AI · resolved market
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https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x014d853c42e5a59aee3dfce695701511fd88b40fd416539e8937b5bcc1261213
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- AIevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $563,380
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $548,172
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $563,380 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 297 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in AI is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in AI | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6b0e…e3eabacked Yes | 7c | 24,685$1,699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,698.51 | 190 | 11.6%22 W · 168 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f42…21ddbacked Yes | 7c | 16,000$1,041 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,041.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5589…d13bbacked Yes | 12c | 13,577$1,655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,655.37 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 13cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbacd…ab35backed Yes | 10c | 6,063$599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$598.56 | 35 | 14.3%5 W · 30 L | -4.0wins | -0.11per pick | 26cpaid | -81%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee1…e2bbbacked Yes | 18c | 5,720$1,025 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,025.05 | 32 | 3.1%1 W · 31 L | -3.9wins | -0.12per pick | 15cpaid | -88.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7365…64dabacked Yes | 21c | 5,622$1,202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,202.47 | 275 | 36.4%100 W · 175 L | +7.7wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…9b6ebacked Yes | 10c | 5,277$516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$516.13 | 183 | 11.5%21 W · 162 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x609e…a64fbacked Yes | 8c | 5,028$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3039…8a62backed Yes | 2c | 4,888$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.26 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -61.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d14…c06dbacked Yes | 12c | 4,810$554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$553.94 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd93…a22bbacked Yes | 12c | 4,228$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Yes | 8c | 4,130$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.81 | 53 | 24.5%13 W · 40 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 18cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x630b…5ddbbacked Yes | 7c | 4,082$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b4a…c962backed Yes | 9c | 4,063$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc741…880abacked Yes | 4c | 3,998$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7d8…19e6backed Yes | 4c | 3,920$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.26 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.36per pick | 4cpaid | +887.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1f59…3a50backed Yes | 9c | 3,888$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.04 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8242…cb6ebacked Yes | 5c | 3,865$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.9 | 27 | 11.1%3 W · 24 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 6cpaid | +198.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83e1…6a54backed Yes | 21c | 3,818$803 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$803 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68d1…3c4dbacked No | 76c | 3,720$2,810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$909.81 | 81 | 50.6%41 W · 40 L | +6.5wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 11c | 3,500$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.31 | 1,363 | 6.8%93 W · 1,270 L | -20.2wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked Yes | 12c | 3,453$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.52 | 82 | 20.7%17 W · 65 L | -4.9wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc71b…e265backed Yes | 7c | 3,235$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.8 | 288 | 26.7%77 W · 211 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ed…6609backed Yes | 16c | 3,168$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491.49 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x111b…bad9backed Yes | 13c | 3,041$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.28 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0aae…251cbacked Yes | 15c | 3,000$453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$453 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +181.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…9cbebacked Yes | 6c | 2,936$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.71 | 267 | 4.9%13 W · 254 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0218…52c0backed Yes | 9c | 2,470$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211 | 32 | 6.3%2 W · 30 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -81.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e3a…c2c0backed Yes | 13c | 2,378$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.54 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 21cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2098…c8aebacked Yes | 15c | 2,040$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa099…d81fbacked Yes | 11c | 2,037$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.99 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | +5.1wins | +0.15per pick | 26cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7994…0b69backed Yes | 10c | 1,919$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.56 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf25b…82d0backed Yes | 8c | 1,889$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.54 | 32 | 3.1%1 W · 31 L | -3.9wins | -0.12per pick | 15cpaid | -92.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x29f1…bb0ebacked Yes | 1c | 1,758$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9aeb…2729backed Yes | 15c | 1,737$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.39 | 118 | 55.9%66 W · 52 L | +11.0wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xde3b…6e42backed Yes | 12c | 1,677$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.55 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed Yes | 12c | 1,516$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.07 | 301 | 27.2%82 W · 219 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8c2…4e95backed Yes | 1c | 1,515$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3e4…8d04backed Yes | 11c | 1,500$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162 | 48 | 18.8%9 W · 39 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff5c…fc1abacked Yes | 13c | 1,476$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.78 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ad7…0971backed Yes | 1c | 1,432$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d84…1344backed Yes | 11c | 1,422$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.79 | 72 | 22.2%16 W · 56 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -26%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e64…7781backed Yes | 13c | 1,322$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7a…db40backed Yes | 12c | 1,301$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.8 | 46 | 19.6%9 W · 37 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1091…a259backed Yes | 23c | 1,266$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.07 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 19cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecf8…603bbacked Yes | 8c | 1,257$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b28…15dfbacked Yes | 6c | 1,215$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.18 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 5cpaid | +100.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa39…977fbacked Yes | 7c | 1,200$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.85 | 34 | 8.8%3 W · 31 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -88.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3cd…816cbacked Yes | 6c | 1,200$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.6 | 89 | 23.6%21 W · 68 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c60…9c5ebacked Yes | 9c | 1,185$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.32 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 24cpaid | +39%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad52…11acbacked Yes | 7c | 1,157$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.07 | 71 | 32.4%23 W · 48 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 26cpaid | +49.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x442d…523ebacked Yes | 12c | 1,130$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.4 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | +119.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d7…a70cbacked Yes | 15c | 1,120$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.45 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 39cpaid | -79.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd34b…0004backed No | 69c | 1,105$758 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.73 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a59…9a2fbacked Yes | 9c | 1,093$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5965…f7e9backed Yes | 6c | 1,057$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc5…610ebacked Yes | 9c | 1,050$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.6 | 54 | 5.6%3 W · 51 L | -4.9wins | -0.09per pick | 15cpaid | -69.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x16d4…6e9bbacked Yes | 5c | 1,050$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xffa6…a12dbacked Yes | 14c | 1,025$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5b…e666backed Yes | 12c | 1,019$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.16 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 52cpaid | +23%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked Yes | 6c | 1,000$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.16per pick | 25cpaid | +93.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b5f…45bcbacked Yes | 4c | 1,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8be…c8d1backed Yes | 11c | 1,000$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 32 | 15.6%5 W · 27 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 17cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0234…62dabacked Yes | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7238…cbc1backed Yes | 18c | 1,000$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.21 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6df6…8458backed No | 79c | 999.99$793 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | +4.5wins | +0.12per pick | 33cpaid | +105.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdb2f…09fcbacked Yes | 11c | 947.89$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5754…e515backed Yes | 13c | 936.26$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.03 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce03…5608backed Yes | 11c | 932.11$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.26per pick | 55cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x92d0…ee19backed Yes | 11c | 919.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa258…2c7cbacked Yes | 11c | 911.81$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53a4…4447backed Yes | 10c | 896.12$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.38 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ae3…bc70backed Yes | 21c | 848.02$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.06 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5531…c763backed Yes | 13c | 800$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e3c…9c10backed Yes | 12c | 800$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7e6…f87cbacked Yes | 14c | 799.98$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.4 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8f6…a384backed Yes | 5c | 789.61$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.97 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 23cpaid | +57%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23a8…8004backed Yes | 11c | 763.05$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.41 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -13%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b9…0354backed Yes | 7c | 760$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18dd…6bf2backed Yes | 12c | 728.02$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.04 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x259b…dafcbacked Yes | 14c | 715.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87f5…0febbacked Yes | 10c | 700$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ad0…bf3dbacked Yes | 9c | 699.46$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.27 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -42%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9e5…005bbacked Yes | 4c | 694.92$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30f9…fbfcbacked Yes | 7c | 681.41$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.3 | 243 | 15.2%37 W · 206 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4217…8bf7backed Yes | 15c | 673.09$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e55…07acbacked Yes | 15c | 670.38$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2623…845dbacked Yes | 52c | 650.68$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.66 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.15per pick | 58cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf7…2e27backed Yes | 8c | 619.16$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.08 | 175 | 4%7 W · 168 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae59…c8c5backed Yes | 18c | 609$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b69…42cfbacked Yes | 9c | 600$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.1 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.6wins | -0.29per pick | 40cpaid | -81.8%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2e1f…8fdebacked Yes | 7c | 595.13$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.69 | 116 | 36.2%42 W · 74 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab2d…2ed0backed Yes | 8c | 590$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.56 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4522…ff26backed Yes | 6c | 582.14$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2688…cb00backed Yes | 24c | 569.99$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.7 | 75 | 36%27 W · 48 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98a6…3055backed Yes | 9c | 558.28$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x350e…6539backed Yes | 13c | 522.97$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.45 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.14per pick | 35cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcbc7…8f89backed Yes | 18c | 500$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd482…355dbacked Yes | 5c | 499.99$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.2 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9b8…d4bbbacked Yes | 4c | 482.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in AI and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- GPT ads by December 31?this page
- GPT ads by January 31?No won
- GPT ads by March 31?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.