MLB · resolved market
Mets vs. Dodgers - Game 4
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4f09a7c0afd880d1bf8e800c5ad41eb87f8c177b75f3cd57e48958220992f214
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Dodgersof Mets, Dodgers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $69,274
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $70,423
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $69,274 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 155 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Dodgers | 76c | 13,629$10,418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,211.13 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e2f…aaf8backed Mets | 46c | 8,890$4,089 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,089.32 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3168…6734backed Mets | 33c | 4,930$1,614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,614.07 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Mets | 45c | 4,502$2,048 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,047.86 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.7wins | +0.21per pick | 48cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd057…ae9fbacked Mets | 1c | 3,500$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd244…f24cbacked Mets | 45c | 3,337$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 32 | 71.9%23 W · 9 L | +6.6wins | +0.21per pick | 51cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x69bb…fcb2backed Mets | 42c | 2,489$1,045 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,045.37 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9711…5795backed Mets | 45c | 2,449$1,102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,102 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f06…a1e8backed Dodgers | 58c | 2,446$1,421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,024.69 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed Dodgers | 73c | 2,423$1,759 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$664.01 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +3.3wins | +0.16per pick | 56cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Mets | 47c | 1,991$927 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$927 | 513 | 34.5%177 W · 336 L | -31.2wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb033…bedbbacked Dodgers | 55c | 1,611$884 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$726.62 | 133 | 59.4%79 W · 54 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5992…26c4backed Dodgers | 56c | 1,596$893 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$702.03 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x141c…16ebbacked Dodgers | 63c | 1,333$842 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7a3…e24bbacked Mets | 44c | 1,275$561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a7f…0789backed Dodgers | 58c | 1,275$739 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$535.29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf22c…9050backed Mets | 48c | 1,150$552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$552 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc9c…d5c5backed Mets | 46c | 1,087$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6761…a94fbacked Mets | 45c | 1,032$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$463.97 | 31 | 67.7%21 W · 10 L | +5.2wins | +0.17per pick | 51cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Mets | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3e3…21d5backed Mets | 44c | 912.46$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.56 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5523…51e9backed Mets | 8c | 637.07$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.97 | 114 | 49.1%56 W · 58 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…715cbacked Dodgers | 57c | 610.83$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.83 | 83 | 49.4%41 W · 42 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…4583backed Mets | 43c | 599.99$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258 | 64 | 48.4%31 W · 33 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5c0…3f84backed Dodgers | 54c | 581.1$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.3 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.5wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0e…1461backed Dodgers | 54c | 555.62$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.59 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.5wins | +0.15per pick | 50cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4b3a…16fbbacked Dodgers | 53c | 499.99$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +3.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +101.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfe91…70ffbacked Dodgers | 54c | 498.37$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.4 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Mets | 35c | 433$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.88 | 540 | 48.3%261 W · 279 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1a4…229ebacked Dodgers | 56c | 415.12$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.65 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x660f…ec30backed Mets | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x913c…6e48backed Dodgers | 54c | 370.02$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.21 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf930…e346backed Dodgers | 56c | 357.14$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.14 | 133 | 54.9%73 W · 60 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa24…3d23backed Dodgers | 56c | 323.94$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.53 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.25per pick | 54cpaid | -54.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Mets | 5c | 292.97$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.93 | 639 | 42.7%273 W · 366 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd28…37a1backed Dodgers | 53c | 283.02$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.02 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.29per pick | 51cpaid | +42.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c67…bb39backed Mets | 46c | 260$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.6 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Dodgers | 42c | 249.98$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.99 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x479c…bcbcbacked Dodgers | 57c | 235$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.05 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12ce…a6abbacked Mets | 43c | 235$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.05 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Mets | 43c | 234.42$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.8 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd909…fd75backed Dodgers | 64c | 234.16$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.39 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6650…d38ebacked Mets | 43c | 233$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.19 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -39%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x089b…2193backed Dodgers | 53c | 224.89$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.2 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6240…3727backed Dodgers | 58c | 224.07$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.11 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2af0…a0c9backed Mets | 44c | 204.54$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f24…beaabacked Mets | 44c | 204.54$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x234b…a67ebacked Dodgers | 56c | 200$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Mets | 43c | 200$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 215 | 38.6%83 W · 132 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2634…c7f6backed Dodgers | 56c | 196.42$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.42 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +19%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c25…4407backed Dodgers | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd75…83d3backed Dodgers | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e9…1edabacked Dodgers | 57c | 175.43$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.43 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6984…fbacbacked Dodgers | 57c | 175.43$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.43 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3462…d3d2backed Dodgers | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7a…15b5backed Dodgers | 57c | 170.35$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7db3…77ccbacked Dodgers | 59c | 170.34$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.34 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1f5…2100backed Mets | 43c | 162.79$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba19…3777backed Dodgers | 56c | 162.5$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +87.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3255…a972backed Dodgers | 56c | 160.71$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.71 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +87.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84be…ec7abacked Mets | 44c | 159.09$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0db4…cc65backed Dodgers | 56c | 156.02$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.65 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdf6…5c9bbacked Mets | 45c | 155.55$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf339…e010backed Mets | 39c | 142.97$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.34 | 61 | 50.8%31 W · 30 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x487f…30babacked Dodgers | 57c | 138$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.34 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf64…7e54backed Mets | 43c | 138$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.34 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00f0…b853backed Mets | 44c | 136.36$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f7f…3fcabacked Mets | 44c | 136.36$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fea…8f7bbacked Dodgers | 69c | 135.72$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.36 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe985…f556backed Dodgers | 56c | 134.74$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.29 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4e4…928dbacked Mets | 43c | 130.19$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.98 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6099…0b10backed Dodgers | 63c | 129.49$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.91 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…becfbacked Mets | 48c | 129.17$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5529…3102backed Dodgers | 56c | 121.43$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.43 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +19%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac97…a99ebacked Mets | 40c | 117.57$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.66 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c6b…7132backed Dodgers | 57c | 117.54$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.54 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57fa…51c4backed Mets | 42c | 116.54$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.95 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x861e…c8f6backed Mets | 44c | 113.31$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.86 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0078…bca0backed Dodgers | 56c | 107.14$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.14 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…e0c9backed Mets | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ef3…3d1bbacked Mets | 45c | 99.99$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b40…45ecbacked Mets | 43c | 93.02$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d33…1ddabacked Dodgers | 57c | 87.71$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.72 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 61cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x193d…2eb4backed Dodgers | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.21 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6be…88d8backed Mets | 45c | 72$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3533…0e67backed Dodgers | 55c | 72$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddfb…c994backed Dodgers | 57c | 70.18$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.18 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf6e…8845backed Dodgers | 63c | 65.52$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58a9…bac0backed Mets | 48c | 64.58$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x454c…3e5fbacked Dodgers | 57c | 63.28$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.28 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +89.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b13…87a1backed Mets | 58c | 63.07$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b5f…c9f9backed Dodgers | 55c | 57.82$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.02 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa60c…6a9abacked Mets | 58c | 57.76$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47fa…4bbebacked Dodgers | 57c | 57.55$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.87 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe76e…9c78backed Dodgers | 55c | 54.73$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.63 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68ce…8cacbacked Mets | 58c | 54.63$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.53 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b59…0ad0backed Dodgers | 55c | 54.47$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.51 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe58e…99e4backed Mets | 56c | 54.39$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e15…70ccbacked Mets | 46c | 54.35$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -3.4wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfd8b…f655backed Dodgers | 58c | 54$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Mets vs. Dodgers - Game 4this page
- Will the Mets and Dodgers combine for 8 or more runs scored?Over won
- Will there be at least 1 run scored in the first inning?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.