Mls · resolved market
Will Minnesota United FC win on 2026-03-22?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf984c80f4bf09fcba0520395dcebedd5d8b2c6f9e9e5907521b2cebda559c9df
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $162,884
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $162,884 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 108 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf5f9…87b0backed No | 62c | 91,161$56,077 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35,083.9 | 96 | 49%47 W · 49 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb22…6478backed Yes | 38c | 40,889$15,534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,533.75 | 156 | 47.4%74 W · 82 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8a5…122bbacked No | 62c | 13,248$8,214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,034.39 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +50.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 36c | 10,872$3,893 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,892.85 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 38c | 10,475$4,009 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,008.75 | 971 | 46.1%448 W · 523 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes | 39c | 8,652$3,338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,337.84 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | -4.9wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5db5…1a50backed Yes | 17c | 5,753$999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.32 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Yes | 38c | 5,706$2,168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,168.41 | 124 | 51.6%64 W · 60 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc94a…9401backed No | 62c | 5,698$3,532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,165.05 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1eaf…9bf0backed Yes | 39c | 5,411$2,106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,106.22 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Yes | 38c | 5,254$2,004 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,004.05 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f6e…84b4backed Yes | 39c | 5,180$2,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,020.1 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -3.1wins | -0.18per pick | 48cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5c74…4ef0backed Yes | 39c | 4,692$1,830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,830 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -4.0wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 76c | 4,514$3,417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,096.36 | 477 | 48.2%230 W · 247 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Yes | 39c | 3,848$1,501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,501.49 | 251 | 49%123 W · 128 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddd3…dba6backed No | 62c | 2,691$1,668 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,022.52 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6da6…7d01backed Yes | 39c | 2,564$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.20per pick | 47cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x287a…7976backed Yes | 39c | 2,331$909 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$908.9 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.27per pick | 47cpaid | -60%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Yes | 37c | 2,027$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$749.99 | 133 | 47.4%63 W · 70 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9bfb…5ce8backed No | 64c | 1,605$1,027 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$577.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x352d…ef4bbacked Yes | 36c | 1,603$577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$577.08 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -18%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes | 38c | 1,599$608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$607.55 | 91 | 51.6%47 W · 44 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe648…b79abacked Yes | 38c | 1,447$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5976…b3d4backed No | 60c | 1,275$765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +13%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58f4…764ebacked Yes | 11c | 1,260$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.55 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked No | 62c | 1,239$763 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$475.88 | 236 | 43.6%103 W · 133 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 38c | 776.87$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.93 | 728 | 50.7%369 W · 359 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb4…90f3backed Yes | 39c | 769.23$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Yes | 38c | 755$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.79 | 96 | 52.1%50 W · 46 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked No | 65c | 742.32$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.51 | 51 | 31.4%16 W · 35 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Yes | 38c | 700$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265 | 86 | 61.6%53 W · 33 L | +9.4wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2e00…eb46backed Yes | 39c | 591.67$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.75 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e3…47acbacked Yes | 39c | 566.67$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e56…8243backed Yes | 38c | 545$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.1 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Yes | 37c | 511$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.13 | 49 | 32.7%16 W · 33 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Yes | 40c | 503.6$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 108 | 53.7%58 W · 50 L | +6.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 38c | 503.01$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.17 | 376 | 49.7%187 W · 189 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2e…3fb7backed No | 80c | 500$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -37%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Yes | 34c | 469.35$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.2 | 82 | 51.2%42 W · 40 L | +12.1wins | +0.15per pick | 36cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Yes | 39c | 449.99$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.7 | 702 | 49.7%349 W · 353 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90df…a209backed Yes | 32c | 438.04$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.5 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed No | 62c | 409.99$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.8 | 139 | 42.4%59 W · 80 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4296…fca1backed Yes | 3c | 389.73$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.05 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 21cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Yes | 38c | 387.32$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.18 | 392 | 34.4%135 W · 257 L | -47.2wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -31%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3c17…0458backed Yes | 38c | 351.35$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.04 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 37c | 316.56$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.25 | 151 | 44.4%67 W · 84 L | -11.3wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Yes | 38c | 302.32$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.84 | 71 | 50.7%36 W · 35 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa774…005fbacked No | 69c | 300$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6203…5544backed Yes | 39c | 300$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +21%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 17c | 262.06$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.43 | 777 | 51.7%402 W · 375 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a64…6769backed Yes | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Yes | 36c | 256$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.16 | 429 | 47.1%202 W · 227 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 62c | 250$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95 | 685 | 50.5%346 W · 339 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3fc…5176backed No | 61c | 245.9$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.9 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07dd…0876backed No | 63c | 242$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.62 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Yes | 39c | 216.32$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.4 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Yes | 37c | 197.61$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.68 | 139 | 50.4%70 W · 69 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 29c | 190$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.3 | 205 | 35.1%72 W · 133 L | +7.7wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 9c | 188$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.1 | 206 | 41.3%85 W · 121 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed No | 62c | 180$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.4 | 243 | 51.4%125 W · 118 L | -16.4wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Yes | 10c | 165$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 288 | 51.4%148 W · 140 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf3d…fd74backed No | 63c | 159.35$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.66 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c69…51cabacked Yes | 20c | 150$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 38c | 147$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.86 | 549 | 49%269 W · 280 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27f3…8382backed Yes | 39c | 128.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes | 38c | 120$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 102 | 55.9%57 W · 45 L | +6.5wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x88a0…f673backed Yes | 38c | 113$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.94 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x735b…acb1backed Yes | 35c | 111$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40d2…312fbacked Yes | 38c | 107$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.66 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 31c | 102.28$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.92 | 1,880 | 36.6%688 W · 1,192 L | -7.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0a8…a0f5backed Yes | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08f1…705cbacked Yes | 38c | 91$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.58 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 38c | 89.75$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.4 | 371 | 38.8%144 W · 227 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 66c | 86.3$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.51 | 263 | 46.8%123 W · 140 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Yes | 38c | 81.99$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.27 | 60 | 56.7%34 W · 26 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e0b…d6c6backed Yes | 39c | 73.65$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.42 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Yes | 38c | 73$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.05 | 88 | 36.4%32 W · 56 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e5b…b58bbacked Yes | 38c | 71.05$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3a2…1053backed No | 65c | 70$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b56…c7bebacked Yes | 39c | 69.95$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04b4…8d0bbacked Yes | 27c | 69.63$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.61 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -4.0wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3a25…bb6bbacked Yes | 25c | 61.17$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.14 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d27…676ebacked Yes | 36c | 61.11$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.18per pick | 56cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Yes | 38c | 61.05$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 202 | 49%99 W · 103 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Yes | 27c | 59.16$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.15 | 472 | 40.7%192 W · 280 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x077c…33febacked Yes | 34c | 58.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.33per pick | 42cpaid | +80.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd82a…5fcfbacked No | 64c | 56.17$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.22 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 66c | 55.01$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.64 | 372 | 49.2%183 W · 189 L | -12.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Yes | 37c | 53.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.94 | 106 | 48.1%51 W · 55 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2bba…6596backed No | 62c | 48.39$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.39 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7133…69d6backed Yes | 39c | 47$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.33 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22e6…26efbacked No | 65c | 42.05$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.72 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Yes | 39c | 41.83$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.15 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Yes | 33c | 40$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 318 | 34.9%111 W · 207 L | -14.2wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72bc…b24ebacked No | 63c | 36$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.44 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +2.8wins | +0.21per pick | 56cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1872…bcabbacked No | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde67…a253backed Yes | 39c | 32.08$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.51 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x193d…9741backed No | 65c | 31$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f1…23eebacked Yes | 39c | 30.77$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed Yes | 37c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 85 | 52.9%45 W · 40 L | -6.2wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Minnesota United FC win on 2026-03-22?this page
- Will Minnesota United FC vs. Seattle Sounders FC end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Seattle Sounders FC win on 2026-03-22?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.