TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9ff5…6afb

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
53
Categories scored
4
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 55 out of 100; worst CS2 at 40.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2last resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT3125.8%8 W · 23 L-5.1wins-0.16per pick42cpaid-45.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
CS2 — the 31 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Spirit (BO5) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$452Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$451.94
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Legacy (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$638Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$811.44
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Spirit (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$805Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$805.45
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs FUT Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$633Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$632.57
Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs Legacy (+1.5)backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$86.68
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Team Falcons (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.16
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs MOUZ (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$406Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$406.08
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FURIA (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$328Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$327.93
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs B8 (+1.5)backed B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$531Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$531.1
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Vitality (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$425Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$425.48
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$609Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$609.12
Map Handicap: NAVI (-1.5) vs Legacy (+1.5)backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$1,282Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,282
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ (BO5) - BLAST Bounty Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$925Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$924.99
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs MOUZ (+1.5)backed Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$870Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$870
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs FaZe (+1.5)backed FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$2,957Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+116.7%+$3,449.49
Counter-Strike: paiN vs Astralis (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Playoffsbacked paiN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$1,307Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,307.49
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs TheMongolz (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Playoffsbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$929Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$929
Map Handicap: MOUZ (-1.5) vs 3DMAX (+1.5)backed 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$690Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$810
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs MOUZ (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Playoffsbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,280Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+95.3%+$1,220.09
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Liquid (+1.5)backed Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$505Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$504.7
Map Handicap: MGLZ (-1.5) vs Wildcard (+1.5)backed TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$1,938Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+151.6%+$2,938.64
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs FUT Esports (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,832Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,831.7
Map Handicap: FUT (-1.5) vs 3DMAX (+1.5)backed FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$665Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$665
Counter-Strike: NIP vs paiN (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked NIP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$557Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$557.23
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs G2 (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,611Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+94.3%+$1,519.14
Showing 25 of 31 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT2055%11 W · 9 L+1.8wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+11.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Spain (-1.5)backed Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$1,293Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,292.53
Spread: Argentina (-1.5)backed Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$1,348Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,347.75
Will England win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$993Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$992.5
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$2,987Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+67.4%+$2,013
Will France win on 2026-07-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$3,600Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+65.3%+$2,350.25
Will Switzerland vs. Colombia end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$257Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$256.5
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$1,920Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+150%+$2,880
Spread: Argentina (-1.5)backed Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$720Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$720
Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,946Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$1,796.28
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$276Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$324
Spread: Spain (-1.5)backed Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$2,021Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$2,279
Will Senegal win on 2026-07-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$648Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$552
Will England win on 2026-07-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$2,393Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+83.9%+$2,007
Will England vs. DR Congo end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$1,504Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,504
Will France win on 2026-06-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$360Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$360
Will Norway win on 2026-06-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$1,400Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$1,710.5
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$4,828Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+115.4%+$5,572
Will France win on 2026-06-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$7,773Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$7,772.89
Spread: France (-1.5)backed France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$6,242Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$7,039.04
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$2,365Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,365.24
All 20 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+30.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$4,837Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+30.2%+$1,462.36
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Wimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Alexander Zverevbacked Alexander Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$720Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$720
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.