TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xbca1…dd13

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
134
Categories scored
17
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: Champions League, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Champions League at 55 out of 100; worst NBA at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT4645.7%21 W · 25 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 46 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Nottingham Open: Anna Blinkova vs Taylah Prestonbacked Anna Blinkova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$4,070Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,070.12
Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverevbacked Flavio Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$2,032Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,031.59
Roland Garros WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Mirra Andreevabacked Marta Kostyuk · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$21,130Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$21,129.77
Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Berrettini vs Matteo Arnaldibacked Matteo Arnaldi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10,100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+98%+$9,899.95
Roland Garros ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Flavio Cobollibacked Flavio Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$12,650Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$14,849.99
Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Joao Fonsecabacked Joao Fonseca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$4,076Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,076.13
Roland Garros WTA: Elina Svitolina vs Marta Kostyukbacked Marta Kostyuk · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$9,280Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+94%+$8,720
Set Handicap: Andreeva (-1.5) vs Cirstea (+1.5)backed Cirstea · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$82.68
Roland Garros ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Matteo Arnaldibacked Frances Tiafoe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$7,105Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$7,104.95
Roland Garros ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Alejandro Tabilobacked Alejandro Tabilo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$1,250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,250
Roland Garros ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Pablo Carreno Bustabacked Rafael Jodar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$4,760Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$9,239.98
Roland Garros WTA: Elina Svitolina vs Belinda Bencicbacked Elina Svitolina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$4,940Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$4,560
Little Rock: Johannus Monday vs Aidan Mayobacked Aidan Mayo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$4,534Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+132.8%+$6,022.94
Roland Garros ATP: Casper Ruud vs Roman Safiullinbacked Roman Safiullin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$9,429Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$9,429.46
Hamburg European Open: Ignacio Buse vs Tommy Paulbacked Tommy Paul · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$4,015Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,014.97
Madrid Open: Leylah Fernandez vs Iva Jovicbacked Iva Jovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$10,915Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$10,914.98
Madrid Open: Rafael Jodar vs Alex de Minaurbacked Alex de Minaur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$4,998Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,997.88
BMW Open: Denis Shapovalov vs Fabian Marozsanbacked Fabian Marozsan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$14,706Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$14,705.9
Porsche Tennis Grand Prix: Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Linda Noskovabacked Linda Noskova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,393Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$1,139.39
BMW Open: Daniel Altmaier vs Alex Molcanbacked Alex Molcan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$6,655Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+149.2%+$9,931.97
Wuning 2: Keegan Smith vs Li Tubacked Li Tu · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$8,362Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+83.4%+$6,973.24
Barcelona Open: Martin Landaluce vs Lorenzo Musettibacked Lorenzo Musetti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$1,487Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$395.16
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Carlos Alcaraz vs Jannik Sinnerbacked Jannik Sinner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$27,197Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$25,104.47
Sarasota: Nishesh Basavareddy vs Stefan Dostanicbacked Nishesh Basavareddy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15,958Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$15,958.23
Sarasota: Daniil Glinka vs Andres Andradebacked Daniil Glinka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$447Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$446.85
Showing 25 of 46 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT1747.1%8 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick53cpaid+1.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rangers vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$30,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$30,500
Lightning vs. Canadiensbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15,600Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$15,600
Hurricanes vs. Senatorsbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$18,550Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$18,550
Kraken vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$520Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$520
Lightning vs. Sabresbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$2,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,999.91
Lightning vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$159,973Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$159,973
Capitals vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$39,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+53.8%+$20,999.98
Senators vs. Red Wingsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$48,600Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+85.2%+$41,400
Hurricanes vs. Devilsbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$53,278Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+82.2%+$43,819.74
Canadiens vs. Sabresbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$29,916Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$29,915.89
Penguins vs. Bruinsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$5,200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$5,199.99
Hurricanes vs. Devilsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$14,400Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$14,399.99
Avalanche vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20,528Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+122.2%+$25,092.71
Penguins vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$4,200Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+376.2%+$15,799.94
Lightning vs. Kingsbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$149,999Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+100.3%+$150,515.37
Jets vs. Red Wingsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$13,198Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+51.5%+$6,802.17
Lightning vs. Ducksbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$31,713Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+50.3%+$15,949.02
All 17 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 17, 2026, EDT1361.5%8 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+10.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will England win on 2026-06-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$10,098Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$10,098.45
Will Japan win on 2026-06-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$4,471Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+34.7%+$1,549.32
Spread: Germany (-1.5)backed Germany · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$7,524Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$2,508.3
Spread: Germany (-2.5)backed Germany · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$2,650Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$2,350
Spread: Germany (-3.5)backed Germany · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$10,020Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$6,680
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$2,001Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$2,349
Will Italy win on 2026-06-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$9,869Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$9,868.83
Will Italy win on 2026-03-31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$2,585Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$4,402.15
Will Colombia win on 2026-03-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$5,200Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$4,800
Will Tanzania win on 2025-12-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will Comoros win on 2025-12-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$110
Will Angola win on 2025-12-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$22,897Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$22,897
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2025-12-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$70,390Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST+33.8%+$23,817.11
All 13 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST1233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.9wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-40.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bucks vs. Hawksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$22,580Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+103.7%+$23,420
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$19,900Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$19,899.99
Magic vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$27.19
Warriors vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$5,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$5,000
Nuggets vs. Magic: O/U 236.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$78,322Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$78,321.59
Nuggets vs. Magic: O/U 235.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$299.76
Mavericks vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$11,800Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+26.2%+$3,094.83
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$24,236Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+100%+$24,236
Spread: Knicks (-4.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$40,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$40,000
Spread: Raptors (-7.5)backed Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$7,291Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$7,291.18
Spread: Timberwolves (-6.5)backed Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$5,000Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+88.7%+$4,433.96
Celtics vs. Timberwolvesbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$10,000
All 12 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT966.7%6 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick68cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)backed Crystal Palace FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$4,579Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$1,446.15
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$8,333Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$8,332.54
Chelsea FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$21,186Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+41.1%+$8,704.53
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-01-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$99,900Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$99,899.95
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$141,418Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$141,418.26
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2025-12-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$13,439Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+25.1%+$3,369.94
Will Manchester United FC win on 2025-12-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$94,177Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST+38%+$35,822.53
Spread: Liverpool FC (-1.5)backed Tottenham Hotspur FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$50,000Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+28.6%+$14,312.38
Crystal Palace FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$18,000Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+91.6%+$16,480.22
All 9 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Jun 7, 2026, EDT771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick70cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Jun 7, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-36.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Saski Baskonia vs. Joventutbacked Saski Baskonia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$4,880Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,879.95
CB Breogan Lugo vs. Basket Zaragozabacked Basket Zaragoza · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$5,400Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$4,599.99
Olympiacos B.C. vs. Real Madridbacked Real Madrid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,457Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,457.04
Valencia vs. Real Madridbacked Real Madrid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$9,989Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+94.3%+$9,420.18
Olimpia Milano vs. Anadolu Efesbacked Anadolu Efes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$5,695Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$5,695.14
Fenerbahce vs. Olympiacos B.C.backed Olympiacos B.C. · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10,050Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$10,049.99
All 6 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick68cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 15, 2026, EDT4100%4 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+45.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 19, 2026, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Olympics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Women's Final - USA vs. Canadabacked USA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$10,000Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+25%+$2,500
Men's Quarterfinals - USA vs. Swedenbacked USA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$8,807Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+38.9%+$3,424.96
Women's Group A - Canada vs. USAbacked USA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$5,100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+47.1%+$2,400
All 3 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-58.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved Jan 22, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Al Hilal Saudi Club win on 2026-01-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$65,900Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+36.6%+$24,100
Will Al Ittihad Saudi Club win on 2026-01-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$14,400Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+38.9%+$5,599.98
All 2 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jan 16, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sporting CP win on 2026-01-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$59,740Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+32.4%+$19,369.8
Will Aberdeen FC vs. Dundee United FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$437Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+35.1%+$153.68
All 2 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Apr 9, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick73cpaid-27.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-04-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$3,466Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$1,557.17
Will NK Celje win on 2025-12-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$51,966Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$51,965.53
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Nov 29, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Olympique de Marseille vs. Toulouse FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$3,950Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+78.6%+$3,103.57
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Nov 29, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Detroit Titans vs. Niagara Purple Eaglesbacked Niagara Purple Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$14,050Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$14,050
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 7, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Los Angeles Angels vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$6,975Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$6,975.47
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.