Olympics · resolved market
Men's Quarterfinals - Slovakia vs. Germany
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5a7dcdab2b1a5c943402f633cea26aa8b94b0462eceb1353d0635641ef904def
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Slovakiaof Slovakia, Germany
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Olympicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $554,519
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $578,755
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $554,519 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 305 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Olympics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Olympics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x99bd…238ebacked Germany | 54c | 237,356$128,468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128,467.78 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 29cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b4d…e246backed Slovakia | 47c | 138,000$64,388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73,612.14 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x241f…ef50backed Slovakia | 45c | 82,591$37,166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45,425 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03e8…1697backed Slovakia | 45c | 51,074$23,071 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,002.9 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b67…1b07backed Germany | 55c | 50,000$27,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Slovakia | 46c | 36,754$16,917 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,837.11 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…4252backed Germany | 55c | 32,500$17,875 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,875 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Slovakia | 46c | 31,280$14,389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,891.2 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -68.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Germany | 53c | 30,000$15,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,900 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -2.9wins | -0.15per pick | 36cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xddd3…dba6backed Germany | 6c | 16,415$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$940.07 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.19per pick | 32cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Germany | 53c | 16,110$8,538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,538.1 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +2.8wins | +0.15per pick | 33cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Germany | 54c | 12,480$6,739 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,739.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd27c…c081backed Germany | 54c | 9,930$5,362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,362.19 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed Slovakia | 46c | 9,107$4,189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,917.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33dd…ef8abacked Germany | 53c | 6,000$3,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,180 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07aa…deb1backed Slovakia | 47c | 5,244$2,473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,771.73 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +56%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Slovakia | 46c | 5,000$2,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,699.99 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd604…cb5fbacked Germany | 2c | 4,218$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.52 | 43 | 25.6%11 W · 32 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6368…6dc8backed Slovakia | 47c | 3,725$1,751 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,974.13 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf62b…844abacked Germany | 54c | 3,704$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3a1…3529backed Germany | 54c | 3,704$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,999.98 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -28%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Slovakia | 47c | 3,220$1,511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,708.11 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.17per pick | 45cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x02b6…fbbbbacked Slovakia | 46c | 3,057$1,406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,650.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefc9…b337backed Germany | 52c | 3,020$1,571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,570.65 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x735b…acb1backed Germany | 54c | 3,003$1,622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,621.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d58…1aeabacked Slovakia | 47c | 3,000$1,408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,591.89 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb86…cc67backed Slovakia | 46c | 2,994$1,377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,616.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf2a…0525backed Slovakia | 46c | 2,992$1,376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,615.68 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.32per pick | 35cpaid | +80%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5e…e7dbbacked Slovakia | 46c | 2,872$1,321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,551.02 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e41…a1c1backed Slovakia | 46c | 2,799$1,288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,511.43 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebc7…4003backed Germany | 32c | 2,637$844 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$843.92 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Slovakia | 46c | 2,320$1,069 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,250.3 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Germany | 1c | 2,276$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.41 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a442backed Germany | 33c | 2,100$689 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$688.71 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Germany | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,060 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc62c…2c44backed Germany | 56c | 1,976$1,097 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,096.68 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8082…4d66backed Slovakia | 52c | 1,901$982 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$918.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +93.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5061…1b03backed Slovakia | 68c | 1,900$1,291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$608.6 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc23…8283backed Slovakia | 48c | 1,706$819 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$887.03 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cee…b72abacked Slovakia | 45c | 1,656$745 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$910.79 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Slovakia | 45c | 1,555$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$855.25 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29b1…f737backed Slovakia | 47c | 1,517$712 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$805.18 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +2.7wins | +0.22per pick | 36cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x412f…30fabacked Slovakia | 46c | 1,500$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$810.19 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.18per pick | 31cpaid | -72.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Slovakia | 46c | 1,500$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$809.97 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Germany | 39c | 1,435$562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$562.44 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Germany | 5c | 1,424$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.55 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 18cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64d3…0a4dbacked Slovakia | 46c | 1,413$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$763.04 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf26…6fe2backed Slovakia | 47c | 1,311$616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$694.64 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Germany | 45c | 1,288$586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$585.72 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e4…2daebacked Slovakia | 77c | 1,286$996 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.43 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd589…27c2backed Slovakia | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc81…5df2backed Slovakia | 70c | 999.99$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe544…ab18backed Slovakia | 46c | 999.96$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$539.98 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeffd…5a86backed Germany | 54c | 999.96$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.98 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Slovakia | 46c | 997$463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$534.38 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Germany | 54c | 979$532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$531.9 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.36per pick | 53cpaid | -69.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9098…91c3backed Germany | 5c | 947.77$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26db…7abcbacked Germany | 11c | 943.73$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.37 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ba8…697ebacked Slovakia | 47c | 904.49$425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$479.38 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa632…4c96backed Slovakia | 47c | 893.62$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$473.62 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…bc51backed Slovakia | 68c | 866.18$589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4fd…0095backed Germany | 55c | 854.55$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad9d…f2cdbacked Slovakia | 47c | 825.09$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$437.3 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce4d…a7fabacked Germany | 54c | 805$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.3 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a39…d732backed Germany | 54c | 800$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3568…c765backed Germany | 30c | 724.99$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.5 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc703…6523backed Slovakia | 46c | 699.98$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40ce…bf90backed Slovakia | 45c | 699.94$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.97 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Germany | 34c | 693.51$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.75 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -4.9wins | -0.18per pick | 44cpaid | -62.8%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4785…921ebacked Slovakia | 47c | 674.8$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.64 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e3d…bf10backed Slovakia | 47c | 670.21$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.21 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9592…a85bbacked Slovakia | 45c | 660$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363 | 24 | 8.3%2 W · 22 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 18cpaid | -76.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b5…fa78backed Slovakia | 46c | 652.17$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.17 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfaf1…795fbacked Slovakia | 45c | 650.96$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.03 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.14per pick | 31cpaid | +44.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8927…f5c6backed Slovakia | 46c | 650$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 26cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9106…afcbbacked Slovakia | 47c | 645.85$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.53 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -62.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1de0…a0dabacked Germany | 55c | 610.6$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4daa…0e1dbacked Slovakia | 50c | 602.9$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.9 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -31%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f7f…b0cfbacked Slovakia | 77c | 598.45$459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.46 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf35…2d56backed Slovakia | 45c | 597.93$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.93 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +124.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22b6…0ebcbacked Slovakia | 46c | 592$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.68 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Germany | 54c | 581.73$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.33 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd52d…412dbacked Slovakia | 47c | 572.57$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.37 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x685d…22d6backed Slovakia | 45c | 560.54$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.54 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 27cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11dd…7700backed Germany | 54c | 555.56$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Germany | 54c | 553.96$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.81 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa75…c983backed Germany | 55c | 545.45$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed5…8384backed Slovakia | 46c | 543.48$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.48 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2eff…30d6backed Slovakia | 46c | 543.17$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.31 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f7…faccbacked Germany | 54c | 542.54$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd296…9ce5backed Slovakia | 47c | 540.43$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.43 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3eff…ae12backed Slovakia | 46c | 537.42$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.54 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe08c…4f19backed Slovakia | 47c | 531.91$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.91 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9204…7bd5backed Germany | 20c | 514.33$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.75 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5031…1ffbbacked Slovakia | 46c | 499.99$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.99 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 38cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb337…5589backed Germany | 54c | 499.95$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.97 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56c2…17bfbacked Germany | 3c | 494.82$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.54 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 16cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf205…ae0dbacked Slovakia | 46c | 473$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.42 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -56.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54c0…3d61backed Germany | 3c | 467.5$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.38 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f70…fbb1backed Slovakia | 47c | 460.99$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.32 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.17per pick | 23cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Olympics and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.