TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x331a…ff18

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
112
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: F1, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category F1 at 54 out of 100; worst Dota2 at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 5, 2026, EDT7841%32 W · 46 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-18%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 78 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs 9z (BO3) - XSE Pro League Group Stagebacked MIBR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$234Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$234.05
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs 9z - Map 2 Winnerbacked MIBR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.05
Counter-Strike: EYEBALLERS vs Team Nemesis (BO3) - XSE Pro League Group Stagebacked EYEBALLERS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Counter-Strike: EYEBALLERS vs Team Nemesis - Map 2 Winnerbacked EYEBALLERS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+150%+$143.15
Will Aurora win IEM Cologne Major 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.69
Will Vitality win IEM Cologne Major 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$984Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$838.05
Will 9z win IEM Cologne Major 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will PARIVISION win IEM Cologne Major 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will B8 win IEM Cologne Major 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$138Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$138
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Vitality (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group Abacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$240.1
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs BC.Game Esports (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group Abacked BC.Game Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.68
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Vitality - Map 3 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.22
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Vitality (BO5) - IEM Rio Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$239Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$238.75
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs RED Canids (+1.5)backed RED Canids · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$115.19
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Natus Vincere (BO5) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Playoffsbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$249Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$248.91
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs G2 (+1.5)backed Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$493Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$493.01
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group Abacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$982Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$982.17
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group Abacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$498Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+97.2%+$484.7
Map Handicap: FURIA (-1.5) vs Astralis (+1.5)backed FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$490Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$490
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FaZe (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group Bbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$281Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$280.76
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FaZe - Map 2 Winnerbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$500
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group Abacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$1,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$1,500
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Natus Vincere - Map 2 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+156.4%+$782.05
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Natus Vincere - Map 1 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$977Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$976.75
Showing 25 of 78 picks, newest first.
Dota2last resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT1526.7%4 W · 11 L-1.7wins-0.11per pick38cpaid-0.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs TEAM VISION (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$469Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$468.64
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs TEAM VISION - Game 2 Winnerbacked TEAM VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$575Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$575.11
Dota 2: REKONIX vs Vici Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked REKONIX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$372Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$372.01
Xtreme Gaming to win 2-0?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$493Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$493.07
Dota 2: L1ga Team vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 1 Winnerbacked L1ga Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$291Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$291.01
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Game 2 Winnerbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$493Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$493.07
Dota 2: Level UP vs Aurora - Game 1 Winnerbacked Level UP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$488Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$487.87
Dota 2: Rune Eaters vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Rune Eaters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$488Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$488.33
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Yellow Submarine (BO3) - The International Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked Yellow Submarine · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Yellow Submarine - Game 2 Winnerbacked Yellow Submarine · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$111Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+704%+$783.28
Dota 2: Virtus.pro vs HULIGANI (BO3) - The International Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked HULIGANI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$192Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+166.8%+$319.6
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Team Falcons - Game 3 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+66.7%+$333.33
Will Team Falcons win The International 2025 Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$324Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT+157.9%+$511.68
Will PARIVISION win The International 2025 Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$49.82
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs. Team Falconsbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$99.95
All 15 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2025, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

F1 Inactivelast resolved Nov 30, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+115.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
F1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Dec 8, 2024, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.28per pick22cpaid+100.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Assad remain President of Syria through 2024?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2024, EST+301.6%+$89.85
Iran strike on Israel before November?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2024, EDT-100%-$49.95
All 2 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 21, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+22%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Europa League Finalbacked Tottenham · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$124Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2025, EDT+143.9%+$178.01
Will Bodo/Glimt vs. Tottenham end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$250
All 2 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Dec 31, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid-35.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+28.6%+$285.57
Will Trump launch a coin before the election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2024, EDT-100%-$121.76
All 2 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Dec 15, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2024, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Boxing — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sweden win Eurovision 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$77.11
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved May 8, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+87.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Pietro Parolin be the next pope?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$282Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2025, EDT+87.8%+$247.99
All 1 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$365Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$365.06
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.