Tennis · resolved market
Cilic vs. Zverev: Match O/U 21.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6c4daac09c81f40911f68656aedd981d663dbd1c82b46534ef17418c152d6f3e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,161
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,161 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Over | 55c | 756.7$413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.31 | 7,753 | 47.8%3,703 W · 4,050 L | +39.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d0…a1c5backed Under | 45c | 528.2$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 1,579 | 39.8%629 W · 950 L | -34.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa373…b6dcbacked Under | 45c | 440.7$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 543 | 48.1%261 W · 282 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26fb…67b8backed Under | 74c | 363.36$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.32 | 651 | 57.1%372 W · 279 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87e8…5e6ebacked Over | 60c | 335.33$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.33 | 419 | 55.8%234 W · 185 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 40c | 243.2$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.3 | 1,809 | 43.8%793 W · 1,016 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Under | 42c | 230.76$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.92 | 3,884 | 35%1,358 W · 2,526 L | +92.8wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 45c | 221.05$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.48 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f5…2d72backed Under | 43c | 169.45$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.86 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1248…8db1backed Over | 57c | 147.1$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.74 | 255 | 46.3%118 W · 137 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71f9…16fbbacked Over | 57c | 133.28$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.31 | 88 | 55.7%49 W · 39 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Under | 42c | 124.35$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.07 | 288 | 35.1%101 W · 187 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe52e…ac6dbacked Over | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.05 | 170 | 51.8%88 W · 82 L | +10.3wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb3c…b4f5backed Over | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.05 | 127 | 39.4%50 W · 77 L | -8.0wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe11c…c7f7backed Under | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 78 | 52.6%41 W · 37 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 57c | 115$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.92 | 7,183 | 49.7%3,568 W · 3,615 L | +112.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf292…1cc7backed Over | 45c | 102.22$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.22 | 359 | 44.8%161 W · 198 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4738…4687backed Under | 50c | 86.2$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 373 | 51.2%191 W · 182 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bd…6cecbacked Under | 42c | 49.45$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.77 | 232 | 48.3%112 W · 120 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 59c | 40.25$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.69 | 9,374 | 44.3%4,154 W · 5,220 L | -244.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Under | 41c | 36.95$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.15 | 92 | 44.6%41 W · 51 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddf5…aaa3backed Under | 43c | 34.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 692 | 53.3%369 W · 323 L | -10.4wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1872…bcabbacked Over | 58c | 34.47$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 86 | 58.1%50 W · 36 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Under | 43c | 34$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.62 | 2,440 | 51.7%1,261 W · 1,179 L | +9.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56cd…2ddcbacked Under | 45c | 28.89$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 232 | 49.1%114 W · 118 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x794c…fa17backed Over | 60c | 18.75$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.55 | 150 | 70%105 W · 45 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 70cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cilic vs. Zverev: Match O/U 21.5this page
- Cilic vs. Zverev: Match O/U 22.5Over won
- Cilic vs. Zverev: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Under won
- Marin Cilic vs. Alexander Zverev: Total Sets O/U 2.5Over 2.5 won
- Miami Open: Marin Cilic vs Alexander ZverevAlexander Zverev won
- Set 1 Winner: Cilic vs ZverevZverev won
- Set Handicap: Zverev (-1.5) vs Cilic (+1.5)Cilic won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.