Premier League · resolved market
Will Man Utd win on 2024-10-19?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2e823ce49edbbe2c363dd1b5dff6c42c7fe4e5cfb82ee5b40f482b27aa50d2ce
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $142,475
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $149,497
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $142,475 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 110 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6761…a94fbacked Yes | 59c | 103,735$60,708 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43,026.22 | 106 | 50%53 W · 53 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f47…af93backed No | 41c | 83,110$34,341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34,340.65 | 74 | 37.8%28 W · 46 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31cf…8834backed No | 42c | 11,639$4,943 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,942.78 | 90 | 37.8%34 W · 56 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac5…6a3dbacked No | 43c | 10,000$4,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,299.99 | 227 | 44.5%101 W · 126 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37e0…024ebacked No | 41c | 7,522$3,114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,114.05 | 189 | 50.3%95 W · 94 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed Yes | 55c | 4,721$2,614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,106.84 | 93 | 61.3%57 W · 36 L | +7.7wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed No | 43c | 4,441$1,909 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,909.4 | 319 | 44.5%142 W · 177 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a68…003abacked Yes | 58c | 3,707$2,165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,541.98 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7e…4562backed No | 42c | 2,222$933 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$933.24 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed No | 27c | 1,860$497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496.56 | 378 | 41.8%158 W · 220 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbd…af92backed No | 42c | 1,721$730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$730.22 | 86 | 52.3%45 W · 41 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f50…4db9backed No | 43c | 1,115$479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.3 | 72 | 40.3%29 W · 43 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1394…e426backed No | 43c | 1,075$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462.25 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91ef…4f7cbacked Yes | 58c | 1,006$584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422.69 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefcb…8f32backed No | 41c | 1,004$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x102c…28b5backed Yes | 57c | 1,003$572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.27 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f92…b5f8backed Yes | 57c | 877.19$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.19 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x856d…2223backed Yes | 57c | 850.88$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6183…7580backed No | 48c | 850$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07dd…ed9dbacked Yes | 57c | 662.7$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.7 | 184 | 33.7%62 W · 122 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b6a…4873backed Yes | 57c | 544.04$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.94 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd561…9423backed Yes | 57c | 525$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.25 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -4.9wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…4583backed No | 59c | 514.21$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.89 | 69 | 59.4%41 W · 28 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6d7…2304backed Yes | 59c | 508.25$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.38 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaeed…074bbacked No | 43c | 487.33$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.45 | 99 | 43.4%43 W · 56 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabd7…c531backed Yes | 55c | 400$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa66a…be53backed No | 43c | 380$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1856…1964backed No | 41c | 319.94$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.18 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a78…d066backed Yes | 58c | 270$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b7…520dbacked Yes | 67c | 258.96$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.98 | 156 | 36.5%57 W · 99 L | -11.7wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb578…74f3backed Yes | 54c | 225$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4dec…a147backed No | 46c | 225$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed Yes | 66c | 224.85$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.45 | 153 | 47.7%73 W · 80 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf612…5700backed Yes | 57c | 221.99$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.46 | 171 | 43.3%74 W · 97 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1266…cd8cbacked No | 42c | 214.01$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.68 | 144 | 50.7%73 W · 71 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x541e…e793backed No | 43c | 200$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb65d…3757backed Yes | 59c | 200$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27df…b9cfbacked Yes | 28c | 200$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x369a…c545backed Yes | 57c | 176.32$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.82 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x87c4…490ebacked Yes | 57c | 174.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.14 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 68cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x19fe…809ebacked Yes | 58c | 170$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.4 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +17%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x986d…e281backed Yes | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 60cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 43c | 160.62$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.29 | 660 | 31.2%206 W · 454 L | -13.0wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd540…d692backed No | 49c | 156.05$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -34%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5308…3221backed Yes | 80c | 151.45$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.29 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f1…3370backed Yes | 59c | 150.45$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.68 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0801…35cbbacked Yes | 55c | 145.98$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.69 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74c3…c1a8backed No | 41c | 144$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.04 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +50.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2078…2d66backed No | 42c | 124.55$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.31 | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | -7.0wins | -0.25per pick | 46cpaid | -60%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x242f…286ebacked Yes | 58c | 124.34$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.22 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb52d…e521backed Yes | 59c | 101.69$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.69 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0692…10fbbacked Yes | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -3.6wins | -0.19per pick | 40cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 200 | 40.5%81 W · 119 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc372…00aabacked Yes | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 67 | 43.3%29 W · 38 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e7c…596cbacked No | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 37cpaid | -81.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce0…8d6fbacked No | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 86 | 33.7%29 W · 57 L | -14.7wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x640e…4890backed Yes | 59c | 98.88$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.54 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4630…a058backed No | 43c | 93.02$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 62 | 58.1%36 W · 26 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +14%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4eed…d5d0backed Yes | 59c | 90.61$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fff…10d5backed Yes | 60c | 90$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.2 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -3.0wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xddc3…a171backed Yes | 28c | 89.29$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.29 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e34…ab65backed Yes | 57c | 87.41$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.41 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -25%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dde…6079backed Yes | 59c | 85$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.85 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47dc…eec9backed Yes | 69c | 73.91$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.91 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x089a…4bd5backed Yes | 58c | 68.97$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.97 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 39cpaid | -71.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x46ea…91a4backed No | 44c | 64$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47ad…c375backed Yes | 56c | 64$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d81…08cfbacked No | 43c | 60$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.8 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13a6…ee95backed No | 29c | 56.62$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.46 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | +6.9wins | +0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8f46…e0f4backed Yes | 59c | 54$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.14 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7be1…200ebacked Yes | 58c | 53.78$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.42 | 113 | 53.1%60 W · 53 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48f3…15eebacked Yes | 59c | 52$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.32 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +88.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xae02…116bbacked Yes | 58c | 51.72$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.72 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -35%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0da5…5adfbacked Yes | 59c | 50.85$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.85 | 291 | 46%134 W · 157 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd9…1095backed No | 41c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 67 | 52.2%35 W · 32 L | +6.4wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xebd9…3de5backed No | 45c | 49$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85e1…2c3abacked Yes | 55c | 49$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.05 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +77.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x933a…f821backed Yes | 64c | 46.88$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.88 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -28%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7d4…962dbacked No | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 46 | 60.9%28 W · 18 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c56…dfa1backed Yes | 59c | 45.73$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.81 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +51.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabb1…8b46backed No | 51c | 44.79$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.84 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc71…c7b6backed Yes | 59c | 44.26$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.26 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf59b…f978backed Yes | 60c | 41.67$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed No | 43c | 40$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.2 | 208 | 19.2%40 W · 168 L | -7.7wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05ad…72d7backed Yes | 57c | 40$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.2 | 56 | 41.1%23 W · 33 L | -4.7wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -21%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6e9e…76a2backed Yes | 41c | 39.33$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.23 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 39cpaid | +75.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71f6…d12fbacked Yes | 58c | 38.59$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.21 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -7.5wins | -0.23per pick | 64cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x0aaa…77b7backed Yes | 56c | 35.91$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.8 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ee…6c29backed Yes | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab74…3996backed No | 43c | 34.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe200…15d6backed Yes | 57c | 34.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.94 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +45.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd430…d683backed Yes | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x681c…23eabacked Yes | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf191…b608backed Yes | 57c | 32.7$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.06 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f6c…78c8backed Yes | 59c | 32.36$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.27 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0785…4eb0backed Yes | 59c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.3 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0df6…34f3backed Yes | 59c | 28.81$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.81 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +64.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked No | 41c | 28.8$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.81 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8e…70d6backed Yes | 59c | 28.44$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.66 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58fa…2543backed No | 43c | 27.91$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Man Utd win on 2024-10-19?this page
- Will Brentford win on 2024-10-19?No won
- Will Man Utd vs. Brentford end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.