Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will Bodo/Glimt vs. Tottenham end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x88b03cd398a439a736b57985a47182cac45a68383a8bf17192b3deb2240517af
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $189,871
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $188,796
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $189,871 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 68 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa8e0…1dd2backed No | 75c | 132,045$99,034 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33,011.35 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e11…9bacbacked Yes | 25c | 131,771$32,943 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32,942.75 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -50%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab76…8c37backed No | 75c | 9,998$7,499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,499.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4714…a983backed No | 75c | 9,995$7,496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,498.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f04…2149backed Yes | 25c | 9,995$2,499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,498.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c35…9e9abacked Yes | 25c | 9,990$2,498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,497.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04a7…c0dfbacked Yes | 25c | 6,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…dbbcbacked No | 75c | 5,000$3,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,250 | 75 | 66.7%50 W · 25 L | +8.4wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd44c…ab91backed Yes | 41c | 4,160$1,720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,720.01 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -3.2wins | -0.40per pick | 52cpaid | -83.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked No | 63c | 4,023$2,527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,496.04 | 122 | 43.4%53 W · 69 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes | 24c | 3,008$732 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$731.87 | 84 | 20.2%17 W · 67 L | -12.1wins | -0.14per pick | 35cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked No | 75c | 2,619$1,964 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$654.8 | 68 | 58.8%40 W · 28 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d07…0351backed Yes | 24c | 1,815$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -50%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Yes | 8c | 1,345$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 81 | 29.6%24 W · 57 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a0e…4dc6backed No | 75c | 1,105$832 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.24 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19fa…b4a1backed Yes | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x331a…ff18backed Yes | 26c | 977.66$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +22%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76c8…ba09backed No | 54c | 855$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$393.3 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.35per pick | 40cpaid | +95.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fe…ad85backed Yes | 26c | 782.37$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +4.7wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Yes | 43c | 779.07$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333 | 59 | 62.7%37 W · 22 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfceb…37dabacked No | 77c | 693.81$531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.64 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed No | 78c | 577.86$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.21 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b06…b091backed No | 74c | 500$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc614…b14bbacked Yes | 31c | 468.64$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed No | 75c | 450.97$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.68 | 140 | 42.1%59 W · 81 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 24c | 441.22$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.89 | 82 | 40.2%33 W · 49 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked No | 74c | 438.52$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.02 | 122 | 69.7%85 W · 37 L | +14.5wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc1c4…bbfbbacked Yes | 24c | 432$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.68 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9b…0f44backed Yes | 24c | 392.75$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.26 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 66c | 385.24$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.13 | 279 | 39.8%111 W · 168 L | -15.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe2c4…a40abacked Yes | 27c | 370.37$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ad…d11dbacked Yes | 23c | 360.65$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.66 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed No | 74c | 309.62$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.5 | 91 | 45.1%41 W · 50 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 76c | 306.25$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.68 | 246 | 55.7%137 W · 109 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3bb8…7471backed No | 67c | 253$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.34 | 82 | 39%32 W · 50 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b51…9c96backed Yes | 24c | 250$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x098c…1c67backed Yes | 24c | 211.41$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.74 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8679…4659backed Yes | 24c | 202.33$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.56 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a9a…dcbebacked Yes | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbdba…fbb8backed No | 77c | 176.91$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.69 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 75c | 175.11$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.78 | 95 | 61.1%58 W · 37 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ff…ca90backed No | 74c | 173.25$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.67 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -2.6wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -32%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d85…be2ebacked Yes | 9c | 155$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 76c | 139.38$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.53 | 237 | 57%135 W · 102 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed No | 63c | 126.02$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.6 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -4.1wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -34%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbec3…f088backed Yes | 37c | 125.64$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78c2…8316backed Yes | 25c | 120$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -2.9wins | -0.29per pick | 39cpaid | -80.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x10f4…3b7ebacked Yes | 26c | 115.76$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked No | 76c | 108$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.92 | 75 | 45.3%34 W · 41 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed No | 61c | 102.56$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 44 | 27.3%12 W · 32 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf211…ffdfbacked Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5fc…b47dbacked No | 76c | 100$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x630a…8339backed No | 75c | 72.93$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.93 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +110.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f52…9057backed Yes | 25c | 72$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda9f…00bebacked Yes | 26c | 55.54$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.44 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…84bfbacked No | 76c | 52.76$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.66 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d42…787fbacked No | 75c | 50.67$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.67 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed No | 65c | 43.29$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.15 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77d6…4fd2backed Yes | 35c | 43.29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.15 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 54cpaid | +48.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x093b…4971backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe57a…2d00backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96eb…5d99backed No | 65c | 37$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x265d…5329backed No | 76c | 32.89$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.89 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab3b…a825backed No | 78c | 32.05$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.05 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe5e9…9f82backed No | 78c | 32.05$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7592…b5cbbacked No | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 76cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9599…be88backed No | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 52cpaid | +57.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bodo/Glimt vs. Tottenham end in a draw?this page
- Will Bodo/Glimt win on 2025-05-08?No won
- Will Tottenham win on 2025-05-08?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.