TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x5c69…51ca

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
329
Categories scored
17
Categories below 50
12

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 52 out of 100; worst La Liga at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 28, 2026, EDT13518.5%25 W · 110 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick17cpaid-16%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 135 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$710Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$710
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Will Iran close its airspace by June 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$201Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$201
Will Iran close its airspace by June 11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Iran closes its airspace by June 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$220Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+2,466.5%+$5,431.19
Will Iran close its airspace by June 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$932Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$932
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+85.6%+$171.26
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$2,400Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,400
Iran closes its airspace by May 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$631Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$631
Iran closes its airspace by May 18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$647Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$647.1
Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$2,293Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+50.3%+$1,154.48
Will Israel strike 3 countries in April 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$141Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$141.1
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 29, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$130
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 27, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$161Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$160.56
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.99
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 25, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$95.93
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 23, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$23
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$249Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$248.7
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 18, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$150.4
Israel announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by April 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$496Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+274.3%+$1,360.29
Will Iran strike Turkey in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Showing 25 of 135 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT5024%12 W · 38 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick21cpaid-23.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 50 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Argentina to score first vs. Spain?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$157Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$157
Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$340Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$340
England vs. Argentina: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+292.2%+$584.31
Will France vs. Spain end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$143Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$143.03
Will France vs. Morocco end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Spread: France (-5.5)backed France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Argentina vs. Egypt end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$220
Exact Score: Switzerland 1 - 3 Algeria?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Exact Score: Switzerland 3 - 1 Algeria?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Will Algeria win on 2026-07-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$111.4
Exact Score: Portugal 1 - 3 Croatia?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Exact Score: Portugal 2 - 3 Croatia?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Portugal vs. Croatia end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$135.5
Will England win on 2026-07-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+253.9%+$761.83
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$1,083.33
Netherlands vs. Morocco: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$110
Netherlands vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$235.71
Netherlands vs. Morocco: Netherlands O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$155Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$155
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$386Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$386
Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$27
Will Jordan win on 2026-06-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Showing 25 of 50 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT2821.4%6 W · 22 L-2.1wins-0.07per pick29cpaid-37.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
La Liga — the 28 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Deportivo Alavés vs. FC Barcelona end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$256Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$255.8
Will FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$260Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$260
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-05-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$69.4
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$205Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$154.65
Will Real Betis Balompié vs. Real Oviedo end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.1
Will Getafe CF win on 2026-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$226.32
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-04-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.87
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.73
Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-04-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.78
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.98
Will Real Madrid CF vs. Deportivo Alavés end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.84
Will RC Deportivo La Coruña vs. CD Mirandés end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.92
Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+258.9%+$144.47
Will Getafe CF win on 2026-04-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.78
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-04-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$81.59
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-04-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$83.01
Will Deportivo Alavés vs. CA Osasuna end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$67.64
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-04-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$67.64
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-04-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.58
Will RCD Mallorca vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.83
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Levante UD end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.8
Will Elche CF win on 2026-04-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.8
Will CD Leganés win on 2026-04-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Real Zaragoza win on 2026-04-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Showing 25 of 28 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT2025%5 W · 15 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick23cpaid-7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$170
Will FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$314Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+455.6%+$1,429.53
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Arsenal FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$489.66
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$244Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$243.59
Will Arsenal FC vs. Sporting CP end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+354.5%+$152.42
Will FC Bayern München vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.67
Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Barcelona end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.76
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$112Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$182.54
Will Liverpool FC vs. Galatasaray SK end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$85
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$44
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will FC Barcelona vs. Newcastle United FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$244Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$244
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$751Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+138.9%+$1,042.9
Will Arsenal FC vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$48
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-03-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Will Chelsea FC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$69
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
All 20 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 7, 2026, EDT1816.7%3 W · 15 L-1.7wins-0.09per pick26cpaid-37.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-05-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$129Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$129
Will SC Freiburg vs. SC Braga end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$145Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$145
Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-04-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$135.27
Will Real Betis Balompié vs. SC Braga end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.88
Will FC Porto win on 2026-04-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.73
Will AEK vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.9
Will RC Strasbourg Alsace vs. 1. FSV Mainz 05 end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.9
Will Aston Villa FC vs. Bologna FC 1909 end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.95
Will FK Shakhtar Donetsk win on 2026-04-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.82
Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-04-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+316.7%+$222.74
Will FC Midtjylland vs. Nottingham Forest FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$42
Will Real Betis Balompié vs. Panathinaikós AO end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.5
Will Aston Villa FC vs. Lille OSC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will FC Porto vs. VfB Stuttgart end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$56
Will AS Roma vs. Bologna FC 1909 end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$148
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-03-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$55
Will KRC Genk win on 2026-03-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.5
Will AS Roma win on 2026-03-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
All 18 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 4, 2026, EDT1625%4 W · 12 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick22cpaid+18.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Everton FC vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+376.2%+$146.71
Will Chelsea FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Aston Villa FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.2
Will Manchester United FC vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.3
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-04-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.8
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Chelsea FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$94.34
Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-04-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$66.65
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.69
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-04-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$135.27
Will Manchester United FC vs. Leeds United FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.99
Will Brentford FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+525%+$262.5
Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC win on 2026-03-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Will Portsmouth FC win on 2026-01-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$60
Will Portsmouth FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$38.53
Will Manchester City FC vs. Chelsea FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+376.2%+$112.86
All 16 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 4, 2026, EDT1428.6%4 W · 10 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick28cpaid+5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Serie A — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AS Roma vs. ACF Fiorentina end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$48
Will SS Lazio win on 2026-05-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+150%+$105
Will FC Internazionale Milano vs. Parma Calcio 1913 end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.8
Will Juventus FC vs. Hellas Verona FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+669.2%+$178.68
Will US Sassuolo Calcio vs. AC Milan end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$55
Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-04-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$67.87
Will Juventus FC vs. Bologna FC 1909 end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.06
Will Hellas Verona FC vs. AC Milan end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.72
Will AS Roma vs. Atalanta BC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$137.03
Will SS Lazio win on 2026-04-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$56
Will AC Milan win on 2026-04-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.4
Will Bologna FC 1909 vs. SS Lazio end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.73
Will US Cremonese vs. ACF Fiorentina end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.71
Will ACF Fiorentina vs. AC Milan end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+28.2%+$24.21
All 14 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 14, 2026, EST130%0 W · 13 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Another US strike on Venezuela on January 11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$13
Another US strike on Venezuela on January 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$27
Another US strike on Venezuela on January 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Another US strike on Venezuela on January 4?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$25
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 4?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$10
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$25
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$28
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$31
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$25
US x Venezuela military engagement by October 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
All 13 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT1118.2%2 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick24cpaid-22.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Bayern München vs. VfB Stuttgart end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$82.86
Will SC Freiburg vs. 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.92
Will 1. FC Union Berlin win on 2026-04-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$46
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will SC Freiburg vs. FC Bayern München end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Will SV Werder Bremen vs. RB Leipzig end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. VfL Wolfsburg end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$29
Will Hamburger SV vs. FC Augsburg end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$90
Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+400%+$80
Will 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will FC Bayern München vs. VfL Wolfsburg end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 11 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick30cpaid+77.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2025, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick22cpaid+25.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Euroleague Inactivelast resolved May 5, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick37cpaid+23.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hapoel Tel Aviv vs. Real Madridbacked Real Madrid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$224Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$224
Partizan vs. Saski Baskoniabacked Saski Baskonia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$64.65
Maccabi Tel Aviv vs. Virtus Bolognabacked Virtus Bologna · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$142.97
All 3 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 23, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Oct 1, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Polish strike on Belarus by September 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$72
Polish strike on Russia by September 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
All 2 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 29, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Iran strike Dimona by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Minnesota United FC win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.