girona FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$27.44
Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Getafe CF end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$31.04
Will Villarreal CF vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.81
Will Deportivo Alavés win on 2026-03-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$468Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+37%+$173.07
Will Levante UD win on 2025-12-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+25%+$22.2
Will Villarreal CF win on 2025-12-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+96.1%+$54.39
Will RCD Mallorca win on 2026-02-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+177.8%+$139.39
Will Girona FC win on 2026-01-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$1,067Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$1,066.83
Will Real Madrid vs. Barcelona end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$32.12
All 12 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT1163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+18.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-05-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$315Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$315.25
Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$98.94
Will FC St. Pauli 1910 win on 2026-03-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$7
Will SV Werder Bremen win on 2026-02-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$33.39
Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-02-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+96.1%+$52.77
Will 1. FC Union Berlin win on 2026-02-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+88.7%+$50.62
Will SV Werder Bremen win on 2026-01-31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$2,101Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+75.4%+$1,584.98
Will FC Augsburg win on 2026-01-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$742Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+53.8%+$399.35
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-01-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$533Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+161.1%+$859.56
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-01-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$458Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$457.84
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2025-09-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$38.78
All 11 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT944.4%4 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-21%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$73.6
Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2026-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$87.58
Will Toulouse FC vs. FC Lorient end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.68
Will Racing Club de Lens vs. Angers SCO end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.82
Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-03-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$78.65
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$1,932Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+127.7%+$2,468
Will AJ Auxerre win on 2026-03-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$180Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+26.6%+$47.91
Will Stade Brestois 29 vs. Toulouse FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+44.3%+$14.17
Will AS Monaco FC win on 2026-01-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$537Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+112.8%+$605.53
All 9 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 5, 2026, EDT933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Wimbledon WTA: Jessica Pegula vs Iva Jovicbacked Jessica Pegula · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+101.2%+$15.5
Wimbledon, Qualification ATP: Elias Ymer vs Timofey Skatovbacked Timofey Skatov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+150%+$20.6
Grass Court Championships: Donna Vekic vs Alexandra Ealabacked Donna Vekic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.84
HSBC Championships: Kamil Majchrzak vs Jiri Leheckabacked Kamil Majchrzak · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.3
Roland Garros WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Mirra Andreevabacked Marta Kostyuk · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.93
Will Aryna Sabalenka win the 2026 Women's Australian Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$10.75
Will Novak Djokovic win the 2025 ATP Shanghai Masters Men’s Singles Tournament?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT+138.1%+$28.42
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2025 US Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$56.87
Wimbledon Final – Alcaraz vs. Sinner backed Alcaraz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$167Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$166.8
All 9 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2025, EST850%4 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+59.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved May 4, 2026, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick33cpaid-5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 80m and 90m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.21
Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 90m and 100m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.73
Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$159.85
Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.94
Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+70.1%+$72.61
Will "Sinners" win exactly 4 awards at the Oscars?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$25.98
Will Sinners win Best Motion Picture – Drama at the 83rd Golden Globes?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$45.69
Will Eleven die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+170.3%+$18.9
All 8 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+13.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-33%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+25.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
College Football — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Miami vs. Indiana: O/U 47.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$128Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+96.1%+$122.5
Oklahoma vs. Tennesseebacked Oklahoma · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+127.3%+$36.96
Oklahoma vs. Texasbacked Oklahoma · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$194Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$193.87
Michigan vs. Oklahomabacked Oklahoma · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$192Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$108
Baylor vs. SMUbacked SMU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$107.16
Illinois vs. Dukebacked Illinois · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 6, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$52.89
All 6 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick53cpaid-18.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

F1 Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-39%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
F1 — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Feb 27, 2026, EST520%1 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.19per pick39cpaid-35.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Tweets — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.21per pick41cpaid-60.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT50%0 W · 5 L-2.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
Commodities — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 19, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-57.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
World Politics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick28cpaid-37.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-40.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved May 28, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.30per pick80cpaid-37.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Citrea FDV above $500M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+25.7%+$7.15
Will Monad perform an airdrop by October 31? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$23.39
All 2 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Jets vs. Predatorsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2025, EST-100%-$16.45
Flames vs. Lightningbacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2025, EST-100%-$50.76
All 2 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Boxing — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Dec 2, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Zohran Mamdani win by 20-30%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+37%+$27
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Olympics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the United States win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$28.98
All 1 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved Feb 11, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
IPO — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AGI Inc.'s market cap be between $3.25B and $3.50B at market close on IPO day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$10.88
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.05
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Donald Trump visit China in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$364Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$364.45
All 1 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Mar 23, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on March 23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.5
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.