TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xf7e6…f87c

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
189
Categories scored
23
Categories below 50
14

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 58 out of 100; worst Middle East at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT9956.6%56 W · 43 L+9.1wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+20.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 99 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+506.1%+$83.5
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$29
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.3
Will France vs. Spain end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.5
Exact Score: Spain 1 - 1 Belgium?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.3
Exact Score: Switzerland 1 - 1 Colombia?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Argentina vs. Egypt: Argentina O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$42
Exact Score: Argentina 1 - 1 Egypt?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$29
Exact Score: Brazil 1 - 1 Norway?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Canada vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$37
Exact Score: Australia 1 - 1 Egypt?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+488.2%+$69.72
Exact Score: Switzerland 1 - 1 Algeria?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.99
Switzerland vs. Algeria: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.5
Spain vs. Austria: Austria O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$24
Exact Score: England 1 - 1 DR Congo?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.3
Will England win on 2026-07-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$26.5
Exact Score: England 0 - 1 DR Congo?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.3
Mexico vs. Ecuador: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
Exact Score: France 1 - 0 Sweden?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
France vs. Sweden: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$27
Exact Score: Côte d'Ivoire 1 - 1 Norway?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Exact Score: Netherlands 1 - 1 Morocco?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+525%+$84
Netherlands vs. Morocco: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Brazil vs. Japan: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Jordan vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.5
Showing 25 of 99 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Aug 3, 2026, EDT1566.7%10 W · 5 L+2.3wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+18.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Movies — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day beat Avengers: Endgame's opening weekend record?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$19.5
Will "The Hawk: Season 1" be the top global Netflix show this week?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Will "The Hawk: Season 1" be the top US Netflix show this week?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$11.54
Will "Little House on the Prairie: Season 1" be the top US Netflix show this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+35.3%+$13.05
Will "Voicemails for Isabelle" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.5
Will "Enola Holmes 3" be the top global Netflix movie this week?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+35.3%+$6.78
Will "Enola Holmes 3" be the top US Netflix movie this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+43.8%+$21.74
Will "Little Brother" be the top US Netflix movie this week?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+57.1%+$36.48
Will "Enola Holmes 3" be the top US Netflix movie this week?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.5
Will "Little Brother" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.5
Will "Outlast: The Jungle" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will "Man on Fire: Season 1" be the top global Netflix show this week?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$34.5
Will "Hoppers" 3rd Weekend Box Office be greater than 21m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+100%+$10
Will "Project Hail Mary" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 80m and 85m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$10
Will "Stranger Things: Season 5" be the top US Netflix show this week? (December 30, 2025)backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+81.8%+$9
All 15 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1163.6%7 W · 4 L+2.1wins+0.19per pick44cpaid+47.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.5
Will Bitcoin dip to $66,000 June 1-7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+376.2%+$79
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$26
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$12.36
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.7
Will Bitcoin reach $72,000 March 30-April 5?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$7.8
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$8.2
Will Bitcoin reach $74,000 March 23-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+90.5%+$9.5
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 by December 31, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$47
Will Bitcoin dip to $86,000 December 8-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST-100%-$17.12
Will Bitcoin dip to $88,000 December 8-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+214.7%+$67.88
All 11 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT1040%4 W · 6 L-1.8wins-0.18per pick58cpaid-32.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
GRVT FDV above $1B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$8.8
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$9.3
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1.5B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+65.3%+$39.5
Gensyn FDV above $600M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
USD.AI FDV above $400M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
USD.AI FDV above $200M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.4
OpenGradient FDV above $300M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.18
Genius FDV above $200M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.68
Flying Tulip FDV above $1B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$13.2
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+89.6%+$75.6
All 10 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT1030%3 W · 7 L-2.8wins-0.28per pick58cpaid-43.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
Middle East — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.2
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.43
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 18, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.2
Israel announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by April 17, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.2
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.71
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+138.4%+$23.22
US forces enter Iran by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+98%+$9.9
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+25%+$10
US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$10.99
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$13.9
All 10 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+12.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-29.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Jul 23, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Mar 3, 2026, EST520%1 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.18per pick38cpaid-71.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Tweets — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jul 25, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.17per pick59cpaid+28.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jul 22, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Aug 2, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.64per pick36cpaid+176.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+176.2%+$31.9
All 1 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Olympics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+63%+$11.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian Leaguelast resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Al Fayha Saudi Club vs. Al Hilal Saudi Club: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$11.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
IPO — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
SpaceX IPO: Will Elon Musk Ring the Bell?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
All 1 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Jul 20, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.49
All 1 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be more than 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 11 - 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.48
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will James Talarico and John Cornyn be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.1
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jul 23, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Botafogo FR vs. EC Vitória: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
All 1 picks, newest first.
WNBAlast resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
WNBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Atlanta Dream vs. Los Angeles Sparks: O/U 182.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $12 million?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$11.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.73per pick73cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the USA Stars team win the 2026 NBA All-Star Game?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$21.9
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.