TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6b7e…4562

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
722
Categories scored
40
Categories below 50
26

Best Category: Europa Conference League, grading 62 out of 100 (+0.11 per pick).

Best Category Europa Conference League at 62 out of 100; worst Ncaa Basketball at 40.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 10, 2025, EST9951.5%51 W · 48 L+6.4wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+28.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
NFL — the 99 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Chiefs win Super Bowl 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST-100%-$87.95
Will the Eagles win Super Bowl 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$116Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST+1,624.1%+$1,884
Will the Cowboys win Super Bowl 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2024, EST-100%-$28
Will the Jets win Super Bowl 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2024, EST-100%-$34
Will the Browns win Super Bowl 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2024, EST-100%-$54.7
Will the Jaguars win Super Bowl 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2024, EST-100%-$22
Will the 49ers and Chiefs combine for 48 or more points?backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$272Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2024, EDT+104.1%+$283.05
Will the Commanders beat the Panthers by 9 or more points?backed Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$533Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2024, EDT-100%-$533.28
Will the Bengals beat the Browns by 6 or more points?backed Browns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$173Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2024, EDT-100%-$173.24
Will Davante Adams be traded before the deadline?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2024, EDT+28.2%+$9.94
Will the Giants and Bengals combine for 48 or more points?backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2024, EDT-100%-$52.35
Will the Cowboys and Lions combine for 53 or more points?backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$429Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2024, EDT+108.3%+$465.22
Will the Chargers beat the Broncos by 3 or more points?backed Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2024, EDT+92.3%+$49.73
Will the Panthers and Falcons combine for 47 or more points?backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2024, EDT+108.3%+$91.94
Will the Buccaneers beat the Saints by 4 or more points?backed Buccaneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$573Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2024, EDT+122.2%+$699.79
Will the Ravens and Commanders combine for 52 or more points?backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2024, EDT-100%-$41.61
Will the Patriots and Texans combine for 38 or more points?backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$491Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2024, EDT-100%-$490.88
Will the Saints and Buccaneers combine for 42 or more points?backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2024, EDT-100%-$33.11
Saints vs. Chiefsbacked Saints · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$622Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 8, 2024, EDT-100%-$622.16
Will the Ravens beat the Bills by 3 or more points?backed Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2024, EDT+104.1%+$13.58
Will the Chiefs beat the Chargers by 7 or more points?backed Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,733Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 29, 2024, EDT+92.3%+$1,599.84
SF vs. NE: Will there be 41 or more combined points scored?backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$522Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 29, 2024, EDT-100%-$522.17
Will the Steelers beat the Colts by 3 or more points?backed Colts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 29, 2024, EDT+100%+$30
Will the Eagles beat the Buccaneers by 2 or more points?backed Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 29, 2024, EDT-100%-$120.16
Will the Bears beat the Rams by 3 or more points?backed Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 29, 2024, EDT+85.2%+$10
Showing 25 of 99 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2025, EDT9829.6%29 W · 69 L-4.8wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-42.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 98 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Trump ends taxes on tips in first 100 days?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT+163.2%+$34.1
Will Trump pardon himself in his first 100 days?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$33.72
Will Trump pardon Eric Adams in his first 100 days?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$86.93
Will Trump pardon Julian Assange in his first 100 days?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT+25.2%+$19.12
Will Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$662Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT+51.5%+$341.17
Will Ken Paxton be a member of the Trump administration?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$47.31
Will Donald Trump Jr. be a member of the Trump administration? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$27.93
Will Ron Paul be a member of the Trump administration? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.72
Will Vivek Ramaswamy be a member of the Trump administration? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT+170.4%+$25.22
Will Steve Bannon be a member of the Trump administration? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.22
Trump uses a recess appointment for Cabinet?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.86
Will David Sacks be a member of the Trump administration? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$31.43
Will Elon Musk be a member of the Trump administration? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2025, EST+38.9%+$10.76
One Trump Cabinet confirmation in January? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2025, EST-100%-$13.26
Will Trump withdraw from Paris climate agreement in first 100 days?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2025, EST+41.5%+$8.07
Trump ban on birth right citizenship in first 100 days?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2025, EST+80%+$11.16
Will Trump pardon Ross Ulbricht in his first 100 days?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$710Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2025, EST-100%-$710.43
Will Trump pardon a January 6 protestor in his first 100 days?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2025, EST-100%-$103.71
Will Doug Burgum be a member of the Trump administration? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2025, EST-100%-$18.74
Will Nancy Pelosi attend presidential inauguration?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2025, EST+98.7%+$18.16
Will Trump say "illegal immigrant" or "illegal immigration" during his inauguration speech? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2025, EST-100%-$58.02
Will Trump say "MAGA" 4 or more times during his inauguration speech?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2025, EST-100%-$56.18
Will Trump say "trans" during his inauguration speech?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2025, EST+37%+$11.61
Will Trump say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" during his inauguration speech?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2025, EST+26.4%+$4.07
Will George W. Bush attend presidential inauguration?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2025, EST-100%-$13.75
Showing 25 of 98 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Oct 31, 2024, EDT5550.9%28 W · 27 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 55 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Nets vs. Grizzliesbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2024, EDT+284.6%+$82.14
Bucks vs. Celticsbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2024, EDT-100%-$60.79
Celtics vs. Wizardsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2024, EDT-100%-$15.68
Luka Doncic 2024 NBA Finals MVP?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$176Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2024, EDT+45.6%+$80.06
7 games in Celtics v. Mavs series?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$378Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2024, EDT-100%-$378.1
Jayson Tatum 2024 NBA Finals MVP?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2024, EDT+88.8%+$19.61
6 games in Celtics v. Mavs series?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$291Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2024, EDT-100%-$290.84
NBA Finals Game 5: Celtics vs. Mavericks backed Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$1,007Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2024, EDT+41%+$413.05
4 games in Celtics v. Mavs series?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2024, EDT-100%-$82.21
NBA Finals Game 3: Mavericks vs. Celtics backed Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$826Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2024, EDT+123.8%+$1,021.79
NBA Finals Game 3: Luka Doncic triple-double?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2024, EDT+33.3%+$8.06
NBA Finals Game 2: Celtics vs. Mavericks backed Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$414Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2024, EDT+45.9%+$189.95
NBA Finals Game 1: Over/Under 215.5 Pointsbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2024, EDT+104.1%+$102
NBA Finals Game 1: Over/Under 26.5 Points for Jayson Tatum backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2024, EDT+112.8%+$106
NBA Finals Game 1: Celtics vs. Mavericksbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2024, EDT+45.6%+$20.18
Western Conference Finals: Timberwolves vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$2,032Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2024, EDT+34.7%+$705.52
Mavericks vs. Timberwolves: Game 4backed Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2024, EDT-100%-$210
Eastern Conference Finals: Celtics vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2024, EDT-100%-$21.04
Dallas Mavericks vs. Minnesota Timberwolves: Game 3backed Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$637Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2024, EDT+80.5%+$513
Minnesota Timberwolves vs. Dallas Mavericks: Game 2backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$402Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2024, EDT-100%-$402
Denver Nuggets vs. Minnesota Timberwolves: Game 7backed Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$288Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2024, EDT-100%-$288
Timberwolves vs. Nuggets Series Winnerbacked Twolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$1,137Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2024, EDT+115.8%+$1,316.22
Knicks vs. Pacers Series Winnerbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$121Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2024, EDT-100%-$120.91
New York Knicks vs. Indiana Pacers: Game 7backed Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$445Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2024, EDT+132.6%+$590.09
Dallas Mavericks vs. Oklahoma City Thunder: Game 6backed Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$322Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2024, EDT+61.9%+$199.56
Showing 25 of 55 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Oct 13, 2024, EDT5248.1%25 W · 27 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
College Football — the 52 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Kansas St. beat Colorado?backed K St · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2024, EDT+72.4%+$31.85
Will Ole Miss beat LSU by 4 or more points?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$728Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2024, EDT+92.3%+$672
Will Ole Miss and LSU combine for 63 or more points?backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$720Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2024, EDT+108.3%+$780
Will Ohio St. beat Oregon by 4 or more points?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2024, EDT+92.3%+$23.6
Will Ohio St. beat Oregon?backed OSU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2024, EDT-100%-$97.98
Will Ohio St. and Oregon combine for 54 or more points?backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$328Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2024, EDT-100%-$327.64
Will BYU beat Arizona?backed BYU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$322Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2024, EDT+72.4%+$233.1
Will BYU beat Arizona by 4 or more points?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$690Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2024, EDT+117.4%+$810
Will Penn St. beat USC by 4 or more points?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2024, EDT+122.2%+$87
Will Texas beat Oklahoma by 15 or more points?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$240Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2024, EDT+108.3%+$260
Will Texas beat Oklahoma?backed Oklahoma · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2024, EDT-100%-$180
Will Pittsburgh beat California?backed Cal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2024, EDT-100%-$63.81
Will Penn St. and USC combine for 51 or more points?backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$720Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2024, EDT-100%-$720
Will Alabama beat South Carolina by 22 or more points?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$113Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2024, EDT-100%-$112.62
Will Utah beat Arizona State?backed Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$653Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2024, EDT-100%-$653.4
Will Georgia and Auburn combine for 52 or more points?backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$556Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2024, EDT-100%-$555.5
Will Utah beat Arizona by 11 or more points?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$311Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 29, 2024, EDT+78.6%+$244.2
Will Georgia beat Alabama by 2 or more points?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$2,666Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 29, 2024, EDT-100%-$2,666.4
Will Georgia and Alabama combine for 49 or more points?backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 29, 2024, EDT-100%-$94.17
Will Ohio St. and Michigan St. combine for 49 or more points?backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$278Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 29, 2024, EDT+100%+$277.5
Will UCF beat Colorado by 15 or more points?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$357Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2024, EDT-100%-$357.42
Will Duke beat UNC by 3 or more points?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$272Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2024, EDT-100%-$271.95
Will Duke and UNC combine for 56 or more points?backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$383Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2024, EDT-100%-$382.95
Will Duke beat UNC?backed Duke · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2024, EDT+85.2%+$511.06
Will UCF and Colorado combine for 64 or more points?backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2024, EDT+122.2%+$305.25
Showing 25 of 52 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 23, 2025, EST5036%18 W · 32 L-3.7wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-10.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
World Politics — the 50 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Mary Lou McDonald be the next Prime Minister of Ireland?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2025, EST-100%-$11.1
Will Simon Harris be the next Prime Minister of Ireland?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2025, EST-100%-$51.19
Will Micheal Martin be the next Prime Minister of Ireland?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2025, EST+257.1%+$72
Canada federal election in 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$367Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST-100%-$366.8
Will North Korea invade South Korea in 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$8,663Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST-100%-$8,663.17
Will the Conservatives win the most seats in the 2024 British Columbia general election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$176Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2024, EDT+66.7%+$117.2
Will BC NDP win the most seats in the 2024 British Columbia general election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$244Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2024, EDT+68.1%+$166.21
Will Bruno Engler win the 2024 Belo Horizonte mayoral election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$126Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2024, EDT+27.6%+$34.84
Will André Fernandes win the 2024 Fortaleza mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2024, EDT-100%-$45.77
Will Eduardo Pimentel win the 2024 Curitiba mayoral election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2024, EDT-100%-$23.1
Will Evandro Leitão win the 2024 Fortaleza mayoral election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2024, EDT-100%-$80.69
Will PC win the most in the 2024 New Brunswick general election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$168Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2024, EDT+64.5%+$108.6
Will the Liberal party win the most seats in the 2024 New Brunswick general election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2024, EDT+88.7%+$93.23
Will Mexico beat USA?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2024, EDT-100%-$28.6
Will Kais Saied win the Tunisia presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 7, 2024, EDT-100%-$16.98
Will FPÖ win the most seats in the 2024 Austrian legislative election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 29, 2024, EDT+56.3%+$8.64
Will AfD win the most votes in the 2024 Brandenburg election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 23, 2024, EDT-100%-$109.43
Will Sajith Premadasa win the Sri Lankan presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 22, 2024, EDT-100%-$20.74
Will Anura Dissanayake win the Sri Lankan presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 22, 2024, EDT-100%-$59.46
Will Ranil Wickremesinghe win the Sri Lankan presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 22, 2024, EDT-100%-$24.15
Will Ensemble win 130 or more seats in the French election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2024, EDT+1,154.4%+$256.5
Will Ensemble win between 70 and 89 seats in the French election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2024, EDT+35.1%+$13
Reform wins between 11% and 15% of votes?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2024, EDT-100%-$36
Reform wins between 7% and 11% of votes?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2024, EDT-100%-$46.62
Will Conservative Party win between 100 and 124 seats in the next UK Election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2024, EDT-100%-$77.32
Showing 25 of 50 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Oct 21, 2024, EDT4250%21 W · 21 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+11.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 42 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Nottingham Forest vs. Crystal Palace end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$503Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2024, EDT+47.1%+$236.76
Will Liverpool win on 2024-10-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$175Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2024, EDT-100%-$175.36
Will Bournemouth win on 2024-10-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$178Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2024, EDT+525%+$933.24
Will Bournemouth vs. Arsenal end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2024, EDT+38.9%+$10.75
Will Newcastle vs. Brighton end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2024, EDT-100%-$12.55
Will Man Utd win on 2024-10-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$933Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2024, EDT-100%-$933.24
Will Spurs win on 2024-10-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2024, EDT-100%-$79.69
Will Bournemouth vs. Southampton end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$780Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2024, EDT+28.2%+$220
Will Manchester United vs. Tottenham end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 29, 2024, EDT+37%+$5
Will Ipswich Town beat Aston Villa?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$224Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 29, 2024, EDT+35.1%+$78.72
Will Everton beat Crystal Palace?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$377Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2024, EDT-100%-$377.4
Will Arsenal beat Leicester City? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2024, EDT+25%+$17.07
Will Manchester United beat Crystal Palace?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$485Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2024, EDT+75.4%+$365.98
Will Everton beat Leicester City?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$356Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2024, EDT-100%-$355.52
Olympic Women's Soccer Final: USA vs. Brazilbacked Brazil · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 10, 2024, EDT-100%-$103.22
Spain vs. France - Who will advance?backed Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$3,490Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2024, EDT+80.8%+$2,820.41
Manchester United sacks Erik ten Hag?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2024, EDT-100%-$58.65
Will Canada win?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$290Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2024, EDT-100%-$290
Will the Netherlands win?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2024, EDT+94.3%+$89.45
Will the match be a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2024, EDT+42.9%+$7.35
Will Austria win?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$244Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2024, EDT+354.5%+$866.58
Will Czechia win?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2024, EDT-100%-$44.76
Will the match be a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$205Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2024, EDT-100%-$205.21
Will the match be a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2024, EDT+270.4%+$146
Will France win?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$161Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2024, EDT-100%-$160.58
Showing 25 of 42 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Nov 17, 2024, EST3438.2%13 W · 21 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+24%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Tweets — the 34 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump tweet 15-19 times Nov 8-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2024, EST-100%-$11.42
Will Trump tweet 10-14 times Nov 8-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$123Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2024, EST+28.4%+$34.95
Will Trump tweet 5-9 times Nov 8-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$145Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2024, EST+26%+$37.73
Will Trump tweet less than 5 times Nov 8-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2024, EST-100%-$31.43
Will Trump tweet 80-89 times Nov 1-8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2024, EST+1,336%+$171.75
Will Trump tweet 60-69 times Nov 1-8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2024, EST-100%-$13.75
Will Trump tweet 20-24 times October 4-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2024, EDT+28.7%+$26.27
Will Elon tweet 275-299 times?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2024, EDT-100%-$53.52
Will Elon tweet 225-249 times?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2024, EDT+40%+$6.2
Will Elon tweet 200-224 times?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 3, 2024, EDT-100%-$32.45
Will Trump tweet 15-19 times September 13-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2024, EDT+327.9%+$101.98
Will Trump tweet 20-24 times September 13-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2024, EDT-100%-$13.03
Will Elon tweet 250-274 times?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2024, EDT-100%-$39.55
Will Elon tweet 200-224 times?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$103Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 19, 2024, EDT+32.9%+$33.74
Will Trump tweet 10-14 times September 13-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$183Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 19, 2024, EDT+26.8%+$48.98
Will Elon tweet 150-174 times?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2024, EDT-100%-$15.52
Will Elon tweet 225-249 times?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2024, EDT+938.1%+$383.63
Will Trump tweet 30-34 times this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$182Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2024, EDT+40.8%+$74.37
Will Elon tweet 150-199 times?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 12, 2024, EDT+32%+$20.13
Will Elon tweet less than 150 times?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$265Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 10, 2024, EDT+25.1%+$66.59
Trump posts 40 or more times on X?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 6, 2024, EDT+33.6%+$10.43
Trump posts 25-29 times on X?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 5, 2024, EDT-100%-$23.31
Will Elon tweet 180 or more times?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 4, 2024, EDT-100%-$17.15
Trump posts 20-24 times on X?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 3, 2024, EDT-100%-$17.37
Will Elon tweet between 120-129 times?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 29, 2024, EDT-100%-$12.85
Showing 25 of 34 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Dec 1, 2024, EST2646.2%12 W · 14 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick42cpaid-25.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Binance list another Pump.fun coin in November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2024, EST-100%-$14.94
Will Dogecoin reach $0.50 before December?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2024, EST+67.6%+$21.65
Will Dogecoin reach $0.55 before December?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2024, EST-100%-$33
Will Dogecoin reach $0.45 before December?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2024, EST+40.8%+$21.9
Zircuit airdrop by September 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$152Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2024, EDT+81%+$123.38
Aleo airdrop by September 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$224Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2024, EDT+40.4%+$90.47
Puffer airdrop by September 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$170Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2024, EDT+66.5%+$112.98
Mitch vs. Rektober: September PnLbacked Rektober · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2024, EDT-100%-$149.57
Berachain airdrop by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$770Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2024, EDT+55.3%+$425.96
Pudgy Penguins airdrop by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2024, EDT-100%-$31.68
Will Trump post 😹🫵 before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2024, EDT-100%-$15.4
Linea airdrop by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$113Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2024, EDT+33.3%+$37.5
EigenLayer airdrop by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$129Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2024, EDT+209.7%+$270.86
Base airdrop by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$1,995Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2024, EDT-100%-$1,994.6
MetaMask airdrop by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2024, EDT-100%-$20.46
Blast airdrop by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$171Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2024, EDT-100%-$170.87
Will $DADDY hit $1b FDV by next Friday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2024, EDT-100%-$10.02
LayerZero airdrop by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$114Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2024, EDT+31.6%+$36
zkSync airdrop by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$1,305Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2024, EDT+42.3%+$552.48
Will Caitlyn Jenner sue Sahil?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$540Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2024, EDT+45.4%+$245.32
Will Andrew Tate sell any $DADDY by Friday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2024, EDT-100%-$17.2
Will Andrew Tate burn all his $DADDY by Friday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$318Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2024, EDT-100%-$317.87
Will $MFER hit $1 Billion FDV before June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2024, EDT-100%-$86.18
Will Friend.Tech airdrop by Thursday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$432Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2024, EDT-100%-$432.3
Will $boden hit $1b FDV in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$304Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2024, EDT+28.2%+$85.64
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Nov 17, 2024, EST2638.5%10 W · 16 L-2.0wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-20.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
UFC — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Oliveira vs. Chandlerbacked Chandler · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2024, EST-100%-$48.88
Araujo vs. Silvabacked Araujo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$173Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2024, EST+222.9%+$384.95
Topuria vs. Hollowaybacked Holloway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$1,449Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2024, EDT-100%-$1,448.64
Holland vs. Dolidzebacked Holland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$201Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 6, 2024, EDT-100%-$200.6
Ziam vs. Frevolabacked Ziam · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$128Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2024, EDT+100%+$128
Gomis vs. Britobacked Brito · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2024, EDT-100%-$40.15
O’Malley vs. Dvalishvilibacked Dvalishvili · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$1,400Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 15, 2024, EDT+138.1%+$1,933.14
Grasso vs. Shevchenkobacked Shevchenko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 15, 2024, EDT+132.6%+$88.57
Ortega vs. Lopesbacked Lopes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 15, 2024, EDT+61.3%+$17.02
Zellhuber vs. Ribovicsbacked Ribovics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 15, 2024, EDT+212.5%+$49.62
Rodriguez vs. Osbournebacked Osbourne · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$1,419Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 15, 2024, EDT-100%-$1,418.87
Magny vs. Moralesbacked Magny · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2024, EDT-100%-$12
UFC Fight Night: Namajunas vs. Cortezbacked Namajunas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2024, EDT+53.8%+$35.35
UFC 303: Who will win - Alex Pereira vs. Jiri Prochazka?backed Prochazka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$233Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2024, EDT-100%-$233.1
UFC 303: Who will win - Brian Ortega vs. Diego Lopes?backed Lopes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$351Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2024, EDT-100%-$350.64
UFC 303: Who will win - Anthony Smith vs. Roman Dolidze?backed Smith · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$168Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2024, EDT-100%-$168
UFC 303: Who will win - Mayra Bueno Silva vs. Macy Chiasson?backed Silva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$309Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2024, EDT-100%-$308.6
UFC 303: Who will win - Ian Machado Garry vs. Michael Page?backed Page · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$211Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2024, EDT-100%-$211.06
McGregor vs. Chandler canceled?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$793Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2024, EDT-100%-$793.47
UFC 302: Islam Makhachev vs. Dustin Poirierbacked Poirier · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2024, EDT-100%-$68
UFC 302: Kevin Holland vs. Michael Oleksiejczukbacked Holland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2024, EDT+42.9%+$41.83
UFC 302: Sean Strickland vs. Paulo Costabacked Strickland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2024, EDT+45.1%+$43.54
UFC 300: Alex Pereira vs Jamahal Hillbacked Hill · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$1,002Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2024, EDT-100%-$1,001.82
UFC 300: Zhang Weili vs Yan Xiaonanbacked Xiaonan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2024, EDT-100%-$600
UFC 300: Justin Gaethje vs Max Hollowaybacked Gaethje · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2024, EDT-100%-$53.02
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Nov 25, 2024, EST2020%4 W · 16 L-3.2wins-0.16per pick36cpaid-61.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Movies — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Gladiator II gross more than $75m on opening weekend?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$167Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2024, EST+35%+$58.33
Will Gladiator II gross between $60-67m on opening weekend?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2024, EST+46.2%+$17.73
Will 'Red One' gross more than $27m on opening weekend?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2024, EST-100%-$72.58
Will 'Red One' gross between $24-27m on opening weekend?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2024, EST-100%-$17.25
Will 'Red One' gross between $18-21m on opening weekend?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2024, EST-100%-$29.06
Will the HBO documentary identify someone else as Satoshi?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$1,054Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 9, 2024, EDT-100%-$1,054.3
'Speak No Evil' grosses >$13m opening weekend?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 16, 2024, EDT-100%-$19.25
Deadpool & Wolverine' over $200m opening weekend?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$937Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2024, EDT-100%-$937.28
Inside Out 2 opening bigger than Toy Story 4?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2024, EDT-100%-$58.7
Will 'Bad Boys: Ride or Die' gross less than $44m opening weekend?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2024, EDT-100%-$11.75
'Furiosa: A Mad Max Saga' between $38-44m Opening Weekend?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2024, EDT-100%-$29.07
'Furiosa: A Mad Max Saga' >$44m Opening Weekend?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2024, EDT-100%-$13.37
'Godzilla x Kong: The New Empire' over $80m opening weekend?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$124Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2024, EDT-100%-$124
Will Lily Gladstone win the Oscar for Best Actress?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$374Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2024, EDT+122.2%+$457.49
Will Emma Stone win the Oscar for Best Actress?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$316Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2024, EDT+168.6%+$533.6
Will Annette Bening win the Oscar for Best Actress?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2024, EDT-100%-$15.68
Will Robert Downey Jr. win the Oscar for Best Supporting Actor?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2024, EDT-100%-$75.14
Will Anatomy of a Fall win the Oscar for Best Original Screenplay?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$459Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2024, EDT-100%-$459
Will The Holdovers win the Oscar for Best Original Screenplay?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$225Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2024, EDT-100%-$225
Will 'Argylle' gross under $20m opening weekend?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2024, EST-100%-$78
All 20 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2025, EST1723.5%4 W · 13 L-2.6wins-0.16per pick39cpaid-62.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Middle East — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Israel x Hamas ceasefire in 2024?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST+83.7%+$18.78
ICC issues an arrest warrant for Netanyahu?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2024, EST-100%-$39.19
Palestine a UN member state before U.S. election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2024, EST-100%-$18.97
Israel strikes Iranian oil in October?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$129Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2024, EDT-100%-$129.25
Israel military action against Iran by end of 2024?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$307Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2024, EDT-100%-$306.91
Israel military response against Iran by Friday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2024, EDT-100%-$13.36
Will Israeli troops enter Bint Jbeil by October 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2024, EDT-100%-$30.39
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 7, 2024, EDT-100%-$17.13
Israel military response against Iran by Friday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$117Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2024, EDT-100%-$117.24
Israel withdraws from Gaza before September?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$282Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2024, EDT+59.6%+$168
Yahya Sinwar still Hamas leader before September?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2024, EDT-100%-$74.9
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before September?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2024, EDT+53.4%+$51.94
Will Israel invade Lebanon before September?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$2,080Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2024, EDT+35.4%+$736.74
Will Netanyahu meet with Biden?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2024, EDT-100%-$100.65
Israel election called before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2024, EDT-100%-$11.01
Will Israel halt Rafah operation in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2024, EDT-100%-$21.62
Israel ground offensive in Rafah by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$158Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2024, EDT-100%-$158
All 17 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Oct 31, 2024, EDT1643.8%7 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the New York Yankees win the World Series?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$1,422Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2024, EDT-100%-$1,422.08
Will the Dodgers win the World Series 4-2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2024, EDT-100%-$50.9
Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the World Series?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2024, EDT+53.8%+$36.75
Will the Dodgers win the World Series 4-1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2024, EDT+298.6%+$140.08
World Series Champion: Dodgers vs. Yankeesbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$159Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2024, EDT-100%-$159.3
Will the Yankees and Guardians combine for 8 or more runs?backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2024, EDT+100%+$60.09
Will there be at least 1 run scored in the first inning?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$239Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2024, EDT-100%-$238.65
Dodgers vs. Mets - Game 2backed Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2024, EDT+150%+$16.95
Will there be at least 1 run scored in the first inning?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$181Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2024, EDT+132.6%+$239.4
Will the Dodgers and Padres combine for 8 or more runs?backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2024, EDT-100%-$24.98
Yankees vs Royals Series Winnerbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$711Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2024, EDT+56.3%+$399.96
NLDS: Padres vs. Dodgers Game 4backed Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2024, EDT-100%-$77.43
ALDS: Royals vs. Yankees Game 3backed Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2024, EDT+100%+$45.8
NLDS: Mets vs. Phillies Game 4backed Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 9, 2024, EDT-100%-$52.5
ALDS: Tigers vs. Guardians Game 3backed Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 9, 2024, EDT-100%-$240
ALDS: Guardians vs. Tigers Game 1backed Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$425Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2024, EDT-100%-$425.33
All 16 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jan 29, 2025, EST1631.3%5 W · 11 L-2.2wins-0.14per pick45cpaid-51.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2025, EST-100%-$101.01
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2025 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$866Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2025, EST-100%-$866.48
Fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after January 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2025, EST-100%-$18.96
Fed decreases interest rates by 75+ bps after January 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Jerome Powell say "growth" 10 or more times during December FOMC Press Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2024, EST-100%-$88.06
Will Jerome Powell say "Trump" during December FOMC Press Conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2024, EST+61.9%+$39.41
Will Jerome Powell say "tariff" 5 or more times during December FOMC Press Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2024, EST-100%-$21.44
Will Jerome Powell say "inflation" 50 or more times during December FOMC Press Conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2024, EST-100%-$73.29
Will Jerome Powell say "price" 10 or more times during December FOMC Press Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2024, EST+31.6%+$5.69
Will Jerome Powell say "inflation" 40 or more times during December FOMC Press Conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2024, EST-100%-$12.39
Will Jerome Powell say "tariff" during December FOMC Press Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2024, EST+80%+$54.76
Will Jerome Powell say "unemployment" 5 or more times during December FOMC Press Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2024, EST+30.2%+$11.92
Will Jerome Powell say "cut" 7 or more times during December FOMC Press Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$123Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2024, EST+68.6%+$84.67
Fed cuts rates by 75 basis points in Sept meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2024, EDT-100%-$13.45
US inflation >0.0% from May to June 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$652Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2024, EDT-100%-$652.05
US inflation >0.3% from March to April 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2024, EDT-100%-$84.8
All 16 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Feb 13, 2025, EST1526.7%4 W · 11 L0.0wins0.00per pick27cpaid-42.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
RFK Jr. confirmed as Health & Human Services Secretary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$340Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2025, EST+47.1%+$160
Tulsi Gabbard confirmed as Director of National Intelligence?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$244Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2025, EST+31.6%+$76.96
Pete Hegseth confirmed as Secretary of Defense?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2025, EST-100%-$135
Will Matt Dolan be appointed as the next Ohio senator?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2025, EST-100%-$12.65
Will Jon Husted be appointed as the next Ohio senator?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2025, EST+352.9%+$45.66
Will Roy Altman be appointed as the next Florida senator?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2025, EST-100%-$16.8
Matt Gaetz confirmed as Attorney General?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$375Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2024, EST+33.3%+$125
Will a Republican win Nevada US Senate Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2024, EST-100%-$36.79
Senate control after 2024 election?backed Democrats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$6,551Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2024, EST-100%-$6,550.52
Will a Republican win North Dakota US Senate Election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2024, EST-100%-$70
Will a Democrat win Indiana US Senate Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2024, EST-100%-$24
Will a Republican win Indiana US Senate Election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2024, EST-100%-$22.65
Will Hung Cao win the 2024 Virginia Senate Republican Primary?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2024, EDT-100%-$56.71
Will Colin Allred win the Texas Democratic Senate Primary?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2024, EST-100%-$38.93
Trump margin of victory in New Hampshire Primary 5-7.5%backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2024, EST-100%-$10
All 15 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2025, EST1533.3%5 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-11%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Music — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will 'Hit Me Hard and Soft' win Album of the Year?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2025, EST+31.6%+$4.53
Will 'Espresso' win Record of the Year?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2025, EST+104.1%+$17.15
Will 'Not Like Us' win Record of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2025, EST+614.3%+$190.92
Kanye West retires in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2024, EDT-100%-$15.11
Playboy Carti drops music in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2024, EDT-100%-$68.42
Kendrick drops new track by Friday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$141Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2024, EDT-100%-$141
Drake drops new track by Friday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2024, EDT-100%-$19.82
Diddy arrested before May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$281Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2024, EDT-100%-$280.95
Will What Was I Made For? win the Oscar for Best Original Song?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2024, EDT-100%-$60
GRAMMYs 2024: Will ‘Kill Bill’ by SZA win Record of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$190Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2024, EST-100%-$190.27
GRAMMYs 2024: Will ‘Flowers’ by Miley Cyrus win Record of the Year?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2024, EST-100%-$33.5
GRAMMYs 2024: Will ‘Midnights’ by Taylor Swift win Album of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$547Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2024, EST+42.8%+$234.57
GRAMMYs 2024: Will Ice Spice win Best New Artist?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2024, EST-100%-$180
GRAMMYs 2024: Will "What Was I Made For?" by Billie Eilish win Song of the Year?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$885Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2024, EST-100%-$885
GRAMMYs 2024: Will "Anti-Hero" by Taylor Swift win Song of the Year?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$136Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2024, EST+42.9%+$58.24
All 15 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Aug 11, 2024, EDT1513.3%2 W · 13 L-1.8wins-0.12per pick26cpaid-57.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Olympics — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the USA win Gold in Women's Basketball?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 11, 2024, EDT-100%-$11.63
Olympic Men’s Basketball Final: USA vs. Francebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 10, 2024, EDT-100%-$85.65
Olympic Men’s Basketball: Germany vs. Serbiabacked Germany · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 10, 2024, EDT-100%-$249.75
Will Ana Patricia Silva & Lisboa Duda (BRA) win Gold in Beach Volleyball?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$143Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 9, 2024, EDT-100%-$142.5
Will Femke Bol (NED) win Gold in 400m Hurdles?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$429Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2024, EDT-100%-$429.49
Will Sydney McLaughlin-Levrone (USA) win Gold in 400m Hurdles?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$721Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2024, EDT-100%-$720.99
Will Nina Brunner & Tanja Huberli (SUI) win Gold in Beach Volleyball?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2024, EDT-100%-$11.09
Olympic Basketball: USA vs. Brazilbacked Brazil · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2024, EDT-100%-$18
Olympic Basketball: USA (-27.5) vs. Brazil Spreadbacked USA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$605Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2024, EDT+117.4%+$710.3
Olympic Basketball: Canada vs. Francebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$315Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2024, EDT+316.7%+$997.22
Olympic Basketball: Australia vs. Serbiabacked Australia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2024, EDT-100%-$34.74
Olympic Basketball: Greece vs Germanybacked Greece · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$360Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2024, EDT-100%-$360
Will China win Gold in Women's Basketball?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2024, EDT-100%-$11.18
Country gets medal for first time in Paris Olympics?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2024, EDT-100%-$92.42
Trump vs. Biden: Staircase Olympicsbacked Trump · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$435Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2024, EDT-100%-$435
All 15 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2024, EST1346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid+5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Boxing — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Mike Tyson knockout Jake Paul?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2024, EST+31.6%+$19.47
Will Jake Paul knockout Mike Tyson?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2024, EST-100%-$73.75
Hoffman vs. Warwickbacked Hoffman · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$249Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2024, EDT+281%+$699.71
66kg W Boxing Final: Khelif (ALG) vs. Yang (CHN)backed Liu · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$469Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 9, 2024, EDT-100%-$469.44
50kg W Boxing Final: Wu (CHN) vs. Cakiroglu (TUR)backed Cakiroglu · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$406Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 9, 2024, EDT-100%-$405.67
71kg M Boxing Final: Muydinkhujaev (UZB) vs. Verde Alvarez (MEX)backed Muydinkhujaev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$199Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 9, 2024, EDT+66.7%+$132.8
54kg W Boxing Final: Yuan (CHN) vs. Akbas (TUR)backed Yuan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2024, EDT+177.8%+$19.88
51kg M Boxing Final: Bennama (FRA) vs. Dusmatov (UZB)backed Bennama · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2024, EDT-100%-$52.92
Nic Carter vs. Coty Kuhn: Who will win?backed Kuhn · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$345Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2024, EDT-100%-$345.45
Who will win: Ansem vs. Tatebacked Ansem · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$382Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2024, EDT+116.2%+$443.92
Will Oleksandr Usyk beat Tyson Fury in Ring of Fire?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$586Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2024, EDT+102.8%+$602.77
Will Tyson Fury beat Oleksandr Usyk in Ring of Fire?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$3,434Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2024, EDT-100%-$3,433.59
KO in the Ansem/Barney fight?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$1,549Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2024, EDT-100%-$1,548.52
All 13 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 9, 2024, EDT1216.7%2 W · 10 L-3.2wins-0.26per pick43cpaid-60.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Team from East wins March Madness 2024?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$1,446Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2024, EDT-100%-$1,446
Will Purdue win the NCAA tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$918Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2024, EDT-100%-$918.19
Will UConn win the NCAA tournament?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$531Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2024, EDT-100%-$531.26
Team from West wins March Madness 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2024, EDT-100%-$20
March Madness: Purdue vs. NC Statebacked Purdue · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$840Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2024, EDT+25%+$210
March Madness: Sum of Final Four seeds >10.5?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2024, EDT-100%-$70.44
March Madness: Duke vs. NC Statebacked Duke · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$1,126Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2024, EDT-100%-$1,126.31
March Madness: Tennessee vs. Purduebacked Tennessee · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$1,600Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2024, EDT-100%-$1,600
NCAAB: Purdue Boilermakers vs. Gonzaga Bulldogs 2024-03-29backed Gonzaga · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2024, EDT-100%-$120
NCAAB: Marquette Golden Eagles vs. NC State Wolfpack 2024-03-29backed NC St. · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$957Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2024, EDT+244.8%+$2,343
NCAAB: Iowa State Cyclones vs. Illinois Fighting Illini 2024-03-28 backed ISU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$585Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2024, EDT-100%-$584.88
NCAAB: UConn Huskies vs. San Diego State Aztecs 2024-03-28backed SDSU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$825Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2024, EDT-100%-$825
All 12 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Oct 19, 2024, EDT1136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-30.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jannik Sinner win the Six Kings Slam?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2024, EDT-100%-$32
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the Six Kings Slam?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2024, EDT+66.7%+$44.4
US Open: Fritz vs. Tiafoebacked Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2024, EDT+40.8%+$6.59
Zverev vs. Fritz - US Openbacked Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 3, 2024, EDT-100%-$180
Will Djokovic win a gold medal in Paris?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2024, EDT-100%-$60.6
Will Nadal win a gold medal in Paris?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2024, EDT-100%-$33.99
Wimbledon 2024: Djokovic vs. Musettibacked Musetti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2024, EDT-100%-$10.5
Wimbledon 2024: Medvedev vs. Alcarazbacked Alcaraz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$854Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2024, EDT+37%+$316.03
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2024 French Open Men's Singles?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$155Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2024, EDT+222.6%+$345
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2024 French Open Men's Singles?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2024, EDT-100%-$36
Will Daniil Medvedev win the 2024 French Open Men's Singles?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2024, EDT-100%-$10
All 11 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Sep 26, 2024, EDT1090%9 W · 1 L+3.8wins+0.38per pick52cpaid+108.5%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lyon beat Olympiacos?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 26, 2024, EDT+100%+$31.42
Will Olympiacos beat Lyon?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$285Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 26, 2024, EDT+35.1%+$100
Will Nice beat Real Sociedad?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$422Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 25, 2024, EDT-100%-$422.18
Will Galatasaray beat PAOK?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$900Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 25, 2024, EDT+66.7%+$600
Will Manchester United beat Twente?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$122Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 25, 2024, EDT+354.5%+$432.9
Will Lazio beat Dynamo Kiev?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$255Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 25, 2024, EDT+117.4%+$299.7
Will the match between Dynamo Kiev and Lazio end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$389Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 25, 2024, EDT+42.9%+$166.5
Will Dynamo Kiev beat Lazio?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$405Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 25, 2024, EDT+37%+$149.85
Will AZ Alkmaar beat IF Elfsborg?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$177Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 25, 2024, EDT+56.3%+$99.77
Will Bodo Glimt beat Porto?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 25, 2024, EDT+375.3%+$345.76
All 10 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Oct 2, 2024, EDT1050%5 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Atletico Madrid beat Benfica?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$242Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 2, 2024, EDT-100%-$241.82
Will AC Milan beat Bayer Leverkusen?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$340Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2024, EDT-100%-$340
Will Barcelona beat Monaco?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$404Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 19, 2024, EDT+143.9%+$581.78
Will Benfica beat Red Star Belgrade?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 19, 2024, EDT+108.3%+$31.92
Will Feyenoord beat Bayer Leverkusen?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$197Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 19, 2024, EDT-100%-$197.38
Will Celtic beat Slovan Bratislava?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$176Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2024, EDT+35.1%+$62
Will Borussia Dortmund beat Club Brugge?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2024, EDT+127.3%+$111.98
Will Club Brugge vs. Borussia Dortmund end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2024, EDT-100%-$28.67
Will Shakhtar Donetsk beat Bologna?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2024, EDT+35.1%+$20.75
Will Bologna beat Shakhtar Donetsk?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2024, EDT-100%-$63.89
All 10 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Oct 13, 2024, EDT825%2 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-53.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2025, EST728.6%2 W · 5 L0.0wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-59.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
AI — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Dec 1, 2024, EST742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Cricket Inactivelast resolved Jun 16, 2024, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick29cpaid-50.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Cricket — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 18, 2024, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.14per pick30cpaid-62.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Stocks — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 25, 2024, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick32cpaid-71%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Space Inactivelast resolved Jan 16, 2025, EST540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-40.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Space — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Space, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved Sep 10, 2024, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.17per pick37cpaid-68.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Weather — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

F1 Inactivelast resolved Aug 25, 2024, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.47per pick28cpaid+128.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
F1 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Poker Inactivelast resolved Jul 18, 2024, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.35per pick40cpaid+104.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Poker — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Poker, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

WNBA Inactivelast resolved Oct 17, 2024, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.14per pick36cpaid-13%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
WNBA — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Dec 31, 2024, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Silver close over $40 at the end of 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2024, EST-100%-$50.99
Will Gold close over $3,000 at the end of 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2024, EST-100%-$99.36
All 2 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Sep 28, 2024, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+150%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bayern Munich beat Bayer Leverkusen?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$344Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2024, EDT+150%+$515.57
All 1 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved May 29, 2024, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+99.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Golf — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Scottie Scheffler assault charge dropped?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2024, EDT+99.8%+$104.9
All 1 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Jan 22, 2024, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Earnings — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will MrBeast not say how much his Twitter post with over 124m views made?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2024, EST-100%-$16
All 1 picks, newest first.
Chess Inactivelast resolved Dec 12, 2024, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Chess — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Chess, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
World Chess Championship 2024 Winnerbacked Ding · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$1,001Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2024, EST-100%-$1,000.89
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Sep 29, 2024, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid beat Atletico Madrid?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$411Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 29, 2024, EDT-100%-$411.07
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2024, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bitcoin all time high in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2024, EDT-100%-$98.89
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.76per pick76cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Napoli win the Serie A?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$27.52
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.