TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x75a5…a5bf

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
87
Categories scored
18
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 56 out of 100; worst Token Launches at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1752.9%9 W · 8 L+2.3wins+0.13per pick39cpaid+20%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$428Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+665%+$2,846.03
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$778Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$777.98
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$684Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$683.9
Will Norway vs. England end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$4,456Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+61.8%+$2,751.58
Norway vs. England: Team to Advancebacked Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$555Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$554.72
Will France win on 2026-07-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$620Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$380
France vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$780Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$220
Portugal vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$147.76
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$119.48
Mexico vs. England: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$85.19
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$225.53
Portugal vs. Croatia: Team to Advancebacked Croatia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$122.85
Will Croatia win on 2026-07-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.5
Spread: Croatia (-1.5)backed Croatia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.5
Exact Score: Norway 1 - 3 France?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$116.27
Norway vs. France: Norway O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$32
Will Norway win on 2026-06-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$113Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$113.37
All 17 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST1566.7%10 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+10.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Middle East — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$326Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+33.3%+$108.75
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before August?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,957Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT+85.3%+$1,670.27
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by July 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,261Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2025, EDT+105.4%+$1,329.01
Fordow nuclear facility destroyed before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$401Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2025, EDT+48.2%+$193.12
Another Iran strike on Israel in 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$265Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST-100%-$265
Israel x Hamas ceasefire in 2024?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$146Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST+37%+$54
Israel strike on Iranian nuclear facility in 2024?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2024, EST-100%-$17.4
No Israel strike Iran on by Sunday Oct 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2024, EDT-100%-$72.49
Israel military response against Iran in October?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$1,172Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2024, EDT-100%-$1,171.54
Israel military response against Iran by Friday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$2,176Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2024, EDT+53.1%+$1,154.76
Israel military response against Iran by Friday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$430Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2024, EDT+51.3%+$220.5
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$93Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 7, 2024, EDT+31.3%+$28.92
Will Israel invade Lebanon before November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2024, EDT+161.2%+$137.8
Israel military response against Iran by Friday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$129Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2024, EDT+55.3%+$71.18
Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$1,533Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 3, 2024, EDT-100%-$1,533.24
All 15 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT1435.7%5 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$2,555Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,555
Will a team from LPL (China) win MSI 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.46
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 4 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$808Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$807.7
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 3 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$5,116Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,116.3
First Blood in Game 3?backed Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$417Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$416.93
LoL: G2 Esports vs LYON (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$390Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$390
LoL: T1 vs Team Liquid (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Play-Inbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
First Blood in Game 3?backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$1,095Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+55.3%+$605
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$119Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+56.5%+$67.3
LoL: T1 vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$389Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+271.4%+$1,055.24
LoL: T1 vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$90
LoL: T1 vs Karmine Corp - Game 3 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$2,217Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+29.1%+$644.46
Will T1 win LoL Worlds 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$830Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2024, EDT+339.8%+$2,821.69
Will Weibo Gaming win LoL Worlds 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2024, EDT-100%-$64.68
All 14 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 9, 2026, EDT1136.4%4 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick36cpaid-44.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
AI — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
GPT-5.6 released by July 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$320Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+96.8%+$310.3
GPT-5.6 released by July 8, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$126Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$125.56
GPT-5.6 released by July 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$72.72
GPT-5.6 released by July 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$172Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$172.33
Will Meta have a #1 AI model this year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$387Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$386.7
Will Anthropic have a #1 AI model this year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$44
Will Google have the top AI model on August 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$1,390Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 31, 2025, EDT+37%+$514.14
Will OpenAi have the top AI model on August 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$2,714Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,713.81
Will GPT-5 be released by August 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$2,181Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2025, EDT+35.2%+$767.6
Will GPT-5 be released by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$327Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$326.62
GPT-5 released in 2024?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$147Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST+39.3%+$57.8
All 11 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick33cpaid-61.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Oct 9, 2024, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick9cpaid-37.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Movies — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Jul 3, 2025, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick27cpaid-20.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Nov 10, 2024, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+134.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bulls vs. Hawksbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$1,505Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2024, EST+132.6%+$1,995
Jazz vs. Spursbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$2,788Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2024, EST+137%+$3,819.8
All 2 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Sep 29, 2024, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+46.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Nov 10, 2024, EST250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-26.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NFL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Broncos vs. Chiefsbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$959Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2024, EST-100%-$959.5
Bills vs. Jetsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$612Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2024, EDT+47.1%+$288
All 2 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jul 2, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Nightblood Gaming vs YFT Esports (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 3 Playoffsbacked Nightblood Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$87Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$76.97
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Nov 9, 2024, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will a Democrat win Nevada US Senate Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$183Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2024, EST+63.9%+$117
All 1 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 8, 2024, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
F1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Max Verstappen win the 2024 F1 season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2024, EST+61.3%+$19
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will North Korea invade South Korea in 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST-100%-$68.12
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 13, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Manchester City wins the Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$25.44
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Sep 18, 2024, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2024 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2024, EDT-100%-$10.51
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Jul 2, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Diddy found guilty of sex trafficking?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$339Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$338.99
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Oct 17, 2024, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.70per pick70cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump launch a coin before the election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2024, EDT-100%-$51.3
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.