NFL · resolved market
Bills vs. Jets
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9e9adb89078e4cd2270c3f21c147bc60327468b1ae5676cdb165dbd49c6c0f4f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Billsof Bills, Jets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $713,813
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $748,113
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $713,813 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 559 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9f47…af93backed Bills | 52c | 109,000$56,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52,319.98 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdf1…c324backed Jets | 48c | 72,586$35,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35,000 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6761…a94fbacked Jets | 48c | 50,829$24,267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,266.95 | 120 | 51.7%62 W · 58 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc3…7552backed Jets | 42c | 36,431$15,218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,218.47 | 251 | 37.5%94 W · 157 L | -18.6wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8e80…59e8backed Jets | 48c | 30,580$14,678 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,678.28 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd42f…047dbacked Jets | 40c | 24,261$9,644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,644.04 | 324 | 38%123 W · 201 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47bc…c043backed Bills | 51c | 20,021$10,259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,762.83 | 67 | 34.3%23 W · 44 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5c0…3f84backed Jets | 45c | 19,562$8,803 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,803.07 | 69 | 50.7%35 W · 34 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6356…1885backed Bills | 55c | 19,054$10,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,583.17 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Jets | 19c | 17,184$3,209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,208.51 | 106 | 39.6%42 W · 64 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bfd…b5f3backed Bills | 78c | 14,383$11,266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,116.83 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Jets | 33c | 13,480$4,387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,387.11 | 226 | 38.9%88 W · 138 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b8c…abbabacked Jets | 48c | 11,806$5,646 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,646.32 | 71 | 53.5%38 W · 33 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0bf…40aabacked Jets | 47c | 11,472$5,392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,391.7 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf22c…9050backed Bills | 54c | 10,304$5,601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,702.43 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2137…0677backed Jets | 26c | 7,183$1,835 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,835.34 | 204 | 40.7%83 W · 121 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -17%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Jets | 49c | 7,134$3,496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,495.69 | 139 | 42.4%59 W · 80 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…3ef1backed Bills | 76c | 6,393$4,872 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,520.56 | 103 | 34%35 W · 68 L | -6.5wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbc31…971fbacked Bills | 55c | 6,388$3,514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,874.8 | 147 | 50.3%74 W · 73 L | +7.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe91…70ffbacked Bills | 52c | 6,380$3,308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,072.08 | 137 | 51.8%71 W · 66 L | +6.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd398…46d7backed Bills | 66c | 5,778$3,823 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,954.73 | 256 | 43.8%112 W · 144 L | +14.6wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb27e…1961backed Bills | 72c | 5,581$4,037 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,544.16 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 70cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaee3…1b0fbacked Bills | 45c | 5,090$2,282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,807.27 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +88.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d84…1344backed Bills | 53c | 4,996$2,623 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,372.94 | 128 | 27.3%35 W · 93 L | -5.8wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe1c7…8371backed Bills | 53c | 3,974$2,106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,867.58 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd35d…7089backed Bills | 54c | 3,715$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,715.47 | 144 | 52.8%76 W · 68 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e1…921ebacked Bills | 74c | 3,693$2,726 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$967.01 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x724b…af59backed Bills | 53c | 3,402$1,803 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,599.15 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +59%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd368…d3adbacked Jets | 48c | 3,402$1,633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,633 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4eb8…9231backed Bills | 58c | 3,205$1,874 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,331.03 | 135 | 47.4%64 W · 71 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9981…dec4backed Bills | 80c | 3,000$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 54 | 72.2%39 W · 15 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 68cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f91…907fbacked Bills | 63c | 3,000$1,890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,110 | 128 | 43.8%56 W · 72 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4258…b969backed Bills | 65c | 3,000$1,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,050 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.6wins | +0.20per pick | 49cpaid | +89.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4711…61b3backed Bills | 66c | 2,991$1,959 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,031.4 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe7a…3ef4backed Bills | 53c | 2,940$1,558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,381.62 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93b0…69c8backed Jets | 46c | 2,935$1,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,350 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2f…746cbacked Jets | 50c | 2,896$1,441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,441 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e9…2758backed Bills | 53c | 2,734$1,449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,284.94 | 60 | 71.7%43 W · 17 L | +11.4wins | +0.19per pick | 53cpaid | +42.7%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed Jets | 51c | 2,715$1,374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,373.65 | 144 | 57.6%83 W · 61 L | +11.7wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x98f0…1af3backed Bills | 53c | 2,549$1,351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,198.06 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x843e…e785backed Jets | 49c | 2,549$1,249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,249 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc040…5649backed Jets | 49c | 2,500$1,225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,225 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc5e2…25f7backed Bills | 57c | 2,500$1,427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,072.89 | 133 | 48.1%64 W · 69 L | +8.3wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0b01…2491backed Bills | 53c | 2,500$1,314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,185.74 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf13b…d7fcbacked Jets | 48c | 2,428$1,165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,165.43 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb492…b7edbacked Bills | 52c | 2,416$1,259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,157.06 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabd7…c531backed Bills | 74c | 2,126$1,582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$543.26 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf59e…39cfbacked Bills | 52c | 2,015$1,057 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$958.25 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Jets | 52c | 1,950$1,013 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,012.52 | 343 | 49.3%169 W · 174 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f5d…651dbacked Bills | 52c | 1,946$1,012 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$934.29 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb033…bedbbacked Bills | 62c | 1,800$1,109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$691 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -3.5wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe932…0f05backed Bills | 53c | 1,712$907 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$804.56 | 97 | 54.6%53 W · 44 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…4583backed Jets | 47c | 1,600$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$759.98 | 61 | 57.4%35 W · 26 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…742dbacked Bills | 58c | 1,500$876 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$624 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x944a…a9adbacked Bills | 56c | 1,500$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3a6…fd55backed Jets | 40c | 1,500$595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$595 | 168 | 32.1%54 W · 114 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked Bills | 51c | 1,500$765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$735 | 247 | 38.1%94 W · 153 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fe8…2cbabacked Jets | 48c | 1,499$725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$725 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | +4,066.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac34…2c89backed Bills | 53c | 1,497$794 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$703.8 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Jets | 28c | 1,415$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.97 | 528 | 28.6%151 W · 377 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1bb4…a9bdbacked Jets | 43c | 1,399$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +2.7wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbd…af92backed Jets | 45c | 1,382$617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$616.76 | 186 | 45.7%85 W · 101 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4b6…bb1cbacked Jets | 17c | 1,371$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.3 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3168…6734backed Jets | 32c | 1,361$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432.88 | 69 | 44.9%31 W · 38 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69bb…fcb2backed Bills | 51c | 1,225$625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600.24 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +102.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x81f7…e1d3backed Jets | 49c | 1,224$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf374…ce1abacked Jets | 45c | 1,200$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +3.0wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7a8b…b1c8backed Bills | 54c | 1,200$648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$552 | 144 | 45.8%66 W · 78 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a1b…7b38backed Jets | 50c | 1,200$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79a1…5801backed Bills | 65c | 1,189$768 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421.28 | 107 | 68.2%73 W · 34 L | +9.6wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +12%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked Jets | 43c | 1,180$509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$508.8 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Jets | 48c | 1,144$549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549 | 80 | 35%28 W · 52 L | -4.5wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8025…ef54backed Bills | 53c | 1,102$584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$517.99 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0952…786dbacked Jets | 49c | 1,102$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2376…30f5backed Bills | 52c | 1,097$575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$521.94 | 104 | 52.9%55 W · 49 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2a…2aaebacked Jets | 47c | 1,069$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502.43 | 34 | 11.8%4 W · 30 L | -8.1wins | -0.24per pick | 36cpaid | -69.2%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x5ed7…537abacked Jets | 49c | 1,061$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.98 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | -4.2wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -13%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8507…8a79backed Jets | 32c | 1,060$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 47 | 34%16 W · 31 L | +3.9wins | +0.08per pick | 26cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…715cbacked Jets | 49c | 1,022$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 70 | 58.6%41 W · 29 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Bills | 52c | 1,016$529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$486.88 | 221 | 42.1%93 W · 128 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9155…f5d7backed Bills | 52c | 1,001$521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.48 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 51cpaid | +98.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26d3…4a95backed Jets | 48c | 1,001$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480.48 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b51…e165backed Bills | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 304 | 46.7%142 W · 162 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f7…039abacked Bills | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 113 | 46.9%53 W · 60 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0d8…e1eabacked Jets | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a12…1e43backed Bills | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +89.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5bb3…425dbacked Bills | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb41c…54dcbacked Jets | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Bills | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 330 | 47.9%158 W · 172 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x543f…092abacked Bills | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 51cpaid | +98.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5eb7…05f6backed Bills | 51c | 957.97$489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.41 | 101 | 44.6%45 W · 56 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e91…0042backed Bills | 53c | 943.4$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.4 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4ef…974cbacked Bills | 53c | 943.4$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.4 | 45 | 77.8%35 W · 10 L | +5.1wins | +0.11per pick | 66cpaid | +19%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1d8b…41f3backed Jets | 46c | 910$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418.6 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +52.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6c4…ffe2backed Bills | 55c | 909.5$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.28 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd58c…3b04backed Bills | 53c | 905.66$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.66 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ca…9f7abacked Jets | 50c | 900$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -13%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75a5…a5bfbacked Bills | 68c | 900$612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc42e…edbdbacked Jets | 36c | 867.02$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.13 | 109 | 37.6%41 W · 68 L | +6.0wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +52%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Bills | 53c | 830.58$439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.41 | 362 | 46.7%169 W · 193 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.