Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x06a804e8bd1a539829b7db279ad33b2cf0bcf98f315a3b3a8c7623e6230d88fd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,689,741
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,349,680
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,689,741 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 2,397 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd4f9…f619backed No | 64c | 1,283,543$827,694 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455,849.19 | 45 | 64.4%29 W · 16 L | +4.5wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6916…2fd4backed Yes | 36c | 336,357$121,038 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121,037.74 | 638 | 35.4%226 W · 412 L | +18.1wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f1…2d22backed Yes | 41c | 225,312$93,479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93,479.32 | 377 | 45.9%173 W · 204 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc408…c1efbacked Yes | 43c | 199,677$85,115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85,114.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf705…3ca7backed Yes | 27c | 172,205$46,684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46,684.08 | 351 | 23.9%84 W · 267 L | +15.9wins | +0.05per pick | 19cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6765…fa0dbacked No | 76c | 161,684$122,592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39,091.79 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.43per pick | 63cpaid | -73.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x25ea…fa5fbacked Yes | 11c | 138,266$14,956 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,956.38 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e1d…d0fabacked No | 71c | 92,826$65,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,146.67 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8150…d03fbacked Yes | 34c | 83,380$28,039 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,039.26 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e1a…9732backed Yes | 21c | 76,422$16,311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,310.72 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 46cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4028…5f4abacked Yes | 35c | 66,430$22,991 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,990.97 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b14…d0b1backed No | 44c | 59,985$26,114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33,871.01 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.18per pick | 39cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x071e…a103backed No | 79c | 57,786$45,402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,383.5 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 69cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd4b…8aa4backed Yes | 25c | 53,021$13,232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,232.4 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc0…22e1backed Yes | 33c | 49,904$16,565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,565.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56c9…0d9ebacked No | 75c | 44,649$33,443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,205.78 | 8 | 100%8 W · 0 L | +2.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaf34…dc6ebacked Yes | 14c | 43,377$6,182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,182.08 | 33 | 9.1%3 W · 30 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | +122.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc2f…50aebacked Yes | 17c | 40,749$6,748 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,747.88 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d17…f3adbacked Yes | 3c | 37,719$1,278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,277.68 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcd4…84ddbacked No | 65c | 36,232$23,708 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,523.46 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 63cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x995e…13aebacked Yes | 33c | 35,319$11,751 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,750.86 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff30…4a37backed No | 33c | 34,887$11,387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,499.08 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b4c…e682backed Yes | 39c | 33,650$13,207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,207.04 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 45cpaid | +55.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a22…c1efbacked Yes | 39c | 32,274$12,438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,438.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c9…9c10backed Yes | 31c | 30,791$9,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,599.91 | 143 | 37.1%53 W · 90 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe468…769dbacked Yes | 0c | 30,658$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.35 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f6…5817backed Yes | 62c | 29,748$18,444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,443.57 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +3.4wins | +0.20per pick | 57cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5714…ae10backed Yes | 6c | 29,641$1,908 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,908.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b4b…541bbacked No | 60c | 28,266$16,907 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,358.93 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f91…c5f0backed Yes | 21c | 28,238$5,798 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,797.51 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa953…8bf7backed No | 62c | 26,836$16,751 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,085.61 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.17per pick | 38cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x81e0…2c3bbacked Yes | 26c | 26,326$6,841 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,841.27 | 35 | 11.4%4 W · 31 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -70.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a67…8494backed Yes | 14c | 25,828$3,632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,632.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09fc…4cd4backed Yes | 13c | 25,607$3,229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,228.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked Yes | 14c | 25,000$3,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,500 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.6wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x90da…4042backed Yes | 36c | 24,992$8,968 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,968.24 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -78.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc91e…07ddbacked Yes | 17c | 22,847$3,884 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,884.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9301…3b67backed Yes | 79c | 22,325$17,692 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,691.65 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 62cpaid | +90.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf575…0791backed Yes | 10c | 21,700$2,262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,261.76 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +4.0wins | +0.25per pick | 13cpaid | +315.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb4fc…a926backed No | 45c | 21,112$9,438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,674.53 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0826…0b32backed No | 78c | 21,000$16,290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,709.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda6b…a403backed Yes | 18c | 20,899$3,686 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,685.92 | 62 | 0%0 W · 62 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5235…c04abacked No | 52c | 20,526$10,616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,910.26 | 49 | 34.7%17 W · 32 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x991f…d3c2backed Yes | 43c | 20,446$8,699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,698.56 | 33 | 24.2%8 W · 25 L | -4.3wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -61.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x075e…1840backed Yes | 13c | 20,148$2,660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,660.03 | 29 | 10.3%3 W · 26 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 17cpaid | -81%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x997c…251ebacked Yes | 30c | 18,995$5,669 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,668.62 | 117 | 20.5%24 W · 93 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2e8…eeeabacked No | 68c | 18,527$12,660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,866.53 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55e2…5fc9backed Yes | 23c | 18,151$4,242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,242.29 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3234…f52bbacked Yes | 3c | 17,694$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeee9…7ecbbacked Yes | 39c | 16,492$6,354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,354.05 | 878 | 28.4%249 W · 629 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3301…4dd8backed Yes | 1c | 16,289$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.94 | 102 | 4.9%5 W · 97 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -76.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9859…1650backed Yes | 22c | 16,145$3,515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,514.84 | 24 | 0%0 W · 24 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83f0…6ff5backed Yes | 16c | 15,493$2,506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,506.36 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a9b…e9f6backed Yes | 52c | 15,299$7,929 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,929.42 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36ca…2598backed Yes | 36c | 14,693$5,263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,262.83 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5bc…2c49backed Yes | 36c | 14,100$5,069 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,068.78 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 9cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x765d…dca3backed No | 47c | 13,645$6,413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,231.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5360…1f6fbacked Yes | 15c | 13,459$2,019 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,018.81 | 146 | 6.2%9 W · 137 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 3cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c35…feebbacked Yes | 0c | 13,200$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 27 | 0%0 W · 27 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfeb5…a393backed Yes | 61c | 13,196$8,019 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,018.66 | 167 | 61.7%103 W · 64 L | +19.6wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbc1f…7631backed No | 77c | 12,456$9,583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,873.58 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -2.9wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a99…c413backed No | 79c | 12,157$9,568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,589 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a26…1851backed No | 62c | 12,001$7,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,600.4 | 71 | 63.4%45 W · 26 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa39e…1d88backed Yes | 20c | 11,560$2,312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,311.98 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f4…e6d4backed Yes | 5c | 11,398$573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$572.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb64f…0d2abacked Yes | 17c | 11,189$1,890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,890.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d86…1cb2backed Yes | 21c | 11,178$2,375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,374.64 | 40 | 2.5%1 W · 39 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -94.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x104a…5b05backed Yes | 24c | 11,132$2,672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,671.68 | 80 | 17.5%14 W · 66 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6db9…4ab5backed Yes | 12c | 10,952$1,353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,352.58 | 40 | 10%4 W · 36 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14e2…282fbacked Yes | 17c | 10,544$1,807 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,807.18 | 40 | 7.5%3 W · 37 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -64.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c6…043dbacked Yes | 27c | 10,234$2,759 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,759.09 | 113 | 16.8%19 W · 94 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6bf…81a6backed No | 76c | 10,000$7,570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,430 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3a6…fd55backed Yes | 9c | 10,000$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8aea…4b5ebacked Yes | 0c | 9,911$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.66 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaea3…fe61backed No | 69c | 9,729$6,675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,054.26 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +4.0wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7b67…1b07backed Yes | 15c | 9,416$1,412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,412.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb917…02c6backed Yes | 22c | 9,407$2,069 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,069.43 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2336…9e65backed Yes | 12c | 9,248$1,110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,109.7 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09a5…caaabacked No | 66c | 9,136$6,069 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,067.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b91…e572backed Yes | 25c | 9,111$2,289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,288.95 | 37 | 16.2%6 W · 31 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -56.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc722…1334backed Yes | 12c | 9,102$1,096 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,096.35 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd425…bf47backed No | 31c | 8,970$2,780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,189.12 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +3.9wins | +0.65per pick | 18cpaid | +458.9%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x1615…8f2bbacked Yes | 11c | 8,933$979 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$979.24 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.20per pick | 30cpaid | -87.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaabb…0ac6backed No | 69c | 8,852$6,088 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,764.12 | 44 | 70.5%31 W · 13 L | +7.2wins | +0.16per pick | 54cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3f…ac90backed Yes | 19c | 8,825$1,637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,637.34 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0fe4…01b7backed No | 63c | 8,774$5,546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,228.3 | 68 | 35.3%24 W · 44 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…bf0bbacked Yes | 17c | 8,772$1,491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,491.22 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -65.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3bef…62a4backed Yes | 19c | 8,423$1,613 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,613.04 | 32 | 15.6%5 W · 27 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 12cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10e8…c707backed Yes | 27c | 8,262$2,218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,218.45 | 40 | 15%6 W · 34 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -74%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a08…9513backed No | 59c | 7,974$4,705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,269.44 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe97…6347backed No | 57c | 7,957$4,513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,444.05 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12a2…0e71backed No | 42c | 7,796$3,285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,511.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +137.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb148…bb0ebacked Yes | 32c | 7,780$2,455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,455.29 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9b…9dc7backed Yes | 56c | 7,694$4,342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,342.49 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6294…33f3backed No | 77c | 7,667$5,916 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,751.06 | 66 | 57.6%38 W · 28 L | +6.9wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Yes | 0c | 7,650$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 136 | 0%0 W · 136 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e8b…6f7bbacked Yes | 59c | 7,610$4,472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,471.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked Yes | 14c | 7,559$1,035 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,034.61 | 33 | 21.2%7 W · 26 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2b0…372fbacked Yes | 67c | 7,422$4,967 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,967.13 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ddf…c80dbacked Yes | 27c | 7,335$1,955 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,954.52 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?this page
- Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 in April?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 in April?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 in April?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 in April?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in April?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in April?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in April?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in April?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in April?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in April?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in April?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in April?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in April?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in April?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in April?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in April?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in April?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in April?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.