Middle East · resolved market
Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x006ee68a0b2273785450167ca50b8d27f2149946ac513fde4e86765e53e35d52
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,886,668
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,850,809
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,886,668 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 710 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9e9a…8d22backed No | 2c | 993,174$20,620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,619.97 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e29…740fbacked No | 2c | 693,130$12,903 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,902.65 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 15cpaid | -91.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde24…25a8backed No | 1c | 363,803$4,933 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,932.51 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 21cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb620…dd7abacked No | 1c | 204,577$2,693 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,692.93 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47bc…abd2backed No | 2c | 200,000$3,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,500 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b44…5333backed No | 2c | 157,656$3,432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,432.48 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 20cpaid | -81.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c54…7e8cbacked No | 1c | 151,860$2,013 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,012.51 | 22 | 9.1%2 W · 20 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 18cpaid | -78.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x49d3…ea4ebacked No | 0c | 151,309$749 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$748.72 | 60 | 0%0 W · 60 L | -4.0wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe8…0212backed No | 3c | 142,018$3,939 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,939.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85ed…3d0fbacked No | 3c | 116,819$2,949 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,948.56 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3f6…460bbacked No | 0c | 105,260$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.52 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b4…64edbacked No | 0c | 100,826$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.31 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 2cpaid | +91.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d4e…d786backed No | 1c | 96,064$1,321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,321.05 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -66.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc429…700fbacked No | 2c | 86,932$1,354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,354.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -58.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a4c…54e7backed No | 3c | 84,242$2,507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,506.96 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb1f5…1757backed No | 2c | 80,572$1,884 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,883.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa7e4…1009backed No | 1c | 80,388$1,172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,172.17 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9eea…281dbacked No | 3c | 76,831$2,087 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,086.88 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc741…5252backed No | 1c | 76,300$830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$830 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90f3…5e16backed No | 3c | 61,559$1,559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,559.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8315…e656backed No | 2c | 60,890$991 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$990.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5335…0b0fbacked No | 1c | 58,407$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.27 | 25 | 16%4 W · 21 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -61.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f48…0490backed No | 1c | 50,098$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363.78 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0677…1477backed No | 3c | 46,332$1,525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,525.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03ca…cba9backed No | 3c | 44,666$1,207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,207 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x095f…765dbacked No | 3c | 43,307$1,102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,101.62 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae11…2947backed No | 1c | 40,579$539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$538.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbceb…bd96backed No | 2c | 40,136$637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$637.14 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8f2…d296backed No | 2c | 39,891$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 18cpaid | +42.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x334d…9932backed No | 2c | 38,037$730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$729.87 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 36cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f6…bf2abacked No | 2c | 35,744$625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$624.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae5c…53ddbacked No | 0c | 35,200$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.2 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86a2…be38backed No | 2c | 34,114$784 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$784.02 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.16per pick | 24cpaid | -89.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9739…159fbacked No | 0c | 33,970$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.64 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -56.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c36…52b9backed No | 3c | 33,339$1,066 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,066.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebc5…61fdbacked Yes | 28c | 33,146$9,430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,716.55 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 24cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x75bb…0ac5backed No | 1c | 31,968$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.83 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -2.7wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbb40…7fa0backed No | 3c | 31,414$922 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$921.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c47…174bbacked No | 3c | 31,362$871 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$870.97 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 37cpaid | -79.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x68e2…106abacked No | 1c | 31,236$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcb2…3e05backed No | 2c | 31,177$773 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$772.83 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56ab…d123backed No | 1c | 31,035$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4499…abb1backed No | 8c | 31,021$2,482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,481.67 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc08b…d0f2backed No | 1c | 30,902$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.55 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x025e…0420backed No | 14c | 30,514$4,275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,275 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9422…cee5backed No | 9c | 29,538$2,527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,526.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba4f…564fbacked No | 0c | 28,334$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4527…395abacked No | 1c | 28,170$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe64f…44a5backed Yes | 15c | 27,802$4,246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,555.33 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecdf…6c07backed No | 29c | 27,566$8,061 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,060.69 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 55cpaid | -65%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea6f…aa67backed No | 2c | 26,830$615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$615.29 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 9cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5643…5390backed No | 1c | 26,687$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.05 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -2.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d84…1344backed Yes | 65c | 26,583$17,266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,316.99 | 264 | 23.9%63 W · 201 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d09…1714backed No | 2c | 26,229$565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$565.1 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cd2…01c8backed No | 1c | 25,619$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81b4…4161backed No | 3c | 25,432$732 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$732 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 15cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x881b…9893backed No | 4c | 24,726$912 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$911.82 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 17cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x932b…64c0backed No | 3c | 24,093$634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$634.17 | 46 | 34.8%16 W · 30 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 27cpaid | +104.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe225…ea9bbacked No | 0c | 24,064$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.51 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c25…21e6backed No | 10c | 23,824$2,369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,368.96 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fde…b890backed No | 1c | 23,545$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a71…954bbacked No | 1c | 23,425$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.21 | 33 | 12.1%4 W · 29 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f57…9fb9backed No | 1c | 23,375$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.92 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 15cpaid | +74.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46af…febfbacked No | 2c | 23,114$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$482.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd46b…5dabbacked Yes | 38c | 23,069$8,736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,332.22 | 167 | 43.7%73 W · 94 L | +11.9wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +21%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc408…4675backed No | 0c | 22,735$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.78 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x382c…a0d7backed No | 2c | 22,500$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.84 | 36 | 25%9 W · 27 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2013…0091backed No | 7c | 22,035$1,539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,539.34 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.18per pick | 31cpaid | -75%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c3f…ff4bbacked No | 3c | 21,429$538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$538.11 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31b6…2d92backed No | 3c | 21,391$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 41cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c85…9e34backed No | 4c | 20,093$781 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780.91 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2216…4accbacked No | 1c | 19,514$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.39 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 28cpaid | -86.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x15f6…19d5backed No | 0c | 19,500$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa3…dc66backed No | 1c | 19,318$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 15cpaid | -86.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca90…3094backed No | 0c | 18,854$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.45 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 14cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8111…489dbacked No | 1c | 18,818$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x944a…a9adbacked No | 1c | 18,700$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75a5…a5bfbacked No | 8c | 18,665$1,533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,533.24 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4422…48c9backed No | 1c | 18,345$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2621…af21backed No | 2c | 17,808$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -61.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd622…c02dbacked No | 2c | 17,474$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda2f…baccbacked No | 1c | 17,306$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.75 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49ce…b599backed No | 1c | 16,817$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.68 | 44 | 18.2%8 W · 36 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa024…71babacked No | 2c | 16,444$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.68 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce68…8c13backed No | 2c | 16,282$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.08 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -49.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d3c…3daabacked No | 24c | 15,540$3,792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,791.55 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54d7…7d5bbacked No | 4c | 15,522$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$585.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50bc…78c2backed No | 1c | 15,000$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.68 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc792…0778backed No | 2c | 14,632$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.69 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x429a…8070backed No | 17c | 14,610$2,534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,534.04 | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 16cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa764…31edbacked No | 4c | 14,517$561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560.97 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a28…3ca9backed No | 61c | 14,464$8,866 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,866.11 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe899…0899backed Yes | 78c | 14,297$11,189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,107.47 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.32per pick | 51cpaid | +101%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…2433backed No | 1c | 14,192$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.18 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 29cpaid | -20%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ee…d947backed No | 7c | 14,086$985 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$985.12 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -2.7wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -74%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3487…87fcbacked No | 3c | 13,983$447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446.89 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13ab…7f03backed No | 1c | 13,977$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb31c…c1c3backed No | 2c | 13,966$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.4 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7658…85e9backed No | 4c | 13,793$507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$507.14 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbee9…7fd6backed No | 1c | 13,592$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.