NBA · resolved market
Pistons vs. Magic
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x22259c082aa585e5c32b1091cde144e8754ef45e6961fb909cf32ba8573cbde5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Magicof Pistons, Magic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,023,173
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,454,598
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,023,173 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,815 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5ae1…9fadbacked Pistons | 52c | 303,400$156,723 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156,723.2 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +6.4wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +41%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Magic | 47c | 246,505$116,194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130,310.86 | 365 | 49.6%181 W · 184 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Magic | 44c | 199,924$87,904 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112,019.75 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Magic | 51c | 190,618$96,689 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93,928.47 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbddf…c684backed Pistons | 56c | 134,444$74,785 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74,784.63 | 726 | 48.3%351 W · 375 L | +30.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe934…640bbacked Magic | 49c | 127,827$62,635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65,191.88 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +4.1wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1961…c461backed Magic | 58c | 117,803$68,601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49,201.29 | 87 | 50.6%44 W · 43 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Magic | 44c | 106,935$47,581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59,354.24 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked Pistons | 53c | 100,000$53,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53,000 | 168 | 41.1%69 W · 99 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe790…eadcbacked Magic | 52c | 94,115$49,324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44,791.4 | 207 | 44%91 W · 116 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85f0…3f67backed Pistons | 61c | 90,315$55,092 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55,092.14 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd21…a494backed Pistons | 12c | 88,538$10,612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,612.3 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +10%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb6f…e0ddbacked Pistons | 47c | 82,467$38,925 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38,924.88 | 67 | 44.8%30 W · 37 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Pistons | 13c | 69,597$8,845 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,844.89 | 662 | 48.5%321 W · 341 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8454…331abacked Magic | 41c | 65,865$27,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38,860.51 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68ca…9f73backed Magic | 45c | 64,907$29,066 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35,841.34 | 325 | 40.3%131 W · 194 L | -10.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Magic | 67c | 63,027$42,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,876.43 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xccc1…889dbacked Pistons | 61c | 56,610$34,532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34,532.04 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Pistons | 3c | 55,064$1,661 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,660.86 | 1,271 | 38.3%487 W · 784 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3eeb…c387backed Pistons | 60c | 54,099$32,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32,359.66 | 204 | 54.9%112 W · 92 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Magic | 62c | 50,559$31,187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,372.35 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Pistons | 50c | 49,502$24,751 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,750.8 | 701 | 47.8%335 W · 366 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c86…d939backed Pistons | 58c | 41,658$24,161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,161.35 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +4.4wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Pistons | 6c | 39,858$2,503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,503.16 | 1,341 | 29.9%401 W · 940 L | -53.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9b…a5ebbacked Pistons | 16c | 39,483$6,308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,308.38 | 135 | 44.4%60 W · 75 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Pistons | 56c | 39,173$22,077 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,076.94 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf65…9194backed Pistons | 50c | 34,483$17,241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,241.29 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x073a…91e7backed Magic | 41c | 33,000$13,530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,469.99 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Pistons | 6c | 31,075$1,943 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,942.79 | 1,096 | 40.9%448 W · 648 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3349…c0b8backed Pistons | 57c | 30,458$17,375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,374.79 | 70 | 48.6%34 W · 36 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x433f…a0dcbacked Pistons | 1c | 28,409$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.91 | 169 | 19.5%33 W · 136 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa64…bf96backed Pistons | 54c | 27,395$14,793 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,793.43 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec8d…dd71backed Magic | 41c | 26,577$10,907 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,669.25 | 102 | 56.9%58 W · 44 L | +9.1wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked Magic | 42c | 25,532$10,723 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,808.47 | 1,759 | 61.7%1,085 W · 674 L | +127.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcf…c556backed Magic | 48c | 25,450$12,107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,343 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Magic | 69c | 24,781$17,021 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,760 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Magic | 43c | 24,151$10,412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,738.72 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Pistons | 4c | 23,001$991 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$991.04 | 360 | 23.1%83 W · 277 L | -15.6wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Pistons | 23c | 22,291$5,093 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,093.27 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Pistons | 10c | 21,422$2,222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,221.92 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3354…5042backed Pistons | 42c | 20,738$8,789 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,788.75 | 169 | 59.8%101 W · 68 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Magic | 42c | 20,310$8,616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,693.59 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xacb2…b989backed Pistons | 53c | 20,000$10,515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,514.76 | 492 | 44.3%218 W · 274 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b15…9b08backed Pistons | 56c | 18,990$10,634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,633.65 | 102 | 39.2%40 W · 62 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9438…ad81backed Pistons | 6c | 18,597$1,023 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,023.08 | 317 | 9.5%30 W · 287 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -59.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3625…1187backed Pistons | 61c | 16,010$9,766 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,766 | 72 | 43.1%31 W · 41 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Pistons | 33c | 15,848$5,261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,260.66 | 426 | 45.5%194 W · 232 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6233…6349backed Magic | 62c | 15,761$9,772 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,989.29 | 34 | 67.6%23 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77d3…f4d6backed Magic | 41c | 15,451$6,272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,178.99 | 292 | 50%146 W · 146 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8980…d4f4backed Pistons | 53c | 15,000$7,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,949.99 | 219 | 51.1%112 W · 107 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8781…bc3cbacked Pistons | 2c | 14,990$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.8 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.16per pick | 29cpaid | -2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9f…905bbacked Pistons | 59c | 14,628$8,582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,581.78 | 625 | 39.4%246 W · 379 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Pistons | 51c | 14,624$7,458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,458.28 | 1,141 | 48%548 W · 593 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x498c…42bfbacked Magic | 43c | 14,535$6,252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,283.25 | 153 | 49%75 W · 78 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d13…643cbacked Pistons | 41c | 14,265$5,792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,791.91 | 143 | 38.5%55 W · 88 L | -18.4wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Pistons | 58c | 14,131$8,216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,215.72 | 877 | 50.2%440 W · 437 L | -19.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcae4…e479backed Pistons | 35c | 13,739$4,809 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,808.57 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f78…bbe8backed Pistons | 58c | 13,608$7,893 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,892.64 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d3…c2f0backed Magic | 53c | 13,532$7,237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,295.75 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x648d…1366backed Pistons | 54c | 13,479$7,279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,278.56 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa996…8aacbacked Magic | 51c | 13,422$6,815 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,607.39 | 142 | 43%61 W · 81 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47f8…6699backed Magic | 47c | 13,421$6,308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,112.92 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d9f…ff8ebacked Pistons | 37c | 13,324$4,970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,969.64 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92b5…fec6backed Pistons | 55c | 13,275$7,301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,301.39 | 107 | 47.7%51 W · 56 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Magic | 38c | 13,197$5,015 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,182.43 | 596 | 46.1%275 W · 321 L | -16.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9aa8…1f7bbacked Magic | 41c | 13,000$5,330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,670 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Pistons | 24c | 12,797$3,114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,113.59 | 249 | 37.3%93 W · 156 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -35%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95de…c9b2backed Magic | 58c | 12,734$7,354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,379.95 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7234…1d85backed Magic | 46c | 12,466$5,763 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,702.53 | 158 | 44.9%71 W · 87 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x410d…d831backed Magic | 63c | 12,342$7,775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,566.54 | 113 | 35.4%40 W · 73 L | -8.0wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Pistons | 3c | 12,255$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.18 | 1,226 | 37.4%458 W · 768 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Magic | 48c | 12,046$5,782 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,263.93 | 1,212 | 48.3%586 W · 626 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Pistons | 58c | 11,368$6,613 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,612.92 | 956 | 51.5%492 W · 464 L | +23.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Pistons | 53c | 11,000$5,830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,830 | 584 | 49.7%290 W · 294 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeef4…5ed3backed Pistons | 60c | 11,000$6,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,600 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +40.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d6a…1c08backed Pistons | 9c | 11,000$1,022 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,021.99 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -3.5wins | -0.18per pick | 60cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdbe4…9bcfbacked Magic | 41c | 10,999$4,509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,489.15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +22%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Pistons | 1c | 10,845$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.49 | 721 | 1%7 W · 714 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0faa…824cbacked Pistons | 1c | 10,782$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfea8…47aabacked Pistons | 50c | 10,560$5,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,280 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -62.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b0d…90c0backed Pistons | 60c | 10,000$6,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,000 | 88 | 34.1%30 W · 58 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbca6…73e3backed Pistons | 59c | 10,000$5,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,899.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5798…ab44backed Magic | 46c | 10,000$4,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,399.87 | 157 | 40.8%64 W · 93 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ccc…f2dabacked Pistons | 38c | 9,876$3,787 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,787.41 | 50 | 64%32 W · 18 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Magic | 47c | 9,872$4,640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,231.91 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5db5…1a50backed Pistons | 54c | 9,004$4,862 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,862 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Magic | 48c | 9,000$4,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,680 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x479e…91c3backed Magic | 63c | 8,958$5,672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,285.44 | 147 | 66%97 W · 50 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x779a…b689backed Pistons | 26c | 8,501$2,236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,235.71 | 78 | 52.6%41 W · 37 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…9871backed Pistons | 59c | 8,000$4,720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,719.95 | 228 | 46.1%105 W · 123 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbce9…03e9backed Pistons | 0c | 7,900$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 882 | 0%0 W · 882 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62fb…4d60backed Magic | 38c | 7,785$2,963 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,822.42 | 355 | 47.3%168 W · 187 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7202…e51abacked Pistons | 60c | 7,723$4,648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,648.13 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6447…8075backed Pistons | 56c | 7,708$4,317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,316.56 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf679…16acbacked Pistons | 39c | 7,472$2,914 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,913.96 | 107 | 43%46 W · 61 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a59…9a2fbacked Pistons | 62c | 7,408$4,593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,592.84 | 168 | 63.1%106 W · 62 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc371…1e28backed Pistons | 24c | 7,379$1,803 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,803.01 | 423 | 35.9%152 W · 271 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ac2…29f9backed Pistons | 54c | 7,367$3,978 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,977.99 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +53.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc94a…9401backed Magic | 39c | 7,340$2,862 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,477.12 | 403 | 50.1%202 W · 201 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf732…7c06backed Pistons | 60c | 7,300$4,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,380 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.21per pick | 47cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 31 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Pistons vs. Magicthis page
- 1H Spread: Pistons (-1.5)Magic won
- Desmond Bane: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Duncan Robinson: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Franz Wagner: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Franz Wagner: Points O/U 11.5No won
- Franz Wagner: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Jalen Duren: Points O/U 22.5No won
- Jalen Suggs: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
- Jalen Suggs: Points O/U 14.5No won
- Paolo Banchero: Points O/U 20.5Yes won
- Pistons vs. Magic: 1H MoneylineMagic won
- Pistons vs. Magic: 1H O/U 114.5Over won
- Pistons vs. Magic: 1H O/U 115.5Over won
- Pistons vs. Magic: 1H O/U 116.5Over won
- Pistons vs. Magic: O/U 220.5Over won
- Pistons vs. Magic: O/U 221.5Over won
- Pistons vs. Magic: O/U 222.5Over won
- Pistons vs. Magic: O/U 223.5Over won
- Pistons vs. Magic: O/U 224.5Over won
- Pistons vs. Magic: O/U 225.5Over won
- Pistons vs. Magic: O/U 226.5Over won
- Pistons vs. Magic: O/U 231.5Under won
- Spread: Magic (-12.5)Magic won
- Spread: Magic (-6.5)Magic won
- Spread: Pistons (-1.5)Magic won
- Spread: Pistons (-2.5)Magic won
- Spread: Pistons (-3.5)Magic won
- Tobias Harris: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Tristan da Silva: Points O/U 9.5Yes won
- Wendell Carter Jr.: Points O/U 11.5Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.