TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

Will Bayern Munich win on 2025-03-05?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$283,040
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$292,446

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $283,040 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,931 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x74e3…9d1abacked No43c78,130$33,596 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33,595.7510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf0c2…764bbacked Yes57c78,100$44,517 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33,5832100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.34per pick67cpaid+53.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb79…c2c6backed No44c3,948$1,757 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,757.048748.3%42 W · 45 L-4.4wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-13.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe626…2fe6backed Yes78c2,965$2,302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$663.351553.3%8 W · 7 L-1.8wins-0.12per pick65cpaid-17.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x85c3…269bbacked Yes79c2,628$2,067 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$561.45955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick63cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed No44c2,500$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,099.979643.8%42 W · 54 L+0.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid+11.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0b6a…4873backed Yes57c2,418$1,378 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,039.541764.7%11 W · 6 L+2.9wins+0.17per pick47cpaid+39.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x40e3…0787backed No19c2,358$448 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$448.029244.6%41 W · 51 L+5.9wins+0.06per pick38cpaid+3.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x00e2…d56abacked No43c2,211$951 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$950.762240.9%9 W · 13 L-2.3wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-21.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x325f…d8acbacked No22c2,196$484 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$483.830754.1%166 W · 141 L+11.9wins+0.04per pick50cpaid-5.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x12d6…dbbcbacked Yes55c2,184$1,198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$985.8912359.3%73 W · 50 L+12.4wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+16%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2d27…76d8backed No44c1,865$815 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$815.4412921.7%28 W · 101 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick19cpaid-21.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Yes55c1,684$930 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$754.7136851.1%188 W · 180 L+15.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x78ad…b32ebacked No44c1,500$660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$659.9210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked No43c1,395$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$599.8517658.5%103 W · 73 L+10.3wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+15.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed No19c1,314$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.795853.4%31 W · 27 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x85c7…1db7backed No43c1,100$473 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$472.99771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.21per pick50cpaid+34.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x679e…66d1backed Yes56c1,077$603 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$473.991637.5%6 W · 10 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick35cpaid-21.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf7f…00c2backed Yes56c1,000$560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$440837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-34.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c86…6993backed No44c999.6$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$439.8219453.6%104 W · 90 L+12.2wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+16%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9614…5247backed Yes56c973.82$545 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$428.48333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.28per pick61cpaid-40.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf42a…8470backed Yes57c973.68$555 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$418.6810330.1%31 W · 72 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick29cpaid-11.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x34ee…3605backed Yes57c933.33$532 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$401.33633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-18.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3aed…a933backed No43c933.33$401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401.33333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-52.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c8d…d880backed Yes56c892.86$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$392.86333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-40.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc8bf…c049backed Yes57c877.19$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$377.191861.1%11 W · 7 L+1.8wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+20.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5fe7…593bbacked Yes57c780.4$441 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$339.18333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-41%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3503…b8babacked Yes55c779.35$431 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$347.925448.1%26 W · 28 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9353…cdbebacked Yes57c777$443 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$334.118040%32 W · 48 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-23.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed No44c738.09$323 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$323.0329136.8%107 W · 184 L+5.3wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3c5f…7df9backed Yes57c701.75$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301.75728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-48.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No44c679.97$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.1944955.7%250 W · 199 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbde1…187fbacked Yes56c666$373 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293.04666.7%4 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick72cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc58d…9373backed No19c600$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11412536.8%46 W · 79 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick37cpaid+33.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xb40d…8ee3backed Yes57c560.2$319 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240.89450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick40cpaid-15.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b47…4500backed No43c560.2$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.89650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf10a…b2d1backed No23c556.17$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.921266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.8wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+43.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed No44c499.99$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22023942.7%102 W · 137 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Yes57c499.99$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.9919645.4%89 W · 107 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid+14.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed No43c461.56$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.2546956.5%265 W · 204 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7eda…4bb7backed No46c434.78$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002528%7 W · 18 L-4.9wins-0.20per pick48cpaid-47.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked No46c411.67$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.1316836.3%61 W · 107 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9c4…a0b3backed No50c400$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.20per pick49cpaid-40.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x76fe…c74cbacked Yes54c383$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.18425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-53.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe483…b5a0backed Yes57c350.88$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.885149%25 W · 26 L+3.3wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+13.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8889…a9d1backed No46c331.63$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.5516447.6%78 W · 86 L-5.3wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes55c329.67$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.6339842.2%168 W · 230 L+1.7wins0.00per pick42cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4132…a5a5backed Yes55c321.84$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.4988.9%8 W · 1 L+3.6wins+0.40per pick49cpaid+95.4%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xff7e…697fbacked No44c317.98$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.91683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.7wins+0.28per pick56cpaid+54.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4bf8…86fcbacked No46c305.87$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.34742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick48cpaid+11.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc9d1…2b9ebacked Yes56c300.14$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.064740.4%19 W · 28 L-3.9wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-18.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa3b7…520dbacked Yes58c300$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12610743%46 W · 61 L+5.2wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+11.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x96df…4caabacked Yes58c300$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1262250%11 W · 11 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-7.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5314…910cbacked No44c263.03$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.445754.4%31 W · 26 L-0.3wins0.00per pick55cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x665a…174ebacked No44c259.15$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.03540%2 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.16per pick56cpaid-41.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa3ab…ec05backed No44c236.16$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.91955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+23.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7897…ea9abacked Yes57c235.75$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.091100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xad25…7678backed Yes54c235.57$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.361241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick37cpaid-15.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e82…6060backed Yes57c235.28$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.17560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+11.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x71c1…e358backed No44c228.68$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020133.8%68 W · 133 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick33cpaid+7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x78a5…50b7backed No44c227.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-24.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x49dc…9830backed No44c227.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001729.4%5 W · 12 L-2.9wins-0.17per pick46cpaid-47.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x85bc…5c35backed Yes57c222.58$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.71366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked No46c217.39$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10018650.5%94 W · 92 L-14.4wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-12%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf061…2572backed No46c217.39$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002835.7%10 W · 18 L-2.9wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-32%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc560…1fc1backed No43c217.18$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.39580%4 W · 1 L+1.7wins+0.35per pick45cpaid+79.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc682…7c9ebacked Yes57c214.91$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.41633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.23per pick56cpaid-37.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4022…46b6backed No44c208.52$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.75560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+45%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1668…ebebbacked Yes56c200.07$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.03650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x47fb…74d6backed No8c200$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154022.5%9 W · 31 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick21cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcae5…876dbacked Yes57c187.68$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.73100%3 W · 0 L+1.7wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+143%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7f65…d7aebacked Yes55c181.82$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.822466.7%16 W · 8 L+5.7wins+0.24per pick43cpaid+65.8%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x8097…8a5fbacked Yes56c178.57$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.571838.9%7 W · 11 L-2.1wins-0.12per pick51cpaid-35.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbddd…8559backed Yes57c175.44$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.44862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.21per pick41cpaid+42.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1203…2cd2backed Yes58c172.41$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.412100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xacd8…e908backed Yes58c172.41$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.411457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick50cpaid-6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf065…20abbacked Yes56c170.98$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.23366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.28per pick38cpaid+23.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x71fb…2a4ebacked Yes54c165$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.91100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7534…0ed7backed Yes54c165$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.91100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0547…49b9backed Yes54c165$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.91100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xba64…4700backed Yes54c165$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.91100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x397e…885cbacked Yes54c165$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.91100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf058…e17fbacked Yes54c165$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.91100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8449…a248backed Yes54c164$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.442100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+60.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x698f…2da3backed Yes54c164$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.441100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ddf…f3e2backed Yes54c164$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.441100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeaa1…7f12backed Yes54c164$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.441100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd7b0…9a51backed Yes54c163$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.981100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xef9c…8422backed Yes54c163$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.981100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4865…ebd2backed Yes54c163$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.981100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x054a…cd43backed Yes54c163$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.981100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x76dd…f92bbacked Yes54c162$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.521100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9ccc…5fd3backed Yes54c162$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.521100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3c90…0aacbacked Yes54c162$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.521100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xacbc…f9c6backed Yes54c162$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.521100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd761…8e1dbacked Yes80c161.33$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.27475%3 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick72cpaid+4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x989b…9882backed Yes54c161$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.061100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x44ea…f1d7backed Yes54c161$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.061100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa2b8…8e7ebacked Yes54c161$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.061100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa191…7facbacked Yes56c160.71$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.71475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+28.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.