Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Rune Eaters vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x585ff589f18d19ab1b522c0e02bea6f6d177193936938c62c2bf272abcd9a8a3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Xtreme Gamingof Rune Eaters, Xtreme Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $221,377
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $263,426
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $221,377 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 242 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed Xtreme Gaming | 72c | 15,228$11,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,228.33 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked Xtreme Gaming | 74c | 10,812$7,980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,831.95 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Rune Eaters | 29c | 9,276$2,647 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,647.19 | 894 | 40.3%360 W · 534 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef62…cf76backed Rune Eaters | 30c | 6,627$2,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,001 | 433 | 44.8%194 W · 239 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked Xtreme Gaming | 60c | 6,377$3,799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,578.47 | 897 | 41.5%372 W · 525 L | +22.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32c3…5b4ebacked Rune Eaters | 38c | 5,055$1,905 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,905.26 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3413…8ff2backed Rune Eaters | 15c | 5,000$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 476 | 46.4%221 W · 255 L | +27.2wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb29f…45b5backed Rune Eaters | 8c | 5,000$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$421.62 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Rune Eaters | 30c | 3,823$1,133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,132.84 | 325 | 48.9%159 W · 166 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d34…7c8cbacked Rune Eaters | 28c | 3,751$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050.28 | 145 | 15.2%22 W · 123 L | -16.5wins | -0.11per pick | 27cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed Xtreme Gaming | 71c | 3,521$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,021.09 | 413 | 51.8%214 W · 199 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Xtreme Gaming | 69c | 3,395$2,345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,050.36 | 1,066 | 57%608 W · 458 L | +52.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3752…2f08backed Rune Eaters | 38c | 3,263$1,251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,251.1 | 344 | 42.2%145 W · 199 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57b4…b46bbacked Rune Eaters | 29c | 3,241$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$939.87 | 242 | 46.7%113 W · 129 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…d49fbacked Rune Eaters | 22c | 3,188$701 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$701.35 | 174 | 52.3%91 W · 83 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Rune Eaters | 27c | 3,162$843 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$843.22 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe59f…0d08backed Xtreme Gaming | 59c | 3,091$1,829 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,262.06 | 211 | 55.5%117 W · 94 L | +17.3wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9a1d…8986backed Rune Eaters | 17c | 2,817$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.96 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e23…1c3dbacked Xtreme Gaming | 73c | 2,725$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$725.46 | 112 | 54.5%61 W · 51 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce08…510bbacked Xtreme Gaming | 71c | 2,576$1,824 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$752.23 | 359 | 51.3%184 W · 175 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…83ffbacked Rune Eaters | 41c | 2,338$963 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$963.24 | 534 | 51.7%276 W · 258 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa97f…a818backed Rune Eaters | 27c | 2,178$584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$584.5 | 587 | 44%258 W · 329 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Rune Eaters | 41c | 2,146$875 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$875.43 | 966 | 45.1%436 W · 530 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x183f…85e3backed Xtreme Gaming | 70c | 2,093$1,471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$621.11 | 158 | 48.1%76 W · 82 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x048f…9992backed Rune Eaters | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 211 | 0.5%1 W · 210 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -99.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e63…9e38backed Xtreme Gaming | 73c | 1,850$1,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.49 | 345 | 61.2%211 W · 134 L | +17.7wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x331a…ff18backed Rune Eaters | 27c | 1,841$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488.33 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x91d5…8a03backed Rune Eaters | 29c | 1,800$522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$521.92 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc49b…70c0backed Rune Eaters | 7c | 1,800$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.3 | 630 | 32.5%205 W · 425 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5789…6407backed Rune Eaters | 23c | 1,756$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 42 | 23.8%10 W · 32 L | -3.7wins | -0.09per pick | 33cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb635…bef0backed Rune Eaters | 29c | 1,748$507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$506.92 | 303 | 36.6%111 W · 192 L | -18.4wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Xtreme Gaming | 71c | 1,633$1,153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$479.99 | 1,036 | 47.2%489 W · 547 L | +15.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Rune Eaters | 29c | 1,548$453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$452.75 | 1,280 | 45%576 W · 704 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b10…9659backed Xtreme Gaming | 71c | 1,500$1,065 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435 | 494 | 55.1%272 W · 222 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x703b…e371backed Rune Eaters | 19c | 1,500$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285 | 515 | 44.9%231 W · 284 L | +40.9wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x249f…fed3backed Rune Eaters | 20c | 1,410$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.9 | 626 | 50.5%316 W · 310 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6b3…9441backed Rune Eaters | 22c | 1,300$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.7 | 66 | 39.4%26 W · 40 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d8a…f907backed Rune Eaters | 24c | 1,261$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.63 | 141 | 36.9%52 W · 89 L | -13.3wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…5a3fbacked Rune Eaters | 29c | 1,259$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.74 | 268 | 43.7%117 W · 151 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb234…1c20backed Rune Eaters | 25c | 1,238$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.83 | 290 | 42.1%122 W · 168 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f76…aea6backed Rune Eaters | 33c | 1,209$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 183 | 56.8%104 W · 79 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc50c…fe5dbacked Rune Eaters | 21c | 1,168$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…165bbacked Xtreme Gaming | 71c | 1,164$828 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.95 | 1,275 | 33.5%427 W · 848 L | -15.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Rune Eaters | 29c | 1,116$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.64 | 779 | 41.1%320 W · 459 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Xtreme Gaming | 66c | 1,111$728 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.35 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…56efbacked Xtreme Gaming | 69c | 1,100$759 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.99 | 565 | 42.8%242 W · 323 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab12…764ebacked Xtreme Gaming | 71c | 1,069$755 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.52 | 270 | 60%162 W · 108 L | -11.3wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa113…bb53backed Rune Eaters | 40c | 1,060$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf92e…2dadbacked Xtreme Gaming | 74c | 1,033$763 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.8 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b7e…ef88backed Rune Eaters | 10c | 1,032$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 84 | 25%21 W · 63 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x177e…c244backed Rune Eaters | 7c | 999.96$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 295 | 46.1%136 W · 159 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa57…a128backed Xtreme Gaming | 80c | 995.5$796 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.55 | 466 | 64.2%299 W · 167 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b34…e95dbacked Rune Eaters | 22c | 949.97$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.36 | 51 | 31.4%16 W · 35 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2924…0f31backed Xtreme Gaming | 80c | 895$713 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.94 | 470 | 46.6%219 W · 251 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd99e…8102backed Rune Eaters | 2c | 880$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.95 | 50 | 24%12 W · 38 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x48f7…3aebbacked Rune Eaters | 30c | 840.78$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.18 | 668 | 48.5%324 W · 344 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed Rune Eaters | 36c | 824.98$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.99 | 885 | 39.7%351 W · 534 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2039…2e5fbacked Rune Eaters | 25c | 807.14$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2133…7903backed Rune Eaters | 4c | 800$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.2 | 344 | 43.9%151 W · 193 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…eba1backed Rune Eaters | 3c | 799.97$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 613 | 2.1%13 W · 600 L | -23.4wins | -0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x070f…ed83backed Xtreme Gaming | 58c | 782.27$455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.55 | 262 | 47.7%125 W · 137 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b5…205abacked Rune Eaters | 13c | 774.22$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.35 | 319 | 53.9%172 W · 147 L | +16.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x19ae…395cbacked Rune Eaters | 27c | 745.23$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203 | 319 | 36.7%117 W · 202 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08b8…e7dabacked Xtreme Gaming | 71c | 742.46$527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.31 | 310 | 55.2%171 W · 139 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb969…1d37backed Rune Eaters | 27c | 741.22$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -3.9wins | -0.26per pick | 46cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x96a8…6107backed Rune Eaters | 41c | 724.98$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 74 | 39.2%29 W · 45 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31cb…2442backed Rune Eaters | 17c | 720.99$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.43 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c67…d062backed Rune Eaters | 28c | 714.29$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,137 | 42.3%481 W · 656 L | -27.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a57…7b0abacked Xtreme Gaming | 61c | 699.98$427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.99 | 86 | 57%49 W · 37 L | +5.7wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed Xtreme Gaming | 70c | 690.44$483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.13 | 799 | 59.4%475 W · 324 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd977…d9d6backed Rune Eaters | 43c | 680$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.08 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf7d6…cab5backed Xtreme Gaming | 77c | 649.99$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148 | 513 | 64.9%333 W · 180 L | +16.4wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60dd…40e5backed Rune Eaters | 28c | 643.39$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 334 | 53%177 W · 157 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c1b…de56backed Rune Eaters | 33c | 641.48$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.31 | 153 | 38.6%59 W · 94 L | -7.2wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4912…b76fbacked Rune Eaters | 28c | 629.64$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.3 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf6f…9f0abacked Xtreme Gaming | 71c | 621.95$442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.57 | 161 | 39.8%64 W · 97 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf36e…f91cbacked Rune Eaters | 30c | 606$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.74 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e3b…be27backed Rune Eaters | 16c | 599.05$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.85 | 210 | 47.6%100 W · 110 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed Xtreme Gaming | 72c | 555.53$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.55 | 93 | 50.5%47 W · 46 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe99e…0084backed Xtreme Gaming | 69c | 543.68$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.48 | 876 | 45.7%400 W · 476 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2776…2886backed Rune Eaters | 27c | 500$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf3be…12ccbacked Xtreme Gaming | 60c | 500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 111 | 42.3%47 W · 64 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf27…026fbacked Xtreme Gaming | 73c | 500$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 658 | 63.1%415 W · 243 L | +17.5wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc925…6d24backed Xtreme Gaming | 78c | 499.99$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.31 | 416 | 32.7%136 W · 280 L | -37.8wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcc36…d35dbacked Xtreme Gaming | 72c | 486.8$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.3 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1378…dbd2backed Rune Eaters | 27c | 481.78$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.08 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe96f…22a2backed Rune Eaters | 27c | 478.91$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.31 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2776…4ecbbacked Xtreme Gaming | 67c | 472.92$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.45 | 72 | 62.5%45 W · 27 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x703e…9828backed Rune Eaters | 6c | 468$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 74 | 37.8%28 W · 46 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4309…03a6backed Rune Eaters | 42c | 467.81$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.48 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Rune Eaters | 42c | 457$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.48 | 702 | 36.6%257 W · 445 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26bd…e53bbacked Xtreme Gaming | 78c | 449.77$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.77 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a4f…9b0cbacked Xtreme Gaming | 71c | 447.85$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.88 | 82 | 50%41 W · 41 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Rune Eaters | 28c | 433.79$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.98 | 87 | 28.7%25 W · 62 L | -8.5wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0c7b…6e9dbacked Xtreme Gaming | 79c | 422.34$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.95 | 252 | 46.8%118 W · 134 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8a1…ceb5backed Xtreme Gaming | 73c | 418.47$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.47 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5874…64c3backed Rune Eaters | 6c | 416.67$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 59 | 33.9%20 W · 39 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7771…009fbacked Xtreme Gaming | 70c | 414.73$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.42 | 124 | 52.4%65 W · 59 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98a7…b766backed Rune Eaters | 38c | 405.32$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.13 | 602 | 51.2%308 W · 294 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc159…f3c8backed Rune Eaters | 37c | 404.76$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 192 | 38.5%74 W · 118 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Rune Eaters vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Rune Eaters vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 1 WinnerRune Eaters won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.