TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Germany vs. Curaçao: Germany O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$222,402
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$249,070

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $222,402 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 288 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under40c18,398$7,418 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,418.313,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over59c17,592$10,386 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,206.314,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Under42c16,730$7,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,100.284,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Under44c10,411$4,585 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,584.632,62641.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L-11.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2567…fc9dbacked Over64c9,301$5,921 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,380.1712349.6%61 W · 62 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-10.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6157…9fb4backed Over59c7,500$4,425 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,074.9912254.1%66 W · 56 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under38c6,429$2,445 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,444.861,94135.5%690 W · 1,251 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under36c6,346$2,277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,276.932,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Under12c5,974$707 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$707.151,53649.1%754 W · 782 L+32.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed Under41c5,880$2,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,399.5729232.9%96 W · 196 L-5.9wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-15.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8400…274cbacked Over63c5,698$3,569 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,128.734065%26 W · 14 L+2.3wins+0.06per pick59cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4496…97c0backed Over59c5,675$3,348 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,327.233268.8%22 W · 10 L+4.8wins+0.15per pick54cpaid+35.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over70c5,031$3,522 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,509.581,55952.4%817 W · 742 L+97.8wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+14.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3257…2f3bbacked Over62c5,000$3,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,9004367.4%29 W · 14 L+4.2wins+0.10per pick58cpaid+17.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under34c3,869$1,316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,315.854,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under40c3,846$1,540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,540.312,53346.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L+12.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x2165…f598backed Under40c3,835$1,534 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,534.0720724.6%51 W · 156 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick25cpaid+3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Under37c3,803$1,420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,420.021,68620.6%347 W · 1,339 L-28.4wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-16.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f41…5ffcbacked Under36c3,674$1,323 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,322.7334249.1%168 W · 174 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+33.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x65f5…9c8cbacked Under44c3,415$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5001546.7%7 W · 8 L+2.5wins+0.17per pick30cpaid+51.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2f63…f247backed Over57c3,333$1,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,433.1912325.2%31 W · 92 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick23cpaid+20.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9caf…94dcbacked Over62c3,206$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,205.779440.4%38 W · 56 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-16.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd2b8…3288backed Under44c2,635$1,151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,151.481145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x27cc…884bbacked Over72c2,500$1,805 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$695.22240.9%9 W · 13 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-14.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7300…e52cbacked Under36c2,486$901 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$901.0777845%350 W · 428 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under34c2,423$819 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$819.012,79346.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L-10.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-19.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf59e…f0bfbacked Over61c2,261$1,368 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$892.3910051%51 W · 49 L+0.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8ce7…3150backed Over60c2,176$1,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$875.6316747.3%79 W · 88 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Under46c2,170$989 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$989.412,17138.2%829 W · 1,342 L-36.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f1d…8de2backed Under19c2,122$401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400.751,13540.2%456 W · 679 L+5.2wins0.00per pick40cpaid-6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x98bd…8a55backed Over60c1,816$1,090 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$726.5715650%78 W · 78 L+9.5wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+17%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x502e…5442backed Over62c1,613$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$613.2416746.7%78 W · 89 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-7.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x26cf…c612backed Under39c1,449$568 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$568.4416633.7%56 W · 110 L-8.4wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-11.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xecd5…755ebacked Under1c1,300$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135662.5%35 W · 21 L+7.4wins+0.13per pick49cpaid+75.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xadf0…00fbbacked Under40c1,239$492 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$491.562540%10 W · 15 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-19.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa927…8d9fbacked Over59c1,234$728 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$505.934772.3%34 W · 13 L+12.7wins+0.27per pick45cpaid+107.9%equal weight70+0.18 edge/pick
0x4fa9…7633backed Over59c1,093$649 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$444.2616825.6%43 W · 125 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-17%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under17c1,084$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.772,45334.7%850 W · 1,603 L+84.3wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-10.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd70b…dcb1backed Over58c1,007$584 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$422.9110359.2%61 W · 42 L+9.4wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+22.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5006…48cabacked Over56c1,000$560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44018248.9%89 W · 93 L+6.9wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+4.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc701…33c1backed Under42c952.62$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4007640.8%31 W · 45 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick43cpaid+5.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf1f7…167abacked Over60c952.29$571 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$381.295856.9%33 W · 25 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b60…85e0backed Over56c833.98$464 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$369.958341%34 W · 49 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0958…9b4dbacked Over60c833.87$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$333.87333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick28cpaid-44.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb9c3…dbc7backed Over62c809.96$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$309.969439.4%37 W · 57 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+10.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Over57c679.69$386 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293.411,06749.1%524 W · 543 L+7.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x689c…6b1ebacked Over60c632.39$379 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252.9613157.3%75 W · 56 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x814e…40b1backed Over62c623.52$388 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.023060%18 W · 12 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick54cpaid-4.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over69c615.47$425 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.232,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc3bf…e70fbacked Over57c599.97$342 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.9940515.3%62 W · 343 L+11.8wins+0.03per pick12cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb175…0396backed Over63c542.98$342 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.93852.6%20 W · 18 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x768f…8a9bbacked Over59c508.51$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.5113948.2%67 W · 72 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8494…814abacked Over56c500$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22019251.6%99 W · 93 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-3.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xae2d…2bc4backed Over59c500$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2059752.6%51 W · 46 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x53ad…5bd4backed Over56c499.99$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22047127.8%131 W · 340 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-13.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7738…5dbdbacked Over58c481.87$279 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.37944.4%4 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-20.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f5f…1695backed Under42c481.55$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20037223.9%89 W · 283 L-9.9wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-21.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3561…f1b7backed Under43c419.46$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.9495037.5%356 W · 594 L-1.3wins0.00per pick38cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf6ee…0e41backed Under39c418.64$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.2833350.5%168 W · 165 L+24.7wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+11.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa6fa…546bbacked Over60c418.55$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.5513754.7%75 W · 62 L+7.4wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+9.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa209…ffbebacked Over60c416.86$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.8659453.4%317 W · 277 L+43.8wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+17.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4d7a…751abacked Under42c414.13$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.9373234.6%253 W · 479 L-22.2wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-19.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under41c406.19$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.182,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f48…a145backed Over56c357.09$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.122240.9%9 W · 13 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbd38…99d4backed Over60c348.38$209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.356762.7%42 W · 25 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x86c8…1fc7backed Over59c339.48$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.4810536.2%38 W · 67 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe1e3…0009backed Over60c335.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.1620532.2%66 W · 139 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa5dd…345cbacked Under31c334.74$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10515747.1%74 W · 83 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f14…ca5abacked Over60c333.33$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.3370948.9%347 W · 362 L+12.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x02dc…b9c9backed Over61c327.87$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.872653.8%14 W · 12 L-1.8wins-0.07per pick61cpaid-7.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf9fe…4f5dbacked Over59c324.98$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.245145.1%23 W · 28 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7544…ea2dbacked Over61c318.29$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.8111634.5%40 W · 76 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-18.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x59a8…eb4ebacked Over64c313.59$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.5916946.7%79 W · 90 L+5.5wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc507…5d1ebacked Over57c300$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12910359.2%61 W · 42 L+5.6wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+4.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdcc0…6872backed Over58c300$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12716656.6%94 W · 72 L+6.0wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1c3e…176dbacked Under42c299.99$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1263432.4%11 W · 23 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick38cpaid+8.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x16f3…e1eebacked Under39c299.93$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.978938.2%34 W · 55 L+0.3wins0.00per pick38cpaid+17.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x88b7…fa62backed Under39c279.46$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1102846.4%13 W · 15 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+63%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x53b4…cef0backed Over61c263.82$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.823161.3%19 W · 12 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x95ae…88e2backed Over61c258.49$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.491546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+29.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67ed…61c2backed Over59c254.24$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.242650%13 W · 13 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+16.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed Over53c242.99$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.7443145.2%195 W · 236 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd3f4…a47fbacked Over60c236.07$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.431040%4 W · 6 L-2.1wins-0.21per pick61cpaid-40.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb615…c187backed Under27c219.87$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.33046.7%14 W · 16 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-16.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2aec…1499backed Over59c218.25$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.481631.3%5 W · 11 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick26cpaid+69.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb0cb…85babacked Over56c200$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$885547.3%26 W · 29 L+0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid+2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3aec…bdbfbacked Over59c200$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$831020%2 W · 8 L-1.7wins-0.17per pick37cpaid-60.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xae53…d80bbacked Over61c199.86$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.955532.7%18 W · 37 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-19.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc7a9…87e2backed Under42c181.63$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.2141344.1%182 W · 231 L-16.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-13.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe1c0…cfbbbacked Over62c178.1$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.681283.3%10 W · 2 L+2.8wins+0.23per pick60cpaid+34.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x55e0…8f89backed Over59c176.77$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.774052.5%21 W · 19 L+3.0wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+24.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x53f4…00aabacked Over58c173$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.66771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.10per pick61cpaid+27.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x68c2…4765backed Over58c172.59$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.591421.4%3 W · 11 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick22cpaid-19.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2077…a095backed Over58c171.36$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.364936.7%18 W · 31 L+0.1wins0.00per pick37cpaid-12.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6f2e…6da4backed Over59c170$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.77954.4%43 W · 36 L+6.7wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+10.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x00fa…9af5backed Over60c170$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.712856.3%72 W · 56 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbcc6…2136backed Over59c169.77$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.776555.4%36 W · 29 L+6.9wins+0.11per pick45cpaid+25.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x67c5…cab7backed Over59c169.49$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.498842%37 W · 51 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdda5…c82abacked Over59c169.49$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.495056%28 W · 22 L+3.3wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+16%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa7b3…d2a0backed Over59c169.49$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.497345.2%33 W · 40 L-4.7wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-15.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 40 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.