TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

Games Total: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$249,611
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$268,645

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $249,611 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 205 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc69b…2076backed Under37c111,116$41,304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41,303.6669741.5%289 W · 408 L-17.2wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-22.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Over56c65,000$36,650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28,349.981,82745.6%834 W · 993 L+26.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x751b…73fdbacked Under41c20,840$8,544 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,544.3132555.7%181 W · 144 L+8.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8627…5382backed Over59c20,000$11,799 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,201.0222355.2%123 W · 100 L+8.7wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+8.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Under3c7,239$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.572,50839.8%999 W · 1,509 L-76.4wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-18.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d16…212ebacked Over57c6,917$3,943 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,974.257754.5%42 W · 35 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+12.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6401…f240backed Under5c6,783$339 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$339.1637948.3%183 W · 196 L+12.2wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+16.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdd88…dadbbacked Under41c5,000$2,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,049.961,09252.4%572 W · 520 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x559b…4959backed Over57c4,043$2,303 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,739.6123445.7%107 W · 127 L-0.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x66b2…0fdfbacked Under43c3,460$1,480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,479.8931849.7%158 W · 160 L-1.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7af0…509dbacked Over59c2,735$1,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,134.7225268.3%172 W · 80 L+14.5wins+0.06per pick63cpaid+9.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7b75…3fd1backed Under42c2,364$989 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$989.2394134.5%325 W · 616 L+33.6wins+0.04per pick31cpaid-1.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5505…aa44backed Under42c2,357$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000.2612843%55 W · 73 L+6.1wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+13.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa3b5…941abacked Over58c2,250$1,298 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$952.589050.6%450 W · 440 L+14.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0e0d…9bbdbacked Over59c2,211$1,307 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$903.891241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f41…5ffcbacked Under41c2,033$834 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$833.5923948.1%115 W · 124 L+0.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Over59c1,965$1,156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$809.3146050.7%233 W · 227 L+13.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over56c1,605$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$705.791,20743.5%525 W · 682 L-14.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-11%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2da3…f258backed Over60c1,523$912 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$611.3397854.4%532 W · 446 L+48.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0c15…9a45backed Over58c1,376$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$576.3712341.5%51 W · 72 L-4.1wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-14.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3938…26d7backed Over59c1,367$807 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$559.712744.4%12 W · 15 L-3.1wins-0.11per pick56cpaid-21.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3752…2f08backed Over58c1,360$789 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$571.1232045.6%146 W · 174 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Under34c1,305$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$439.821,59343.8%697 W · 896 L-74.2wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-16.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x474c…6625backed Over59c1,186$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$486.441353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4673…64b4backed Under43c1,163$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5002060%12 W · 8 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb74…3fabbacked Under44c1,137$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50019052.6%100 W · 90 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d38…6f08backed Under31c1,100$341 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34162649.8%312 W · 314 L-0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Under38c1,096$412 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$411.981,97130.5%601 W · 1,370 L-170.0wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-43.4%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0x8cd2…648cbacked Over60c1,076$643 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$433.6195048.5%461 W · 489 L+26.4wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+11.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb7ab…16d0backed Over70c948.56$663 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$285.191,17066.2%774 W · 396 L+69.6wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+5.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked Over64c785.5$503 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282.7285742.7%366 W · 491 L-10.4wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-23.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x160d…6f25backed Over68c772.53$525 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$247.2112326%32 W · 91 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick24cpaid-6.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f11…53b0backed Over72c767.56$556 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.45128.3%1 W · 11 L-1.3wins-0.11per pick19cpaid-88.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe32a…1f66backed Under42c750$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3153225%8 W · 24 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-37.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a7e…9dc6backed Over61c700.2$424 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.5846248.9%226 W · 236 L-6.0wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Under40c687.74$272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$271.751,46443.4%636 W · 828 L-32.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-19.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ff7…2e67backed Under46c644.54$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$296.356949.3%34 W · 35 L+3.9wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+18.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd961…35debacked Over67c619.11$412 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.2832442%136 W · 188 L+7.6wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+15.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc0f3…8dd9backed Under44c569.98$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.793743.2%16 W · 21 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7300…e52cbacked Under7c568.5$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.4824832.3%80 W · 168 L-11.7wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-24.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4f87…f04ebacked Over68c550.17$374 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.3122265.3%145 W · 77 L+7.2wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+52.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd001…f718backed Over77c543$421 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.2319553.3%104 W · 91 L+9.0wins+0.05per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xccd7…f491backed Under30c500$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15042246.4%196 W · 226 L+8.6wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7171…697abacked Under47c500$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23516547.9%79 W · 86 L+4.4wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-1.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x613a…2185backed Over66c497$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.9412935.7%46 W · 83 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-25.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc5ff…abd0backed Over58c489.05$282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.5552045%234 W · 286 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-0.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Over56c483.6$271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.312,20233.3%733 W · 1,469 L-72.4wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-21.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x69e3…761fbacked Over59c480.64$281 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.2912260.7%74 W · 48 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-2.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf898…deffbacked Under43c468.02$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20028942.9%124 W · 165 L+9.0wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6a08…47afbacked Under43c465.12$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20019346.6%90 W · 103 L+6.2wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7eda…4bb7backed Over66c437.84$288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.2448852%254 W · 234 L-2.4wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf3be…12ccbacked Over62c430$267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.43941%16 W · 23 L-4.9wins-0.12per pick53cpaid-15.7%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Over57c400$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1721,59946.8%748 W · 851 L-48.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1c3e…176dbacked Over54c384.58$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.372737%10 W · 17 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-24.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8ddc…9c0fbacked Over59c372.47$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.7121844%96 W · 122 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c6c…998fbacked Over59c365.74$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.958749.4%43 W · 44 L-0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed Over65c340.29$221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.641,92435.9%691 W · 1,233 L-97.7wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-23.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x67ac…edf1backed Over75c330.74$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.8235448.6%172 W · 182 L+14.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-9.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xeb4b…9f92backed Over58c300$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1262339.1%9 W · 14 L-4.0wins-0.18per pick57cpaid-31.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf20b…e27dbacked Under34c297.24$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.0634849.1%171 W · 177 L+11.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+13.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x481a…e61abacked Over73c294.79$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.7211045.5%50 W · 60 L-6.6wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-20.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Under41c285.18$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.823,13133.8%1,058 W · 2,073 L-150.7wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-34.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc0b6…0e9ebacked Under44c270.91$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.2966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1769…94efbacked Under29c269.79$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.546352.4%33 W · 30 L+2.9wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+8.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xead7…cfe8backed Under46c263.61$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.015438.9%21 W · 33 L-3.1wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-17.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd331…733cbacked Over60c262$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.835848.9%175 W · 183 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Over69c258.63$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.172,93844.5%1,308 W · 1,630 L-92.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xef0d…f057backed Under43c256.74$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1101145.5%5 W · 6 L+2.0wins+0.18per pick27cpaid+101.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7de3…d59bbacked Over58c249.9$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.9642149.2%207 W · 214 L+8.1wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under16c248.6$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.042,49547.3%1,181 W · 1,314 L-32.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x992b…5053backed Under43c232.86$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002040%8 W · 12 L-2.7wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-26.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6049…79dfbacked Under42c230$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.63357.6%19 W · 14 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b45…362bbacked Over78c227.44$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.0540637.7%153 W · 253 L-8.2wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-15.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x880b…90a8backed Under9c222.22$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206048.3%29 W · 31 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x266c…6963backed Under48c208.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005341.5%22 W · 31 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick45cpaid+0.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9184…7bf8backed Over60c205$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.23per pick44cpaid+45.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd6b…e0f3backed Over61c201.8$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.75552.7%29 W · 26 L-0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid+8.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed Over37c201.21$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.5816819.6%33 W · 135 L-9.6wins-0.06per pick25cpaid-44.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8feb…63fcbacked Under45c199.99$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9021548.4%104 W · 111 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb0cb…85babacked Over58c199.99$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$849244.6%41 W · 51 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xad0a…8527backed Under76c194.41$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.46837.5%3 W · 5 L-2.2wins-0.27per pick65cpaid-51.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x119d…bec3backed Under39c192.31$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$758940.4%36 W · 53 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb155…ca84backed Under35c179$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.148045%36 W · 44 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc39a…69b1backed Over57c174.23$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.231450%7 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd705…caf8backed Over58c172.41$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.4117661.9%109 W · 67 L+15.1wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+15.5%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x1dad…ee77backed Over59c169.49$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.4913951.8%72 W · 67 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2093…fc4ebacked Under41c167.62$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.26827.9%19 W · 49 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-33.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8fd5…2754backed Under33c166.82$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$554231%13 W · 29 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-24.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x21f4…81a6backed Under9c166.65$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152714.8%4 W · 23 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick10cpaid-22.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x55ab…4f88backed Over63c163.17$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.4630731.6%97 W · 210 L-19.2wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-37.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xcaaa…b0c3backed Under33c160.99$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.6520%1 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.31per pick51cpaid-74.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8649…ba57backed Over54c159.97$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.596450%32 W · 32 L+3.9wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+20.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x532b…30c1backed Under32c156.66$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509339.8%37 W · 56 L+4.3wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+26.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xeef9…8731backed Over59c150$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.534756.5%196 W · 151 L+12.2wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x00fd…888fbacked Over69c146$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.26333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-51.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcada…df46backed Over61c139.15$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.274660.9%28 W · 18 L+4.1wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+2.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd6cc…506fbacked Over72c138.89$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.893855.3%21 W · 17 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+11%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x92aa…0341backed Under42c134.39$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.941118.2%2 W · 9 L-1.4wins-0.13per pick31cpaid-57.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4b33…0d18backed Over59c133.46$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.72862.5%5 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick67cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7948…dad7backed Over59c127.12$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.1213160.3%79 W · 52 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 26 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.