TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0f52…9057

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
60
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: NHL, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category NHL at 57 out of 100; worst Europa Conference League at 49.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 25, 2026, EDT1758.8%10 W · 7 L+1.2wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+10.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Nuggets vs. Sunsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$15.5
76ers vs. Pacersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+25%+$10.5
Grizzlies vs. Knicksbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST-100%-$11
Hornets vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+51.5%+$10.82
Knicks vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$35
Thunder vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Celtics vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$32
Knicks vs. Celticsbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2025, EDT+400%+$60
Timberwolves vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$68
Bucks vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT+31.6%+$15.16
Rockets vs. Warriorsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$39
Cavaliers vs. Heatbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2025, EDT+28.2%+$11.56
Pacers vs. Bucksbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2025, EDT+163.2%+$31
Celtics vs. Magicbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$26
Lakers vs. Timberwolvesbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$44
Thunder vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
Nuggets vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$16.75
All 17 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2025, EDT1668.8%11 W · 5 L+2.6wins+0.16per pick52cpaid+32.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
NHL — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hurricanes vs. Capitalsbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$14.7
Oilers vs. Golden Knightsbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2025, EDT+117.4%+$34.04
Panthers vs. Maple Leafsbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$32.44
Capitals vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2025, EDT+44.9%+$31
Maple Leafs vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$22.62
Stars vs. Jetsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$25.56
Oilers vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$42.5
Hurricanes vs. Capitalsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2025, EDT+122.2%+$18.33
Stars vs. Jetsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$24
Panthers vs. Maple Leafsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2025, EDT+117.4%+$27
Wild vs. Golden Knightsbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Avalanche vs. Starsbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$43
Stars vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$29.37
Hurricanes vs. Devilsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2025, EDT+156.4%+$61
Capitals vs. Canadiensbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$32
Maple Leafs vs. Senatorsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2025, EDT+117.4%+$18.78
All 16 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 20, 2025, EDT1154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-13.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cardinals vs. Diamondbacksbacked Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$15.31
Giants vs. White Soxbacked Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$20.5
Diamondbacks vs. Dodgersbacked Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$24
Phillies vs. Rockiesbacked Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$14
Mets vs. Yankeesbacked Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
White Sox vs. Redsbacked Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$16.75
Nationals vs. Bravesbacked Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2025, EDT+50.5%+$24.98
Pirates vs. Metsbacked Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$28.84
Blue Jays vs. Marinersbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$35.4
Braves vs. Piratesbacked Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Rangers vs. Tigersbacked Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$20.42
All 11 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2025, EDT683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.21per pick62cpaid+22%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 7, 2025, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+138.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 2, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick72cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Cricket Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lucknow Super Giants vs. Royal Challengers Bangalorebacked Royal Challengers Bangalore · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$22.91
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sevilla FC vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$17.69
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Aug 22, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bayern München win on 2025-08-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$11
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 8, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bodo/Glimt vs. Tottenham end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$18
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.