TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9d84…1344

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
1,817
Categories scored
37
Categories below 50
27

Best Category: Premier League, grading 62 out of 100 (+0.11 per pick).

Best Category Premier League at 62 out of 100; worst Ncaa Basketball at 40.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 29, 2026, EDT35519.7%70 W · 285 L-16.3wins-0.05per pick24cpaid-45.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 355 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,605Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,604.68
Will Trump visit China by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$65.98
Will the DHS shutdown last 90 days or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.49
Will the DHS shutdown last 80 days or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$92.14
Will the DHS shutdown end after April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$3,219Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,218.8
Will the DHS shutdown last 70 days or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$248Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+135.8%+$336.29
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$25,113Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$25,113.44
Will the government shutdown last 10 days or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$341Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$341.18
Will the government shutdown last 7 days or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$1,381Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$1,381.03
Will the government shutdown last 5 days or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$562Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$562.14
Will the government shutdown last 1 day or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$7,274Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$7,273.87
Will the government shutdown last 4 days or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$3,110Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$3,110.11
Government shutdown on Saturday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20,174Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$20,174.11
US government shutdown Saturday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$101,474Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$101,474.47
Will the government shutdown last 30 days or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$683Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$682.57
Will the government shutdown last 14 days or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$298Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$298.42
Will the government shutdown last 7 days or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$5,601Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$5,600.92
Will the government shutdown last 10 days or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$7,210Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$7,209.79
Will the government shutdown last 6 days or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$15,526Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$15,526.1
Will the government shutdown last 5 days or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$96,301Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$96,301.23
Will the government shutdown last 4 days or more?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$4,222Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$4,222.07
US forces in Venezuela again by January 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$17,981Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+32.2%+$5,784.63
Epstein blackmail evidence released by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$5,664Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$5,663.76
Will the next government funding bill be passed on January 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$873Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$872.75
Will Trump & Elon reduce the deficit in 2025? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$10.03
Showing 25 of 355 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT26423.9%63 W · 201 L-9.1wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-40.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 264 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,804Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,803.84
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$178Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+177.4%+$315.96
Will Syria recognize Israel by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.48
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$1,673Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,673.37
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$3,626Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,626.13
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$2,167Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+203.4%+$4,408.17
US x Iran peace deal before Trump visits China?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$3,649Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,649.3
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$10,800Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$4,200
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$2,690Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,689.74
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$750Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$750
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$1,199Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,198.75
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$14,574Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$14,573.79
US forces enter Iran by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$15,812Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$15,812.03
US forces enter Iran by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$34,503Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$34,503.45
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$9,250Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$15,750
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$14,500Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+417.2%+$60,499.89
US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$3,694Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,693.92
US forces enter Iran by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$18,838Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+32.6%+$6,139.1
US strikes Yemen by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.32
US/Israel strike on Fordow nuclear facility by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$737Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+91.3%+$673.11
US-Iran nuclear deal by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$1,391Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$415.54
U.S. evacuates Baghdad Embassy by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$664Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+60%+$398.05
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$24,262Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$24,261.91
Israel strike on Yemen by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$143Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$112.2
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$2,625Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,624.5
Showing 25 of 264 picks, newest first.
Ukrainelast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT14121.3%30 W · 111 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick23cpaid-40.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 141 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$3,457Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,456.72
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$34,582Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+127.9%+$44,235.54
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$3,521Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+162%+$5,703.01
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$25,351Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+351%+$88,974.41
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$25,375Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$25,375.31
Russia strike impacts Kyiv municipality during week of March 2, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$3,013Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+142.8%+$4,302.11
Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$2,808Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$2,807.56
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$10,772Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$10,771.59
U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee in 2025? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$1,252Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$1,252.13
Ukraine hits Moscow by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$103.27
Will Trump meet with Putin by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$2,698Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+109.1%+$2,943.18
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$1,824Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$1,824.26
Ukraine Tomahawk missile strike by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$4,233Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+29.1%+$1,232.34
Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$67.89
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$956Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$955.51
Will Ukraine agree to give up Russian territory in Kursk?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$571Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$571.43
US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$314Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$314.33
Trump agrees to send U.S. peacekeeping force to Ukraine?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$127Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$127.41
U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea in 2025? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$323Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$322.75
Putin out as President of Russia in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$53.23
Adam Schiff federally charged by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$446Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+27.1%+$120.85
Will Trump meet with Aleksandr Lukashenko in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$547Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+37.9%+$207.29
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$701Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+46.3%+$324.31
Nothing Ever Happens: Russia Editionbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$22.23
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO in 2025? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$3,475Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$3,475.43
Showing 25 of 141 picks, newest first.
World Politicslast resolved Aug 14, 2026, EDT13918%25 W · 114 L-4.9wins-0.03per pick21cpaid-28.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
World Politics — the 139 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$2,109Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,108.74
Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$9,075Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$9,074.65
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+827.1%+$367.54
Will Wes Streeting be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$159Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$159.11
Will Ed Miliband be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$750Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$749.9
Will Nigel Farage be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$214Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$214.4
Will Angela Rayner be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$1,107Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,107.15
Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$6,388Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+265.5%+$16,957.99
Will no next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom be appointed in 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$662Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$356.64
Will Shabana Mahmood be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$245Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$245.09
Will Ed Miliband be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$77.71
Will Lucy Powell be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.1
Will Yvette Cooper be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.81
Will Starmer officially leave office by July 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$314Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$93.69
Will Vicky Dávila win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$95.86
Andy Burnham becomes an MP by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,984Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,984.44
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$35,353Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+262%+$92,623.73
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$38,962Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+38.7%+$15,076.03
Starmer out by July 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$995Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$994.75
Starmer out by June 23, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$177Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$47
Starmer out by June 22, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$5,238Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,238.13
Starmer out by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$833Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$832.9
Starmer out by May 19, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$3,098Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,098.04
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$802Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$801.57
Starmer out by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$2,030Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,030.12
Showing 25 of 139 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT12923.3%30 W · 99 L-7.3wins-0.06per pick29cpaid-57.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Movies — the 129 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will The Secret Agent win Best International Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$2,996Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,996.26
Will Avatar: Fire and Ash win Best Visual Effects at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$328Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$328.27
Will One Battle After Another win Best Production Design at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.65
Will Hamnet win Best Production Design at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.85
Will Sinners win Best Production Design at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.92
Will Frankenstein win Best Production Design at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$150.35
Will Sinners win Best Costume Design at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.2
Will Hamnet win Best Costume Design at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Will Frankenstein win Best Costume Design at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.13
Will "Iron Lung" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 13m and 15m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$101.45
Will Avatar: Fire and Ash win Best Production Design at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$12.1
Will Wicked: For Good win Best Costume Design at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+85.5%+$36.88
Will Robin D. Cook (Frankenstein) be nominated for Achievement in Casting at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$581Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+39.5%+$229.13
Will George Clooney be nominated for Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$403Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+26.9%+$108.34
Will Brad Pitt be nominated for Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$215Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$214.64
Will June Squibb be nominated for Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$306Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$305.8
Will Jodie Comer be nominated for Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$17.93
Will Lucy Liu be nominated for Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$21.7
Will Jessie Buckley be nominated for Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$221Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$220.98
Will Jeremy Allen White be nominated for Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$167Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+225.9%+$378.12
Will Rose Byrne be nominated for Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$19.92
Will Emma Stone be nominated for Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,681Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+71.5%+$1,200.8
Will Dwayne Johnson be nominated for Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$612Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+77.8%+$476.21
Will Sydney Sweeney be nominated for Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$1,425Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+29.6%+$421.1
Will Cynthia Erivo be nominated for Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,764Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+108.7%+$1,918.23
Showing 25 of 129 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 12, 2026, EST12827.3%35 W · 93 L-5.8wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-38.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NFL — the 128 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Cardi B perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$14,136Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+216.2%+$30,562.05
Will the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$805Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$805
Will Metallica perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$67.67
Will Taylor Swift perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$575Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$574.51
Will Miley Cyrus perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$43.31
Will Bad Bunny perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$255Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$255.18
Big Game: National Anthem O/U 119.5 secondsbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$649Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$649.19
Will the Los Angeles Rams win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$299Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$298.95
Will the Denver Broncos win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$4,956Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$4,955.7
Will the Chicago Bears win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$48.79
Will the Buffalo Bills win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$3,157Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$3,157.5
Will John Harbaugh join the New York Giants prior to April 23, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$88.53
Will the Pittsburgh Steelers win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$58.84
Will the Philadelphia Eagles win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$513Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$513.25
Will John Harbaugh be fired by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$233Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+376.2%+$876.9
Will George Kittle be the Top Fantasy Tight End for the 2025–26 NFL Regular Season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$23.52
Will Sam LaPorta be the Top Fantasy Tight End for the 2025–26 NFL Regular Season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$23.65
Will Brock Bowers be the Top Fantasy Tight End for the 2025–26 NFL Regular Season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$24.19
Will Washington change name to "Redskins" in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will the Indianapolis Colts win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$169Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$168.83
Will the New Orleans Saints finish with the worst record in the NFL?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+35.1%+$5.2
Will the Ravens trade for Shedeur Sanders?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$11.37
Will Travis Hunter only play defense?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$30.72
49ers vs. Saintsbacked Saints · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$1,813Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,813.1
Will Joe Flacco start Week 1 for the Browns?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$32.07
Showing 25 of 128 picks, newest first.
Us Midtermslast resolved Aug 18, 2026, EDT8133.3%27 W · 54 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-31.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 81 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Byron Donalds be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$470Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+28.5%+$133.85
Will Darline Graham Nordone win the first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate special primary?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$1,045Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,045.46
Will Mike Lindell win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$218Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+69%+$150.6
Will Russell Fry win the first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate special primary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$512Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$511.75
Will Troy Jackson be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$4,666Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,665.56
Will Shenna Bellows be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$1,993Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$562.09
Will Nirav Shah be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$234Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$233.86
Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$3,063Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+31.4%+$962.02
Will Janet Mills be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,126Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,126.24
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$10,334Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+648.4%+$67,012.78
2026 U.S. House Election: Republican Odds over 50% by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.07
Will James Talarico be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$413Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+79%+$325.78
Republican House Odds Up or Down this week?backed Up · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+257.1%+$360
U.S. Government Funding Lapse on January 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$150.36
Will the California redistricting referendum not pass?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$20.1
Will the California redistricting referendum pass by 0-10%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$53.28
Will the California redistricting referendum pass by 30-40%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$33
Will the California redistricting referendum pass by 40% or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$31.1
California redistricting referendum passes?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$8,657Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$8,657.06
Will Mikie Sherrill win by 12-15%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+566.7%+$313.82
Will Mikie Sherrill win by 9-12%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$131Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$131.43
Will Mikie Sherrill win by 15%+?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$71.96
Will Mamdani get over 50% of the vote in the general mayoral election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$602Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$601.55
Will Abigail Spanberger win by 18%+?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$162Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$162.34
Will Abigail Spanberger win by 9-12%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$855Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+29.9%+$255.53
Showing 25 of 81 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 18, 2026, EDT7222.2%16 W · 56 L-0.3wins0.00per pick23cpaid-26%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
AI — the 72 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$782Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+214.1%+$1,675.08
Grok 5 released by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$87Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+822.4%+$717.78
Will Claude 5 be released by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$129Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+117.3%+$151.62
Will Pete Hegseth ban Claude by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$143Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$143.48
GPT-5.3 released by February 20, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$377Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+47.1%+$177.6
X relaunches Vine in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$249Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+528.8%+$1,319.19
GPT ads by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$155Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$154.79
Grok 5 released by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$258Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+158.5%+$408.85
Elon no longer world's richest before 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$1,187Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$1,187.31
Shaun Maguire out at Sequoia in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$98.48
Will Sam Altman get OpenAI equity in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$626Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+32%+$200.44
Will Tesla acquire xAI in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$23.97
GPT-5 scores ≥ 70% on FrontierMath Benchmark by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$13.12
Will Andy Byron be the #2 searched person on Google this year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$90
Will Andy Byron be the #1 searched person on Google this year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$230Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$230.34
Will Taylor Swift be the #1 searched person on Google this year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$350
Will Pope Leo XIV be the #1 searched person on Google this year?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$6,191Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+110.9%+$6,863.6
Will Andy Byron rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$64.34
Will Donald Trump rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$21,767Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+61.2%+$13,312.08
Will Jimmy Kimmel rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$350Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+58.7%+$205.35
Will Pope Leo XIV rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$6,626Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$6,625.94
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$1,594Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$1,593.86
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by October 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$1,296Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+173.6%+$2,250.16
GPT-5 scores above 40% on Humanity’s Last Exam?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$46.18
Will xAI have the second best AI model on October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.21
Showing 25 of 72 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST6713.4%9 W · 58 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick18cpaid-74.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 67 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Opensea launch a token by December 31? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$113Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+111.7%+$126.23
Will Opensea launch a token by October 31? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+44.3%+$24.34
Will Ethena win the USDH ticker?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$26.69
Will Native Markets win the USDH ticker?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$432Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$432.02
Will Paxos win the USDH ticker?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$115.76
Will MAGA reach $1b first?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST-100%-$19.09
Will another Trump coin be first to reach $1b?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$252Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST-100%-$252.46
No Trump coin reaches $1b?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$625Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST+107.1%+$669.57
Will TRUMP reach $1b first?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$365Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST-100%-$364.64
$WIF listed on Coinbase in 2024?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$443Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2024, EST-100%-$442.81
$PEPE vs. $WIF - First to $10B?backed $PEPE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$221Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2024, EST+39.4%+$86.96
Will Coinbase list $PEPE in 2024?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$1,537Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2024, EST-100%-$1,536.65
Eigenlayer airdrop by September 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 3, 2024, EDT-100%-$63.26
Base airdrop by September 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2024, EDT-100%-$99.62
Zircuit airdrop by September 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2024, EDT+85.2%+$34.5
pump.fun airdrop by September 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2024, EDT-100%-$10.46
Swell airdrop by September 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2024, EDT+274.3%+$61.44
Aleo airdrop by September 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$117Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2024, EDT+70.9%+$83
Mitch vs. Rektober: September PnLbacked Mitch · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$1,402Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2024, EDT+29.2%+$409
Will Trump mention $boden before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$177Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2024, EDT-100%-$176.78
MarginFi airdrop by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$253Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2024, EDT-100%-$252.65
Initia airdrop by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2024, EDT-100%-$80.27
Berachain airdrop by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$565Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2024, EDT-100%-$564.75
pump.fun airdrop by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2024, EDT-100%-$65.85
Magic Eden airdrop by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2024, EDT-100%-$54.13
Showing 25 of 67 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT6421.9%14 W · 50 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick23cpaid-48.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 64 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will no one dissent the July Fed decision?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$2,991Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,991.38
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$23,100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$23,099.99
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.56
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$235Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$234.8
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$19,585Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+249.1%+$48,783.04
Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$2,370Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$2,187.81
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$185Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$184.71
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$3,510Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,509.53
Will Kevin Warsh be formally nominated to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$3,913Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+42.1%+$1,645.48
Trump drops Powell investigation by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$113Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$112.66
Will Kevin Warsh be formally nominated to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$3,068Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$3,068.22
Will Kevin Warsh be formally nominated to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by February 18, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$300
Will Donald Trump not announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve before February 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$78.21
Will Donald Trump announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve on January 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$85.16
Will Donald Trump announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve by February 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$383Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+28.2%+$108.11
Will Donald Trump announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$8,874Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+47.1%+$4,179.14
Will Donald Trump announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve by January 9, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$44.25
Jerome Powell federally charged in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$10.83
Will Trump try to fire Powell in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$1,761Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$1,760.92
Will Trump announce Stephen Miran to replace Lisa Cook?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$75.33
Will Trump make no announcement by December 31 to replace Lisa Cook?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$561Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+25.4%+$142.52
Will Trump announce Kevin Hassett to replace Lisa Cook?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$12.2
Jerome Powell in jail in 2025backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$75
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$19,033Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$19,032.51
Lisa Cook federally charged in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$19.58
Showing 25 of 64 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Jul 4, 2026, EDT5825.9%15 W · 43 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick24cpaid-26.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 58 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Taylor Swift pregnant before marriage?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+30.6%+$17.38
Will France be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.3
Will "Covid" be said on ICEMAN?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$94.84
Will Mayhem (Lady Gaga) win Album of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$158Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$157.82
Will Debí Tirar Más Fotos (Bad Bunny) win Album of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$3,219Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$3,218.66
Will Abracadabra (Lady Gaga) win Record of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$227Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$227.49
Will Luther (Kendrick Lamar and SZA) win Record of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$436Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$436.08
Will Wildflower (Billie Eilish) win Record of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$116.12
Will APT (Rosé and Bruno Mars) win Record of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$292Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$291.69
Will Olivia Dean win Best New Artist at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$456Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$455.51
Will Let God Sort Em Out (Clipse Pusha T Malice) win Best Rap Album at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$169Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+33.3%+$56.36
Will GNX (Kendrick Lamar) win Best Rap Album at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$28.65
Will Amy Allen win Songwriter of the Year, Non-Classical at the 68th annual GRAMMY Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$650Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+35.8%+$232.32
Will Drake's next album debut No.1 on Billboard 200?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$74.37
Will a Justin Bieber song reach #1 this year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$24.67
Lana Del Rey divorce in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$13.7
Will KPop Demon Hunters (Soundtrack from the Netflix Film) by KPop Demon Hunters Cast be the top Spotify album for 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$58.94
Taylor Swift on top two spots of Billboard Hot 100 for Oct 25th?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$76.77
Will 'The Fate of Ophelia' be the highest ranked song from Taylor Swift’s new album on the Billboard Hot 100 for the week of October 18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$60.66
The Life of a Showgirl Parlaybacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$399.66
Will Taylor Swift release a new original song by October 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 3, 2025, EDT+1,138.1%+$411.1
D4vd arrested by September 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$132Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$131.8
Will Justin Bieber's album "SWAG II" debut at #1 in its first week?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$27.81
Justin Bieber holds 2 top 10 spots on Billboard Hot 100 for week of September 13th?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.4
Sabrina Carpenter's 'Man's Best Friend' >375k first week sales?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 5, 2025, EDT+103%+$52.36
Showing 25 of 58 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT3616.7%6 W · 30 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick18cpaid-35.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
IPO — the 36 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Fannie Mae’s market cap be between $200B and $250B at market close on IPO day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.02
Will Databricks’ market cap be between $200B and $250B at market close on IPO day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.37
Will Discord not IPO by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$286Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$285.59
Will Anthropic’s market cap be between $300B and $400B at market close on IPO day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.75
Will Discord’s market cap be between $25B and $30B at market close on IPO day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.05
Will Anthropic’s market cap be between $400B and $600B at market close on IPO day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.37
Will Anthropic not IPO by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,131Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+93.6%+$1,058.22
Will Databricks’ market cap be between $100B and $125B at market close on IPO day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.3
Will Fannie Mae’s market cap be between $350B and $400B at market close on IPO day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.57
Will Discord’s market cap be between $20B and $25B at market close on IPO day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.7
Will Databricks’ market cap be $250B or greater at market close on IPO day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.75
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.8T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$88.8
Will SpaceX’s initial public offering occur in June 2026 (ET)?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,476Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$1,362.39
Will SpaceX’s initial public offering occur in September 2026 (ET)?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.2
Will SpaceX’s initial public offering occur in August 2026 (ET)?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.48
Will SpaceX fail to complete an initial public offering by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.11
Will SpaceX IPO by September 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$582Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$581.8
Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$9,466Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$9,466.47
Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11,475Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+74.3%+$8,529.52
Will SOLV Energy, Inc.'s market cap be greater than $5.4B at market close on IPO day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$949Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+1,243.9%+$11,809.51
Will SOLV Energy, Inc.'s market cap be less than $3.8B at market close on IPO day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$6,223Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$6,222.91
Mistral AI IPO in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$13.49
xAI IPO in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$43.94
Anduril IPO in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$25.57
Anysphere (Cursor) IPO in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$24.66
Showing 25 of 36 picks, newest first.
Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Jan 13, 2026, EST2934.5%10 W · 19 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick29cpaid-8.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 29 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$80.84
Will US GDP growth in Q3 2025 be between 1.0% and 1.5%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$577Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+29.9%+$172.5
Will the September 2025 unemployment rate be 4.4%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$271Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST+51.3%+$138.95
Will the September 2025 unemployment rate be 4.1%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST-100%-$27.5
Will a dozen eggs be between $4.00-4.25 in September?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$17.49
Will a dozen eggs be between $3.25-3.50 in September?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$124Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$124
Will a dozen eggs be between $3.75-4.00 in September?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$34.1
Will a dozen eggs be between $3.50-3.75 in September?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$40.5
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.3% in September?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$135Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT+177.8%+$240
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.4% in September?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$260Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT+55.7%+$144.9
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.5% or more in September?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$61.31
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.1% or less in September?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.75
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.2% in September?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$48.34
Will a dozen eggs be between $3.50-3.75 in August?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$19.8
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.4% or more in August?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$822Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 11, 2025, EDT+181%+$1,487.86
Will annual inflation increase by 2.9% in August?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$292Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 11, 2025, EDT+145.5%+$425.7
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.3% in August?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$1,312Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 11, 2025, EDT+118.2%+$1,550.76
Will annual inflation increase by 2.8% in August?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$4,429Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 11, 2025, EDT+63.1%+$2,795.33
Will annual inflation increase by 3.0% or more in August?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$242Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$242.22
Will annual inflation increase by 2.7% in August?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$17.18
Will the August 2025 unemployment rate be 4.3%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$86.2
Will the August 2025 unemployment rate be ≥4.4%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 5, 2025, EDT+25%+$10
Will the August 2025 unemployment rate be 4.0%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$32.55
Will the August 2025 unemployment rate be ≤3.9%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.39
August jobs report prints negative?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.55
Showing 25 of 29 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Oct 31, 2025, EDT2934.5%10 W · 19 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-21.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Earnings — the 29 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Exxon Mobil (XOM) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$352Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$351.59
Will Kinder Morgan (KMI) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$169Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT+228.1%+$385.23
Will Tesla (TSLA) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$26.16
Will Omnicom Group (OMC) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$122.1
Will Concentrix (CNXC) beat its quarterly EPS estimate?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT+194.1%+$27.84
Will Interactive Brokers Group (IBKR) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$241Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$93.77
Will Citizens Financial Group (CFG) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$554Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2025, EDT+38.8%+$215.04
Will Abbott Laboratories (ABT) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$122Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2025, EDT+354.5%+$432.89
Will Bank of America (BAC) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$9,975Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2025, EDT+25.8%+$2,574.35
Will Goldman Sachs (GS) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$139.86
Will Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$117Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$116.57
Will Fastenal (FAST) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT+163.2%+$34.1
Will Neogen (NEOG) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$47.85
Will Helen of Troy (HELE) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$24.74
Will Delta Air Lines (DAL) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$353Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 9, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$173.81
Will PepsiCo (PEP) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$74.09
Will McCormick & Company (MKC) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$83.02
Will Constellation Brands (STZ) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$169.7
Will United Natural Foods (UNFI) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$61.04
Will Lamb Weston Holdings (LW) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$84.02
Will Jefferies (JEF) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$5,903Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$5,902.57
Will Carnival Corporation (CCL) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$26.15
Will Accenture (ACN) beat its quarterly EPS estimate?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$266Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$266.4
Will Jabil (JBL) beat its quarterly EPS estimate?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$272Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$271.95
Will MillerKnoll (MLKN) beat its quarterly EPS estimate?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$19.25
Showing 25 of 29 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT2638.5%10 W · 16 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick35cpaid-28.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Another US strike on Venezuela by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$427Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$427.5
Another US strike on Venezuela by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$916Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+27.3%+$249.95
Fact Check: Maduro capture staged?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$63.02
Another US strike on Venezuela by January 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$7,400Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+25.8%+$1,907.55
Another US strike on Venezuela by January 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$168Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$167.63
Maduro mugshot released by January 9?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,778Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+90.1%+$1,602.65
Another US strike on Venezuela on January 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$93.44
Another US strike on Venezuela on January 4?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$44.97
Another US strike on Venezuela on January 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$37.5
Maduro mugshot released by Monday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$8,087Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+29.3%+$2,365.7
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$9,908Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$9,908.28
Maduro out by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$1,208Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$1,208.45
Maduro out by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$5,196Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+407.4%+$21,168.52
US x Venezuela military engagement by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$3,089Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+60.1%+$1,857.23
Maduro out in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$7,663Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$7,662.56
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$132Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$132.09
Will Trump talk to Nicolás Maduro again by December 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$411Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST+35.1%+$144.3
Odds of Maduro out in 2025 Over 25% by Friday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+49.3%+$12.49
Odds of US x Venezuela military engagement in 2025 on Monday over 70%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$13.32
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15,868Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+102%+$16,190.94
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$22.2
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$859Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+39.2%+$336.4
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST-100%-$20.67
Trump strikes another drug boat by Sep 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$2,543Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,542.97
María Corina Machado arrested before October?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2024, EDT-100%-$169.68
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT2412.5%3 W · 21 L-4.6wins-0.19per pick31cpaid-68.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Duke win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$105.72
Will Iowa State win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$959Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$958.8
Team from East wins March Madness 2024?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$1,318Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2024, EDT-100%-$1,317.87
UConn beats Purdue by >6.5 points?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,239Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2024, EDT-100%-$1,238.88
Will South Carolina win the Women's NCAA tournament?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2024, EDT-100%-$18.97
Team from West wins March Madness 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2024, EDT-100%-$13.67
March Madness: Will a #1 seed win?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$1,609Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2024, EDT-100%-$1,608.84
Team from South wins March Madness 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2024, EDT-100%-$32.5
March Madness: Purdue vs. NC Statebacked NC State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$361Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2024, EDT-100%-$361.07
Will LSU win the Women's NCAA tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2024, EDT-100%-$50
Women's March Madness: Iowa vs. LSUbacked LSU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$467Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2024, EDT-100%-$467.5
March Madness: Sum of Final Four seeds >10.5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$693Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2024, EDT+132.6%+$918.66
March Madness: Duke vs. NC Statebacked Duke · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$834Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2024, EDT-100%-$833.75
NCAA Tournament 2024: Will two #1 seeds make it to the Semifinals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$141Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2024, EDT-100%-$140.71
NCAA Tournament 2024: Will one #1 seed make it to the Semifinals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$146Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2024, EDT+40.5%+$59.06
March Madness: Tennessee vs. Purduebacked Tennessee · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$3,176Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2024, EDT-100%-$3,175.89
NCAA Tournament 2024: Will no #1 seeds make it to the Semifinals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$341Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2024, EDT-100%-$340.97
NCAA Tournament 2024: Will four #1 seeds make it to the Semifinals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$171Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2024, EDT-100%-$171.26
NCAAB: Tennessee Volunteers vs. Creighton Blue Jays 2024-03-29backed Creighton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2024, EDT-100%-$42.35
NCAAB: Houston Cougars vs. Duke Blue Devils 2024-03-29backed Houston · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2024, EDT-100%-$12.96
NCAAB: Iowa State Cyclones vs. Illinois Fighting Illini 2024-03-28 backed ISU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$383Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2024, EDT-100%-$382.75
NCAAB: North Carolina Tar Heels vs. Alabama Crimson Tide 2024-03-28backed UNC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2024, EDT-100%-$62.73
NCAAB: UConn Huskies vs. San Diego State Aztecs 2024-03-28backed SDSU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$324Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2024, EDT-100%-$323.62
NCAAB: Arizona Wildcats vs. Clemson Tigers 2024-03-28backed Clemson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$166Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2024, EDT+284.6%+$473.46
All 24 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Sep 1, 2024, EDT2254.5%12 W · 10 L+5.3wins+0.24per pick31cpaid+63.9%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
Premier League — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Victor Osimhen join Chelsea?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2024, EDT-100%-$10.62
Real Madrid vs. Atalanta: UEFA Super Cupbacked Atalanta · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$1,650Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2024, EDT-100%-$1,649.94
Spain vs. France - Who will advance?backed Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$12,702Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2024, EDT+87%+$11,048.26
Real Madrid vs. Dortmund: Champions League Finalbacked Real Madrid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$2,697Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2024, EDT+36.3%+$978.58
Erik ten Hag out as Manchester United manager?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$340Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2024, EDT-100%-$340.29
Tuchel out as Bayern Munich Manager?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2024, EDT-100%-$32.28
Will Manchester United win the FA Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$1,619Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2024, EDT+375.6%+$6,081
Will Manchester City win the FA Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$1,670Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2024, EDT+376.2%+$6,282.39
Will Bayer Leverkusen win the Europa League?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2024, EDT+217.1%+$93.1
Will Atalanta win the Europa League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$1,552Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2024, EDT+222.7%+$3,455.98
Pochettino out as Chelsea manger?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2024, EDT-100%-$74.97
Will Bayer Leverkusen go undefeated?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$1,155Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2024, EDT+112.8%+$1,302.66
Will Man City win the Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$1,930Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2024, EDT+42.9%+$827.89
Will Aresnal win the Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$202Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2024, EDT-100%-$201.68
Will Liverpool win the Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2024, EDT-100%-$11.25
Will AS Roma win the Europa League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2024, EDT-100%-$100
Will Borussia Dortmund win?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$143Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2024, EDT+566.7%+$811.75
PSG vs. Borussia Dortmund: Who will advance?backed Dortmund · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$2,481Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2024, EDT+95.1%+$2,360.24
Will Borussia Dortmund win?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$292Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2024, EDT+204.5%+$598.22
Will PSG win?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$311Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2024, EDT+69.5%+$215.96
Will Borussia Dortmund and PSG Draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$151Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2024, EDT-100%-$151.17
Will Bayern Munich win the Bundesliga 2023-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$581Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2024, EDT-100%-$581.29
All 22 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jun 2, 2026, EDT2123.8%5 W · 16 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick22cpaid-49.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Named storm forms before hurricane season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$512Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$418.32
Will 2025 be the second hottest year on record?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+185.7%+$35.75
Will global temperature increase by between 1.05ºC and 1.09ºC in September 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$16.65
Will global temperature increase by between 1.00ºC and 1.04ºC in September 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$11.48
Will global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in September 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$102.5
Will a hurricane make landfall in the US by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$394Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$393.98
Will a hurricane make landfall in the US by September 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$2,730Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+33.4%+$911.13
Will a hurricane form by September 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$531Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$530.85
2025 August second hottest on record?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$21.34
Will a hurricane form by August 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$987Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT+101.8%+$1,004.81
Earthquake 7.0 or above by August 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$4,972Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$4,972.18
Category 5 hurricane hits US before election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2024, EST-100%-$12.32
Will head of FEMA be fired/resign before November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2024, EDT-100%-$83.19
Megaquake in October?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2024, EDT-100%-$30.24
Will there be between 11 and 14 named storms during Atlantic Hurricane Season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$1,621Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2024, EDT-100%-$1,620.79
Will there be more than 14 named storms during Atlantic Hurricane Season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$1,918Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2024, EDT-100%-$1,918.06
Will Helene make landfall at category 4 or stronger?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2024, EDT-100%-$45.81
Will Helene make landfall at category 3?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$165Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2024, EDT+152.5%+$251.5
Will Francine hit US as a hurricane?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 11, 2024, EDT-100%-$48.04
2024 July hottest on record?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 9, 2024, EDT-100%-$84.42
2024 May hottest on record?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2024, EDT-100%-$68.6
All 21 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 18, 2024, EDT219.5%2 W · 19 L-1.7wins-0.08per pick18cpaid-72.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Stocks — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
NVIDIA largest company before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2024, EDT+55.3%+$54.83
Roaring Kitty billionaire by Friday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$604Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2024, EDT-100%-$603.92
Roaring Kitty dumps GME calls by Friday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2024, EDT-100%-$55.48
$GME market cap >$10b at Monday close?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$365Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2024, EDT-100%-$365.43
$GME halted on Friday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2024, EDT-100%-$107.64
Will Roaring Kitty tweet between 75 and 99 times?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$144Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2024, EDT+323.3%+$465.31
Will Roaring Kitty tweet 100 or more times?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2024, EDT-100%-$26.24
Will Roaring Kitty tweet between 50 and 74 times?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2024, EDT-100%-$52.96
Will Roaring Kitty tweet between 25 and 49 times?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2024, EDT-100%-$26.67
$GME halted on Wednesday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2024, EDT-100%-$11.5
Will Roaring Kitty tweet less than 25 times?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2024, EDT-100%-$56.44
Will Roaring Kitty tweet on Tuesday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2024, EDT-100%-$18.34
$GME halted on Tuesday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2024, EDT-100%-$135.22
$GME halted 13+ times today?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2024, EDT-100%-$11.98
$GME halted 9 times today?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2024, EDT-100%-$30.91
$DJT market cap less than $8b on April 5? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$408Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2024, EDT-100%-$408.4
$DJT market cap between $11-$12b on April 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2024, EDT-100%-$40.75
$DJT market cap between $10-$11b on April 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2024, EDT-100%-$16.67
$DJT market cap over $12b on April 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2024, EDT-100%-$21.73
$DJT market cap between $9-$10b on April 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2024, EDT-100%-$86
$DJT market cap between $8-$9b on April 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2024, EDT-100%-$52.85
All 21 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1612.5%2 W · 14 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick19cpaid-83%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$21,003Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$21,002.73
World Cup: Most Player Goals Record Broken?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$62.11
Will Sabrina Carpenter perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.3
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$49,359Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$49,359.37
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$6,150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$6,150
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$12,781Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$12,780.58
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$46,862Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$46,861.71
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$36,218Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$36,217.56
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$18,850Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$18,850
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$1,750Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,750
Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$3,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,000
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$9,825Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$9,825
Will Neymar play in the World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$414Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$413.63
Will Lionel Messi play in the World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.02
Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$3,500Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$1,500
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$3,850Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$1,150
All 16 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT1625%4 W · 12 L-1.6wins-0.10per pick35cpaid+15.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will LeBron James play for the Denver Nuggets in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$137Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$137.45
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.38
Will the New York Knicks win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+733.3%+$226.64
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo not be traded?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$911Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$911.4
Will CJ McCollum be traded this season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+203%+$103.85
Will Lebron announce final season Tuesday? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$23.93
Will Bronny James score a point tonight?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2024, EDT-100%-$63.76
Will LeBron retire before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2024, EDT-100%-$19.25
Will Porzingis return by end of NBA Finals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$1,006Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2024, EDT-100%-$1,006.17
Will Mike Breen say "Bang" during Game 3 broadcast?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2024, EDT-100%-$38.31
Timberwolves vs. Mavericks: Game 5backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$10,965Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2024, EDT-100%-$10,964.9
Will Porzingis return by end of Eastern Conf. Finals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2024, EDT+378.2%+$319.35
Timberwolves vs. Nuggets Series Winnerbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$737Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2024, EDT-100%-$737.24
Nuggets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$498Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2024, EDT-100%-$498.14
NBA: Orlando Magic vs. Cleveland Cavaliers 2024-05-03backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$253Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2024, EDT-100%-$253.34
NBA: Philadelphia 76ers vs. New York Knicks 2024-05-02backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$170Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2024, EDT+135.9%+$231
All 16 picks, newest first.
Space Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST1513.3%2 W · 13 L-1.5wins-0.10per pick24cpaid-60%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Space — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Space, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will 7-9 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$18
Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 10 achieve a successful splashdown?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$115.11
Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 10 Superheavy booster?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$66.13
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 10 Superheavy explode?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$371Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$371.35
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 10 launch by August 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$57.58
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 10 launch by August 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$162Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$161.97
Chopsticks catch SpaceX's 7th Starship Super Heavy?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$1,399Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2025, EST-100%-$1,398.94
SpaceX Flight 7 launch before February 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$546Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2025, EST-100%-$545.71
Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX's Super Heavy?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$1,487Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2024, EST+335.2%+$4,985.17
SpaceX Starship launch today? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$419Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2024, EST-100%-$418.84
Will Boeing Starliner successfully return to Earth?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2024, EDT-100%-$52.89
Stranded astronauts depart on Boeing Starliner by July 21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$546Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2024, EDT+64.9%+$354.42
Stranded astronauts depart on Boeing Starliner by July 4?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$201Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2024, EDT-100%-$201.06
SpaceX 4th Starship launch reaches space?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2024, EDT-100%-$16.07
SpaceX Starship launch by Thursday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$259Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2024, EDT-100%-$259.25
All 15 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Nov 13, 2025, EST1421.4%3 W · 11 L-2.3wins-0.16per pick38cpaid-51.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
MLB — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Shohei Ohtani win the 2025 NL MVP?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$10.75
Will the Toronto Blue Jays win the 2025 World Series?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$35,763Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$35,763.31
Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2025 World Series?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$12,208Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+276%+$33,699.28
Will Trump attend the 2025 MLB World Series Finals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$1,160Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+39.8%+$461.04
Will the Seattle Mariners win the 2025 World Series?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$378Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$378.09
Will the Philadelphia Phillies win the 2025 World Series?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$2,826Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,826.25
Will the New York Yankees win the 2025 World Series?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$3,425Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$3,424.5
Will the San Diego Padres win the 2025 World Series?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$161Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$161.06
Guardians vs. Tigers Series Winnerbacked Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$234Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$234.14
Dodgers vs. Reds Series Winnerbacked Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$311Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$310.8
Will the New York Yankees win the AL East Division?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$63.02
Will the Toronto Blue Jays win the AL East Division?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$239Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT+67.2%+$160.8
Will the Cincinnati Reds make the 2025 MLB playoffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$437Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$437.34
Will the New York Mets make the 2025 MLB playoffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.09
All 14 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.11per pick32cpaid+17%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
College Football — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved Nov 24, 2024, EST728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-24.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Boxing — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT70%0 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT50%0 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 7, 2026, EDT50%0 W · 5 L-2.1wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Commodities — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Poker Inactivelast resolved Aug 7, 2025, EDT425%1 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick25cpaid-54.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Poker — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Poker, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Nov 6, 2024, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick16cpaid+82.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Olympics Inactivelast resolved Aug 11, 2024, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Olympics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Sep 7, 2025, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.64per pick36cpaid+186.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2025 US Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$152Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT+233.3%+$354.41
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2025 US Open?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$34,928Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT+139.1%+$48,570.85
All 2 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved May 5, 2024, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
F1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Fierceness win the 2024 Kentucky Derby?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$575Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2024, EDT-100%-$575.24
Will Catching Freedom win the 2024 Kentucky Derby?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2024, EDT-100%-$180.35
All 2 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Aug 8, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
WNBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Another dildo thrown at WNBA game by Friday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$94.7
Caitlin Clark scores 20+ against Mystics?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2024, EDT-100%-$59.99
All 2 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved May 29, 2024, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Golf — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Scottie Scheffler assault charge dropped?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$1,110Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2024, EDT+40.5%+$449.33
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2024, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
McGregor vs. Chandler canceled?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$283Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2024, EDT-100%-$282.69
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Blast Open Rotterdam 2026: Will a player break something during a game? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$887Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$886.87
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.