TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x7b67…1b07

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
53
Categories scored
18
Categories below 50
14

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 52 out of 100; worst Champions League at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Movies Inactivelast resolved May 4, 2026, EDT2339.1%9 W · 14 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-14.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "Michael" 2nd Weekend Box Office be greater than 55m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$19.24
Will "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 85m and 90m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.92
Will "Iron Lung" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 11m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$384Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$383.79
Will "Iron Lung" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 11m and 13m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$1,459Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$1,458.76
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 90m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$449Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST+34.7%+$155.8
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 90m and 101m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$11,688Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$11,687.55
Will "The Spongebob Movie: Search for SquarePants" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 15m and 18m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$201Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST+28.5%+$57.2
Will "The Spongebob Movie: Search for SquarePants" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 15m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$48.5
Will "Zootopia 2" 5-Day Opening Box Office be less than 157m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$672Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$672.39
Will "Demon Slayer" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $65m and $70m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$459Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 15, 2025, EDT+28.7%+$131.78
Will "Demon Slayer" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $75m and $80m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$22.65
Will "Demon Slayer" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $70m and $75m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 15, 2025, EDT+657.7%+$72.22
Will "Demon Slayer" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than $65m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 15, 2025, EDT+42%+$39.71
Will "Demon Slayer" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $80m and $85m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.72
Will "The Long Walk" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $13m and $15m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$12
Will "The Long Walk" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $11m and $13m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 15, 2025, EDT+156.1%+$24.38
Will "The Long Walk" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than $11m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$626Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$625.84
Will "Downton Abbey" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than $20m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$36.1
Will "Downton Abbey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $20m and $23m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$32.37
"Demon Slayer" grosses higher than "The Conjuring" opening weekend?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$114.8
Will "The Conjuring: Last Rites" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $72-76m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 8, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$4.6
Will "Caught Stealing" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than $8.5m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$959Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 2, 2025, EDT+55.6%+$533.16
Will "Caught Stealing" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $8.5-10m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$141Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$140.75
All 23 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jun 17, 2026, EDT90%0 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$1,181Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,180.81
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$11,964Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$11,963.54
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$780Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$780
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$349.83
Fed Derivative: "No Change" or "25bp cut" favored on Monday?backed No Change · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$502Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST-100%-$501.91
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$17,354Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$17,354.43
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$990Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$990.26
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after September 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$3,088Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$3,087.99
Will Lisa Cook vote at the next FOMC meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$56.01
All 9 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Sep 16, 2025, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.19per pick31cpaid-13.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Dallas Stars win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$864Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$864
Sabres vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$4,640Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$3,360
All 2 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 19, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 27, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will DR Congo advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$48.98
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Feb 18, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rio Open: Alejandro Tabilo vs Francesco Passarobacked Tabilo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$28,320Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+69.5%+$19,680
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Nov 27, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Monad market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$653Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$653.34
All 1 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Oct 19, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
F1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Charles Leclerc be the 2025 Drivers Champion?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$19.28
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$82.29
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Sep 7, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Dillon Gabriel be the Browns QB2 for Week 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$26.25
All 1 picks, newest first.
Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Sep 11, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will annual inflation increase by 2.7% in August?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$24.69
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$1,412Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,412.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on April 30?backed Up · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$384Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$383.94
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Sep 16, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Justin Bieber's album "SWAG II" debut at #1 in its first week?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$103.79
All 1 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Sunrisers Hyderabadbacked Rajasthan Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.3
All 1 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 18, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Olympics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Men's Quarterfinals - Slovakia vs. Germanybacked Germany · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$27,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$27,500
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Feb 17, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. Atalanta BC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$17,700Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$17,700
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.