TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Will England vs. DR Congo end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$5,291,568
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$4,883,163

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,291,568 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 2,267 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe549…2d54backed Yes18c628,010$112,762 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112,761.7315552.3%81 W · 74 L+11.0wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+15.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes28c298,902$85,075 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85,074.598,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xabb8…bba3backed Yes16c163,078$26,183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26,183.1413742.3%58 W · 79 L0.0wins0.00per pick42cpaid+3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x78c6…4710backed Yes56c150,000$84,237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84,237.271323.1%3 W · 10 L-1.5wins-0.11per pick34cpaid-50.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x447d…5eeabacked No68c140,399$96,049 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44,349.77447.3%35 W · 39 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-16.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x10a6…4d8bbacked Yes18c108,885$19,599 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,599.3464446.4%299 W · 345 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked Yes20c106,508$20,770 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,77017842.7%76 W · 102 L-0.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0cf6…0e3bbacked Yes25c93,557$23,039 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23,038.6726534%90 W · 175 L+7.3wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-9.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked No68c88,395$60,374 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28,020.251,22443.4%531 W · 693 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ee8…89debacked No43c86,606$37,083 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49,522.475942.4%25 W · 34 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes28c86,172$24,490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24,489.914,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x32b4…8b21backed No75c80,489$60,690 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,798.124441.8%102 W · 142 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3dfb…abafbacked Yes27c74,062$19,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,700.4542345.6%193 W · 230 L+10.8wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked No73c70,049$51,191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,857.2338734.4%133 W · 254 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-29.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed No72c69,507$50,191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,316.532,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed No51c62,795$32,095 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30,699.981,14439.2%448 W · 696 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5016…1eebbacked Yes10c52,527$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,0005650%28 W · 28 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x65bb…1228backed No69c45,500$31,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,000.12560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick56cpaid-19.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7095…7884backed No69c39,540$27,457 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,082.35560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick55cpaid-18.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc57f…c909backed Yes19c39,000$7,370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,3703458.8%20 W · 14 L+3.9wins+0.12per pick47cpaid+9.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x0563…f41cbacked Yes7c38,676$2,730 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,730.0815040%60 W · 90 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x108e…b771backed Yes25c32,089$7,876 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,876.015930.5%18 W · 41 L+0.1wins0.00per pick30cpaid-16%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e3f…1136backed Yes62c30,698$19,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,000728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.18per pick46cpaid-59.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8b7a…9e24backed Yes5c30,000$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50013234.1%45 W · 87 L+0.2wins0.00per pick34cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcbc6…0018backed Yes36c28,315$10,193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,193.331656.3%9 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x222b…1a8dbacked Yes29c27,147$7,830 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,829.9531945.5%145 W · 174 L-0.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-28.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x072f…ffddbacked No75c24,000$18,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,0008450%42 W · 42 L-6.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-22.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa45f…4e8dbacked No73c23,291$17,043 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,247.542846.4%13 W · 15 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-22.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes26c22,837$5,944 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,944.3179231.1%246 W · 546 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-34.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x51fc…128dbacked Yes34c19,651$6,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,6008452.4%44 W · 40 L+3.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+14.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6550…8451backed No75c18,163$13,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,56321738.7%84 W · 133 L-8.9wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-35.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x99e4…e4c4backed No68c16,112$10,956 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,155.817445.9%34 W · 40 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick50cpaid+10.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa2fc…b1b4backed Yes46c16,060$7,378 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,377.7936634.4%126 W · 240 L-24.4wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-38.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xab6a…2978backed No74c15,000$11,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,9002352.2%12 W · 11 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-11.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc289…ab37backed Yes36c13,985$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,00016947.3%80 W · 89 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4d67…ab42backed No75c13,907$10,384 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,522.872948.3%14 W · 15 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick52cpaid+1.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb715…c3bbbacked Yes7c13,403$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0004425%11 W · 33 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick26cpaid+6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x56d8…1ccebacked No43c13,102$5,669 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,432.9823540.4%95 W · 140 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes26c13,056$3,422 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,422.063,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x65b5…aa71backed No68c13,009$8,846 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,162.9640655.7%226 W · 180 L+17.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+9.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa66c…cd67backed Yes38c12,902$4,892 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,892.3718047.8%86 W · 94 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-10.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x586a…6610backed No75c12,860$9,596 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,263.61668.8%11 W · 5 L+1.6wins+0.10per pick59cpaid+49.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x000c…bcf3backed Yes26c12,630$3,314 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,314.2529916.7%50 W · 249 L-6.3wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-53.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes28c12,501$3,481 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,480.512,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1ec6…50cdbacked No75c12,000$9,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,0004544.4%20 W · 25 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7c11…48ffbacked Yes2c11,316$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26011147.7%53 W · 58 L+4.1wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc88f…d893backed Yes49c11,220$5,472 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,472.1910932.1%35 W · 74 L-9.5wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-26.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x10ff…5088backed No62c11,044$6,861 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,183.5636939.6%146 W · 223 L-12.0wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-24.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdaef…54e9backed Yes18c11,000$1,980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,98018837.2%70 W · 118 L-6.6wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-15.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0f34…7684backed Yes23c10,808$2,443 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,443.0665835%230 W · 428 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-21.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x896e…53f2backed Yes19c10,526$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00017443.1%75 W · 99 L+5.2wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+2.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xca97…49f6backed Yes19c10,526$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00013036.2%47 W · 83 L+5.3wins+0.04per pick32cpaid-14.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8b9a…5f69backed Yes0c10,493$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.81468.2%12 W · 134 L+8.4wins+0.06per pick2cpaid+90.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe0dc…c52cbacked Yes0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1030%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x753a…2e58backed Yes0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101747.1%8 W · 9 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-11.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f26…94a1backed Yes23c9,970$2,255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,255.062433.3%8 W · 16 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick34cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed Yes34c9,858$3,388 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,387.8142043.1%181 W · 239 L-7.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-32.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb187…0ab8backed Yes23c9,744$2,204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,204.367940.5%32 W · 47 L+5.2wins+0.07per pick34cpaid+6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4e55…2ef7backed No75c9,600$7,219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,381.271154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-15.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb31e…c120backed No60c8,979$5,410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,569.677269.4%50 W · 22 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick65cpaid+12.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x323a…876fbacked Yes18c8,889$1,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,60012035%42 W · 78 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb9e7…0365backed No79c8,741$6,864 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,876.74075%30 W · 10 L+2.5wins+0.06per pick69cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdd8e…4fd2backed Yes35c8,571$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0004619.6%9 W · 37 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick22cpaid-11%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xef8d…b115backed Yes16c8,428$1,359 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,358.5710224.5%25 W · 77 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick25cpaid+1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x794d…53c8backed Yes36c8,284$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0005240.4%21 W · 31 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-17.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6548…3881backed No74c8,100$5,994 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,106862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7744…fbeebacked Yes19c7,895$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5006940.6%28 W · 41 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-22%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xecb7…8ab7backed Yes36c7,743$2,787 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,787.32850%4 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.15per pick35cpaid-4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe183…62e6backed Yes56c7,717$4,323 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,3231752.9%9 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked Yes32c7,426$2,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,40065948.6%320 W · 339 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x51ea…150fbacked Yes30c7,017$2,126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,125.6319332.1%62 W · 131 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick33cpaid+2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0519…cd0bbacked Yes52c6,795$3,533 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,533.141040%4 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-33.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc769…8316backed Yes31c6,550$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0007751.9%40 W · 37 L+7.1wins+0.09per pick43cpaid+19.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb89c…b71dbacked Yes31c6,452$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0001984.2%16 W · 3 L+5.1wins+0.27per pick57cpaid+42.7%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x4818…fde0backed Yes31c6,331$1,961 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,960.5856022.7%127 W · 433 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick24cpaid+1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f88…ca10backed Yes11c6,272$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$700.055232.7%17 W · 35 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe944…650cbacked Yes21c6,260$1,289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,289.1611133.3%37 W · 74 L-4.5wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-36.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9b87…d7aabacked Yes32c6,250$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0002948.3%14 W · 15 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed No76c6,097$4,646 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,450.782,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x236a…9a00backed Yes17c5,998$1,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,019.712927.6%8 W · 21 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick25cpaid+19.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4cf…1d5abacked Yes36c5,972$2,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,1506643.9%29 W · 37 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-16.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xec56…1816backed No71c5,937$4,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,737.0584738.8%329 W · 518 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-17.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4433…9d34backed Yes28c5,882$1,676 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,675.9378835.3%278 W · 510 L+9.6wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-16.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb726…4d2bbacked Yes33c5,839$1,927 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,926.799547.4%45 W · 50 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-0.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa422…2b56backed Yes17c5,719$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0009239.1%36 W · 56 L+4.1wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+17.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x80c0…9519backed Yes27c5,556$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5005420.4%11 W · 43 L-4.5wins-0.08per pick29cpaid-23.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5915…db2bbacked Yes54c5,527$2,984 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,984.442536%9 W · 16 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-16.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x927c…6633backed No66c5,510$3,631 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,878.5710251%52 W · 50 L+7.4wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+16.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xde74…a0eabacked No65c5,385$3,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,884.62785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.16per pick69cpaid+19.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xeb73…53b0backed Yes19c5,263$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00015930.8%49 W · 110 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick30cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3520…1fa0backed Yes19c5,263$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00012334.1%42 W · 81 L+0.2wins0.00per pick34cpaid+13.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb135…f5b9backed Yes19c5,263$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0004020%8 W · 32 L-4.7wins-0.12per pick32cpaid-41.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xcce6…8fafbacked Yes28c5,228$1,464 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,463.787152.1%37 W · 34 L+5.3wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+8.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x999a…9a25backed Yes37c5,153$1,893 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,892.5724443%105 W · 139 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-29.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x18c4…bc41backed Yes34c5,144$1,747 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,746.563611.1%4 W · 32 L-4.9wins-0.14per pick25cpaid-33.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2f27…989dbacked Yes60c5,000$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0002236.4%8 W · 14 L-2.0wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-18.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8630…158bbacked Yes19c5,000$950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95010233.3%34 W · 68 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick32cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb87b…3626backed Yes6c5,000$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30024526.5%65 W · 180 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x71fb…163fbacked Yes56c4,752$2,661 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,661.26757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick55cpaid-24%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9ff5…6afbbacked Yes32c4,700$1,504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5042055%11 W · 9 L+1.8wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+11.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.