MLB · resolved market
Blue Jays vs. Mariners
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc054b48f4a730d8db784e617a7d2a7da02f9943be4b8abaad232fe593e0b370b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Blue Jaysof Blue Jays, Mariners
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $74,243
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $74,022
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $74,243 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 90 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Blue Jays | 42c | 12,142$5,153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,989.03 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Blue Jays | 36c | 7,948$2,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,097.44 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc91a…c6b8backed Mariners | 11c | 6,946$791 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$791.47 | 107 | 46.7%50 W · 57 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5fb…84b5backed Mariners | 48c | 6,944$3,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,300 | 61 | 57.4%35 W · 26 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Blue Jays | 45c | 5,629$2,521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,108.76 | 540 | 48.3%261 W · 279 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ed…16f3backed Mariners | 57c | 5,000$2,827 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,826.78 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8a2…3b96backed Blue Jays | 46c | 4,358$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,358.03 | 54 | 61.1%33 W · 21 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Blue Jays | 44c | 3,221$1,417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,803.58 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc84…3e67backed Mariners | 29c | 2,457$712 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$712.44 | 66 | 45.5%30 W · 36 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e3…ce1fbacked Mariners | 55c | 2,255$1,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,240.21 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f2…5495backed Mariners | 57c | 2,106$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 97 | 59.8%58 W · 39 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3b…1d77backed Mariners | 56c | 2,000$1,124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,123.91 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…3ef1backed Mariners | 50c | 1,889$945 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$944.57 | 157 | 45.2%71 W · 86 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…a990backed Blue Jays | 28c | 1,762$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,262.47 | 312 | 48.4%151 W · 161 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Mariners | 54c | 1,563$844 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$844.04 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Mariners | 56c | 1,557$865 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$864.96 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a9e…f27abacked Mariners | 53c | 1,500$795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$795 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf619…4efebacked Blue Jays | 47c | 1,491$701 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$790.23 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Blue Jays | 56c | 1,434$802 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$632.57 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Blue Jays | 51c | 1,182$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$581.88 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa270…42c9backed Blue Jays | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560 | 401 | 52.4%210 W · 191 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf40…1bd2backed Mariners | 26c | 1,000$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Mariners | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Mariners | 56c | 1,000$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 333 | 49.5%165 W · 168 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Mariners | 22c | 920.43$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 205 | 23.4%48 W · 157 L | -9.0wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Mariners | 25c | 900.59$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.12 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…b67ebacked Blue Jays | 46c | 758.7$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.7 | 92 | 45.7%42 W · 50 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…ddfabacked Mariners | 56c | 744$417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416.64 | 374 | 46.8%175 W · 199 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Blue Jays | 45c | 684.47$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.11 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Mariners | 55c | 668.89$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.89 | 217 | 48.4%105 W · 112 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x954b…eb22backed Blue Jays | 45c | 668.89$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.89 | 68 | 47.1%32 W · 36 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…dbbcbacked Mariners | 56c | 575.35$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.2 | 245 | 53.5%131 W · 114 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd55c…34febacked Mariners | 55c | 418.5$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.17 | 376 | 49.5%186 W · 190 L | +9.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Blue Jays | 37c | 275.49$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x63ed…92bebacked Mariners | 56c | 250$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Mariners | 7c | 248.28$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.79 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Blue Jays | 45c | 237.48$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.61 | 686 | 56.4%387 W · 299 L | +38.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Blue Jays | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.39 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Blue Jays | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.39 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Blue Jays | 46c | 200$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Blue Jays | 40c | 185$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.45 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcc8d…5232backed Mariners | 55c | 181$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.55 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Blue Jays | 28c | 178.57$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.57 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b36…fd74backed Mariners | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ce…bca1backed Mariners | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 201 | 50.2%101 W · 100 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x969b…7f79backed Mariners | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 21 | 81%17 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 72cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ed5…e9bfbacked Mariners | 58c | 137$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 177 | 44.1%78 W · 99 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24b9…bcb1backed Mariners | 10c | 130$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 223 | 12.1%27 W · 196 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0328…28fabacked Blue Jays | 42c | 127.9$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.18 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…5358backed Mariners | 56c | 119.99$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.19 | 163 | 47.2%77 W · 86 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Mariners | 37c | 114.91$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.21 | 639 | 42.7%273 W · 366 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7752…a524backed Blue Jays | 53c | 107.55$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.55 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x134a…9e42backed Mariners | 52c | 102$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.04 | 46 | 32.6%15 W · 31 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ff6…d298backed Mariners | 58c | 100$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0a5…f7bcbacked Blue Jays | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x866d…4d7dbacked Blue Jays | 42c | 100$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 65 | 32.3%21 W · 44 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd065…93e8backed Mariners | 62c | 93.55$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf8c…4bc2backed Mariners | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb1…eb96backed Mariners | 58c | 80$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.4 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2920…80bebacked Mariners | 54c | 74.07$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 238 | 52.9%126 W · 112 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd9…f0d5backed Mariners | 55c | 72.73$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 342 | 64.3%220 W · 122 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1434…2a51backed Mariners | 56c | 68.87$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.5 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.4wins | -0.40per pick | 57cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0f52…9057backed Mariners | 56c | 63.21$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.4 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5566…a752backed Blue Jays | 46c | 63.04$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.04 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +3.1wins | +0.29per pick | 53cpaid | +65.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…d681backed Mariners | 55c | 61.82$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 743 | 56.9%423 W · 320 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224b…f6b8backed Mariners | 56c | 60$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.6 | 209 | 54.5%114 W · 95 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49f7…046bbacked Mariners | 55c | 55.75$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.66 | 237 | 53.2%126 W · 111 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c42…f381backed Blue Jays | 39c | 54.36$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +156.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed Blue Jays | 46c | 54.35$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.35 | 944 | 55.3%522 W · 422 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02c7…3df7backed Mariners | 56c | 53.57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 551 | 52.5%289 W · 262 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72fe…e2cebacked Mariners | 56c | 53$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.68 | 519 | 55.3%287 W · 232 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28a5…ebbfbacked Blue Jays | 48c | 52.38$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.37 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef63…96cbbacked Mariners | 55c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 467 | 53.7%251 W · 216 L | -11.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6445…c1cbbacked Blue Jays | 48c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +45.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5efc…ee80backed Blue Jays | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.62 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf391…73c3backed Mariners | 57c | 46.67$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.6 | 295 | 52.2%154 W · 141 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6554…a910backed Mariners | 54c | 46.3$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.2wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x501f…f746backed Mariners | 58c | 44.68$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.69 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Blue Jays | 44c | 44.16$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.73 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa27b…5d5cbacked Mariners | 59c | 37.68$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.23 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.23per pick | 57cpaid | -19%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcbe7…faecbacked Mariners | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94a7…f88dbacked Mariners | 58c | 34.68$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb7a6…f48bbacked Mariners | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 94 | 45.7%43 W · 51 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Mariners | 54c | 30.56$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…84bfbacked Mariners | 58c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 1,051 | 50.4%530 W · 521 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa75b…3e65backed Blue Jays | 52c | 21.12$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.12 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -52%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05a4…1e85backed Blue Jays | 53c | 20.1$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.51 | 806 | 80%645 W · 161 L | +173.6wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x5f01…4ca2backed Mariners | 58c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 364 | 53%193 W · 171 L | -17.4wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe300…f71abacked Mariners | 57c | 18.42$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xab92…f52abacked Mariners | 55c | 18.2$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 69 | 58%40 W · 29 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.