TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0db4…cc65

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
44
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: NFL, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category NFL at 57 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLB Inactivelast resolved Oct 29, 2025, EDT1163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+17.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Blue Jays vs. Dodgersbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$768Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$768
Yankees vs. Blue Jaysbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$40.42
Astros vs. Marlinsbacked Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,890Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,889.98
Braves vs. Redsbacked Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$935Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2025, EDT+100%+$934.96
Diamondbacks vs. Athleticsbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$530Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$530
Cardinals vs. Padresbacked Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$945Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$555
Rays vs. Yankeesbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$558Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$342
Cubs vs. Brewersbacked Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$288Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2025, EDT+108.3%+$311.99
NLCS: Dodgers vs. Mets Game 6backed Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$178Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2024, EDT+75.4%+$134.32
Mets vs. Dodgers - Game 4backed Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$87Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2024, EDT+78.6%+$68.65
Will the Guardians beat the Tigers?backed Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$346Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2024, EDT+112.8%+$389.79
All 11 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Dec 11, 2025, EST757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+29.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Panthers vs. Utahbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$550Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$550
Wild vs. Krakenbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$1,540Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$1,540
Red Wings vs. Canucksbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,188Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+85.2%+$1,012
Kings vs. Utahbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$2,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$2,000
Blues vs. Canadiensbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$720Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+122.2%+$880
Sharks vs. Starsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$426Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+40.8%+$174
Predators vs. Hurricanesbacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2025, EDT+257.1%+$125.57
All 7 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Dec 9, 2025, EST742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-14.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 28, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick41cpaid+2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Nets vs. Lakersbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$108
Kings vs. Heatbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+316.7%+$1,899.99
Pacers vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$270Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$269.5
Wizards vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$174Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$174.4
Timberwolves vs. Kingsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$585Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2024, EDT+96.1%+$561.93
Pacers vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2024, EDT-100%-$81.6
All 6 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Oct 15, 2024, EDT4100%4 W · 0 L+1.8wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+87.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
NFL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bills vs. Jetsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$358Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2024, EDT+90.2%+$323.31
Bengals vs. Giantsbacked Bengals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$376Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2024, EDT+56.3%+$211.72
Colts vs. Titansbacked Colts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2024, EDT+143.9%+$85
49ers vs. Seahawksbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$218Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2024, EDT+58.7%+$127.9
All 4 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+13.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Fulham win on 2025-12-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$1,890Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+58.7%+$1,109.91
Will Crystal Palace win on 2024-10-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$192Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2024, EDT-100%-$192.26
Will Liverpool win on 2024-10-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2024, EDT+81.8%+$86.4
All 3 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Oct 15, 2024, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Portugal beat Scotland?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$971Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2024, EDT-100%-$971.1
Will Austria beat Norway?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2024, EDT-100%-$300
All 2 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AS Roma win on 2026-03-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$56
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Oct 19, 2024, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the Six Kings Slam?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$156Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2024, EDT+81.8%+$127.65
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Jan 15, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+25%+$9.87
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Feb 23, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Udinese Calcio win on 2026-02-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+25%+$10
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.