TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Map Handicap: NAVI (-1.5) vs Legacy (+1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Legacyof Natus Vincere, Legacy
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$59,821
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$60,912

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $59,821 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 119 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8e74…5972backed Legacy58c26,147$15,264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,882.584238.1%16 W · 26 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked Natus Vincere42c18,173$7,619 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,618.785,05055.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L+117.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb85…152fbacked Legacy58c6,820$3,956 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,864.416443.9%72 W · 92 L-6.6wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-6.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b97…8d30backed Legacy58c6,500$3,770 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,729.9766851.8%346 W · 322 L+8.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Natus Vincere42c4,792$2,013 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,013.162,62451.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L+18.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x44c5…8d45backed Legacy59c4,237$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,737.2819455.2%107 W · 87 L+8.9wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x99e4…e4c4backed Natus Vincere41c3,675$1,507 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,506.7422142.5%94 W · 127 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ff5…6afbbacked Natus Vincere41c3,100$1,282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2823125.8%8 W · 23 L-5.1wins-0.16per pick42cpaid-45.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xa417…9f8cbacked Natus Vincere41c2,774$1,137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,137.341030%3 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.12per pick42cpaid-44.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7786…c005backed Natus Vincere41c2,511$1,030 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,029.7122342.2%94 W · 129 L-13.0wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-15.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd202…8973backed Natus Vincere42c2,201$924 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$924.4217643.2%76 W · 100 L-6.8wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-10.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xba43…c6c0backed Legacy59c2,048$1,208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$839.583745.9%17 W · 20 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+24.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xda3a…381fbacked Legacy59c2,000$1,180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82018550.8%94 W · 91 L+6.6wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Natus Vincere40c1,857$743 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$742.6461948%297 W · 322 L-11.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d7d…df55backed Natus Vincere44c1,435$630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$630837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.22per pick60cpaid-38%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf9a4…8427backed Natus Vincere42c1,376$578 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5786848.5%33 W · 35 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x74a8…df59backed Natus Vincere41c1,219$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.6915442.2%65 W · 89 L-10.3wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-14.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x92d0…d69bbacked Natus Vincere41c1,173$481 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$481540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-20%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xedc3…f923backed Natus Vincere41c1,097$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$449.610143.6%44 W · 57 L+0.3wins0.00per pick43cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Legacy58c1,000$580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42060848%292 W · 316 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed Natus Vincere42c975.6$406 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$406.082,00953.9%1,082 W · 927 L+7.6wins0.00per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x63d4…a2f1backed Natus Vincere41c957.14$392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$392.4318254.9%100 W · 82 L+7.5wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+11.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x88db…54a4backed Natus Vincere41c902.44$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3705242.3%22 W · 30 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe8c4…395dbacked Legacy59c824$486 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$337.845567.3%37 W · 18 L+7.0wins+0.13per pick55cpaid+25.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x1025…7e11backed Legacy59c800$472 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32855941%229 W · 330 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd5f5…2d72backed Natus Vincere41c683.12$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$280.081533.3%5 W · 10 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-21.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7c70…9a6cbacked Natus Vincere42c630.95$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2655137.3%19 W · 32 L-4.7wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-20.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xbe6c…a2c3backed Legacy59c549$324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.092552%13 W · 12 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick48cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4fbf…4605backed Natus Vincere40c540$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2166747.8%32 W · 35 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+13%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xaf9f…f6a3backed Legacy60c500.5$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.229851.3%153 W · 145 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Natus Vincere41c500$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20539548.6%192 W · 203 L+4.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0e50…2609backed Natus Vincere41c445.39$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.7659755.4%331 W · 266 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2140…0e12backed Natus Vincere41c434.77$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.2655039.6%218 W · 332 L-20.7wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-11.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf36e…f91cbacked Natus Vincere42c400$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16829839.3%117 W · 181 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1065…6218backed Natus Vincere42c389.76$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.748240%193 W · 289 L+8.7wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc444…416cbacked Legacy59c330.51$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.5114454.9%79 W · 65 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+8.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d40…ec52backed Legacy60c300$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12038954.5%212 W · 177 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba50…ad0bbacked Legacy60c300$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12076748%368 W · 399 L-21.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf6ee…0e41backed Natus Vincere42c300$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1261,03839.9%414 W · 624 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f5b…2501backed Natus Vincere42c300$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1263246.9%15 W · 17 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x56bf…0852backed Natus Vincere41c260.98$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1072045%9 W · 11 L+1.6wins+0.08per pick37cpaid+28.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3c3e…5329backed Natus Vincere42c250$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1057354.8%40 W · 33 L+7.0wins+0.10per pick45cpaid+27.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3911…30f3backed Natus Vincere42c236.05$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.1426251.1%134 W · 128 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Natus Vincere38c199.68$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.42,62247.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L-33.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3865…fcbebacked Legacy59c177.61$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.327967.1%53 W · 26 L+10.5wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+24.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x83c4…3212backed Legacy59c169.49$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.4931761.2%194 W · 123 L+22.1wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+11.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x95c2…421bbacked Legacy59c169.49$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.497057.1%40 W · 30 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbbb4…0060backed Legacy59c169.49$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.4917251.2%88 W · 84 L+13.3wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+13.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xf247…d8cabacked Legacy60c166.66$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.668148.1%39 W · 42 L+0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-9.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6919…da67backed Legacy59c144.07$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.0738754.8%212 W · 175 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1bac…d241backed Natus Vincere41c133.28$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.6440639.4%160 W · 246 L-1.8wins0.00per pick40cpaid-8.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3da2…22b6backed Natus Vincere42c128.74$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.0738945.8%178 W · 211 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-0.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfcfe…d420backed Legacy69c128.52$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.4768753.9%370 W · 317 L-21.6wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe41c…afabbacked Legacy59c127.12$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.1249651.2%254 W · 242 L+0.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbc59…35f7backed Natus Vincere41c121.95$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506942%29 W · 40 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf908…0aafbacked Natus Vincere41c121.95$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5013332.3%43 W · 90 L-8.4wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-19.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb1ec…9c6dbacked Natus Vincere42c119.05$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507255.6%40 W · 32 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4527…12f5backed Natus Vincere42c102.38$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$431233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-31%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0612…559abacked Legacy59c100$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4113556.3%76 W · 59 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf7a…3de0backed Legacy59c100$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$416847.1%32 W · 36 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c9e…fbfdbacked Natus Vincere42c100$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4254543.5%237 W · 308 L-8.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x66da…69b0backed Natus Vincere42c100$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4228042.5%119 W · 161 L-7.5wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5f43…3a74backed Natus Vincere41c100$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4165946.6%307 W · 352 L+12.5wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f41…260ebacked Natus Vincere41c99.99$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.9916550.3%83 W · 82 L-5.7wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-11.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8d19…e27cbacked Natus Vincere14c99.45$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.788159.3%48 W · 33 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+0.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5633…59bcbacked Legacy60c99$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.62839.3%11 W · 17 L-4.0wins-0.14per pick53cpaid-16.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7ad3…1af6backed Natus Vincere41c97.56$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$405341.5%22 W · 31 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf66e…b046backed Legacy59c92.5$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.52100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+80.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Natus Vincere41c92.34$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.1548948.9%239 W · 250 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb54c…7f56backed Natus Vincere42c88.67$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.246155.7%34 W · 27 L+0.1wins0.00per pick56cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x91c5…c7bbbacked Legacy59c84.75$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.755066%33 W · 17 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa917…4e8dbacked Legacy60c83$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.28949.4%44 W · 45 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x81a9…df08backed Legacy59c79$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.392661.5%16 W · 10 L+2.1wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+16.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2892…e9d7backed Legacy59c75$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3132554.8%178 W · 147 L+9.0wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfb42…176ebacked Natus Vincere41c73.17$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303844.7%17 W · 21 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa35e…0440backed Natus Vincere41c73.17$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3010743.9%47 W · 60 L-0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfced…6116backed Natus Vincere42c71.43$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3010640.6%43 W · 63 L-6.4wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-17.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa1ab…1bbdbacked Legacy60c71.33$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.531163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+10%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbc06…7f72backed Natus Vincere42c68.43$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.743438.2%13 W · 21 L-3.2wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-32%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x07fa…f5cdbacked Legacy59c62.99$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.834736.2%17 W · 30 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-21.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8059…5addbacked Legacy60c62.78$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.118662.8%54 W · 32 L+11.6wins+0.13per pick49cpaid+18.7%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0x074e…8256backed Natus Vincere41c60$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f3e…7befbacked Legacy59c51$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.9118950.8%96 W · 93 L-5.9wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x05ff…3c5fbacked Legacy60c51$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd8fe…ba40backed Natus Vincere42c50$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2122060.9%134 W · 86 L+16.0wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+12.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x089c…33dabacked Natus Vincere41c50$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.522455.8%125 W · 99 L+6.7wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+2.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2889…edcfbacked Legacy59c50$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.53145.2%14 W · 17 L-3.0wins-0.10per pick55cpaid-18.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x78fb…56bcbacked Natus Vincere41c48.78$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202240.9%9 W · 13 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x62cd…7b19backed Natus Vincere41c48.78$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204746.8%22 W · 25 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5fcc…77efbacked Natus Vincere41c48.78$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203046.7%14 W · 16 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+25.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x183b…b6e9backed Natus Vincere42c48.17$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.2332054.4%174 W · 146 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d1f…1e14backed Natus Vincere42c48.17$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.2319453.6%104 W · 90 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe0a…b267backed Natus Vincere43c47.87$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.468658.1%50 W · 36 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd355…e402backed Natus Vincere42c46.24$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.421145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-19.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9a51…bf4cbacked Legacy60c39.65$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.864045%18 W · 22 L-2.8wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-14.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0789…f7adbacked Natus Vincere41c36.59$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152236.4%8 W · 14 L-2.8wins-0.13per pick49cpaid-22.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1941…48e0backed Natus Vincere42c35.71$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1511341.6%47 W · 66 L+0.4wins0.00per pick41cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1713…dd76backed Legacy60c34$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3c32…7156backed Legacy60c34$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.627554.9%151 W · 124 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x14a9…0f04backed Legacy59c34$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.94771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.11per pick61cpaid+16.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.