College Football · resolved market
Will Kansas St. beat Colorado?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x06d422f30ec1a60a29c21e736e283daac0bf718ef743a44a83759bddb51b1541
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- K Stof K St, Colorado
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $39,268
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $39,148
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,268 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee00…cea1backed K St | 77c | 13,359$10,229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,130.66 | 170 | 48.2%82 W · 88 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1856…1964backed K St | 61c | 8,060$4,917 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,143.4 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd057…ae9fbacked Colorado | 10c | 4,500$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 80 | 23.8%19 W · 61 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91d7…4f16backed Colorado | 53c | 3,769$2,016 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,016.05 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…4173backed Colorado | 39c | 3,161$1,234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,234.4 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed K St | 80c | 2,534$2,027 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$507.46 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Colorado | 16c | 2,500$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 152 | 52.6%80 W · 72 L | +9.9wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3168…6734backed Colorado | 35c | 2,000$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Colorado | 28c | 1,712$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$473.23 | 203 | 41.9%85 W · 118 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Colorado | 41c | 1,220$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 157 | 51%80 W · 77 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf930…e346backed Colorado | 19c | 929.12$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 120 | 42.5%51 W · 69 L | -11.0wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Colorado | 37c | 878.9$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.41 | 231 | 45.5%105 W · 126 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3195…a94fbacked Colorado | 38c | 727.08$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.29 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c67…bb39backed Colorado | 24c | 500$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.5 | 118 | 39%46 W · 72 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b23…8278backed Colorado | 25c | 417.87$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.75 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f7d…4feabacked Colorado | 41c | 350$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.5 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecbe…42ffbacked Colorado | 20c | 339.06$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.66 | 242 | 29.3%71 W · 171 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e1…921ebacked K St | 78c | 301$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.65 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6727…db84backed K St | 60c | 261.01$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…742dbacked Colorado | 35c | 208.47$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.47 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +19%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13d9…121ebacked Colorado | 42c | 190.83$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked K St | 58c | 186.74$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.3 | 88 | 51.1%45 W · 43 L | +9.3wins | +0.11per pick | 41cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcb8b…b7fcbacked Colorado | 13c | 126.72$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1823…b0fcbacked Colorado | 40c | 124.93$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.97 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.17per pick | 39cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa45…0eb0backed Colorado | 22c | 113.64$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed K St | 64c | 100$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.5 | 188 | 58%109 W · 79 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcb1…d3e3backed K St | 50c | 99.13$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.13 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | +8.2wins | +0.14per pick | 35cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2fb4…2794backed Colorado | 39c | 80$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.8 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47fa…4bbebacked Colorado | 40c | 80$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.6 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7e…4562backed K St | 58c | 75.84$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.85 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa982…6c34backed Colorado | 41c | 73.17$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.19per pick | 49cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf47f…dd50backed Colorado | 23c | 63.91$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ca9…4ebbbacked Colorado | 41c | 60.98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a3…dbc4backed Colorado | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x486c…3d03backed Colorado | 41c | 45.12$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2376…30f5backed K St | 60c | 41.87$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.87 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cec…1e3dbacked Colorado | 40c | 41.13$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.58 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x57fa…51c4backed K St | 59c | 39.5$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.31 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Colorado | 41c | 35$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.35 | 473 | 31.5%149 W · 324 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6650…d38ebacked Colorado | 40c | 29.07$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.63 | 59 | 44.1%26 W · 33 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Kansas St. beat Colorado?this page
- Will Kansas St. and Colorado combine for 56 or more points?Over won
- Will Kansas St. beat Colorado by 4 or more points?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.