TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xb7ee…0ad8

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
94
Categories scored
22
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: NBA, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 56 out of 100; worst Commodities at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2026, EDT2763%17 W · 10 L+3.0wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+22.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
NBA — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Warriors (-15.5)backed Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$11.18
Bulls vs. Wizards: O/U 249.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.65
Spread: Cavaliers (-14.5)backed Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.64
Spread: Cavaliers (-13.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+100%+$12.13
Pistons vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$14
Clippers vs. Kings: O/U 229.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.27
Lakers vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$27.06
Pacers vs. Cavaliers: O/U 240.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$15.66
Spread: Cavaliers (-15.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.75
Wizards vs. Nets: O/U 230.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$13.42
Spread: Pistons (-3.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+101.2%+$24.88
Spread: Pistons (-2.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$23.29
Spread: Pistons (-1.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$12.85
Jaime Jaquez Jr.: Points O/U 15.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$7.62
Spurs vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+215.6%+$67.62
Spurs vs. Nuggets: O/U 243.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.64
Magic vs. Mavericksbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+28.5%+$28.8
Bulls vs. Knicks: O/U 237.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$13.7
Spread: Knicks (-13.5)backed Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.85
Timberwolves vs. 76ersbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.9
Spread: Clippers (-1.5)backed Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.45
Spread: Cavaliers (-10.5)backed Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$23.31
Spurs vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.81
Pelicans vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+46.8%+$24.12
Spread: Thunder (-8.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$13.99
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1811.1%2 W · 16 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick10cpaid-52.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$779Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$779.2
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$664Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+387.7%+$2,575.6
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$133Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$132.59
Spread: France (-2.5)backed France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$23
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$90
Spread: Argentina (-2.5)backed Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$565Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$565
Spread: England (-4.5)backed England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Spread: England (-2.5)backed England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.5
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$475Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$475.2
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$924Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$924.36
Will Colombia win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+263.6%+$290
Will Sweden win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$223Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$222.88
Will Senegal win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.84
Will Tunisia win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$91.09
Will Paraguay win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$102.4
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$99
Will South Korea win Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$305Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$305.39
All 18 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT1353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.12
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$8.6
Israel military action against Yemen by April 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+63.8%+$10.9
US forces enter Iran by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.52
US forces enter Iran by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.83
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$82Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+156.8%+$128.84
US x Iran ceasefire by May 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+129.8%+$28.24
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.54
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+70.5%+$25.65
US x Iran ceasefire by April 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.18
Trump announces Hormuz deadline extension today?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+88.8%+$24.46
Houthi military action against Israel by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.47
Houthi military action against Israel by April 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+27.9%+$8.5
All 13 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-15.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 3, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+94.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Creighton Bluejays (-5.5)backed Creighton Bluejays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$17.8
Spread: Auburn Tigers (-7.5)backed Auburn Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$23.77
Stanford Cardinal vs. West Virginia Mountaineersbacked West Virginia Mountaineers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+87.2%+$23.1
All 3 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+26%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lightning vs. Senatorsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$11.25
Lightning vs. Sabresbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.6
Capitals vs. Devilsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$14.7
All 3 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-45.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 3, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Apr 6, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+7.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Movies — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Commodities — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+133.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+133.8%+$17.13
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 3, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sheffield United FC win on 2026-04-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$24.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
DeepSeek V4 released by April 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$11.75
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 9, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$8.25
All 1 picks, newest first.
Chess Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+46.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Chess — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Chess, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Javokhir Sindarov win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+46.6%+$15.9
All 1 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+39.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Central Coast Mariners FC vs. Perth Glory FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+39.3%+$6.77
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-04-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
NAC Breda vs. Sparta Rotterdam: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Thomas Petersen vs. Guilherme Pat (Heavyweight, Prelims)backed Guilherme Pat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.49
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-04-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.12
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.