Spread: Germany (-1.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0aa9ef2c2a58419b2bd177257696b159c55bbe9224af6b8c4d016518da23f66d

Rebuilt 2 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Germanyof Germany, Curaçao
Resolved: Jun 14, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $556,645
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $665,604

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $556,645 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 115 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x2a69…d2f7backed Curaçao	14c	120,655$16,902 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16,902.28	3,992	24.9%994 W · 2,998 L	-47.0wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Curaçao	14c	87,705$12,592 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12,592.4	4,595	40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L	-91.3wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Curaçao	13c	10,707$1,405 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,404.7	1,560	43.8%684 W · 876 L	-4.4wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbca1…dd13backed Germany	75c	10,032$7,524 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,508.3	13	61.5%8 W · 5 L	+0.9wins	+0.07per pick	55cpaid	+10.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2165…f598backed Curaçao	14c	9,046$1,266 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,266.39	207	24.6%51 W · 156 L	-1.4wins	-0.01per pick	25cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6dfb…f1b7backed Curaçao	1c	5,426$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$71.59	782	34.3%268 W · 514 L	-11.2wins	-0.01per pick	36cpaid	-20.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd5e…9d93backed Curaçao	2c	5,250$105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$105	50	62%31 W · 19 L	+10.7wins	+0.21per pick	41cpaid	+73.1%equal weight	66+0.14 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Curaçao	13c	4,518$588 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$588.01	1,873	48.4%906 W · 967 L	+14.4wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Curaçao	14c	4,507$636 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$636.28	1,686	20.6%347 W · 1,339 L	-28.4wins	-0.02per pick	22cpaid	-16.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3e68…fcb9backed Curaçao	2c	3,855$77 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$77	47	61.7%29 W · 18 L	+9.7wins	+0.21per pick	41cpaid	+116.3%equal weight	65+0.14 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed Curaçao	12c	3,063$356 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$355.98	218	36.2%79 W · 139 L	-19.0wins	-0.09per pick	45cpaid	-14.4%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7fe8…06c9backed Curaçao	17c	2,875$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.6wins	-0.20per pick	20cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf387…61c0backed Curaçao	9c	2,856$257 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$257.25	349	64.5%225 W · 124 L	+73.5wins	+0.21per pick	43cpaid	+123.1%equal weight	72+0.20 edge/pick
0xa9a6…4fcfbacked Germany	76c	2,650$2,014 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$635.92	69	58%40 W · 29 L	+4.4wins	+0.06per pick	52cpaid	+4.3%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Curaçao	13c	2,573$328 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$327.95	4,457	37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L	+31.0wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Curaçao	12c	2,384$286 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$286.11	2,411	53%1,278 W · 1,133 L	+75.2wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa42f…b629backed Curaçao	2c	2,026$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45	84	53.6%45 W · 39 L	+10.8wins	+0.13per pick	41cpaid	+45.5%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Curaçao	16c	1,747$278 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$277.81	716	38.4%275 W · 441 L	+8.7wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	+12.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1c66…e371backed Curaçao	14c	1,706$236 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$235.87	847	51%432 W · 415 L	+10.5wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6bba…d7b8backed Curaçao	15c	1,672$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	45	35.6%16 W · 29 L	+4.0wins	+0.09per pick	27cpaid	+25.4%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa85b…eb0ebacked Curaçao	14c	1,670$231 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$231.19	481	52.4%252 W · 229 L	+7.9wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+6.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3968…85b5backed Curaçao	2c	1,650$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33	107	61.7%66 W · 41 L	+20.4wins	+0.19per pick	43cpaid	+66.4%equal weight	67+0.15 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Curaçao	14c	1,602$218 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$217.77	1,941	35.5%690 W · 1,251 L	-25.4wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2eae…ac27backed Germany	78c	1,281$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$281.45	6	83.3%5 W · 1 L	+2.0wins	+0.33per pick	50cpaid	+50%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Curaçao	10c	1,270$131 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$130.57	740	34.1%252 W · 488 L	-36.1wins	-0.05per pick	39cpaid	-33.1%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x354b…4744backed Curaçao	24c	1,250$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	114	43.9%50 W · 64 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbb9f…557bbacked Curaçao	12c	1,175$141 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$140.94	227	31.7%72 W · 155 L	-1.5wins	-0.01per pick	32cpaid	-23.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Curaçao	13c	1,080$140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$139.81	68	35.3%24 W · 44 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	36cpaid	-31.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4d7a…751abacked Curaçao	14c	1,003$140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$140.49	732	34.6%253 W · 479 L	-22.2wins	-0.03per pick	38cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Curaçao	12c	960$115 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$115.2	258	48.4%125 W · 133 L	+5.7wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x425e…ecfabacked Curaçao	4c	927.99$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37	113	60.2%68 W · 45 L	+22.2wins	+0.20per pick	41cpaid	+63.7%equal weight	68+0.16 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Curaçao	13c	797.35$104 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$104.19	681	41.1%280 W · 401 L	-16.0wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x10b2…4cebbacked Curaçao	13c	770.13$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	75	24%18 W · 57 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	25cpaid	-27.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c1a…5cb0backed Curaçao	26c	740$192 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$192.4	255	37.6%96 W · 159 L	-4.3wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbd93…56c0backed Germany	78c	678.52$527 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$151.86	101	57.4%58 W · 43 L	+5.3wins	+0.05per pick	52cpaid	+14.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Curaçao	16c	673.99$111 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110.94	1,702	36.7%625 W · 1,077 L	-31.2wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x62f8…f64fbacked Curaçao	15c	666.67$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	184	52.2%96 W · 88 L	+4.0wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe692…05e8backed Curaçao	16c	656.25$105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$105	82	25.6%21 W · 61 L	+3.7wins	+0.05per pick	21cpaid	+12.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf47d…2834backed Curaçao	15c	618.21$91 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90.66	21	33.3%7 W · 14 L	+1.3wins	+0.06per pick	27cpaid	+37.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Curaçao	24c	553.76$131 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$130.85	1,380	40.2%555 W · 825 L	-51.6wins	-0.04per pick	44cpaid	-23%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6876…8dc9backed Germany	79c	538.5$425 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$113.5	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.2wins	+0.21per pick	79cpaid	+26.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Curaçao	2c	520$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.85	935	42.2%395 W · 540 L	-27.8wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-17.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x09b0…a3b6backed Curaçao	6c	516.13$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32	142	60.6%86 W · 56 L	+25.7wins	+0.18per pick	42cpaid	+49.7%equal weight	67+0.15 edge/pick
0x4f1d…8de2backed Curaçao	12c	436.52$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.01	1,135	40.2%456 W · 679 L	+5.2wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Curaçao	19c	399.99$78 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$77.51	1,711	35.2%603 W · 1,108 L	-68.3wins	-0.04per pick	39cpaid	-22.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Curaçao	19c	363$67 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67.16	108	36.1%39 W · 69 L	+8.7wins	+0.08per pick	28cpaid	+32.6%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x6a3c…2db9backed Curaçao	6c	354.17$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.25	36	16.7%6 W · 30 L	+2.4wins	+0.07per pick	10cpaid	+10.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3f0b…5720backed Curaçao	15c	320$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.75	220	52.3%115 W · 105 L	+0.7wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd970…bbbabacked Curaçao	6c	241.94$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	193	56%108 W · 85 L	+34.7wins	+0.18per pick	38cpaid	+61%equal weight	68+0.16 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Curaçao	5c	240.67$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.56	1,141	46.2%527 W · 614 L	+25.3wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc670…b781backed Curaçao	15c	230.26$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.9	527	44.4%234 W · 293 L	-11.8wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Curaçao	14c	226.97$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.37	1,005	44.3%445 W · 560 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	+6.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4e92…e4fcbacked Curaçao	24c	207.29$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49	60	33.3%20 W · 40 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	33cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1d50…d283backed Curaçao	14c	206.87$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.84	475	46.1%219 W · 256 L	-15.8wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7c3d…5c6bbacked Curaçao	16c	200$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32	135	45.9%62 W · 73 L	+6.6wins	+0.05per pick	41cpaid	+11.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6993…3f71backed Curaçao	15c	200$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	224	19.6%44 W · 180 L	-8.4wins	-0.04per pick	23cpaid	-45.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xee03…6edbbacked Germany	74c	199.99$148 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52	168	54.8%92 W · 76 L	+1.1wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb3eb…fa72backed Germany	80c	196.35$157 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39.38	12	33.3%4 W · 8 L	-0.4wins	-0.04per pick	37cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ff1…e743backed Curaçao	16c	187.5$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	49	40.8%20 W · 29 L	-2.2wins	-0.04per pick	45cpaid	-13%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5821…7c51backed Curaçao	23c	181.49$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.04	384	37%142 W · 242 L	+2.8wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f6d…3070backed Curaçao	20c	180.29$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.73	34	35.3%12 W · 22 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	35cpaid	-25.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbb56…fee9backed Curaçao	17c	176.47$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	11	36.4%4 W · 7 L	+0.8wins	+0.07per pick	29cpaid	+24.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdabd…6adabacked Curaçao	18c	174.47$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.9	444	35.4%157 W · 287 L	-11.7wins	-0.03per pick	38cpaid	-20.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Curaçao	20c	173$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.94	1,252	39.2%491 W · 761 L	+6.0wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	-20.1%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x39b2…9460backed Curaçao	16c	171.66$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.03	356	19.4%69 W · 287 L	-21.4wins	-0.06per pick	25cpaid	-27.7%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x305e…b28bbacked Curaçao	24c	169.38$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	261	33.3%87 W · 174 L	-2.4wins	-0.01per pick	34cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9933…dc6cbacked Curaçao	18c	162.1$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.42	70	38.6%27 W · 43 L	+6.3wins	+0.09per pick	30cpaid	+19.3%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x0eca…c56abacked Curaçao	10c	156.62$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.42	464	45.5%211 W · 253 L	-1.5wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Curaçao	8c	153.22$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.77	2,793	46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L	-10.3wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-19.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Curaçao	13c	136.98$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.91	1,945	42.7%831 W · 1,114 L	-11.2wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	+6.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf79c…cb96backed Curaçao	14c	134.8$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.33	920	38.5%354 W · 566 L	-21.8wins	-0.02per pick	41cpaid	-10%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd5e1…59c7backed Germany	77c	129.2$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.2	23	26.1%6 W · 17 L	-3.8wins	-0.17per pick	43cpaid	-61.1%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa334…55fabacked Curaçao	16c	125$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	52	30.8%16 W · 36 L	-2.3wins	-0.04per pick	35cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Curaçao	22c	124.93$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.95	1,563	39.8%622 W · 941 L	-51.9wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x660c…af4dbacked Curaçao	14c	123.87$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.05	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.19per pick	19cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked Curaçao	9c	123.42$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.29	575	41.7%240 W · 335 L	-20.8wins	-0.04per pick	45cpaid	-21.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Curaçao	9c	123$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.07	2,533	46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L	+12.3wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x9565…ec9abacked Curaçao	17c	121.18$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.68	190	38.9%74 W · 116 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	38cpaid	+24.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed Germany	75c	114$86 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.5	431	45.2%195 W · 236 L	+6.8wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0739…aba8backed Germany	79c	113.89$90 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.32	197	42.6%84 W · 113 L	-7.2wins	-0.04per pick	46cpaid	-19.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Curaçao	14c	113.64$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.49	3,077	47%1,447 W · 1,630 L	-11.5wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc50b…1fd9backed Curaçao	14c	109.89$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	57	14%8 W · 49 L	-2.5wins	-0.04per pick	18cpaid	-46.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x09ee…90a4backed Curaçao	13c	107$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.91	294	49%144 W · 150 L	+4.0wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd990…749ebacked Germany	77c	102.8$79 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.36	37	56.8%21 W · 16 L	+2.3wins	+0.06per pick	51cpaid	-8.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0071…32dfbacked Germany	77c	102.25$79 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.52	32	53.1%17 W · 15 L	+1.6wins	+0.05per pick	48cpaid	+14.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x095e…5062backed Curaçao	15c	102$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.3	88	33%29 W · 59 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	34cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8266…82e2backed Curaçao	14c	100$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14	12	8.3%1 W · 11 L	-2.7wins	-0.22per pick	31cpaid	-84.8%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9b22…0c6fbacked Curaçao	15c	100$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	71	8.5%6 W · 65 L	-1.2wins	-0.02per pick	10cpaid	-58.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc310…0966backed Germany	80c	100$80 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20	26	61.5%16 W · 10 L	-1.7wins	-0.06per pick	68cpaid	-13.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x387a…8eaebacked Curaçao	16c	100$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16	329	28%92 W · 237 L	-5.2wins	-0.02per pick	30cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd180…c854backed Curaçao	20c	100$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.29	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-2.8wins	-0.46per pick	46cpaid	-100%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xb5c9…a4fcbacked Curaçao	16c	99.4$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.7	197	34.5%68 W · 129 L	-12.9wins	-0.07per pick	41cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8e1c…a9a5backed Curaçao	24c	98.62$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.41	395	51.1%202 W · 193 L	+1.5wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7098…da1dbacked Curaçao	15c	92.87$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.93	28	7.1%2 W · 26 L	-2.7wins	-0.10per pick	17cpaid	-34.5%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa66f…d9f2backed Germany	77c	85.71$66 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.71	10	60%6 W · 4 L	+1.1wins	+0.11per pick	49cpaid	+18.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa252…cf89backed Curaçao	24c	83.33$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	8	50%4 W · 4 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-18%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d2a…7682backed Curaçao	15c	82.5$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.55	285	45.6%130 W · 155 L	-10.3wins	-0.04per pick	49cpaid	-12.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4c04…7dcabacked Curaçao	14c	80$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.2	45	42.2%19 W · 26 L	-6.6wins	-0.15per pick	57cpaid	-40.6%equal weight	39-0.09 edge/pick
0xbe1a…03a9backed Germany	77c	77.91$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.92	102	50%51 W · 51 L	+1.4wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e81…8406backed Germany	80c	75.44$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.44	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.8wins	-0.21per pick	46cpaid	-68.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 40 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Spread: Germany (-1.5)this page
Germany vs. Curaçao: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
Germany vs. Curaçao: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
Germany vs. Curaçao: 1st Half O/U 2.5Over won
Germany vs. Curaçao: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
Germany vs. Curaçao: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
Germany vs. Curaçao: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Over won
Germany vs. Curaçao: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
Germany vs. Curaçao: Both Teams to Score in First HalfYes won
Germany vs. Curaçao: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
Germany vs. Curaçao: Curaçao 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
Germany vs. Curaçao: Curaçao 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Germany vs. Curaçao: Curaçao O/U 0.5Over won
Germany vs. Curaçao: Curaçao O/U 1.5Under won
Germany vs. Curaçao: Curaçao O/U 2.5Under won
Germany vs. Curaçao: Germany 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
Germany vs. Curaçao: Germany 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
Germany vs. Curaçao: Germany 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
Germany vs. Curaçao: Germany 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
Germany vs. Curaçao: Germany 2nd Half O/U 2.5Over won
Germany vs. Curaçao: Germany O/U 0.5Over won
Germany vs. Curaçao: Germany O/U 1.5Over won
Germany vs. Curaçao: Germany O/U 2.5Over won
Germany vs. Curaçao: Germany O/U 3.5Over won
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 0.5Over won
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 1.5Over won
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 2.5Over won
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 3.5Over won
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 4.5Over won
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 5.5Over won
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 6.5Over won
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 7.5Over won
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 8.5Under won
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 9.5Under won
Spread: Curaçao (-1.5)Germany won
Spread: Curaçao (-2.5)Germany won
Spread: Germany (-2.5)Germany won
Spread: Germany (-3.5)Germany won
Spread: Germany (-4.5)Germany won
Spread: Germany (-5.5)Germany won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: Germany (-1.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event