TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

Games Total: O/U 4.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$70,840
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$84,678

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $70,840 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 113 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x335d…8c00backed Under56c12,611$7,056 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,555.525366%35 W · 18 L+4.7wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+20.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc69b…2076backed Under49c9,692$4,744 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,947.8769741.5%289 W · 408 L-17.2wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-22.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6401…f240backed Over45c5,909$2,642 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,641.5937948.3%183 W · 196 L+12.2wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+16.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Over55c5,749$3,176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,176.262,20233.3%733 W · 1,469 L-72.4wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-21.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe504…600ebacked Over48c3,697$1,767 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,766.5217647.7%84 W · 92 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x04c9…f1fabacked Over43c2,288$984 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$983.8412132.2%39 W · 82 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-8.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Over27c1,500$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40046050.7%233 W · 227 L+13.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4759…dc6ebacked Under78c1,320$1,029 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2911770.6%12 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick64cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5651…e11ebacked Over39c1,117$435 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$435.4540%0 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over53c1,070$569 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$568.841,97130.5%601 W · 1,370 L-170.0wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-43.4%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Over22c1,000$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2202,49547.3%1,181 W · 1,314 L-32.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked Under55c873.94$482 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$392.3185742.7%366 W · 491 L-10.4wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-23.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b75…6bb0backed Over25c800$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20010237.3%38 W · 64 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+21.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d38…6f08backed Under53c779.87$413 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$366.5462649.8%312 W · 314 L-0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f87…f04ebacked Over72c743.12$532 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$532.3222265.3%145 W · 77 L+7.2wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+52.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd961…35debacked Over65c718.02$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$470.1632442%136 W · 188 L+7.6wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+15.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x55ab…4f88backed Over44c708.77$314 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$314.2730731.6%97 W · 210 L-19.2wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-37.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1468…2ca9backed Over41c688$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282.084422.7%10 W · 34 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick27cpaid+11.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4f16…553dbacked Over39c679.49$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26518841%77 W · 111 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0698…b91dbacked Over21c631.56$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1309344.1%41 W · 52 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Under61c596.57$363 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.012,93844.5%1,308 W · 1,630 L-92.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd6cc…506fbacked Over36c512.77$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1853855.3%21 W · 17 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+11%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb155…ca84backed Over46c507.99$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231.738045%36 W · 44 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb0cb…85babacked Over23c499.98$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1159244.6%41 W · 51 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Over27c399.95$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.751,59946.8%748 W · 851 L-48.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x64d4…f056backed Over44c392.44$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.4382836.4%301 W · 527 L-41.3wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-23.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Over22c369.26$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.2424643.1%106 W · 140 L-8.8wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-17.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7148…e85abacked Over6c367.79$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.0720%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Over39c357.12$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.531,23937.3%462 W · 777 L-39.2wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-27%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaf76…ffeabacked Over11c308.27$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.3111638.8%45 W · 71 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-22.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xedf7…4003backed Over24c299.79$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.9574637.9%283 W · 463 L+6.9wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc6d…31cebacked Over27c293.45$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.5712221.3%26 W · 96 L-7.3wins-0.06per pick27cpaid-42.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Over23c287.42$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.372,67935.7%957 W · 1,722 L-153.5wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-32.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd68e…4afdbacked Under35c286.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.334630.4%14 W · 32 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Over77c285$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.251216.7%2 W · 10 L-3.1wins-0.25per pick42cpaid-69.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x93e5…3b8dbacked Under58c274.98$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.982055%11 W · 9 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+15.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5874…64c3backed Over39c256.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004949%24 W · 25 L+4.2wins+0.09per pick40cpaid+15.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x045d…185dbacked Over45c247.14$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11063458.4%370 W · 264 L+9.4wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe5f6…2946backed Under20c246.31$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.314037.5%15 W · 25 L+3.0wins+0.07per pick30cpaid+78%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x481a…e61abacked Over68c220.59$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15011045.5%50 W · 60 L-6.6wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-20.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6435…e868backed Over41c215$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.51238.7%2 W · 21 L-2.1wins-0.09per pick18cpaid-49.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2da3…f258backed Under47c208.44$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.4597854.4%532 W · 446 L+48.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9a30…7b6cbacked Under58c203.91$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.642050%10 W · 10 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+21.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x316f…795abacked Over15c200$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3013830.4%42 W · 96 L-5.0wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-17%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9aaf…8298backed Over15c200$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3058042.4%246 W · 334 L+0.8wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Under72c196.99$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.443,13133.8%1,058 W · 2,073 L-150.7wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-34.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3938…26d7backed Over25c185.2$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.32744.4%12 W · 15 L-3.1wins-0.11per pick56cpaid-21.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x596a…7a0fbacked Under48c169.58$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.181,24134.7%431 W · 810 L-2.0wins0.00per pick35cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6eb0…ae93backed Over52c165.73$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.186338.1%24 W · 39 L-10.0wins-0.16per pick54cpaid-24.7%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0xfbe2…004dbacked Over9c162.13$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.33714.3%1 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick7cpaid+185.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Over36c161.08$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.261,35731.2%423 W · 934 L-129.6wins-0.10per pick41cpaid-43.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Over22c160.26$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.263,58440.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L+31.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x883b…82c6backed Under77c150$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.5742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.13per pick55cpaid-25.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc036…30d4backed Under67c148.49$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.4965754.5%358 W · 299 L-17.5wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9a1d…8986backed Over48c146.22$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.5953047.2%250 W · 280 L-7.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9c9…6686backed Over21c142.86$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3011146.8%52 W · 59 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdaf2…dfa9backed Over21c141.77$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3030453.3%162 W · 142 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b45…362bbacked Under65c139.26$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.6640637.7%153 W · 253 L-8.2wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-15.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc2c8…f437backed Over39c128.21$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505257.7%30 W · 22 L+5.3wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+28%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Over78c128.21$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,54354.8%845 W · 698 L+75.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+1.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfaab…82a4backed Under79c126$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2613451.5%69 W · 65 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3e43…0306backed Over30c119.56$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.474440.9%18 W · 26 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+22.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5954…7d41backed Over25c110.52$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.639250%46 W · 46 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1217…d5d3backed Under78c108.97$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.971553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid-1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7bc9…3bdebacked Under78c100.87$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.87560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+31.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd84d…cc32backed Over43c100$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$436149.2%30 W · 31 L-0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-10.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc58…c892backed Over44c100$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$442030%6 W · 14 L-6.1wins-0.31per pick61cpaid-53.1%equal weight35-0.14 edge/pick
0x6fb2…bd2dbacked Over56c97.7$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.3638655.2%213 W · 173 L+1.5wins0.00per pick55cpaid+2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7016…3cf7backed Under76c92.11$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.11771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.16per pick55cpaid+29.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcc0e…f6f4backed Under56c89.05$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.056360.3%38 W · 25 L+4.4wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+18.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe2ef…f66cbacked Over48c87.5$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$421163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+21.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf0ad…734fbacked Over20c86$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.216047.5%76 W · 84 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a7e…e0b3backed Over39c76.92$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3015450.6%78 W · 76 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x02e0…9633backed Over69c72.46$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50862.5%5 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick65cpaid-0.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x97a6…159ebacked Over29c69.41$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209324.7%23 W · 70 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick26cpaid-2.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d7c…a9b9backed Under62c67.74$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.741154.5%6 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8523…2a09backed Over45c67.1$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa4b5…ecffbacked Under57c61.02$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.027054.3%38 W · 32 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-9.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xca7c…e994backed Under75c59.04$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.761,38545.1%625 W · 760 L-12.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbad5…1689backed Under76c58.49$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.04966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+15.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6049…79dfbacked Under76c56.17$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.483357.6%19 W · 14 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0977…53ccbacked Over47c54$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.382152.4%11 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb941…b56bbacked Over32c50.98$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.5631646.5%147 W · 169 L-8.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-15%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb91c…ed66backed Over32c46.88$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1525737%95 W · 162 L-12.7wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-12.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5069…8710backed Over44c45.01$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2030%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a12…e633backed Over46c43.87$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2023041.7%96 W · 134 L+5.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd6b…e0f3backed Over69c42.79$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.445552.7%29 W · 26 L-0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid+8.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb25e…1071backed Under66c42.25$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.195848.3%28 W · 30 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a7e…9dc6backed Under79c40$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.446248.9%226 W · 236 L-6.0wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0eca…c56abacked Under47c40$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.3940143.9%176 W · 225 L-8.5wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-19.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7300…e52cbacked Over34c39.68$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.6624832.3%80 W · 168 L-11.7wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-24.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x304a…60c6backed Under76c39.47$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.47955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick63cpaid-18.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f3c…5b7bbacked Over69c39.16$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.891361.5%8 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick65cpaid-9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7954…678dbacked Under78c38.46$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.466771.6%48 W · 19 L+5.7wins+0.09per pick63cpaid+14.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2217…1660backed Under36c38$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.3212350.4%62 W · 61 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-2.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2e49…d68bbacked Under66c37.81$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.81540%2 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.16per pick56cpaid-23.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcdab…b50bbacked Under58c34.48$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.48560%3 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick67cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x847c…9ff8backed Over45c33.33$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15850%4 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+95.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e9f…3988backed Over47c32.94$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.638555.1%212 W · 173 L-10.4wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xde2e…439cbacked Over45c30.93$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149334.4%32 W · 61 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+15.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 26 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.