Champions League · resolved market
Will Bayer Leverkusen win on 2025-03-05?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x891c92ef400365bd12188ce0a9330e8fbf4fd243a52648e301d6a0610e2d7144
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $70,682
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $73,617
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $70,682 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 101 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2863…0e3ebacked No | 80c | 12,111$9,689 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,422.2 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 64cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90ee…7182backed Yes | 21c | 9,246$1,898 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,898 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 78c | 5,412$4,212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200.36 | 398 | 42.2%168 W · 230 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44c4…09cbbacked Yes | 19c | 5,263$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 38 | 18.4%7 W · 31 L | -5.0wins | -0.13per pick | 32cpaid | -59.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 21c | 4,000$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840 | 402 | 22.9%92 W · 310 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | +9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37d8…b6ddbacked Yes | 24c | 3,584$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$850 | 57 | 31.6%18 W · 39 L | -4.9wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…dbbcbacked No | 80c | 3,257$2,605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$651.32 | 123 | 59.3%73 W · 50 L | +12.4wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +16%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2d86…f0bbbacked No | 79c | 3,147$2,486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660.84 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 75cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 77c | 2,847$2,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$646.67 | 368 | 51.1%188 W · 180 L | +15.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d27…76d8backed No | 80c | 2,500$1,989 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510.72 | 129 | 21.7%28 W · 101 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c65…a0b7backed Yes | 20c | 2,500$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes | 20c | 2,500$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 96 | 43.8%42 W · 54 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb79…c2c6backed No | 80c | 2,000$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 87 | 48.3%42 W · 45 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb701…7cf6backed Yes | 21c | 1,817$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 84 | 33.3%28 W · 56 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +35%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa822…64e6backed Yes | 21c | 1,376$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.2 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed No | 79c | 1,345$1,063 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.53 | 194 | 53.6%104 W · 90 L | +12.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +16%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x679e…66d1backed Yes | 23c | 1,307$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.25 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7581…9679backed Yes | 24c | 1,250$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 34cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b37…c06bbacked Yes | 20c | 1,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec92…98f5backed No | 79c | 1,000$790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 60 | 60%36 W · 24 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1990…e954backed Yes | 21c | 952.38$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d97…fbd8backed Yes | 2c | 777.38$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.11 | 23 | 13%3 W · 20 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -43%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked No | 80c | 750$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 176 | 58.5%103 W · 73 L | +10.3wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3d4c…f7debacked Yes | 20c | 750$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 46 | 37%17 W · 29 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…d55abacked Yes | 21c | 714.29$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1b2…7fb6backed Yes | 20c | 626.9$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…62d8backed Yes | 19c | 526.32$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 152 | 50.7%77 W · 75 L | +9.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Yes | 3c | 517.53$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.53 | 173 | 48%83 W · 90 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68fa…c900backed No | 78c | 512.82$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.82 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 76cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c5f…7df9backed Yes | 20c | 500.3$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Yes | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 201 | 33.8%68 W · 133 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5d2…317bbacked No | 75c | 500$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67a7…86cebacked Yes | 6c | 499.9$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.99 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2105…64adbacked Yes | 21c | 476.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa970…c980backed No | 78c | 448.13$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.59 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c8…1efabacked Yes | 21c | 440.92$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.59 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c46…be29backed Yes | 21c | 400$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 131 | 39.7%52 W · 79 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9a2…ce75backed Yes | 20c | 376.4$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked No | 76c | 349.99$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.94 | 168 | 36.3%61 W · 107 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe896…938bbacked Yes | 6c | 333.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf62d…d3a0backed Yes | 20c | 328.35$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | -4.3wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x47fb…74d6backed Yes | 10c | 290.9$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 40 | 22.5%9 W · 31 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb474…a4bcbacked No | 79c | 269.28$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.24 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49dc…9830backed Yes | 19c | 263.16$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -2.9wins | -0.17per pick | 46cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xad98…8733backed Yes | 20c | 252.38$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe31b…07e0backed Yes | 12c | 240.15$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 27cpaid | -50.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78a5…50b7backed Yes | 21c | 238.1$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54f0…7a91backed Yes | 21c | 213.64$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 56 | 25%14 W · 42 L | +4.5wins | +0.08per pick | 17cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbf…de7bbacked Yes | 20c | 200$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x542a…ef0ebacked Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Yes | 19c | 200$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d45…b661backed Yes | 14c | 200$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed No | 78c | 199.99$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 344 | 49.7%171 W · 173 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83c5…e193backed Yes | 20c | 179.99$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.6 | 90 | 40%36 W · 54 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…1730backed Yes | 16c | 158.39$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +70.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 80c | 155$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 469 | 56.5%265 W · 204 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1268…94e0backed Yes | 21c | 153.07$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.75 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +18%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0054…7f85backed No | 80c | 152.52$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.58 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ee…d511backed Yes | 21c | 141.98$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc64e…3cdbbacked Yes | 20c | 140$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.7 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -48%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf7f…00c2backed Yes | 19c | 135$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.65 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fb4…e810backed Yes | 19c | 131.5$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51a0…4d82backed Yes | 23c | 130.43$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Yes | 20c | 130.01$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.16 | 291 | 36.8%107 W · 184 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d8c…726cbacked Yes | 21c | 125$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.25 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2453…28e2backed Yes | 20c | 120$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 74 | 40.5%30 W · 44 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a442backed Yes | 23c | 115.13$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.3 | 143 | 32.2%46 W · 97 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdd4…7696backed Yes | 20c | 109.5$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.9 | 95 | 38.9%37 W · 58 L | -4.9wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b51…9c96backed Yes | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 27cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e72…86a0backed Yes | 24c | 104.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbcd2…6ab0backed Yes | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 37 | 27%10 W · 27 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7790…f271backed No | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb734…502cbacked Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6db…7587backed Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e2…a27ebacked Yes | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49f7…046bbacked No | 80c | 97.5$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcaf7…6165backed Yes | 21c | 95.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bbe…0d3abacked Yes | 21c | 95.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 32cpaid | -76%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c87…70d5backed Yes | 22c | 75.41$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.59 | 135 | 34.8%47 W · 88 L | -10.9wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x465a…1853backed Yes | 20c | 73$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5566…a752backed Yes | 20c | 70$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +42.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6173…4258backed Yes | 18c | 69$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.42 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ed…502abacked Yes | 22c | 64$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4041…6f52backed Yes | 23c | 60$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 183 | 34.4%63 W · 120 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06b9…fb44backed Yes | 21c | 53.64$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 29 | 13.8%4 W · 25 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 9cpaid | +35%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ea…810abacked No | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 151 | 53%80 W · 71 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63f6…30f0backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2936…07f5backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 31 | 12.9%4 W · 27 L | -4.0wins | -0.13per pick | 26cpaid | -72.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5cfe…2c69backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 27cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2d4…7791backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4835…8f59backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a0f…0536backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa13b…807cbacked Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.18per pick | 47cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…b3b7backed Yes | 24c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabc0…7f71backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe102…0d3dbacked No | 78c | 41$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.02 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +50.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 78c | 34.14$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.55 | 257 | 35%90 W · 167 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x664b…8509backed No | 80c | 31$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -3.5wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked No | 79c | 29.78$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.25 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +5.7wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +65.8%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xcefb…159dbacked No | 78c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bayer Leverkusen win on 2025-03-05?this page
- Will Bayern Munich vs. Bayer Leverkusen end in a draw?No won
- Will Bayern Munich win on 2025-03-05?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.