TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x8c67…bb39

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
720
Categories scored
33
Categories below 50
25

Best Category: AI, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category AI at 55 out of 100; worst NHL at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST20246%93 W · 109 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NFL — the 202 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the 2026 Bad Bunny Super Bowl halftime show video get between 75M and 100M views in its first 7 days?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$143Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$142.96
Will "Crypto" be said at the Super Bowl?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+25.4%+$30.44
Will Bad Bunny perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+44.2%+$15.44
Jets vs. Bengalsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+222.6%+$69
49ers vs. Texansbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$64.35
Commanders vs. Cowboysbacked Commanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$57
Spread: Eagles (-7.5)backed Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 5, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$73.5
Bill Belichick and Jordon Hudson breakup before August? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT+37%+$4.54
Will the Gatorade shower at Super Bowl LIX be green/yellow?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$148Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST-100%-$147.65
Will Kendrick Lamar perform "All The Stars"?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST-100%-$31.44
Super Bowl LIX Winnerbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$386Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST-100%-$385.75
Will Josh Allen win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$744Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2025, EST+452.2%+$3,365.7
Will Lamar Jackson win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$1,011Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2025, EST-100%-$1,011.43
Will Jared Goff win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$241Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2025, EST-100%-$241.45
Will Jayden Daniels win NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$407Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2025, EST+47.5%+$193.52
Bills vs. Chiefsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$437Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2025, EST-100%-$436.67
Will the Commanders win Super Bowl 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$174Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2025, EST-100%-$174.02
Will Caleb Williams win NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2025, EST-100%-$76.5
Will Patrick Mahomes win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$492Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2025, EST-100%-$491.86
Ravens vs. Billsbacked Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$525Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2025, EST-100%-$525
Rams vs. Eaglesbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$372Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2025, EST-100%-$372.29
Will Saquon Barkley score a touchdown?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2025, EST+58.7%+$7.4
Commanders vs. Lionsbacked Commanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2025, EST+481.4%+$207
Will the Texans win the AFC Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$430Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2025, EST-100%-$430
Will the Texans win Super Bowl 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$1,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2025, EST-100%-$1,500.05
Showing 25 of 202 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 2, 2026, EST11839%46 W · 72 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-13.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
College Football — the 118 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Georgia win the 2026 College Football National Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$20.73
Will Texas A&M win the 2026 College Football National Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$139Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$139.08
Will John Mateer win the Heisman Trophy?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Marcel Reed win the Heisman Trophy?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$34.53
Will Ty Simpson win the Heisman Trophy?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Will Ryan Williams win the Heisman Trophy?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$25
UMass vs. Ohiobacked UMass · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$132Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST-100%-$132.3
LSU vs. Alabamabacked LSU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$42.5
Indiana vs. Penn Statebacked Penn State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$95.62
Georgia Tech vs. NC Statebacked Georgia Tech · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$79.5
Miami vs. SMU Mustangsbacked SMU Mustangs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+251.2%+$215.25
Georgia vs. Florida Gatorsbacked Georgia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$135Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+85.9%+$115.5
Texas A&M vs. LSUbacked Texas A&M · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$276Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+81.2%+$224
Notre Dame vs. Miamibacked Miami · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT+100%+$50
Will Ohio State win the 2025 College Football Playoff?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$450Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2025, EST+455.6%+$2,050
Will Ohio State beat Notre Dame by 9 or more points?backed Notre Dame · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$127Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2025, EST-100%-$126.5
Ohio State vs. Notre Damebacked Notre Dame · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$550Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2025, EST-100%-$550
Will Texas win the 2025 College Football Playoff?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$301Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2025, EST-100%-$301.16
Will Jeremiah Smith score a TD AND Quinn Ewers throws one or more INT?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2025, EST-100%-$52.5
Ohio State vs. Texasbacked Texas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$165Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2025, EST-100%-$165
Will Ohio State win by 6 or more points?backed Texas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$260Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2025, EST-100%-$260
Notre Dame vs. Penn Statebacked Penn State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$268Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2025, EST-100%-$267.5
Minnesota vs. Virginia Techbacked Virginia Tech · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2025, EST-100%-$140
Notre Dame vs. Georgiabacked Georgia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$284Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2025, EST-100%-$283.5
Texas vs. Arizona Statebacked Arizona State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST-100%-$41.5
Showing 25 of 118 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT6238.7%24 W · 38 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-18%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 62 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$159Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$158.76
Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.76
Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$182Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+37.7%+$68.5
Rockets vs. Thunderbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$24
Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$438Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$437.67
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$1,325Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,324.87
Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$439Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$438.58
Will the Houston Rockets win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$122.47
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$388Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$387.5
Will Payton Pritchard win 2024-25 NBA 6th Man of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$147Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$102.5
Will Amen Thompson win 2024-25 NBA 6th Man of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$66.14
Rockets vs. Clippersbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$45
Suns vs. Nuggetsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2025, EST-100%-$54
Grizzlies vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2025, EST-100%-$47
Rockets vs. Thunderbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2025, EST-100%-$115.7
Bucks vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2025, EST+72.4%+$21
76ers vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$103Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2025, EST+143.9%+$147.5
Rockets vs. Mavericksbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2025, EST-100%-$122.4
Will Jimmy Butler stay with the Miami Heat?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$113Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2025, EST+99.6%+$112.78
Lakers vs. Knicksbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$265Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2025, EST+277.5%+$735.1
Rockets vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$432Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2025, EST+122.1%+$528.12
Thunder vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$220Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2025, EST+354.5%+$779.99
Nuggets vs. Knicksbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2025, EST-100%-$150
Jazz vs. Warriorsbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Bucks vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2025, EST+194.1%+$165
Showing 25 of 62 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 18, 2025, EDT4742.6%20 W · 27 L-5.2wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-20.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
NHL — the 47 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Edmonton Oilers win the 2025 Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$775Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$774.99
Canada vs. USAbacked USA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2025, EST-100%-$127.5
Oilers vs. Blackhawksbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2025, EST-100%-$119.65
Red Wings vs. Canucksbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2025, EST-100%-$28.5
Blue Jackets vs. Starsbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$126Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2025, EST-100%-$126
Rangers vs. Bruinsbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$145Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2025, EST-100%-$145
Sharks vs. Krakenbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2025, EST-100%-$70
Blue Jackets vs. Golden Knightsbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2025, EST+185.6%+$193.06
Red Wings vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2025, EST-100%-$170
Flyers vs. Rangersbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2025, EST-100%-$66
Panthers vs. Ducksbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$109Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2025, EST+38.1%+$41.4
Capitals vs. Oilersbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$115Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2025, EST+116.8%+$134.71
Hurricanes vs. Starsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$148Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2025, EST-100%-$147.5
Lightning vs. Maple Leafsbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2025, EST-100%-$112.5
Wild vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$168Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2025, EST-100%-$167.5
Wild vs. Predatorsbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2025, EST-100%-$86.4
Golden Knights vs. Blackhawksbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2025, EST+182.9%+$168.1
Oilers vs. Wildbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2025, EST+56.5%+$90.25
Kings vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$165Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2025, EST+51.5%+$85
Wild vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$155Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2025, EST+61.3%+$95
Stars vs. Senatorsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$113Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2025, EST+122.2%+$137.5
Rangers vs. Golden Knightsbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$188Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2025, EST+166.7%+$312.5
Islanders vs. Utahbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2025, EST+96.1%+$49
Kraken vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2025, EST-100%-$75
Islanders vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2025, EST-100%-$63
Showing 25 of 47 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT3836.8%14 W · 24 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-28.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 38 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$181Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+342%+$618.99
Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+67.4%+$70.49
Will 'A Minecraft Movie' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$145Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+73%+$105.5
Will "One Battle After Another" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 29m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$158Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 29, 2025, EDT+58%+$91.74
Will "The Naked Gun" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than $17m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$18.75
Will "The Phoenician Scheme" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $3m and $5m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$121Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$120.52
Will 'Bring Her Back' gross more than $6.5m opening weekend?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2025, EDT+136%+$86.44
Will "Mission: Impossible – The Final Reckoning" Rotten Tomatoes score be between 80 and 84?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$251Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2025, EDT+99.3%+$249.08
Will 'Mickey 17' gross between 16-20m on its opening weekend?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$108
Will 'Mickey 17' gross more than 24m on its opening weekend?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$256Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$256.44
Will "Conclave" win Best Picture at the 2025 Oscars?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2025, EST-100%-$118.04
Will "The Brutalist" win Best Picture at the 2025 Oscars?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$117Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2025, EST-100%-$117.06
Will "A Complete Unknown" win Best Picture at the 2025 Oscars?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2025, EST-100%-$12.64
Will Demi Moore win Best Actress at the 2025 Oscars?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2025, EST-100%-$44.16
Will "I'm Still Here" win Best International Feature Film at the 2025 Oscars?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$221Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2025, EST+35.7%+$78.9
Will "Wicked" win Best Visual Effects at the 2025 Oscars?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$222Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2025, EST-100%-$222.23
Will "Better Man" win Best Visual Effects at the 2025 Oscars?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2025, EST-100%-$12.37
Will "A Complete Unknown" win Best Sound at the 2025 Oscars?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2025, EST-100%-$66.89
Will "Nosferatu" win Best Production Design at the 2025 Oscars?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will "A Real Pain" win Best Original Screenplay at the 2025 Oscars?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2025, EST-100%-$27.2
Will "Nosferatu" win Best Costume Design at the 2025 Oscars?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2025, EST-100%-$19.89
Will "Yuck!" win Best Animated Short Film at the 2025 Oscars?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2025, EST-100%-$19.17
Will "Captain America" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $82-91m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2025, EST+35.1%+$6.5
Will "Dog Man" Opening Weekend Box Office be more than $40m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2025, EST-100%-$36.61
Will "Dog Man" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $35-40m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2025, EST+150%+$30
Showing 25 of 38 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Nov 12, 2025, EST3743.2%16 W · 21 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 37 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paul Skenes win the 2025 NL Cy Young?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$335Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST+49.1%+$164.63
Will Garrett Crochet win the 2025 AL Cy Young?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$36
Will Tarik Skubal win the 2025 AL Cy Young?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$217Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST+38.5%+$83.4
Will Hunter Brown win the 2025 AL Cy Young?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$21.07
Will Jacob Wilson win the American League Rookie of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$332Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST-100%-$331.73
Will Cameron Smith win the American League Rookie of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$569Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST-100%-$568.95
Will Zack Wheeler win the 2025 NL Cy Young?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$499Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$498.86
Will the Detroit Tigers win the 2025 World Series?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$74.97
Astros vs. Yankeesbacked Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 10, 2025, EDT+185.7%+$97.5
Seattle Mariners vs. Houston Astrosbacked Houston Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$237Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2025, EDT+110.7%+$262.45
Seattle Mariners vs. Houston Astrosbacked Houston Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$102.5
Minnesota Twins vs. Houston Astrosbacked Houston Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$119Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2025, EDT+109.3%+$130.55
Minnesota Twins vs. Houston Astrosbacked Houston Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$177Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$177.25
Houston Astros vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked Houston Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$92
SF Giants vs. HOU Astros April 1backed Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
NYM Mets vs. HOU Astros March 29backed Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$93Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$57
NYM Mets vs. HOU Astros March 28backed Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$58.93
Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the World Series?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$121Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2024, EDT+354.5%+$429
Will there be at least 1 run scored in the first inning?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2024, EDT+92.9%+$120.4
NLCS: Dodgers vs. Mets Game 6backed Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$285Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2024, EDT+75.4%+$215
Guardians vs. Yankees - Game 4backed Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$214Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2024, EDT-100%-$214.1
Mets vs. Dodgers - Game 4backed Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2024, EDT-100%-$119.6
Yankees vs. Guardians - Game 3backed Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$155Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2024, EDT+61.3%+$95
Will there be at least 1 run scored in the first inning?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2024, EDT+127.3%+$28
Will the San Diego Padres win the World Series?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2024, EDT-100%-$50
Showing 25 of 37 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST2433.3%8 W · 16 L-3.5wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-44%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump lower tariffs on Mexico by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$159Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+116%+$184.5
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Will Aftyn Behn win TN-7 Special Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$82.5
Will Zohran Mamdani win by >9%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+63.9%+$58.5
Will Trump sign the Epstein Disclosure Bill on November 19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST-100%-$99
Will anyone vote "No" to releasing the Epstein files?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$154Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$154.12
House passes Epstein disclosure bill/resolution in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$49.13
Will the Government shutdown end November 16 or later?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$188Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+32.9%+$61.91
Will the Government shutdown end November 8-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$685Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$685
Will Zohran Mamdani say "Cuomo" 2+ times during his victory/concession speech?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+66.7%+$20
Will Zohran Mamdani say "Jew" or "Jewish" during his victory/concession speech?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$70.55
Will Zohran Mamdani say "New York" or "New Yorker" 10+ times during his victory/concession speech?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$82.18
Will Trump release more Epstein files in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$420Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$420.05
US x China tariff agreement by November 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$156Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+27.8%+$43.5
Will Trump pardon Changpeng Zhao in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$487Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT+161.8%+$788.01
Will Trump say "Thank you" 7+ times during announcement today?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.75
Will Trump pardon Changpeng Zhao by September 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$369Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$369.2
Will Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$6,651Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT+46.6%+$3,098.49
Trump releases JFK files by Tuesday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$349.8
Elon Musk out as Head of DOGE before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2025, EST-100%-$200.2
TikTok banned in the US before May 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$1,256Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2025, EST-100%-$1,255.79
Will Bitcoin hit $100k in 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$1,091Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2024, EST+29.1%+$317.34
2024 Balance of Power: R Prez R Senate R Housebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$321Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2024, EST-100%-$320.74
Kamala Harris wins a solid red state?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2024, EST-100%-$18.75
All 24 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT2152.4%11 W · 10 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+115.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump and Netanyahu hug on Tuesday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$5.75
Will there be Saudi Arabian military action against Yemen by July 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$115Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+35.4%+$40.66
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$144Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$144.48
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.5
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+2,757.1%+$482.5
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+259%+$252.5
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$24.2
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$145Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+63.9%+$92.58
Will Donald Trump say "Syria / Syrian" 10+ times during Syria President events on November 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST+40.5%+$31.12
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$803Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$803.49
US strikes Yemen by September 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+33.9%+$12.65
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before August?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$148Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$102.5
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by July 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$310Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$190
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+25%+$50
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by January 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$519Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2025, EST-100%-$519.23
Will Israel invade Syria in 2024?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$1,141Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2024, EST-100%-$1,141.09
Israel strike on Iranian nuclear facility in 2024?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$163Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2024, EST-100%-$162.5
U.S. military action against Iran before November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$441Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2024, EDT-100%-$440.86
Israel military response against Iran by Friday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$637Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2024, EDT-100%-$637
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$14,371Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 7, 2024, EDT+47.3%+$6,798.42
All 21 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT2138.1%8 W · 13 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 68-69°F on April 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.75
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 86-87°F on April 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$68.54
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 88-89°F on April 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.99
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 84-85°F on April 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$91Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+100.1%+$90.98
Will the highest temperature in Houston be 84°F or higher on April 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$184Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$183.97
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 82-83°F on April 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+78.5%+$56.6
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on April 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.99
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on April 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+62.5%+$39.7
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 78-79°F on April 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+68.5%+$50.42
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 80-81°F on April 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.76
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 74-75°F on April 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.19
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 82-83°F on April 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.86
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 82-83°F on April 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+96.4%+$35.46
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 84-85°F on April 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.96
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 72-73°F on February 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+33.3%+$12.5
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 70-71°F on February 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+49%+$42.95
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 42-43°F on January 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$52.05
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 40-41°F on January 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+614.3%+$86
Will the October 2024 temperature increase be between 1.35-1.40°C?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2024, EST-100%-$85
Will there be less than 16 named storms during Atlantic Hurricane Season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$552Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2024, EDT-100%-$552.25
2024 September hottest on record?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$846Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2024, EDT-100%-$845.93
All 21 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST1631.3%5 W · 11 L-2.0wins-0.13per pick44cpaid-27.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Music — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will a Justin Bieber song reach #1 this year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$97.5
Will Spotify's top song on Christmas be 'All I Want For Christmas Is You'?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$74.83
Will Bad Bunny be the top Spotify artist for 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$178Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+49%+$87.15
Taylor Swift holds top ten spots on the Billboard Hot 100 for the week of October 18th?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$84.92
Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce engaged in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$30.8
Will Playboi Carti release “I AM MUSIC” by June 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$186Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$185.8
Will 'Cowboy Carter' win Album of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2025, EST+229.7%+$157.11
Will 'Hit Me Hard and Soft' win Album of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$251Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2025, EST-100%-$250.84
Will 'Espresso' win Record of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2025, EST-100%-$111.93
Will 'Not Like Us' win Record of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2025, EST+300%+$187.5
Will Sabrina Carpenter win Best New Artist?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2025, EST-100%-$38.69
Will 'Alligator Bites Never Heal' win Best Rap Album?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$163Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2025, EST+53.8%+$87.5
Will Playboi Carti release new album in 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST-100%-$500
Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce break up in 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST-100%-$42.5
KSI's "Thick Of It" debuts on Billboard hot 100?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$426Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2024, EDT-100%-$425.9
Will Lana Del Rey dump her boyfriend before October?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$351Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2024, EDT+26.5%+$92.91
All 16 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Dec 14, 2025, EST1625%4 W · 12 L-2.9wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-51.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
World Politics — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$192Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$192
Will Daniel Baluta be the next Mayor of Bucharest?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$171Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$170.68
Will Johannes Kaiser win the Chilean presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST-100%-$117.55
Will Evelyn Matthei win the Chilean presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$278Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST-100%-$278.26
Yoon arrested by July 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$138Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$137.68
Will Lee Jae-myung be elected the next president of South Korea?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$20.5
Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$384Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$384.46
Will Nicușor Dan win the Romanian presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$1,770Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,769.84
Will the Conservative Party win the most seats in British Columbia in the next Canadian Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$501Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$501.24
Will Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$143Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$142.5
Yoon out as president of South Korea before April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$833Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT+200.1%+$1,667.02
NHL 4 Nations: Canada vs. USAbacked USA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2025, EST+100%+$75
Will Yamandú Orsi win the 2024 Uruguay presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$195Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2024, EST+28.2%+$55
Will Ricardo Nunes win the 2024 São Paulo mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2024, EDT+53.8%+$52.5
National Guard deployed to Aurora by next Friday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$293Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2024, EDT-100%-$292.65
Will Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf be the next President of Iran?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2024, EDT-100%-$110
All 16 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT1414.3%2 W · 12 L-2.4wins-0.17per pick32cpaid-77.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Warsh say "Productivity" during July Press Conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$71.5
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$247Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$246.79
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$178Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+40.8%+$72.5
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$420Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$420
Will Powell say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during October press conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$65.45
Will Trump try to fire Powell by August 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$856Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT+75.3%+$644.22
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2024 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$761Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2024, EST-100%-$761.04
Will Fed cut interest rates 3 times in 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$171Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2024, EST-100%-$170.5
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2024 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2024, EST-100%-$95
No change in Fed interest rates after 2024 November meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2024, EST-100%-$27.99
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after September 2024 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2024, EDT-100%-$10
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2024 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$280Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2024, EDT-100%-$280.25
No change in Fed interest rates after 2024 September meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2024, EDT-100%-$20
Will Powell wear a purple tie at FOMC?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$136Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2024, EDT-100%-$135.84
All 14 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1250%6 W · 6 L+1.8wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+7.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
AI — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$288Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$288.42
GPT-5.5 released by April 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$278Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$277.83
Moltbook AI agent sues a human by Feb 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$135Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+48.4%+$65.25
Nothing Ever Happens: AI Editionbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+67.2%+$10.58
Will OpenAI release a new frontier model by December 13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$60
Will Sora be the #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT+454.7%+$122.96
OpenAI browser by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$40.99
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by August 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT+28.2%+$11
OpenAI browser by August 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$119Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT+26.6%+$31.5
Will GPT-5 be released on August 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$137Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$136.7
Will DeepSeek still be #1 Free app on Friday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$490Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2025, EST-100%-$489.65
GPT-5 announced in Q3 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$202Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2024, EDT-100%-$202.14
All 12 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Jun 28, 2026, EDT1233.3%4 W · 8 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick27cpaid-15.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will John Fleming be the republican nominee for Senate in Louisiana?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$1,530Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,530.01
Will Julia Letlow be the republican nominee for Senate in Louisiana?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$108.84
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$102.5
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$222Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+125.3%+$278.04
Will James Talarico and Ken Paxton be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+139.8%+$65.97
Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.75
Will Zohran Mamdani win by 10-20%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$270Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$269.94
Will Zohran Mamdani win by 0-10%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$245Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+317.1%+$777.66
Will Mamdani get over 50% of the vote in the general mayoral election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$45
Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$715Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$714.63
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$28
Will a candidate from another party win Nebraska US Senate Election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$780Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2024, EST+28.3%+$221.02
All 12 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Nov 25, 2025, EST128.3%1 W · 11 L-2.1wins-0.18per pick26cpaid-87%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Monad market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$339Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$338.73
Monad market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$198Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$198
Canton FDV above $3B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$96.83
Over $1.8B committed to the MegaETH public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$54
Over $1B committed to the MegaETH public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$95.85
Berachain airdrop in Q1 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2025, EST-100%-$24.93
Will Hyperliquid launch a token in December?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2024, EST-100%-$60.51
Will Binance or Bybit list $MOODENG by Friday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$467Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2024, EDT-100%-$466.79
Eigenlayer airdrop by September 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$3,868Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 3, 2024, EDT-100%-$3,868.16
Eigenlayer market cap (FDV) <$10b one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$193Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 2, 2024, EDT-100%-$192.5
Did Barron Trump launch $DJT?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2024, EDT-100%-$20.63
Will Ryan Garcia launch a memecoin by next Friday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$119Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2024, EDT-100%-$119.5
All 12 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 23, 2025, EDT1118.2%2 W · 9 L-1.1wins-0.10per pick28cpaid-75.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal vs. Crystal Palace end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$119Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2025, EDT+26.6%+$31.5
Will Arsenal win on 2025-04-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$141Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$140.59
Will Jude Bellingham win the Ballon d’Or?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2024, EDT-100%-$23.54
Will Rodri win the Ballon d’Or?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$297Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2024, EDT-100%-$296.96
Will Vinicius Jr win the Ballon D’Or?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$214Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2024, EDT-100%-$214.2
Will another player win the Ballon d'Or?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2024, EDT-100%-$18.47
Will Lamine Yamal win the Ballon d’Or?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2024, EDT-100%-$15.61
Will Harry Kane win the Ballon d’Or?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2024, EDT-100%-$10
Will Liverpool win on 2024-10-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2024, EDT+38.9%+$7
Will the match be a draw? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2024, EDT-100%-$32
Will Switzerland win?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2024, EDT-100%-$50.91
All 11 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+15.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

F1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick39cpaid-59.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
F1 — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Golf Inactivelast resolved Aug 10, 2025, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick26cpaid+268.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Golf — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.16per pick33cpaid-72.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Olympics Inactivelast resolved Aug 11, 2024, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.27per pick48cpaid+38.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Olympics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2025, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-62.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2024, EST425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.29per pick54cpaid-65%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Boxing — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Earnings Inactivelast resolved Jul 27, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Earnings — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

WNBA Inactivelast resolved Aug 6, 2025, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
WNBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.28per pick78cpaid-37.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$192Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$191.5
Will Zelensky meet with Trump in September?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$239Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2024, EDT+25.5%+$61
All 2 picks, newest first.
Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Nov 22, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 25, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+107.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Set Handicap: Assche (-1.5) vs Gaston (+1.5)backed Assche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+107.5%+$12.9
All 1 picks, newest first.
Poker Inactivelast resolved Jul 25, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Poker — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Poker, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Chris Moneymaker cash in the WSOP 2026 Main Event?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$339Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$339.26
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Aug 4, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$231Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$230.62
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Nov 6, 2024, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bitcoin all time high day after election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2024, EST-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 23, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will England win on 2026-06-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2024, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Liverpool beat Girona?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2024, EST-100%-$46.5
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.