TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x5566…a752

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
88
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: MLB, grading 60 out of 100 (+0.09 per pick).

Best Category MLB at 60 out of 100; worst College Football at 40.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 26, 2026, EDT2642.3%11 W · 15 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-15%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$17
Thunder vs. Pistonsbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$14.5
Hornets vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT+28.2%+$7.62
Bulls vs. Cavaliersbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 7, 2025, EDT+284.6%+$37
Grizzlies vs. Clippersbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Suns vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$28
Suns vs. Nuggetsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Timberwolves vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2025, EST-100%-$18.5
Pelicans vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2025, EST+31.6%+$24
Hawks vs. Grizzliesbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2025, EST+300%+$43.5
Rockets vs. Thunderbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2025, EST-100%-$18
Bulls vs. Timberwolvesbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2025, EST-100%-$18
Clippers vs. Raptorsbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2025, EST-100%-$66
Nuggets vs. 76ersbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2025, EST+28.2%+$14.67
Pistons vs. Pacersbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2025, EST-100%-$32
Hawks vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2025, EST+25%+$16.75
Celtics vs. Mavericksbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2025, EST+35.1%+$16.51
Warriors vs. Kingsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Cavaliers vs. Thunderbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2025, EST-100%-$47
Suns vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2025, EST+163.2%+$31
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2025, EST-100%-$18
Spurs vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2025, EST-100%-$45
Trail Blazers vs. Lakersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2025, EST-100%-$12
Celtics vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2025, EST-100%-$42
Nets vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST+104.1%+$78.58
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Sep 26, 2025, EDT1181.8%9 W · 2 L+3.1wins+0.29per pick53cpaid+65.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
MLB — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
White Sox vs. Yankeesbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 26, 2025, EDT+36%+$7.56
Cardinals vs. Giantsbacked Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 24, 2025, EDT+177.8%+$39.11
White Sox vs. Yankeesbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 24, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$11.76
Nationals vs. Bravesbacked Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 23, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$10.71
Padres vs. White Soxbacked Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$32
Marlins vs. Rockiesbacked Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$20.5
Cardinals vs. Brewersbacked Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$23.34
Mets vs. Nationalsbacked Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2025, EDT+156.4%+$38.32
Athletics vs. Rangersbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$17
Angels vs. Yankeesbacked Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2025, EDT+212.5%+$24.23
Blue Jays vs. Marinersbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2025, EDT+117.4%+$34.04
All 11 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2025, EDT1050%5 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NHL — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Capitals vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2025, EDT+104.1%+$31.22
Kraken vs. Capitalsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$12.66
Utah vs. Blackhawksbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2025, EST+156.4%+$34.41
Flames vs. Starsbacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Bruins vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2025, EST+40.8%+$12.66
Maple Leafs vs. Hurricanesbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2025, EST-100%-$11.3
Blues vs. Wildbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Senators vs. Starsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2025, EST-100%-$66
Canucks vs. Flamesbacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST+91.2%+$50.16
Utah vs. Krakenbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2024, EST-100%-$67.5
All 10 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Oct 10, 2025, EDT944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+40%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Sep 18, 2025, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.22per pick45cpaid+42.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 10, 2026, EST560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-11.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Serie A — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Sep 21, 2025, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-2.6wins-0.53per pick73cpaid-74.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
College Football — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Boise State vs. Air Forcebacked Boise State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT+28.2%+$7.62
Arkansas vs. Memphisbacked Arkansas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$21.5
Tulsa vs. Oklahoma Statebacked Oklahoma State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$48.5
Liberty vs. Bowling Greenbacked Liberty · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$41.5
Pittsburgh vs. West Virginiabacked Pittsburgh · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
All 5 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 22, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick70cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Oct 3, 2025, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-54.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Sep 12, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2025-09-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 12, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$7.71
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 28, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Jordan vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.32
All 1 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Sep 19, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.74per pick74cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
WNBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Fever vs. Dreambacked Dream · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$27.5
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.