TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x735b…acb1

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
20
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: Lol, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Lol at 55 out of 100; worst NBA at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.33per pick58cpaid-66.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 213.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$66.98
Nuggets vs. Clippersbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$677Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$677.12
Magic vs. Kingsbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$1,889Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+32.6%+$615.45
Pistons vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$1,528Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$1,528.04
All 4 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick37cpaid+44.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UC Davis Aggies vs. Cal State Fullerton Titansbacked UC Davis Aggies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$35.75
Texas Tech Red Raiders vs. Arizona State Sun Devilsbacked Arizona State Sun Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$573Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+334.8%+$1,918.07
Saint Mary's Gaels vs. Pacific Tigersbacked Pacific Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$504Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$503.76
All 3 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.61per pick39cpaid+312.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Lol — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: SK Gaming vs Team Heretics (BO3) - LEC Group Stagebacked Team Heretics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$24.79
LoL: T1 vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - LCK Cup Playoffsbacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$449Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+566.7%+$2,542.35
All 2 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-30.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will RCD Mallorca vs. Real Betis Balompié end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$628Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$627.9
Spread: Club Atlético de Madrid (-1.5)backed Rayo Vallecano de Madrid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$1,765Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+38.9%+$686.56
All 2 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Feb 19, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick70cpaid-30.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Fenerbahçe SK vs. Nottingham Forest FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$2,883Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+38.9%+$1,121.12
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-02-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$398Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$397.98
All 2 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Feb 27, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Augsburg vs. 1. FC Köln end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+37%+$27.54
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Mazatlán FC vs. Club León FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+37%+$20.25
All 1 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Minnesota United FC win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.85
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lightning vs. Senators: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$64.26
All 1 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 18, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Olympics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Men's Quarterfinals - Slovakia vs. Germanybacked Germany · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,622Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$1,621.62
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Feb 18, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
FK Bodø/Glimt vs. FC Internazionale Milano: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,311Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$1,310.98
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Feb 14, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.75per pick75cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Olympique de Marseille vs. RC Strasbourg Alsace end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$754Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$753.75
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.