TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0b6a…4873

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
53
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Champions League, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Champions League at 58 out of 100; worst NBA at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Sep 27, 2025, EDT2548%12 W · 13 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+18.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester United win on 2025-09-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$57
Will Bournemouth win on 2024-12-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2024, EST-100%-$300
Will Liverpool win on 2024-12-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$2,893Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2024, EST-100%-$2,893
Will Tottenham win on 2024-12-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$528Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2024, EST+55.1%+$291.08
Will Fulham win on 2024-12-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$173Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2024, EST-100%-$173
Will Newcastle win on 2024-11-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$166Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2024, EST+244.8%+$406.41
Will Brighton win on 2024-11-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2024, EST+233.3%+$466.67
Will Man Utd win on 2024-11-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$700Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2024, EST-100%-$700
Will Southampton vs. Liverpool end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$514Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2024, EST-100%-$514
Will Nottingham Forest win on 2024-11-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2024, EST+117%+$351.09
Will Liverpool win on 2024-11-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2024, EST-100%-$300
Will Brighton win on 2024-11-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$287Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2024, EST-100%-$287
Will Man Utd vs. Chelsea end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2024, EST+284.6%+$398.46
Will Villa win on 2024-11-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,260Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2024, EST+78.6%+$990
Will Spurs win on 2024-11-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2024, EST+96.1%+$480.39
Will Ipswich win on 2024-11-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$446Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2024, EDT-100%-$446
Will Bournemouth vs. Man City end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2024, EDT-100%-$100
Will Arsenal vs. Liverpool end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2024, EDT+148%+$443.95
Will Arsenal win on 2024-10-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2024, EDT+244.8%+$489.66
Will Man Utd win on 2024-10-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$499Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2024, EDT-100%-$499
Will Spurs win on 2024-10-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$540Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2024, EDT+105.9%+$571.88
Will Liverpool vs. Chelsea end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2024, EDT-100%-$35
Will Man City win on 2024-10-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$244Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2024, EDT+78.6%+$191.71
Will Man Utd win on 2024-10-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$310Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2024, EDT+75.4%+$233.94
Will Newcastle beat Everton?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2024, EDT-100%-$200
All 25 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Sep 18, 2025, EDT1764.7%11 W · 6 L+2.9wins+0.17per pick47cpaid+39.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Champions League — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Barcelona win on 2025-09-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$590Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2025, EDT+163.2%+$962.63
Will Newcastle United win on 2025-09-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$610Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$610
Will Bayern Munich win on 2025-03-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,378Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2025, EST+75.4%+$1,039.54
Will Monaco beat Benfica?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2024, EST+156.4%+$782.05
Will Liverpool beat Real Madrid?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2024, EST+109.5%+$657.29
Will Shakhtar Donetsk beat PSV?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2024, EST+170.4%+$511.18
Will Stuttgart beat Red Star Belgrade?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2024, EST+107.9%+$647.14
Will Girona beat Sturm Graz?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$648Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2024, EST+88.7%+$574.64
Will Bayern Munich beat Paris Saint-Germain?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2024, EST-100%-$500
Will Atalanta beat Young Boys?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2024, EST-100%-$500
Will Arsenal beat Sporting CP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$1,500Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2024, EST+123.2%+$1,848.38
Will Inter Milan beat Arsenal?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2024, EST-100%-$350
Will Feyenoord beat RB Salzburg?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$337Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2024, EST+88%+$296.4
Will Aston Villa beat Club Brugge?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$627Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2024, EST+81.8%+$513
Will Manchester City beat Sporting CP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,369Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2024, EST-100%-$1,369
Will LOSC Lille beat Juventus?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2024, EST+112.8%+$1,127.66
Will Atletico Madrid beat LOSC Lille?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$401Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2024, EDT-100%-$401
All 17 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Mar 26, 2025, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-36.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Nov 29, 2024, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick55cpaid-49.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cavaliers vs. Hawksbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2024, EST-100%-$200
Knicks vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2024, EST-100%-$100
Cavaliers vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$471Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2024, EST+51.5%+$242.64
All 3 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Sep 21, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Atletico Madrid win on 2025-09-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$800Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$800
Will Real Madrid beat Barcelona?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,060Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2024, EDT+88.7%+$940
All 2 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Oct 24, 2024, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Athletic Bilbao beat Slavia Praha?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2024, EDT-100%-$200
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,499Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$1,499
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.