Tennis · resolved market
Set Handicap: Zverev (-1.5) vs Cilic (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x60ea01c131a3a600c4327a6da6a5454c9ce866a051e9de5b493bb95165c108f4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cilicof Zverev, Cilic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,776
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,776 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Cilic | 14c | 924.73$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$794.03 | 9,374 | 44.3%4,154 W · 5,220 L | -244.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbca1…dd13backed Cilic | 54c | 844.28$458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.58 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Cilic | 36c | 423.07$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.99 | 3,884 | 35%1,358 W · 2,526 L | +92.8wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Zverev | 64c | 410.7$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.58 | 7,753 | 47.8%3,703 W · 4,050 L | +39.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Cilic | 15c | 403.97$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.75 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc444…20dabacked Cilic | 32c | 199.99$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.99 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e94…47c8backed Cilic | 35c | 145.61$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.47 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked Zverev | 64c | 133$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.12 | 556 | 60.3%335 W · 221 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…9a01backed Cilic | 38c | 98.95$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.85 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x978f…e14dbacked Cilic | 17c | 94.43$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.43 | 208 | 41.8%87 W · 121 L | -26.2wins | -0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x759c…05e2backed Zverev | 65c | 92.31$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 196 | 49%96 W · 100 L | -15.3wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Cilic | 29c | 90$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.6 | 572 | 52.3%299 W · 273 L | +17.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe649…4e37backed Cilic | 37c | 78$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.14 | 1,414 | 41.1%581 W · 833 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4738…4687backed Zverev | 69c | 72.9$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 373 | 51.2%191 W · 182 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1118…6f82backed Zverev | 68c | 72.88$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.56 | 37 | 67.6%25 W · 12 L | +4.4wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Cilic | 34c | 65.53$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.25 | 4,082 | 39.7%1,622 W · 2,460 L | +93.1wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94a5…4eb8backed Zverev | 65c | 60$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 245 | 47.8%117 W · 128 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2dd…2297backed Zverev | 66c | 45.45$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 73 | 54.8%40 W · 33 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4035…5e54backed Cilic | 34c | 44.12$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.12 | 92 | 48.9%45 W · 47 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07bc…853bbacked Zverev | 68c | 38.84$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13eb…17ccbacked Zverev | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -4.7wins | -0.28per pick | 57cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2c97…c20bbacked Zverev | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 158 | 37.3%59 W · 99 L | -19.6wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc60b…d9f7backed Zverev | 66c | 30.53$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 358 | 39.4%141 W · 217 L | -16.5wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Zverev | 61c | 25.64$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.64 | 7,183 | 49.7%3,568 W · 3,615 L | +112.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb21b…c396backed Zverev | 63c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 53 | 77.4%41 W · 12 L | +7.5wins | +0.14per pick | 63cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8bc2…4c80backed Cilic | 56c | 17.91$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.79 | 464 | 73.3%340 W · 124 L | +27.0wins | +0.06per pick | 67cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set Handicap: Zverev (-1.5) vs Cilic (+1.5)this page
- Cilic vs. Zverev: Match O/U 21.5Over won
- Cilic vs. Zverev: Match O/U 22.5Over won
- Cilic vs. Zverev: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Under won
- Marin Cilic vs. Alexander Zverev: Total Sets O/U 2.5Over 2.5 won
- Miami Open: Marin Cilic vs Alexander ZverevAlexander Zverev won
- Set 1 Winner: Cilic vs ZverevZverev won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.