Lol · resolved market
Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 1?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe2f52945a1cf6135d89871716adb57d04ee13780a727f76b72dea2fc907f77ff
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,076
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,952
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,076 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6918…782bbacked Under | 53c | 3,041$1,607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,606.57 | 1,501 | 54.5%818 W · 683 L | +34.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e32…ab65backed Under | 59c | 1,545$915 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$914.59 | 2,156 | 53.2%1,148 W · 1,008 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7164…7ff7backed Over | 43c | 1,162$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$661.69 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7de3…d59bbacked Over | 41c | 733.61$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435.63 | 421 | 49.2%207 W · 214 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b5…941abacked Under | 58c | 621.9$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.83 | 890 | 50.6%450 W · 440 L | +14.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8833…3ea1backed Over | 47c | 501$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.53 | 210 | 51.4%108 W · 102 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8494…814abacked Over | 47c | 500$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265 | 78 | 39.7%31 W · 47 L | -5.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba6c…618bbacked Over | 47c | 500$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2405…e055backed Over | 48c | 500$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 166 | 54.2%90 W · 76 L | +7.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc36…d35dbacked Over | 47c | 500$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265 | 71 | 42.3%30 W · 41 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe96f…22a2backed Over | 47c | 500$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 41c | 486.73$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.92 | 2,508 | 39.8%999 W · 1,509 L | -76.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x781d…201bbacked Over | 48c | 479.98$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.98 | 147 | 48.3%71 W · 76 L | +9.6wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4e20…e3c8backed Over | 41c | 453$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.27 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -2.6wins | -0.12per pick | 35cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca0…38babacked Over | 46c | 436.96$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.96 | 1,443 | 43.4%626 W · 817 L | +105.5wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2d21…92e5backed Over | 50c | 400.49$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.86 | 698 | 41.8%292 W · 406 L | +46.3wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd8a6…7a0abacked Under | 61c | 327.14$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -3.9wins | -0.11per pick | 57cpaid | -14%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1f03…b1bebacked Under | 56c | 324.52$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.73 | 1,132 | 52.5%594 W · 538 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec54…c7b2backed Over | 43c | 251.94$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.61 | 56 | 57.1%32 W · 24 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37b2…8681backed Over | 75c | 219.83$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.93 | 961 | 49.9%480 W · 481 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x847e…3c43backed Over | 51c | 176.27$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.37 | 246 | 56.1%138 W · 108 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f4…81a6backed Under | 10c | 150$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 27 | 14.8%4 W · 23 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafca…92b4backed Over | 50c | 132.43$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.13 | 51 | 64.7%33 W · 18 L | +4.3wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x66ac…5e75backed Over | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.28 | 123 | 51.2%63 W · 60 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ee…e425backed Over | 40c | 112.22$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.31 | 751 | 42.1%316 W · 435 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x336a…1915backed Over | 41c | 106.2$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.66 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0aaa…c6e6backed Under | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 127 | 43.3%55 W · 72 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b42…7cbebacked Over | 42c | 99.99$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.99 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Over | 42c | 95.24$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.24 | 255 | 42%107 W · 148 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31e7…fe2abacked Over | 42c | 83.33$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.33 | 78 | 46.2%36 W · 42 L | +6.4wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +18%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x532b…30c1backed Under | 49c | 81.88$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 93 | 39.8%37 W · 56 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Over | 29c | 75$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.25 | 1,239 | 37.3%462 W · 777 L | -39.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -27%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88a9…e618backed Over | 43c | 69.77$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.77 | 133 | 49.6%66 W · 67 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9dd…13a2backed Over | 43c | 69.77$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.77 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +26%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf555…b36bbacked Over | 43c | 69.77$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.77 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5151…645cbacked Under | 61c | 59.99$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.59 | 454 | 44.3%201 W · 253 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Over | 42c | 59.52$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.52 | 183 | 42.1%77 W · 106 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 60c | 54.87$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.74 | 1,310 | 49.2%644 W · 666 L | -23.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfaab…82a4backed Over | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.48 | 134 | 51.5%69 W · 65 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc51…44d9backed Under | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8812…c41abacked Over | 41c | 37.66$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.31 | 255 | 51.4%131 W · 124 L | +9.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…554fbacked Under | 55c | 37.54$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.59 | 229 | 55.5%127 W · 102 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked Under | 56c | 36.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.36 | 617 | 46.5%287 W · 330 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c9…6686backed Over | 42c | 35.77$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.77 | 111 | 46.8%52 W · 59 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…5fa9backed Under | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Over | 41c | 33.75$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.8 | 163 | 46%75 W · 88 L | -9.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc666…8d00backed Under | 58c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 422 | 51.7%218 W · 204 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a1…ea66backed Over | 39c | 27.31$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.66 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93dc…3728backed Over | 39c | 25.57$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.57 | 317 | 50.8%161 W · 156 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e79…83eebacked Under | 59c | 18.64$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 73 | 23.3%17 W · 56 L | -10.3wins | -0.14per pick | 37cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 26 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 1?this page
- First Blood in Game 1?G2 Esports won
- First Blood in Game 2?T1 won
- First Blood in Game 3?T1 won
- First Blood in Game 4?T1 won
- Game 1: Odd/Even Total Kills?Odd won
- Game 2: Odd/Even Total Kills?Even won
- Game 3: Odd/Even Total Kills?Odd won
- Game Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs T1 (+1.5)G2 Esports won
- Game Handicap: G2 (-2.5) vs T1 (+2.5)T1 won
- Game Handicap: T1 (-1.5) vs G2 Esports (+1.5)G2 Esports won
- Game Handicap: T1 (-2.5) vs G2 Esports (+2.5)G2 Esports won
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Over won
- Games Total: O/U 4.5Under won
- LoL: G2 Esports vs T1 (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational PlayoffsG2 Esports won
- LoL: G2 Esports vs T1 - Game 1 WinnerG2 Esports won
- LoL: G2 Esports vs T1 - Game 2 WinnerG2 Esports won
- LoL: G2 Esports vs T1 - Game 3 WinnerT1 won
- LoL: G2 Esports vs T1 - Game 4 WinnerG2 Esports won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 3?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 4?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 2?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 3?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 4?Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.