TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe96f…22a2

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
82
Categories scored
5
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: CS2, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category CS2 at 55 out of 100; worst Lol at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT4643.5%20 W · 26 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 46 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
United States vs. Belgium: Belgium 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$112Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$137.49
Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 8.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$73.05
Portugal vs. Spain: Spain O/U 5.5 Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$125
Mexico vs. England: England O/U 4.5 Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$130
England to score first vs. Mexico?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$230Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$270
England leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$135Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$365
Brazil leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$195Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$195
Brazil vs. Norway: Norway O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$250.21
Brazil vs. Norway: Norway O/U 3.5 Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.36
Brazil vs. Norway: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+84.7%+$101.38
Paraguay vs. France: Draw at halftime?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$335Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$335
Canada vs. Morocco: Draw at halftime?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$275Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$275
Canada vs. Morocco: Canada O/U 3.5 Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$107.5
Morocco leading at halftime?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$201Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$139.83
Exact Score: Argentina 1 - 0 Cabo Verde?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.5
Egypt leading at halftime?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$131Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$131.12
Exact Score: Australia 0 - 1 Egypt?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.5
Spain leading at halftime?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$209Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$208.56
Spain to win the second half?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$290Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$210
Spain vs. Austria: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.12
Spain to score first vs. Austria?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.1
Mikel Oyarzabal: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$27.21
Pedri: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
United States to win the second half?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$285Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$215
Exact Score: United States 1 - 0 Bosnia and Herzegovina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.5
Showing 25 of 46 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 8, 2026, EDT1225%3 W · 9 L-1.9wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-47.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Lol — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Game Handicap: T1 (-2.5) vs G2 Esports (+2.5)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$76.46
Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 1?backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$235Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$265
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$445Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$445
LoL: T1 vs FURIA Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked FURIA Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.06
Game Handicap: TES (-2.5) vs Team Secret Whales (+2.5)backed Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$106.78
LoL: Kaufland Hangry Knights vs BIG (BO1) - Prime League 1st Division Regular Seasonbacked Kaufland Hangry Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$195Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$195
LoL: VfB eSports vs Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition (BO1) - Prime League 1st Division Regular Seasonbacked VfB eSports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$90
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$295Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$295
Game Handicap: TL (-2.5) vs Deep Cross Gaming (+2.5)backed Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$180Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$320
LoL: Deep Cross Gaming vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$350Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$150
LoL: T1 vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.74
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs FlyQuest (BO1) - Cross Regional Group Stagebacked Kiwoom DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.78
All 12 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 8, 2026, EDT933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-34.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Inner Circle (BO2) - Esports World Cup Group Dbacked Inner Circle · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$95
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs MOUZ - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$390Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$110
Dota 2: ZEDI Esports vs GamerLegion (BO2) - Esports World Cup Group Abacked ZEDI Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.71
Dota 2: L1ga Team vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 2 Winnerbacked L1ga Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$104.77
Dota 2: L1ga Team vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 1 Winnerbacked L1ga Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$73.72
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs PlayTime - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$187Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$187.47
Dota 2: Rune Eaters vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Rune Eaters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$129Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$129.31
Dota 2: Virtus.pro vs HULIGANI (BO3) - The International Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked HULIGANI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$175.02
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs MOUZ - Game 2 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$76.9
All 9 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jul 7, 2026, EDT933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-18.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Valorant — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Twisted Saints Esports vs Pixel Lumina (BO3) - VCL EMEA: Last Chance Qualifier Group Abacked Twisted Saints Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$290Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$290
Valorant: SaD Esports vs Shopify Rebellion Black (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 3 Playoffsbacked SaD Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$340
Valorant: KRÜ Spark vs BESTIA - Map 1 Winnerbacked KRÜ Spark · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$92.11
Valorant: MIBR LOS vs Team Heretics (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Dbacked Team Heretics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$180Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$320
Valorant: Team Vitality vs NRG (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Bbacked NRG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$265Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$265
Valorant: Shopify Rebellion Black vs Evil Geniuses Academy (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 3 Playoffsbacked Evil Geniuses Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$155Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$155
Valorant: SaD Esports vs NRG Academy (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 3 Playoffsbacked NRG Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$215Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$215
Valorant: Dplus vs DRX Academy (BO3) - VCL Korea: Regular Seasonbacked DRX Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$228Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$107.45
Valorant: Azure Dragon Gaming vs Alliance Guardians (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 3 Group Stagebacked Alliance Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$135
All 9 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 8, 2026, EDT683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.23per pick61cpaid+37.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
CS2 — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.