TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xd5f5…2d72

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
35
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Dota2, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Dota2 at 55 out of 100; worst NHL at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2last resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT1533.3%5 W · 10 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-21.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$280Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+108.4%+$303.72
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$280Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$280.08
Map Handicap: NAVI (-1.5) vs Legacy (+1.5)backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$280Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$280.08
Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs TheMongolz (+1.5)backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$276Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$287.73
Map Handicap: FURIA (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5)backed FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$104.38
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Astralis (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$290Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$290.19
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs magic - Map 1 Winnerbacked magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$286Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$395.42
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Heroic (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 3 Playoffsbacked 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.5
Map Handicap: TYLOO (-1.5) vs Lynn Vision (+1.5)backed TYLOO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$129Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$128.98
Counter-Strike: Voca vs NuTorious - Map 2 Winnerbacked NuTorious · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.19
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$204Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$332.52
Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs Tricked (BO3) - BC Game Masters Europe Series #2 Playoffsbacked Tricked · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$177Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$176.63
Map Handicap: GLS (-1.5) vs paiN Academy (+1.5)backed paiN Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.96
Counter-Strike: Phantom vs Ursa (BO3) - European Pro League Series 6 Playoffsbacked Phantom · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$116Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$188.65
Counter-Strike: bankaPEPSI vs CYBERSHOKE Prospects (BO3) - CCT Europe Contenders #3 Playoffsbacked CYBERSHOKE Prospects · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.63
All 15 picks, newest first.
Dota2last resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.22per pick35cpaid+45.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 9, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-41.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Set Handicap: Halys (-1.5) vs Shimabukuro (+1.5)backed Shimabukuro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$32.28
Madrid: Joel Schwaerzler vs Roman Safiullinbacked Roman Safiullin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$157Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$156.89
Cilic vs. Zverev: Match O/U 21.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$72.86
All 3 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jun 9, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Lol — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$535Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$535.19
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 3 Winnerbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$239Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$269.51
All 2 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 10, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-32.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dyson Daniels: Assists O/U 6.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$34.49
Magic vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+35.1%+$36.73
All 2 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 26, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+150%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Kyren Williams: Rushing Yards O/U 54.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+150%+$15.45
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+84.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Fancy United vs Motiv Esports (BO3) - VCL Southeast Asia: Playoffsbacked Motiv Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$252Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+84.5%+$212.71
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lionel Messi: 1+ goalsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$17.81
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Jul 9, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Qarabağ Ağdam FK (-2.5)backed ÍF Vestri · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$129.96
All 1 picks, newest first.
WNBAlast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
WNBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-13.5)backed Las Vegas Aces · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$131Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$130.97
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 27, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bruins vs. Rangers: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$75.01
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.