TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Will Real Zaragoza win on 2026-04-02?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$55,688
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$57,641

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $55,688 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 130 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4435…0840backed Yes25c14,297$3,550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,5502548%12 W · 13 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No76c9,153$6,925 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,228.451,79851.4%924 W · 874 L+6.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No75c5,728$4,292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,435.273,44943%1,484 W · 1,965 L+32.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No75c3,787$2,850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$937.422,34348.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L+1.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No78c2,672$2,082 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$589.471,41945.6%647 W · 772 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7434…2ff4backed Yes24c1,883$451 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$450.8912236.1%44 W · 78 L+0.2wins0.00per pick36cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes29c1,635$472 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$472.0283939.8%334 W · 505 L-21.0wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-15.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No75c1,182$885 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$296.458548%281 W · 304 L+10.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-13.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaca0…9b86backed Yes21c1,163$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2505453.7%29 W · 25 L+4.0wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+11.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8fef…5946backed Yes30c1,000$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30013263.6%84 W · 48 L+7.8wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+11.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc7fa…f6dfbacked Yes10c999.96$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003831.6%12 W · 26 L-2.0wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-23.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd91a…211cbacked Yes22c829$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.387440.5%30 W · 44 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+15.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No75c783.23$591 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.8975451.2%386 W · 368 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x588b…8593backed Yes27c740.74$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2006838.2%26 W · 42 L+5.2wins+0.08per pick31cpaid+48.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6cb6…ac6abacked Yes14c714.29$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004850%24 W · 24 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+15.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x61bb…5854backed Yes21c699.98$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1473262.5%20 W · 12 L+2.9wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+17.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6079…4943backed No72c673.34$485 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.54250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick45cpaid-30.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f38…c97cbacked Yes28c673.34$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.54333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.18per pick15cpaid+203%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb1eb…b334backed Yes36c652.6$233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233.44560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+28.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc686…5a55backed Yes14c600$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8437829.4%111 W · 267 L-9.5wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-19%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe35b…d8d0backed Yes29c568.97$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1653748.6%18 W · 19 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+9.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a8…58fdbacked No70c514.5$362 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15211331%35 W · 78 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-14.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x02d4…d26cbacked Yes28c472.59$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13417326.6%46 W · 127 L+7.4wins+0.04per pick22cpaid+5.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x464d…f372backed Yes23c427.54$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaa0f…574cbacked No74c423.46$313 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.535671.4%40 W · 16 L+6.3wins+0.11per pick60cpaid+9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed No76c410$312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.428045.4%127 W · 153 L-11.1wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x50fa…f3bebacked Yes17c396.6$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.6320%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c2e…a948backed Yes30c394.61$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.1417541.1%72 W · 103 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d29…c9eebacked No72c366.55$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.953164.5%20 W · 11 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick61cpaid-2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x83d9…651bbacked Yes29c332$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.2860147.9%288 W · 313 L+50.5wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+13.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4021…956abacked Yes31c322.9$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003732.4%12 W · 25 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-13.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked No74c300$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7811753.8%63 W · 54 L+9.4wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+18.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xf103…c4d6backed Yes15c298.33$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.322619.2%5 W · 21 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-51.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No75c295.02$221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.383650.7%424 W · 412 L+0.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xadb9…ef55backed No75c279.53$209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.565172.5%37 W · 14 L+5.8wins+0.11per pick61cpaid+17%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd179…361ebacked Yes19c263.16$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502972.4%21 W · 8 L+7.0wins+0.24per pick48cpaid+39.9%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0xa24d…38b2backed Yes25c240$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6020630.6%63 W · 143 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick30cpaid-2.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x89dc…8f42backed No76c230.99$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.444156.1%23 W · 18 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8a22…2929backed Yes25c230.94$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.131921.1%4 W · 15 L-1.9wins-0.10per pick31cpaid-56%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x02fd…c162backed No73c223.39$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.531478.6%11 W · 3 L+2.3wins+0.16per pick62cpaid+28%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xaaf4…b423backed Yes29c210.93$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.1710%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4693…bf61backed Yes17c209.01$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.18933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-52.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4ebb…061abacked No77c207.75$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.758254.9%45 W · 37 L-3.6wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3a15…52d6backed No77c206$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.3812964.3%83 W · 46 L+5.3wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+3.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1dfe…d2d0backed Yes23c204.75$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.77425%1 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick25cpaid-61.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbf9c…3648backed No78c202.31$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.513873.7%28 W · 10 L+6.8wins+0.18per pick56cpaid+31.5%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No80c199.61$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.891,01853.1%541 W · 477 L-24.8wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xab9f…75f1backed Yes28c181.1$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.716446.9%30 W · 34 L+4.5wins+0.07per pick40cpaid+5.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x30db…44e1backed No76c178.5$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.1411266.1%74 W · 38 L+6.9wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+3.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x87e8…5e6ebacked Yes29c173.28$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5011056.4%62 W · 48 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No76c171.9$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.0669750.8%354 W · 343 L+3.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x06c2…184fbacked Yes30c166.83$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503339.4%13 W · 20 L-2.3wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-27.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x37c1…8de1backed Yes24c166.67$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$406529.2%19 W · 46 L-5.7wins-0.09per pick38cpaid-28.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfdf4…40fabacked Yes31c163.64$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506852.9%36 W · 32 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-8.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb089…a271backed Yes13c153.85$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205343.4%23 W · 30 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+5.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Yes16c150.13$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.6541323.2%96 W · 317 L-11.1wins-0.03per pick26cpaid-11.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6924…1455backed Yes28c143.49$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401163.6%7 W · 4 L+2.4wins+0.21per pick42cpaid+50.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xef5c…6ababacked No75c138.35$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.713470.6%24 W · 10 L+3.6wins+0.11per pick60cpaid+9.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4781…336dbacked No78c128.53$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.5314759.2%87 W · 60 L-8.7wins-0.06per pick65cpaid-9.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes21c125.7$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2726241.2%108 W · 154 L+11.7wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5c69…51cabacked Yes16c125$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202821.4%6 W · 22 L-2.1wins-0.07per pick29cpaid-37.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes22c122.11$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.3348153.6%258 W · 223 L+16.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2ff4…d735backed No28c119$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.37560%3 W · 2 L+2.0wins+0.40per pick20cpaid+149.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No79c115.16$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.6763553.1%337 W · 298 L+1.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x46dc…92c3backed Yes19c114.3$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.183751.4%19 W · 18 L-0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaa29…9ce5backed Yes29c112.62$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.662142.9%9 W · 12 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes28c111.81$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.3160832.4%197 W · 411 L-12.8wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-22.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb6a1…96debacked Yes30c110.17$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.9520%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0efb…016cbacked No77c102.16$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$243562.9%22 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick63cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5329…3a23backed Yes25c100.2$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2590%0 W · 9 L-3.2wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x0dec…3302backed Yes26c100$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$269033.3%30 W · 60 L-5.9wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-8.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc52f…d64abacked Yes25c100$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252948.3%14 W · 15 L+2.0wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+11.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf0a8…a0f5backed Yes24c100$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244346.5%20 W · 23 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf69b…a6ddbacked Yes17c98.93$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.23545.7%16 W · 19 L+0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x051b…09d4backed Yes14c92.86$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138439.3%33 W · 51 L-0.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid-8.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a80…49bfbacked Yes28c89.98$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.196457.8%37 W · 27 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x65cf…5cdebacked Yes24c89$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.36633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-39.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2488…ff0ebacked Yes24c89$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.361030%3 W · 7 L-2.4wins-0.24per pick54cpaid-50%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc55a…7281backed Yes18c84.39$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.1910%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x671e…ac3ebacked Yes24c84.14$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.19per pick31cpaid+31.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9720…2c24backed No31c79.76$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.422920.7%6 W · 23 L-2.3wins-0.08per pick29cpaid-27%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xce06…c99dbacked No73c73.17$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.062373.9%17 W · 6 L+3.4wins+0.15per pick59cpaid+17.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed No78c69.68$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.5144424.1%107 W · 337 L-50.1wins-0.11per pick35cpaid-47.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xe7f4…6eadbacked Yes24c62.5$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158932.6%29 W · 60 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9a2f…2318backed Yes29c62.07$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-43.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0056…a7f7backed No78c61.33$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.4910947.7%52 W · 57 L-4.6wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-12.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc353…30a8backed Yes23c61.04$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.047739%30 W · 47 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x71c1…e358backed Yes25c60$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1516036.3%58 W · 102 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick35cpaid+4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb651…4a7cbacked No75c59.99$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.76165.6%40 W · 21 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick64cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd208…cbcdbacked No77c54.91$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.444178%32 W · 9 L+6.0wins+0.15per pick63cpaid+22%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x57a6…44edbacked No77c54.54$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.548957.3%51 W · 38 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8761…5619backed Yes23c52.17$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128555.3%47 W · 38 L+6.8wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+14.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8632…4696backed No78c51.76$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.3911853.4%63 W · 55 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x76f1…f655backed Yes22c51$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.464047.5%19 W · 21 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-19.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd832…67e0backed Yes22c49.92$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.9811244.6%50 W · 62 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c30…d9e5backed Yes27c47.78$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.92564%16 W · 9 L+3.7wins+0.15per pick49cpaid+26.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed No74c44.17$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.2983444.6%372 W · 462 L+14.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked No72c41$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.4837039.2%145 W · 225 L-14.7wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-24.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe33d…9512backed No77c40.94$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.498246.3%38 W · 44 L+4.4wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+4.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No75c40$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101,56651.6%808 W · 758 L-8.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.