TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x02dc…b9c9

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
139
Categories scored
6
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: NBA, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 55 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 25, 2026, EDT7450%37 W · 37 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 74 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: HOTU vs Astralis (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked HOTU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Counter-Strike: HOTU vs Astralis - Map 2 Winnerbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs G2 - Map 2 Winnerbacked Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+150%+$15
Counter-Strike: DENDELE CS vs FaZe - Map 2 Winnerbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs G2 - Map 1 Winnerbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Counter-Strike: Alliance vs Wildcard - Map 1 Winnerbacked Alliance · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs FOKUS - Map 2 Winnerbacked FOKUS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Counter-Strike: M80 vs NIP - Map 2 Winnerbacked NIP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$31.28
Counter-Strike: Just Players vs Walczaki (BO3) - European Pro League Series 8 Playoffsbacked Walczaki · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Gentle Mates (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 3 Playoffsbacked 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$78.57
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs Phantom (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 3 Playoffsbacked Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$94.12
Counter-Strike: Wildcard vs Gentle Mates (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 3 Playoffsbacked Wildcard · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs FaZe - Map 1 Winnerbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$30.65
Counter-Strike: 9z vs Alliance (BO3) - XSE Pro League Playoffsbacked Alliance · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Map Handicap: TYLOO (-1.5) vs The Huns Esports (+1.5)backed TYLOO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$8.96
Counter-Strike: Virtus.pro vs NIP (BO3) - RES Showdown Europe Playoffsbacked NIP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs 9z (BO3) - XSE Pro League Playoffsbacked TYLOO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Counter-Strike: BIG vs NIP (BO3) - XSE Pro League Group Stagebacked NIP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Team Nemesis - Map 1 Winnerbacked Team Nemesis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+125.6%+$25.11
Counter-Strike: B8 vs Alliance (BO1) - XSE Pro League Group Stagebacked B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.08
Counter-Strike: Luminosity vs Lynn Vision (BO1) - XSE Pro League Group Stagebacked Lynn Vision · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$39.12
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs MIBR (BO1) - XSE Pro League Group Stagebacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Counter-Strike: Alliance vs NIP (BO1) - XSE Pro League Group Stagebacked NIP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: B8 vs MIBR (BO1) - XSE Pro League Group Stagebacked MIBR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Alliance (BO1) - XSE Pro League Group Stagebacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$61.29
Showing 25 of 74 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 29, 2026, EDT2653.8%14 W · 12 L-1.8wins-0.07per pick61cpaid-7.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Germany vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$48.04
South Africa vs. Canada: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$13.9
Colombia vs. Portugal: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$10.77
Will France win on 2026-06-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$24.59
Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Paraguay vs. Australia end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+150%+$150
Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Spread: Croatia (-1.5)backed Panama · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$34.75
England leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Jordan vs. Algeria: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$32.5
Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Ecuador vs. Curaçao: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Spread: Germany (-1.5)backed Côte d'Ivoire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$33.33
Switzerland vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Czechia vs. South Africa: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$12.86
England vs. Croatia: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+123.2%+$123.21
Portugal vs. DR Congo: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$89.86
Argentina vs. Algeria: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Iraq vs. Norway: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Belgium vs. Egypt: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$116.67
Spain vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$38.89
Netherlands vs. Japan: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 25, 2026, EDT2462.5%15 W · 9 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick63cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Lol — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Weibo Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$10.45
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs KT Rolster (BO1) - KeSPA Cup Group Stagebacked Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$51.52
Game Handicap: T1 (-1.5) vs Karmine Corp (+1.5)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs Dplus KIA (+1.5)backed Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
LoL: G2 Esports vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 Winnerbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$34.75
LoL: G2 Esports vs AG.AL (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group Abacked AG.AL · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$36.21
LoL: Movistar KOI vs GAM Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked GAM Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
LoL: Team Secret vs Sentinels (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group Bbacked Team Secret · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs LYON - Game 2 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Game Handicap: G2 (-2.5) vs LYON (+2.5)backed LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$9.41
Game Handicap: HLE (-2.5) vs Bilibili Gaming (+2.5)backed Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+25%+$25
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Game Handicap: HLE (-2.5) vs G2 Esports (+2.5)backed Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+143.1%+$28.62
Game Handicap: TES (-2.5) vs Team Secret Whales (+2.5)backed Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
LoL: T1 vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$44.93
LoL: T1 vs Karmine Corp - Game 2 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$13.9
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$5.97
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$4.6
LoL: KT Rolster vs T1 - Game 2 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$22.46
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Kiwoom DRX - Game 2 Winnerbacked Kiwoom DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$32.63
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Kiwoom DRX - Game 1 Winnerbacked Kiwoom DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 3 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$14.06
LoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 (BO5) - Esports World Cup Korea Qualifier Playoffsbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$5.64
All 24 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jul 20, 2026, EDT1154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.10per pick45cpaid+15.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Valorant — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Bilibili Gaming vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Group Omegabacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$39.77
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+82.8%+$16.57
Valorant: Team Heretics vs BBL Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked BBL Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+100%+$10
Valorant: Team Vitality vs NRG - Map 2 Winnerbacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Valorant: G2 Esports vs Nongshim RedForce (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Cbacked Nongshim RedForce · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$35.22
Valorant: G2 Esports vs Nongshim RedForce - Map 2 Winnerbacked Nongshim RedForce · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.8
Valorant: Gentle Mates vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Cbacked XLG Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Valorant: MIBR vs Global Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked MIBR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$12.79
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Valorant: Global Esports vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters London Group Stagebacked XLG Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$71.11
Valorant: Global Esports vs XLG Gaming - Map 2 Winnerbacked Global Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
All 11 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 5, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+87.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$320Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+194.2%+$621.35
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$20.42
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$13.29
All 3 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved May 26, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+49.6%+$14.87
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.