TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Will CD Leganés vs. Real Zaragoza end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$75,856
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$78,888

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $75,856 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 87 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3334…69b0backed No0c40,000$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402330.4%7 W · 16 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Yes50c6,658$3,317 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,340.331,41945.6%647 W · 772 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked No52c5,253$2,732 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,731.861657.8%356 W · 260 L+42.1wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+17.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes50c3,163$1,592 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,570.733,44943%1,484 W · 1,965 L+32.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No51c2,614$1,334 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,334.4183939.8%334 W · 505 L-21.0wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-15.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x363e…ae45backed No50c1,786$896 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$895.621915.8%3 W · 16 L-2.0wins-0.11per pick26cpaid-29.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbe3c…a835backed No55c1,500$825 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$824.9923255.6%129 W · 103 L+18.5wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+17.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5ad5…37b9backed No47c1,000$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4709736.1%35 W · 62 L+14.3wins+0.15per pick21cpaid+150%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x83d9…651bbacked Yes40c960.56$384 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$576.3460147.9%288 W · 313 L+50.5wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+13.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1dfe…d2d0backed No2c924.81$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.83425%1 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick25cpaid-61.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8a92…6941backed No18c916.45$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.085538.2%21 W · 34 L+3.1wins+0.06per pick32cpaid+1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes54c899.38$484 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$415.5258548%281 W · 304 L+10.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-13.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No48c879.76$424 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$423.794,74047%2,230 W · 2,510 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xadb9…ef55backed Yes52c515.38$269 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.285172.5%37 W · 14 L+5.8wins+0.11per pick61cpaid+17%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes61c467.69$286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.551,08150.6%547 W · 534 L+11.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0075…5f10backed Yes55c450.02$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.512240.9%9 W · 13 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-6.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed No51c392.28$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.623250.4%117 W · 115 L+11.2wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xaa0f…574cbacked Yes54c384.36$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.325671.4%40 W · 16 L+6.3wins+0.11per pick60cpaid+9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes62c374.99$232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.0989050%445 W · 445 L+24.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked No50c351.06$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.6645841%188 W · 270 L-11.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed No48c340.12$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.279133%261 W · 530 L-8.9wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe33d…9512backed Yes46c276.96$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.678246.3%38 W · 44 L+4.4wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+4.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x172b…e2cdbacked Yes72c259.29$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.731100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+39%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes67c251.19$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.751,79851.4%924 W · 874 L+6.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1c86…15c0backed No42c238.1$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020148.8%98 W · 103 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe828…82d1backed No44c227.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100540%2 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.20per pick60cpaid-48.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes56c203.59$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.11,01853.1%541 W · 477 L-24.8wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5de7…5417backed No52c200$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1042343.5%10 W · 13 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick47cpaid+0.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Yes62c197.03$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.41,03848.1%499 W · 539 L+17.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5625…6c2abacked No52c192.31$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100825%2 W · 6 L-1.9wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-65.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No70c181.04$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.732,34348.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L+1.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d29…c9eebacked No59c159.31$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.543164.5%20 W · 11 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick61cpaid-2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x02fd…c162backed No52c156.74$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$821478.6%11 W · 3 L+2.3wins+0.16per pick62cpaid+28%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x99be…3622backed No52c152.88$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.51060%6 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+66%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd523…032dbacked Yes66c151.52$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.52757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.19per pick38cpaid+39.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc57f…cfffbacked No53c150$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.51361.5%8 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick61cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc85f…15f8backed Yes65c149.54$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.343265.6%21 W · 11 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+11.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x65cf…5cdebacked No52c148.29$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.11633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-39.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2488…ff0ebacked No52c148.29$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.111030%3 W · 7 L-2.4wins-0.24per pick54cpaid-50%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf6d5…7c98backed No52c145$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.420%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No48c140.21$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.3960832.4%197 W · 411 L-12.8wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-22.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No70c134.99$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.4975451.2%386 W · 368 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xe29c…a31dbacked No37c129.9$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.884443.2%19 W · 25 L+2.8wins+0.06per pick37cpaid+16.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No41c114.72$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.5963553.1%337 W · 298 L+1.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8dd8…9a1cbacked No49c110.13$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.856934.8%24 W · 45 L-5.5wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-42.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x73a2…3b68backed No52c109.97$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.183240.6%13 W · 19 L-2.7wins-0.08per pick49cpaid+8.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd69d…fe68backed No47c106.38$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501323.1%3 W · 10 L-1.5wins-0.11per pick34cpaid-56.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd6a8…58fdbacked No45c102$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.7811331%35 W · 78 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-14.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Yes32c100$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6862744.3%278 W · 349 L-2.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed No47c87.4$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.0820360.1%122 W · 81 L+8.5wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x37c1…8de1backed No46c86.96$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$406529.2%19 W · 46 L-5.7wins-0.09per pick38cpaid-28.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2528…b77dbacked No52c85$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.2944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.16per pick61cpaid-32.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed No32c84.86$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.3641323.2%96 W · 317 L-11.1wins-0.03per pick26cpaid-11.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc285…d26ebacked Yes30c83.47$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.471040%4 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.10per pick30cpaid+34.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No70c79.35$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.5569750.8%354 W · 343 L+3.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x483a…4fd0backed Yes38c78.95$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.952040%8 W · 12 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-18.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Yes70c77.57$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.2783444.6%372 W · 462 L+14.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xefbb…d067backed Yes75c73.4$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.61656.3%9 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick58cpaid+5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb1cc…1958backed No62c73.12$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$453369.7%23 W · 10 L+2.4wins+0.07per pick62cpaid+6.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1644…0695backed Yes70c71.43$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.43580%4 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.17per pick63cpaid+25.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x675f…aa0bbacked Yes59c70.68$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.981100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4959…a6f5backed No71c70.2$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.849250%46 W · 46 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x50fa…f3bebacked No34c69.32$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.7220%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No47c66.47$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.571,50838.7%583 W · 925 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x97f7…ada9backed No46c65.22$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301850%9 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x91f0…c57abacked No71c63.43$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.3410561.9%65 W · 40 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdda0…edaabacked No52c61.13$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.8410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa24d…38b2backed Yes31c54.84$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.8420630.6%63 W · 143 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick30cpaid-2.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x8e1c…a9a5backed No63c54.48$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.326136.1%22 W · 39 L-4.6wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-11.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xef5c…6ababacked No53c53.86$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.653470.6%24 W · 10 L+3.6wins+0.11per pick60cpaid+9.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0157…340fbacked No44c44.97$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.73616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.25per pick41cpaid-52.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x77b5…9170backed No71c41.99$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.8112656.3%71 W · 55 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed No39c40.59$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.9341348.7%201 W · 212 L-9.4wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-13.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe7f4…6eadbacked Yes30c40$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$288932.6%29 W · 60 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x57a6…44edbacked No72c38.73$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.898957.3%51 W · 38 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf6e…94edbacked No47c38.24$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.97520%1 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.24per pick44cpaid-37.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x834a…8dcabacked Yes56c35.71$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.71475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+29.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb651…4a7cbacked No70c30$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216165.6%40 W · 21 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick64cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb7ee…0ad8backed No35c29.98$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.5250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc4b4…37d2backed Yes55c27.27$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.271100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed No70c26.4$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.4849057.1%280 W · 210 L+26.6wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+11.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No69c24.84$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.1483650.7%424 W · 412 L+0.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x550d…f1ffbacked Yes56c23.21$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.212462.5%15 W · 9 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick61cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc539…5ec2backed No52c21.15$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick41cpaid-17.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x76f1…f655backed No77c21$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.174047.5%19 W · 21 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-19.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xaa29…9ce5backed Yes67c17.7$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.842142.9%9 W · 12 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe777…c734backed No77c13.87$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.684858.3%28 W · 20 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick55cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.